Julio Polanco — OGILVIE

Julio Polanco P DSL Phillies White

Age 20 RHP 6'3" / 195 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 18 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.95

FIP4.95

K%20.3%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%7.9%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	11	10	38	179	31	21	0	91%	3.5	11.8%	14.7%	-2.9%	0.0%	4.97	3.96	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	11	10	38	179	31	21	0	91%	3.5	11.8%	14.7%	-2.9%	0.0%	4.97	3.96	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	11	10	38	179	31	21	0	91%	3.5	17.3%	11.7%	5.6%	0.0%	4.97	3.13	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	16	0	27	138	26	15	1	0%	1.7	12.8%	13.6%	-0.8%	1.2%	7.76	4.40	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	16	0	27	138	26	15	1	0%	1.7	12.8%	13.6%	-0.8%	1.2%	7.76	4.40	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	16	0	27	138	26	15	1	0%	1.7	18.8%	10.9%	8.0%	0.7%	7.76	3.33	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	—	17	0	18	76	15	9	2	0%	1.1	20.3%	12.4%	7.9%	2.9%	4.95	4.95	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	24	0	25	106	22	12	3	0%	1.1	21.1%	11.2%	9.9%	2.9%	4.78	4.70	-0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	11	0	12	51	11	6	1	0%	1.1	21.1%	11.2%	9.9%	2.9%	4.78	4.70	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	12	52	11	6	2	0%	1.0	21.1%	11.2%	9.9%	2.9%	4.78	4.32	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	97	32	0%	1.1	21.1%	11.2%	9.9%	2.9%	4.78	4.32	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		27	10	65	317	39	45	2	37%	2.4	12.2%	14.2%	-2.0%	0.5%	6.12	4.15	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		84	31	200	980	120	139	5	37%	2.4	12.2%	14.2%	-2.0%	0.5%	6.12	4.15	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Julio Polanco (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.95	20.3%	12.4%	2.9%	—	4.70	21.1%	9.9%	25	-0.25	—	—	—
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	88
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	86
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	85
Saul Teran R 2022 · 4.81 FIP	20	SW	4.81	17.5%	9.8%	3.5%	.333	3.88	20.8%	8.7%	94	-0.93	2.28	166	84
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	83
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	83
Anderson Cardenas R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	18	SW	4.90	19.5%	11.9%	3.5%	.235	3.52	22.2%	8.8%	58	-1.38	3.52	129	83
Jose Vasquez R 2024 · 4.12 FIP	19	SW	4.12	21.9%	13.4%	2.1%	.359	6.49	15.6%	-10.2%	66	+2.37	4.12	123	83
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.00	538	82
Johzan Oquendo R 2021 · 4.22 FIP	20	SW	4.22	18.4%	14.5%	1.5%	.294	3.65	23.5%	5.7%	113	-0.57	3.62	187	82
Felix Arronde R 2023 · 4.42 FIP	20	SW	4.42	20.2%	12.1%	2.7%	.275	4.98	15.8%	5.8%	344	+0.56	4.16	442	82
Nick Lockhart R 2021 · 5.73 FIP	20	SW	5.73	18.3%	11.6%	4.9%	.315	4.53	19.3%	9.0%	92	-1.20	4.44	140	81
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	80
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	80
Miguel Alfonseca R 2021 · 4.19 FIP	21	SP-	4.19	18.3%	12.1%	2.0%	.400	5.36	14.9%	-0.9%	92	+1.17	4.19	123	80
Victor Simeon R 2021 · 3.87 FIP	20	SW	3.87	17.7%	13.8%	0.9%	.266	4.21	21.3%	5.1%	105	+0.34	3.22	180	79
Rodolfo Sanchez R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	23.0%	13.6%	3.3%	.264	4.83	19.9%	6.3%	104	+0.12	3.59	255	79
Rafael Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.11 FIP	20	SW	4.11	21.8%	16.3%	1.4%	.303	5.08	15.7%	-4.4%	82	+0.97	3.42	162	79
Engel Daniel Peralta R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SW	5.28	17.7%	15.0%	3.2%	.300	5.89	16.6%	1.2%	33	+0.61	3.34	129	79
Joel Ibarra R 2022 · 4.08 FIP	20	SW	4.08	21.4%	13.8%	1.9%	.323	4.74	19.6%	-3.4%	86	+0.66	4.08	155	79