Ryan WaldschmidtOF Reno Aces
Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031
2026 ROS PROJECTION362 act + 241 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†92
AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .318 / .355
PA241
HR4
SB10
K%29
BB%9
BABIP318
ISO128
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -7.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +3.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+4RUNFLD: -0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -3.6 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +17.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+17REPTotal WAR: +0.80+0.8WAR
0.01.42.90.31.52.12.42.42.2+$58M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · ContractCON 52 / POW 56
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026
CONTACT52
xwOBA
270.282
POWER56
Barrel%
508.1
Avg EV
2186.9
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED53
Sprint
8728.9
DEFENSE50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2026
Service   0.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSPre-Arb$0.3M+0.3$1M+$1.0M
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.5$11M+$10M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.1$14M+$14M
2029Arb-1$5M+2.4$15M+$12M
2030Arb-2$9M+2.4$14M+$8M
2031Arb-3$13M+2.2$12M+$4M
Totals $29M $68M +$49M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 AVisalia Rawhide 6648 12200 11125 42 250438292729 42316 1817 340 118
202421 AVisalia Rawhide 6644 12200 1595 42 273500318818 45324 1423 390 157
202522 A+2 teams 601520 11422313 6014616 2910 219319348667 129276 2410 296 85
202522 A+2 teams 601484 14027418 9610616 2910 289423473896 184334 1816 399 163
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 AAAARI 362317 732035 311119 123 230317360676 129333 319 299 87 -5 +1 +0 -2 +10 0.4
YTD23 AAAARI 362307 842446 40969 123 274373436809 163375 2711 358 132 +13 +1 +0 -2 +10 2.3
ROS23 AAAARI 100% 241211 481124 22706 102 227318355672 128314 299 306 92 -2 +1 -0 -1 +7 0.4
ROS23 MLBARI 100% 241211 481124 22706 102 227318355673 128317 299 291 81 -5 +1 -0 -1 +7 0.1
FULL23 AAAARI 603528 1213159 5318115 225 229317358675 129327 309 296 85 -10 +2 -0 -4 +17 0.5
TOT23 AAAARI 603528 1213159 5318115 225 229317358675 129327 309 302 89 -7 +2 -0 -4 +17 0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBARI 82% 660578 13430513 6218815 266 232322369691 137314 289 310 95 -3 +3 -0 -4 +19 1.4
202825 MLBARI 82% 660579 13630416 6218414 266 235324383707 149313 289 319 103 +2 +3 -0 -4 +19 1.9
202926 MLBARI 82% 660579 13729418 6218214 266 237325394719 157313 289 325 107 +5 +3 -0 -4 +19 2.3
203027 MLBARI 82% 660578 13729418 6318214 266 237327394721 157312 2810 325 107 +5 +3 -0 -4 +19 2.3
203128 MLBARI 82% 647567 13529418 6217913 245 238327399726 160311 2810 324 106 +5 +3 -1 -4 +18 2.1
203229 MLBARI 82% 634555 13128417 6117713 225 236326393719 157310 2810 322 105 +3 +2 -2 -4 +18 1.9
203330 MLBARI 82% 621543 12827417 6017513 204 236326394720 158309 2810 319 103 +2 +2 -3 -4 +18 1.6
203431 MLBARI 82% 608532 12226316 5917312 174 229320380700 150307 2810 315 99 -0 +2 -3 -4 +17 1.2
203532 MLBARI 82% 596522 11825315 5717212 143 226316372688 146303 2910 310 95 -3 +2 -4 -4 +17 0.8
202724 MLBARI 82% 541474 11125411 5015412 225 234323373696 139317 289 296 85 -9 +2 -0 -3 +15 0.5
202825 MLBARI 82% 541473 11425414 5115112 225 241330400730 159316 289 306 93 -4 +2 -0 -3 +15 1.0
202926 MLBARI 82% 541474 11525415 5114911 225 243330407737 165315 289 313 97 -2 +2 -0 -3 +15 1.3
203027 MLBARI 82% 541474 11424316 5114911 225 241328405733 165315 289 313 98 -1 +2 -0 -3 +15 1.3
203128 MLBARI 82% 531464 11124315 5114711 204 239329401730 162314 2810 312 97 -2 +2 -1 -3 +15 1.2
203229 MLBARI 82% 520454 10823315 5014511 184 238328401729 163313 2810 310 95 -3 +2 -1 -3 +15 1.0
203330 MLBARI 82% 509445 10522314 4914310 163 236325393719 157312 2810 307 93 -4 +2 -2 -3 +14 0.8
203431 MLBARI 82% 499438 10222313 4814210 143 233323386708 153309 2810 303 90 -5 +2 -3 -3 +14 0.5
203532 MLBARI 82% 489429 9821312 4714110 112 228319375694 147306 2910 298 86 -8 +1 -3 -3 +14 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 49534336 102622232129 4701391104 17738 237326392718 155316 289 306 92 -44 +20 -12 -30 +140 7.7
/ 162G 650569 13429417 6218314 235 236326390716 155315 2810 306 92 -6 +3 -2 -4 +18 1.0
Career 66545812 135228840165 6411840147 24459 233324381705 148309 2810 317 101 +4 +25 -14 -40 +189 16.7
/ 162G 650568 13228416 6318014 246 232324380704 148309 2810 317 101 +0 +2 -1 -4 +18 1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 AVisalia Rawhide 6644 12200 1595 42 273500318818 45324 1423 390 157 +4 +0 +2 0.6
202522 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles 300249 771439 45535 196 309425498923 189362 1815 409 171 +24 +1 +8 3.5
202522 A+Hillsboro Hops 301235 631319 515311 104 268421447868 179305 1817 388 155 +19 +0 +9 2.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Brett Gardnerlast yr '21
career totals — 13 seasons, 6,577 PA
136,577139272256341398-41+4929.826.6
/1626641427-4.2+4.93.0pk7: 23
#2Eric Byrneslast yr '09
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,440 PA
83,440106125260321441-21+314.915.2
/1626642024-4.1+0.62.9pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons
95,087127183235321387-31+213.712.5
/1626641724-4.0+0.31.8pk7: 11
#3Drew Stubbslast yr '16
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA
83,14392161244314394+3+1612.212.3
/1626641934+0.6+3.32.6pk7: 12
#4Raul Mondesilast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,604 PA
62,60410889251326456-20-610.810.8
/1626642823-5.1-1.52.7pk7: 11
#5Will Venablelast yr '15
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA
83,12781135251317406-20-48.98.7
/1626641729-4.2-0.81.9pk7: 9
#6Desmond Jenningslast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA
62,3275593245323394-9+108.18.1
/1626641627-2.5+2.72.3pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Ryan Waldschmidt (OGILVIE) 23 46→52 51→56 53 60 229/317/358 129327 922 30% 9% 89 +0.8
Maikel Garcia
2023 · MLB
23 50→59 42→50 57→60 47 243/299/352 109307 927 23% 8% 82 +0.5 255/311/368 113311 926 20% 8% 92 +1.2 263/322/38412230892717%8%99+1.8
Mario Lisson
2007 · A
23 45→49 44→55 55 47 219/296/340 121292 1122 27% 8% 79 +0.3 215/266/328 113281 1119 26% 5% 63 -0.9 231/301/37714630019828%7%90+0.7
Rymer Liriano
2014 · AA
23 50→52 45→50 56→55 39 241/290/369 127326 1125 29% 5% 83 +0.6 233/294/359 126339 1317 33% 7% 83 +0.6 220/282/339119322131534%7%69-0.4
Ramón Laureano
2017 · AA
23 51→57 43→60 59→55 42 233/305/355 122354 926 34% 8% 86 +0.8 238/300/393 155320 1621 29% 7% 95 +1.4 265/341/467201335251627%8%129+2.4
Garrett Mitchell
2022 · AA
23 47 45→55 56→60 48 221/305/336 116333 1320 35% 11% 82 +0.5 242/313/385 143359 1526 34% 9% 98 +1.6 263/346/463200370202132%11%128+1.4
Matt McLain
2022 · A
22 45→55 44→55 53→55 48 218/295/334 116293 1120 28% 9% 77 +0.1 236/317/422 186323 2122 31% 9% 109 +2.4 231/315/405174310202330%9%102+1.7
Trayvon Robinson
2011 · AA
23 54→58 44→50 55 43 252/310/375 123355 1127 31% 7% 93 +1.3 238/293/376 138345 1519 33% 7% 86 +0.8 231/284/369138331151833%7%78+0.2
Brice Turang
2023 · AAA
23 50→60 43→50 56→60 47 243/300/350 107307 1123 24% 8% 82 +0.5 250/312/363 113307 1131 21% 8% 91 +1.1 270/345/412142330143221%10%114+2.5
Drew Ferguson
2017 · AA
24 49 44→45 53→55 43 234/300/353 119319 1121 29% 7% 84 +0.6 238/313/350 112326 1018 28% 8% 89 +0.9 239/321/346107326102027%9%88+0.6
Michael Hermosillo
2018 · AAA
23 48→46 41→55 51→55 46 230/303/331 102303 922 26% 8% 80 +0.4 206/280/341 135294 1516 33% 7% 73 -0.1 194/280/359165271201434%7%77+0.1
Victor Robles
2020 · MLB
23 50→54 48→50 54→60 44 246/315/395 149299 1426 22% 6% 102 +1.8 227/301/350 123291 1119 25% 6% 85 +0.7 283/353/38710535265120%6%113+0.9
Peter Bourjos
2010 · AA
23 51→56 42→50 62→60 42 245/287/363 119304 828 22% 5% 79 +0.3 243/292/385 142299 1224 22% 5% 88 +0.9 250/310/389140318121824%6%95+0.8
Austin Martin
2023 · AA
24 48→52 38→40 57→60 51 222/323/301 79285 525 22% 9% 82 +0.5 239/325/325 86295 624 19% 9% 88 +0.9 265/358/3447932332217%11%104+1.1
Jared Oliva
2020 · AA
24 46→45 43→50 57→65 42 221/284/333 112302 1027 29% 6% 72 -0.2 215/268/322 107303 824 30% 5% 62 -0.9 227/296/370142284155524%7%82+0.3
Rafael Lantigua
2022 · A
24 46→55 46→45 53→55 46 228/295/364 136304 1320 29% 8% 85 +0.7 249/321/362 113327 1018 24% 9% 95 +1.4 253/329/35310032881823%10%92+1.1
Eric Patterson
2006 · AA
23 53→55 46→50 58→60 45 254/310/394 140331 1123 26% 7% 98 +1.6 244/293/369 125306 1127 23% 6% 84 +0.6 245/299/370126301113122%7%85+0.7
Delino DeShields
2017 · MLB
24 48→55 42→45 57→65 49 231/305/336 105307 831 26% 9% 81 +0.4 234/313/327 93309 732 24% 10% 82 +0.5 233/316/3188530663624%10%79+0.2
Desmond Jennings
2009 · A
22 51→59 43→50 56→60 48 246/309/361 115293 1025 19% 7% 89 +1.0 255/321/384 129302 1034 18% 8% 100 +1.7 245/325/405160290162820%9%105+2.2
Bradley Zimmer
2016 · AA
23 47→51 48→50 58→60 41 229/298/369 140315 1528 31% 6% 88 +0.9 224/295/363 139339 1428 35% 8% 85 +0.7 231/308/356126350132835%8%86+0.4
Dylan Moore
2017 · A
24 44→47 43→50 55→65 47 214/294/334 120273 1023 24% 8% 77 +0.1 206/272/327 121267 1118 26% 7% 66 -0.6 210/332/386176289164130%12%104+1.0