Scott Bandura
LF Sacramento River Cats| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A+/ASF | 373 | .244/.354/.370 | 6 | 24 | 55 | — | .185/.273/.270 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA/A+SF | 559 | .271/.369/.400 | 10 | 41 | 73 | — | .225/.305/.328 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA/AASF | 604 | .320/.412/.488 | 13 | 34 | 120 | — | .299/.368/.438 |
| 2026 | 24 | MLBSF | 30 | .207/.233/.241 | 0 | 1 | 34 | -0.9 | |
| 2027PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBSF | 63 | .246/.317/.361 | 1 | 3 | 96 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ45% MLB | 26 | MLBSF | 274 | .247/.318/.367 | 5 | 11 | 98 | 0.4 | |
| 2029PROJ51% MLB | 27 | MLBSF | 313 | .245/.317/.366 | 5 | 12 | 97 | 0.5 |
Tools · Recent Form · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 21 | A | San Jose Giants | — | 99 | 79 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 241 | 375 | 405 | 780 | 165 | 315 | 26 | 15 | 344 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | — | 21 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 400 | 550 | 667 | 1.217 | 267 | 556 | 29 | 24 | 499 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 247 | 211 | 48 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 69 | 3 | 19 | 2 | 227 | 335 | 374 | 709 | 147 | 304 | 28 | 13 | 320 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | San Jose Giants | — | 126 | 105 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 24 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 276 | 392 | 362 | 754 | 86 | 354 | 19 | 11 | 348 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 186 | 161 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 57 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 199 | 303 | 323 | 626 | 124 | 287 | 31 | 12 | 287 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 373 | 319 | 98 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 90 | 7 | 30 | 2 | 307 | 403 | 439 | 842 | 132 | 404 | 24 | 12 | 377 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 30 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 207 | 233 | 241 | 475 | 34 | 500 | 57 | 3 | 217 | 34 | -2 | -0 | +0 | -7 | +1 | -0.9 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 430 | 368 | 117 | 28 | 3 | 10 | 48 | 61 | 4 | 24 | 2 | 318 | 402 | 492 | 894 | 174 | 354 | 14 | 11 | 388 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 174 | 142 | 46 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 30 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 324 | 435 | 479 | 914 | 155 | 387 | 17 | 14 | 400 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 30 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 207 | 233 | 241 | 475 | 34 | 500 | 57 | 3 | 217 | 33 | -2 | -0 | +0 | -7 | +1 | -0.9 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 99 | 84 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 38 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 190 | 292 | 333 | 625 | 143 | 281 | 38 | 10 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Orange | — | 21 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 400 | 529 | 929 | 235 | 408 | 38 | 14 | 355 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 247 | 221 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 96 | 3 | 19 | 2 | 167 | 249 | 262 | 511 | 95 | 268 | 39 | 9 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 126 | 109 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 34 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 220 | 320 | 284 | 604 | 64 | 311 | 27 | 8 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 186 | 167 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 68 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 174 | 254 | 269 | 524 | 96 | 272 | 37 | 9 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 373 | 331 | 83 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 113 | 7 | 30 | 2 | 251 | 330 | 356 | 686 | 106 | 350 | 30 | 9 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 30 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 207 | 233 | 241 | 475 | 34 | 500 | 57 | 3 | 219 | 34 | -2 | -0 | +0 | -7 | +1 | -0.9 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 430 | 382 | 112 | 25 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 73 | 4 | 24 | 2 | 293 | 357 | 437 | 794 | 144 | 327 | 17 | 8 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 174 | 150 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 37 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 313 | 394 | 440 | 834 | 127 | 381 | 21 | 10 | 364 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 120 | 101 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 46 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 208 | 310 | 337 | 647 | 129 | 333 | 38 | 11 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 120 | 94 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 32 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 266 | 405 | 447 | 852 | 181 | 349 | 27 | 17 | 371 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 373 | 330 | 61 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 130 | 9 | 24 | 5 | 185 | 273 | 270 | 543 | 85 | 286 | 35 | 8 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 373 | 316 | 77 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 45 | 93 | 9 | 24 | 5 | 244 | 354 | 370 | 724 | 127 | 323 | 25 | 12 | 330 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 559 | 498 | 111 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 49 | 182 | 8 | 41 | 2 | 223 | 303 | 321 | 624 | 98 | 331 | 33 | 9 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 559 | 480 | 130 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 67 | 147 | 8 | 41 | 2 | 271 | 369 | 400 | 769 | 129 | 368 | 26 | 12 | 347 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 634 | 561 | 164 | 34 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 127 | 7 | 35 | 5 | 292 | 360 | 424 | 784 | 132 | 357 | 20 | 8 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 634 | 539 | 169 | 38 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 108 | 7 | 35 | 5 | 314 | 403 | 475 | 878 | 161 | 367 | 17 | 12 | 383 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 120 | 104 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 46 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 202 | 310 | 327 | 637 | 125 | 303 | 38 | 11 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 373 | 330 | 61 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 130 | 9 | 24 | 5 | 185 | 273 | 270 | 543 | 85 | 283 | 35 | 8 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 559 | 497 | 111 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 49 | 182 | 8 | 41 | 2 | 223 | 303 | 322 | 625 | 99 | 324 | 33 | 9 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 634 | 570 | 164 | 34 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 127 | 7 | 35 | 5 | 288 | 360 | 418 | 777 | 130 | 350 | 20 | 8 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 373 | 330 | 61 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 130 | 9 | 24 | 5 | 185 | 273 | 270 | 543 | 85 | 283 | 35 | 8 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 559 | 497 | 111 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 49 | 182 | 8 | 41 | 2 | 223 | 303 | 322 | 625 | 99 | 324 | 33 | 9 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 634 | 570 | 164 | 34 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 127 | 7 | 35 | 5 | 288 | 360 | 418 | 777 | 130 | 350 | 20 | 8 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | SF | 30% | 380 | 341 | 86 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 85 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 250 | 321 | 369 | 690 | 119 | 313 | 22 | 8 | 310 | 96 | -2 | +2 | +1 | -4 | +8 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | SF | 30% | 63 | 57 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 246 | 317 | 361 | 679 | 115 | 309 | 22 | 8 | 305 | 96 | -0 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | SF | 45% | 614 | 552 | 138 | 28 | 4 | 11 | 51 | 137 | 6 | 25 | 4 | 251 | 322 | 376 | 697 | 125 | 312 | 22 | 8 | 313 | 98 | -2 | +3 | +2 | -7 | +13 | 1.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | SF | 51% | 614 | 551 | 137 | 28 | 4 | 11 | 52 | 138 | 6 | 24 | 3 | 249 | 321 | 375 | 695 | 125 | 310 | 22 | 8 | 312 | 97 | -2 | +4 | +2 | -7 | +13 | 1.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | SF | 55% | 614 | 551 | 137 | 28 | 4 | 11 | 52 | 139 | 6 | 22 | 3 | 247 | 319 | 372 | 690 | 124 | 308 | 23 | 8 | 310 | 96 | -3 | +3 | +1 | -7 | +13 | 0.8 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | SF | 56% | 604 | 543 | 133 | 27 | 3 | 11 | 50 | 138 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 245 | 316 | 367 | 683 | 123 | 306 | 23 | 8 | 307 | 94 | -5 | +2 | +0 | -6 | +13 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB MLE | SF | 56% | 582 | 523 | 126 | 25 | 3 | 10 | 48 | 135 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 242 | 312 | 361 | 674 | 120 | 304 | 23 | 8 | 303 | 91 | -6 | +2 | -1 | -6 | +13 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB MLE | SF | 57% | 286 | 258 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 67 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 237 | 307 | 351 | 659 | 114 | 300 | 23 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -4 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | SF | 45% | 274 | 246 | 62 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 61 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 247 | 318 | 367 | 686 | 121 | 308 | 22 | 8 | 308 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -3 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | SF | 51% | 313 | 281 | 68 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 70 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 245 | 317 | 366 | 683 | 121 | 306 | 22 | 8 | 307 | 97 | -1 | +2 | +1 | -3 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | SF | 55% | 337 | 303 | 74 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 76 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 243 | 315 | 363 | 678 | 120 | 304 | 23 | 8 | 305 | 96 | -2 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | SF | 56% | 337 | 303 | 73 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 77 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 241 | 312 | 359 | 671 | 118 | 302 | 23 | 8 | 302 | 94 | -3 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB CTX | SF | 56% | 328 | 295 | 70 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 76 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 238 | 309 | 353 | 662 | 115 | 300 | 23 | 8 | 298 | 91 | -3 | +1 | -0 | -4 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB CTX | SF | 57% | 162 | 147 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 234 | 304 | 344 | 647 | 110 | 297 | 23 | 8 | 292 | 87 | -3 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1781 | 1604 | 387 | 79 | 11 | 29 | 146 | 415 | 16 | 57 | 9 | 241 | 311 | 358 | 669 | 117 | 306 | 23 | 8 | 301 | 92 | -14 | +8 | +0 | -26 | +39 | 0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 585 | 142 | 29 | 4 | 11 | 53 | 151 | 6 | 21 | 3 | 243 | 312 | 362 | 675 | 120 | 307 | 23 | 8 | 301 | 92 | -5 | +3 | +0 | -9 | +14 | 0.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5210 | 4657 | 1136 | 228 | 31 | 86 | 438 | 1286 | 61 | 220 | 30 | 244 | 317 | 362 | 679 | 118 | 316 | 25 | 8 | 304 | 92 | -26 | +16 | +2 | -45 | +77 | 2.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 142 | 28 | 4 | 11 | 55 | 160 | 8 | 27 | 4 | 244 | 318 | 363 | 681 | 119 | 316 | 25 | 8 | 304 | 92 | -5 | +3 | +0 | -8 | +14 | 0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAASacramento River Cats · 430 PAwOBA .382 → .338 (−44)K% 14.2% → 17.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.19% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.997 | ×1.033 | 23.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.997 | ×1.033 | 7.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.997 | ×1.033 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 2.36% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .382 → .338; ISO .174 → .146; BABIP .354 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 174 PAwOBA .393 → .364 (−29)K% 17.2% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.24% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 9.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.046 | ×0.998 | 28.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.046 | ×0.998 | 7.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×1.046 | ×0.998 | 1.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 2.09% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.
Result: wOBA .393 → .364; ISO .155 → .141; BABIP .387 → .381. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Eugene Emeralds · 373 PAwOBA .370 → .300 (−70)K% 24.1% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.13% | ÷1.070 | ×1.350 | — | — | 30.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.80% | ÷0.950 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 8.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.88% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 1.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.88% | ÷1.011 | ×0.910 | ×0.999 | ×0.988 | 28.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.55% | ÷1.048 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×0.988 | 5.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.31% | ÷0.909 | ×0.820 | ×0.999 | ×0.988 | 1.17% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.06% | ÷0.980 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 2.56% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 102, 2B 110, 3B 82, K 114, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .370 → .300; ISO .132 → .105; BABIP .404 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 186 PAwOBA .280 → .231 (−49)K% 30.6% → 36.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.65% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.37% | ÷0.962 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 9.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.54% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.27% | ÷1.004 | ×0.970 | ×1.017 | ×1.012 | 18.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.65% | ÷0.992 | ×0.860 | ×1.017 | ×1.012 | 7.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.96% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.017 | ×1.012 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.88% | ÷1.183 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.93% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 101, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 104, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .280 → .231; ISO .124 → .094; BABIP .287 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Eugene Emeralds · 247 PAwOBA .315 → .237 (−78)K% 27.9% → 39.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.94% | ÷0.968 | ×1.350 | — | — | 38.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.55% | ÷1.024 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 8.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.21% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.83% | ÷1.016 | ×0.910 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 19.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.34% | ÷0.950 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 5.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.41% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 1.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.23% | ÷1.010 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 3.47% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .315 → .237; ISO .147 → .108; BABIP .304 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ASan Jose Giants · 126 PAwOBA .342 → .273 (−69)K% 19.0% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.05% | ÷0.957 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷0.966 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 7.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.76% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 3.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.93% | ÷0.961 | ×0.920 | ×0.963 | ×0.990 | 23.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.64% | ÷1.012 | ×0.830 | ×0.963 | ×0.990 | 6.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.963 | ×0.990 | 1.07% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.959 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 92, 2B 102, 3B 100, K 91, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .342 → .273; ISO .086 → .066; BABIP .354 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ASan Jose Giants · 99 PAwOBA .347 → .273 (−74)K% 26.3% → 38.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.26% | ÷0.935 | ×1.360 | — | — | 38.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.15% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | — | 10.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.02% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.75% | ÷1.049 | ×0.920 | ×1.034 | — | 18.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.43% | ÷1.005 | ×0.830 | ×1.034 | — | 8.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.89% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.034 | — | 1.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.77% | ÷0.890 | ×0.800 | — | — | 3.39% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 110, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 87, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .347 → .273; ISO .165 → .139; BABIP .315 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Giants Orange · 21 PAwOBA .511 → .355 (−156)K% 28.6% → 39.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷1.036 | ×1.440 | — | — | 39.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 23.81% | ÷1.022 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 14.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 44.44% | ÷1.004 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 35.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.107 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 7.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.377 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 6.14% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 175, 1B 101, 2B 121, 3B 80, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .511 → .355; ISO .267 → .165; BABIP .556 → .408. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).