Zyhir Hope
RF Erie SeaWolves| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | A/ROK/INTL3 orgs | 375 | .272/.385/.473 | 14 | 11 | 98 | — | .222/.331/.359 |
| 2025 | 20 | AA/A+LAD | 544 | .266/.377/.428 | 13 | 27 | 80 | — | .216/.303/.337 |
| 2026 | 21 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 630 | .282/.376/.493 | 30 | 26 | 110 | — | .257/.320/.433 |
| 2027PROJ12% MLB | 22 | MLBDET | 25 | .226/.300/.377 | 1 | 1 | 94 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ54% MLB | 23 | MLBDET | 271 | .232/.306/.397 | 10 | 8 | 101 | 0.5 | |
| 2029PROJ65% MLB | 24 | MLBDET | 351 | .236/.310/.409 | 13 | 10 | 106 | 0.9 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Cubs | — | 43 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 286 | 419 | 543 | 961 | 257 | 368 | 30 | 19 | 422 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 248 | 202 | 58 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 60 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 287 | 411 | 490 | 901 | 203 | 368 | 24 | 15 | 401 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | — | 24 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 316 | 458 | 421 | 879 | 105 | 353 | 8 | 17 | 405 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 103 | 92 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 228 | 304 | 446 | 750 | 217 | 254 | 24 | 8 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 20 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 316 | 350 | 421 | 771 | 105 | 400 | 20 | 5 | 344 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | — | 524 | 439 | 116 | 27 | 3 | 13 | 78 | 139 | 3 | 26 | 6 | 264 | 378 | 428 | 806 | 164 | 355 | 27 | 15 | 361 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 564 | 491 | 141 | 20 | 2 | 29 | 62 | 141 | 4 | 26 | 6 | 287 | 372 | 513 | 885 | 226 | 341 | 25 | 11 | 385 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 66 | 51 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 409 | 294 | 703 | 59 | 324 | 24 | 20 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Cubs | — | 43 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 184 | 279 | 342 | 621 | 158 | 299 | 44 | 12 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 248 | 213 | 47 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 85 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 221 | 331 | 362 | 692 | 141 | 331 | 34 | 11 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 24 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 333 | 333 | 667 | 95 | 277 | 12 | 8 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 20 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 316 | 350 | 421 | 771 | 105 | 382 | 25 | 5 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 524 | 462 | 98 | 22 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 180 | 3 | 26 | 6 | 212 | 301 | 333 | 635 | 121 | 318 | 34 | 11 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 564 | 510 | 131 | 17 | 2 | 23 | 43 | 172 | 4 | 26 | 6 | 257 | 320 | 433 | 753 | 176 | 328 | 30 | 8 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Cubs | — | 43 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 184 | 279 | 342 | 621 | 158 | 294 | 44 | 12 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL Cubs | — | 43 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 286 | 419 | 543 | 961 | 257 | 368 | 30 | 19 | 422 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 375 | 322 | 72 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 121 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 224 | 332 | 363 | 695 | 140 | 326 | 32 | 11 | 308 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 375 | 313 | 85 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 49 | 87 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 272 | 385 | 473 | 858 | 201 | 333 | 23 | 13 | 381 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 544 | 482 | 104 | 24 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 185 | 3 | 27 | 6 | 216 | 301 | 336 | 637 | 120 | 324 | 34 | 10 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 544 | 458 | 122 | 29 | 3 | 13 | 79 | 143 | 3 | 27 | 6 | 266 | 377 | 428 | 805 | 162 | 357 | 26 | 15 | 361 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 630 | 568 | 146 | 19 | 2 | 26 | 49 | 192 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 257 | 323 | 435 | 757 | 178 | 336 | 30 | 8 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 630 | 542 | 153 | 20 | 2 | 30 | 75 | 157 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 282 | 376 | 493 | 868 | 210 | 340 | 25 | 12 | 380 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Cubs | — | 43 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 184 | 279 | 342 | 621 | 158 | 299 | 44 | 12 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 375 | 320 | 72 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 121 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 225 | 332 | 366 | 697 | 141 | 326 | 32 | 11 | 308 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 544 | 480 | 104 | 24 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 185 | 3 | 27 | 6 | 217 | 301 | 338 | 639 | 121 | 320 | 34 | 10 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 630 | 570 | 146 | 19 | 2 | 26 | 49 | 192 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 256 | 323 | 433 | 756 | 177 | 328 | 30 | 8 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 375 | 320 | 72 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 121 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 225 | 332 | 366 | 697 | 141 | 326 | 32 | 11 | 308 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 544 | 480 | 104 | 24 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 185 | 3 | 27 | 6 | 217 | 301 | 338 | 639 | 121 | 320 | 34 | 10 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 630 | 570 | 146 | 19 | 2 | 26 | 49 | 192 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 256 | 323 | 433 | 756 | 177 | 328 | 30 | 8 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | DET | 12% | 648 | 582 | 134 | 23 | 2 | 21 | 57 | 190 | 4 | 19 | 4 | 231 | 304 | 387 | 691 | 157 | 300 | 29 | 9 | 308 | 94 | -4 | +2 | +1 | -7 | +14 | 0.6 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | DET | 12% | 25 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 300 | 377 | 677 | 151 | 295 | 28 | 8 | 302 | 94 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | DET | 54% | 505 | 452 | 107 | 18 | 2 | 18 | 45 | 144 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 237 | 310 | 407 | 718 | 171 | 301 | 29 | 9 | 318 | 101 | +1 | +2 | +1 | -5 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | DET | 65% | 537 | 480 | 116 | 20 | 2 | 21 | 48 | 150 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 241 | 315 | 420 | 735 | 180 | 302 | 28 | 9 | 325 | 106 | +4 | +2 | +1 | -6 | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | DET | 70% | 560 | 500 | 122 | 21 | 2 | 23 | 51 | 155 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 243 | 317 | 427 | 744 | 185 | 302 | 28 | 9 | 329 | 109 | +6 | +1 | +2 | -6 | +12 | 1.5 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | DET | 72% | 578 | 517 | 126 | 21 | 2 | 24 | 52 | 158 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 244 | 318 | 430 | 748 | 187 | 301 | 27 | 9 | 330 | 110 | +7 | +1 | +2 | -6 | +13 | 1.6 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | DET | 71% | 582 | 520 | 126 | 22 | 2 | 23 | 53 | 159 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 243 | 317 | 427 | 744 | 184 | 300 | 27 | 9 | 329 | 108 | +6 | +2 | +2 | -6 | +13 | 1.6 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | DET | 71% | 576 | 515 | 124 | 21 | 2 | 23 | 52 | 158 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 241 | 315 | 422 | 737 | 181 | 299 | 27 | 9 | 326 | 107 | +5 | +1 | +1 | -6 | +12 | 1.4 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | DET | 69% | 562 | 503 | 120 | 20 | 2 | 22 | 50 | 156 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 239 | 313 | 416 | 729 | 177 | 298 | 28 | 9 | 322 | 104 | +3 | +1 | +0 | -6 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | DET | 68% | 550 | 493 | 117 | 20 | 2 | 21 | 49 | 154 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 236 | 309 | 409 | 718 | 173 | 296 | 28 | 9 | 318 | 101 | +1 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB MLE | DET | 68% | 533 | 478 | 111 | 19 | 2 | 19 | 47 | 152 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 232 | 304 | 399 | 704 | 167 | 294 | 29 | 9 | 312 | 98 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB MLE | DET | 67% | 511 | 459 | 104 | 17 | 1 | 18 | 44 | 148 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 227 | 299 | 387 | 685 | 160 | 290 | 29 | 9 | 305 | 93 | -5 | -1 | -2 | -5 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB MLE | DET | 67% | 475 | 430 | 94 | 15 | 1 | 16 | 40 | 140 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 221 | 291 | 372 | 663 | 151 | 285 | 29 | 8 | 296 | 86 | -8 | -1 | -3 | -5 | +10 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | DET | 54% | 271 | 243 | 57 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 77 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 232 | 306 | 397 | 703 | 165 | 296 | 28 | 9 | 312 | 101 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -3 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | DET | 65% | 351 | 315 | 74 | 13 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 98 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 236 | 310 | 409 | 719 | 173 | 296 | 28 | 9 | 319 | 106 | +3 | +1 | +1 | -4 | +8 | 0.9 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | DET | 70% | 392 | 351 | 83 | 14 | 1 | 15 | 35 | 108 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 238 | 313 | 416 | 728 | 178 | 296 | 28 | 9 | 322 | 109 | +4 | +1 | +1 | -4 | +8 | 1.1 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | DET | 72% | 416 | 372 | 89 | 15 | 2 | 16 | 38 | 114 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 239 | 314 | 419 | 732 | 180 | 296 | 27 | 9 | 324 | 110 | +5 | +1 | +1 | -4 | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | DET | 71% | 414 | 371 | 89 | 15 | 2 | 16 | 37 | 113 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 238 | 313 | 415 | 728 | 177 | 295 | 27 | 9 | 322 | 108 | +4 | +1 | +1 | -4 | +9 | 1.1 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | DET | 71% | 408 | 365 | 86 | 15 | 1 | 15 | 37 | 112 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 236 | 311 | 411 | 722 | 175 | 294 | 27 | 9 | 320 | 107 | +3 | +1 | +1 | -4 | +9 | 1.0 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | DET | 69% | 388 | 347 | 81 | 14 | 1 | 14 | 35 | 108 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 234 | 308 | 405 | 713 | 171 | 293 | 28 | 9 | 316 | 104 | +2 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | DET | 68% | 375 | 337 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 14 | 33 | 105 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 231 | 305 | 398 | 703 | 166 | 291 | 28 | 9 | 312 | 101 | +1 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB CTX | DET | 68% | 361 | 324 | 74 | 12 | 1 | 13 | 32 | 103 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 227 | 300 | 389 | 689 | 161 | 289 | 29 | 9 | 307 | 98 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB CTX | DET | 67% | 344 | 309 | 69 | 11 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 99 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 222 | 295 | 377 | 671 | 154 | 285 | 29 | 9 | 299 | 93 | -3 | -0 | -1 | -4 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB CTX | DET | 67% | 319 | 288 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 94 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 216 | 287 | 362 | 649 | 146 | 280 | 29 | 8 | 290 | 86 | -5 | -1 | -2 | -3 | +7 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 4039 | 3622 | 842 | 142 | 13 | 148 | 359 | 1131 | 26 | 80 | 24 | 232 | 306 | 401 | 708 | 169 | 294 | 28 | 9 | 314 | 101 | +13 | +6 | +1 | -43 | +88 | 6.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 583 | 136 | 23 | 2 | 24 | 58 | 182 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 233 | 307 | 403 | 710 | 170 | 295 | 28 | 9 | 314 | 101 | +2 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | 1.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 7771 | 6946 | 1639 | 282 | 25 | 282 | 701 | 2252 | 58 | 191 | 52 | 236 | 311 | 406 | 717 | 170 | 305 | 29 | 9 | 317 | 101 | +16 | +10 | +2 | -66 | +134 | 9.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 138 | 24 | 2 | 24 | 59 | 188 | 5 | 16 | 4 | 238 | 314 | 410 | 723 | 172 | 306 | 29 | 9 | 317 | 101 | +2 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | 1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAErie SeaWolves · 564 PAwOBA .377 → .329 (−49)K% 25.0% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 7.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.979 | ×1.050 | 25.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.979 | ×1.050 | 5.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.979 | ×1.050 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 6.79% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .377 → .329; ISO .226 → .186; BABIP .341 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Great Lakes Loons · 524 PAwOBA .354 → .286 (−68)K% 26.5% → 34.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.53% | ÷0.980 | ×1.270 | — | — | 34.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.69% | ÷1.023 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 10.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.042 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.960 | ×1.042 | 22.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.00% | ÷0.927 | ×0.810 | ×0.960 | ×1.042 | 7.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.960 | ×1.042 | 0.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.33% | ÷0.992 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 3.64% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .354 → .286; ISO .164 → .132; BABIP .355 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AATulsa Drillers · 20 PAwOBA .335 → .295 (−40)K% 20.0% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.984 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷0.968 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 26.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.014 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 11.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.137 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.957 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 94, 2B 103, 3B 127, K 97, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .335 → .295; ISO .105 → .088; BABIP .400 → .382. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 248 PAwOBA .391 → .309 (−82)K% 24.2% → 34.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.19% | ÷0.964 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.92% | ÷0.943 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 11.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.82% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 2.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.65% | ÷1.072 | ×0.920 | ×1.019 | ×1.045 | 22.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.86% | ÷0.973 | ×0.830 | ×1.019 | ×1.045 | 8.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.973 | ×0.910 | ×1.019 | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.34% | ÷1.072 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 4.94% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 114, 2B 95, 3B 95, K 93, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .391 → .309; ISO .203 → .152; BABIP .368 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Dodgers · 24 PAwOBA .395 → .295 (−101)K% 8.3% → 12.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.33% | ÷0.984 | ×1.440 | — | — | 12.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.070 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 9.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.17% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 3.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.011 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 19.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.010 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 8.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.967 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.942 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 102, 3B 93, K 97, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .395 → .295; ISO .105 → .080; BABIP .353 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Cubs · 43 PAwOBA .411 → .284 (−128)K% 30.2% → 43.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.23% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 43.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 11.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.022 | 26.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 13.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 10.88% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .411 → .284; ISO .257 → .179; BABIP .368 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .