Jaron Elkins

OF Ontario Tower Buzzers

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 193 lbs A HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

Scout OFP40ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	ALAA	515	.264/.354/.414	9	63	52	—	.187/.265/.283
2026	21	A+LAD	143	.254/.380/.288	0	7	64	—	.218/.317/.242
2026	21	ALAD	332	.339/.422/.584	13	34	116	—	.273/.343/.458
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBLAD	585	.201/.278/.313	10	26	68	-0.3
2028PROJ25% MLB	23	MLBLAD	133	.204/.281/.328	3	6	75	-0.1
2029PROJ36% MLB	24	MLBLAD	206	.209/.286/.342	5	8	80	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Chase%72

BB%69

Whiff%57

Speed55

K%51

Z-Con%51

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 91%

CompsCooper Bowman (age 23) · Max Wagner (age 22) · Mikey Perez (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .275 / .311

PA320

HR6

SB14

K%32

BB%7

ISO112

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

DEFENSE54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	228	186	53	11	3	5	33	80	8	20	7	285	414	457	871	172	471	35	14	391	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	515	447	118	30	5	9	45	153	17	63	6	264	354	414	768	150	375	30	9	342	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	143	118	30	4	0	0	20	34	4	7	0	254	380	288	668	34	353	24	14	319	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	332	286	97	19	6	13	33	73	9	34	6	339	422	584	1.006	245	416	22	10	434	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	228	200	32	6	2	3	19	117	8	20	7	160	260	255	515	95	345	51	8	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	515	460	86	20	3	6	32	211	17	63	6	187	265	283	548	96	313	41	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	143	124	27	3	0	0	14	43	4	7	0	218	317	242	559	24	327	30	10	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	332	297	81	15	5	10	23	99	9	34	6	273	343	458	801	185	365	30	7	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	228	200	32	6	2	3	19	117	8	20	7	160	260	255	515	95	358	51	8	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	—	228	186	53	11	3	5	33	80	8	20	7	285	414	457	871	172	471	35	14	391	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	515	460	86	20	3	6	32	211	17	63	6	187	265	283	548	96	321	41	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	515	447	118	30	5	9	45	153	17	63	6	264	354	414	768	150	375	30	9	342	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	475	421	108	18	5	10	37	142	13	41	6	257	335	394	730	138	360	30	8	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	475	404	127	23	6	13	53	107	13	41	6	314	410	498	907	183	397	23	11	399	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	228	199	32	6	2	3	19	117	8	20	7	161	260	256	516	95	345	51	8	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	515	461	86	20	3	6	32	211	17	63	6	187	265	282	547	95	313	41	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	475	422	108	18	5	10	37	142	13	41	6	256	335	393	729	137	354	30	8	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	228	199	32	6	2	3	19	117	8	20	7	161	260	256	516	95	345	51	8	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	515	461	86	20	3	6	32	211	17	63	6	187	265	282	547	95	313	41	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	475	422	108	18	5	10	37	142	13	41	6	256	335	393	729	137	354	30	8	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	585	525	105	20	4	10	42	188	13	26	4	201	278	313	591	112	288	32	7	269	68	-22	+4	+0	-4	+13	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	LAD	25%	533	476	100	19	4	11	40	166	12	22	3	208	285	333	618	125	289	31	8	280	75	-16	+3	+1	-3	+12	-0.4
2029	24	MLB MLE	LAD	36%	570	510	108	20	4	13	43	174	12	22	3	213	290	347	637	134	291	31	8	287	80	-13	+3	+1	-3	+12	0.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	LAD	43%	591	529	114	21	4	15	45	178	12	21	3	216	293	355	648	140	291	30	8	291	83	-12	+3	+1	-4	+13	0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	LAD	47%	602	538	118	22	4	16	47	179	12	20	3	217	294	359	654	142	291	30	8	294	85	-11	+3	+1	-4	+13	0.3
2032	27	MLB MLE	LAD	48%	605	541	118	22	4	16	47	178	12	19	3	218	295	359	654	141	290	29	8	294	85	-11	+3	+1	-4	+13	0.3
2033	28	MLB MLE	LAD	52%	602	538	117	22	4	15	47	178	12	16	2	216	293	354	647	139	289	30	8	291	83	-12	+2	+1	-4	+13	0.0
2034	29	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	593	531	113	21	4	14	46	177	11	14	2	213	290	348	638	135	287	30	8	287	81	-14	+2	-0	-4	+13	-0.3
2035	30	MLB MLE	LAD	57%	583	522	110	20	3	14	45	176	11	12	2	210	286	340	626	130	285	30	8	283	77	-16	+2	-1	-3	+13	-0.6
2028	23	MLB CTX	LAD	25%	133	119	24	4	1	3	10	41	3	6	1	204	281	328	609	124	282	31	8	276	75	-4	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	LAD	36%	206	184	38	7	1	5	16	63	4	8	1	209	286	342	628	133	283	31	8	283	80	-5	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	LAD	43%	253	227	48	9	1	7	19	76	5	9	1	212	289	350	640	138	284	30	8	288	83	-5	+1	+1	-2	+5	0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	LAD	47%	280	250	55	10	2	8	22	83	6	9	1	214	291	355	646	141	284	30	8	290	85	-5	+1	+1	-2	+6	0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	LAD	48%	288	257	56	10	2	8	23	85	6	9	1	214	292	355	646	140	283	30	8	291	85	-5	+1	+1	-2	+6	0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	LAD	52%	315	281	60	11	2	8	25	93	6	9	1	212	289	350	639	138	282	30	8	288	83	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	327	293	62	11	2	8	25	98	6	8	1	210	287	344	630	134	281	30	8	284	81	-8	+1	-0	-2	+7	-0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	LAD	57%	334	299	62	11	2	8	26	101	6	7	1	207	283	336	619	129	279	30	8	279	77	-9	+1	-0	-2	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2136	1910	405	73	13	55	166	640	42	65	8	212	289	350	640	138	285	30	8	286	78	-47	+10	+2	-13	+46	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	123	22	4	17	51	195	13	20	2	212	290	351	641	139	285	30	8	286	78	-14	+3	+1	-4	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6217	5553	1182	222	43	139	471	1979	139	284	42	213	291	343	634	131	300	32	8	284	78	-116	+23	+6	-30	+108	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	123	23	4	15	49	207	15	30	4	212	290	343	633	131	298	32	8	284	78	-15	+3	+1	-4	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Gil Coan'46-'56 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,166 PA	4.8	3,166	39	83	245*	295*	383*	-30	+48	5.7	6.9
/162	664	8	17	-6.3	+10.2	1.2	pk7: 8
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#5Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.7	2,456	58	79	214	287	347	-15	+8	0.6	0.8
/162	664	16	21	-4.0	+2.3	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jaron Elkins (OGILVIE)	22	22→34	39→48	61→62	52	200/275/311	111	288	6	14	32%	7%	68	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	39→44	43→45	59→60	44	194/276/302	108	285	11	31	34%	9%	66	-1.1	210/284/328	118	287	11	35	29%	8%	74	-0.5	210/283/330	120	279	11	40	27%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Max Wagner 2024 · AA	22	41→38	46→50	55→50	42	204/275/332	128	291	13	18	33%	8%	72	-0.7	195/261/317	122	302	13	12	37%	7%	63	-1.3	190/255/330	140	291	17	7	39%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Mikey Perez 2023 · A	23	41→34	44→45	59→60	43	201/280/320	119	275	10	31	29%	7%	72	-0.7	196/276/308	112	286	12	26	33%	8%	68	-1.0	148/246/242	93	219	13	36	36%	8%	40	-1.2
✕Jay Allen II 2024 · A	21	41→47	39→45	58→55	42	193/283/280	87	299	7	32	35%	8%	64	-1.3	200/286/296	96	279	9	24	30%	8%	69	-0.9	202/286/304	103	275	11	24	29%	7%	68	-0.8
✕Johan Rojas 2023 · AA	22	44→54	41→45	63→65	42	216/263/320	104	271	8	35	23%	5%	63	-1.3	248/290/352	104	312	8	37	22%	5%	81	-0.1	260/302/359	100	326	7	41	21%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Brayan Buelvas 2024 · AA	22	37→45	46→50	55	41	190/252/319	129	260	13	18	32%	7%	61	-1.5	204/265/326	122	293	11	16	32%	7%	66	-1.1	205/266/334	130	290	12	14	32%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Brice Matthews 2024 · A	22	45	44→50	54→60	46	211/306/329	118	322	12	22	35%	10%	84	+0.1	217/298/371	154	326	18	30	36%	9%	90	+0.6	208/288/365	156	305	19	33	36%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Clay Fuller 2009 · A	22	46	42→45	59→55	44	214/295/330	116	316	8	20	32%	8%	79	-0.2	209/279/321	112	294	11	18	31%	8%	71	-0.8	203/269/311	107	279	12	18	30%	7%	62	-1.0
✕Braulio Vasquez 2022 · A	23	41	40	55→65	40	193/274/284	91	302	8	31	36%	8%	61	-1.5	218/287/317	99	301	6	26	28%	7%	73	-0.6	227/297/325	98	303	3	32	24%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Miguel Hiraldo 2023 · A	22	41→46	43→45	56→55	38	200/251/308	108	302	10	21	36%	6%	57	-1.8	216/263/319	103	337	10	20	37%	5%	63	-1.3	221/269/319	98	346	9	22	37%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Joshua Báez 2024 · A	21	40→48	42→55	58→60	36	172/260/282	110	341	9	22	48%	8%	56	-1.9	206/280/356	150	315	18	30	38%	8%	80	-0.2	211/281/393	182	287	24	33	34%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2018 · AA	22	43→40	46→50	53→55	45	213/280/344	131	271	13	20	26%	7%	76	-0.4	203/282/338	135	283	13	16	31%	8%	76	-0.4	182/270/306	124	256	12	18	32%	9%	63	-0.9
✕Jorge Mateo 2017 · A	22	45→50	40→50	61→65	39	214/259/313	98	298	6	34	30%	5%	60	-1.6	205/248/327	122	300	8	28	33%	5%	59	-1.6	217/266/353	136	277	13	42	26%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Cameron Cauley 2024 · A	21	41→48	42→50	59→60	38	192/256/294	102	318	9	28	40%	8%	56	-1.9	207/261/343	136	303	14	27	34%	7%	68	-1.0	212/268/359	147	288	15	31	31%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Kyren Paris 2023 · AA	21	44→49	45	60	43	203/291/336	132	329	12	27	38%	9%	79	-0.2	201/289/328	127	317	13	30	37%	10%	77	-0.3	189/282/319	130	294	14	35	37%	10%	71	-0.5
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	37→47	44→50	52→60	40	191/253/303	112	263	12	21	31%	6%	57	-1.8	231/299/365	134	305	12	39	26%	8%	88	+0.4	232/299/362	129	300	10	41	25%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Adam Engel 2015 · A	23	45→48	40→50	57→60	39	215/267/310	95	294	7	25	28%	5%	63	-1.4	203/260/305	102	292	7	30	31%	6%	59	-1.6	223/282/358	135	299	13	23	29%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Johan Lopez 2022 · A	22	44	44→45	56→55	44	210/292/329	119	303	11	16	32%	8%	78	-0.3	197/269/298	101	299	9	12	35%	8%	62	-1.4	173/246/259	86	259	8	12	34%	7%	43	-1.0
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	213/278/339	126	273	14	11	26%	8%	74	-0.5	223/286/391	168	267	21	13	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Mason Auer 2024 · AA	23	41→47	44→45	62→60	38	201/261/322	122	305	11	34	36%	6%	64	-1.3	191/249/304	113	284	10	26	34%	6%	55	-1.9	157/214/266	109	220	9	31	32%	5%	32	-2.0

Jaron Elkins

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps