Chase Mobley

P Hill City Howlers

Age 21 RHP 6'5" / 205 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECTFG #969

ETA2028FG ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	MIX2 levels	10	9	20	9.45	5.10	26.9%	22.2%	—	K 19.5% · BB 25.9% · FIP 6.00
2026	20	ACLE	23	9	32	14.06	8.04	17.2%	34.4%	—	K 12.7% · BB 40.6% · FIP 7.91
2027PROJ	21	MLBCLE	34	0	36	6.20	6.20	16.2%	20.0%	-0.7
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBCLE	17	0	18	5.78	5.62	18.5%	17.2%	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Command30FB velo60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsChris Viall (age 20) · Rubén Menes (age 21) · Alex Makarewich (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 151143vR 135

ERA6.20

FIP6.20

K%16.2%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-3.9%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4050

CMD2030

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	9	20	108	29	24	2	90%	2.0	19.5%	25.9%	-6.3%	2.3%	9.45	6.00	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	9	20	108	29	24	2	90%	2.0	19.5%	25.9%	-6.3%	2.3%	9.45	6.00	—
2025	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	9	20	108	29	24	2	90%	2.0	26.9%	22.2%	4.6%	1.9%	9.45	5.10	—
2026	20	A MLE	Hill City Howlers	23	9	32	192	33	66	2	39%	1.4	12.7%	40.6%	-27.8%	1.4%	14.06	7.91	—
2026	20	A MLE	Hill City Howlers	23	9	32	192	33	66	2	39%	1.4	12.7%	40.6%	-27.8%	1.4%	14.06	7.91	—
2026	20	A RAW	Hill City Howlers	23	9	32	192	33	66	2	39%	1.4	17.2%	34.4%	-17.2%	1.0%	14.06	8.04	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	CLE	34	0	36	152	25	30	4	0%	1.1	16.2%	20.0%	-3.9%	2.8%	6.20	6.20	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	CLE	36	0	38	158	29	27	4	0%	1.0	18.5%	17.2%	1.3%	2.8%	5.78	5.62	-0.5
2028	22	MLB CTX	CLE	17	0	18	76	14	13	2	0%	1.1	18.5%	17.2%	1.3%	2.8%	5.78	5.62	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		18	0	18	78	14	13	2	0%	1.0	18.5%	17.2%	1.3%	2.8%	5.78	5.24	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	152	141	22	0%	1.1	18.5%	17.2%	1.3%	2.8%	5.78	5.24	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		33	18	52	300	46	106	5	55%	1.6	15.2%	35.3%	-20.1%	1.7%	12.29	7.22	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		127	69	200	1154	175	407	20	55%	1.6	15.2%	35.3%	-20.1%	1.7%	12.29	7.22	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chase Mobley (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.20	16.2%	20.0%	2.8%	—	5.62	18.5%	1.3%	38	-0.58	—	—	—
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	82
Rubén Menes R 2023 · 6.12 FIP	21	SP-	6.12	13.1%	21.9%	2.5%	.257	4.94	15.6%	2.1%	100	-1.18	3.39	112	82
Alex Makarewich R 2024 · 6.15 FIP	22	SP-	6.15	19.7%	26.7%	2.4%	.425	5.15	26.4%	-3.3%	83	-1.00	4.26	110	81
Jatnk Diaz R 2024 · 7.33 FIP	19	SP-	7.33	12.1%	24.0%	4.0%	.318	5.06	13.9%	-0.8%	102	-2.27	4.97	117	81
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	79
Jace Beck R 2021 · 5.13 FIP	21	SP-	5.13	21.1%	23.7%	1.5%	.347	5.32	25.7%	2.8%	50	+0.19	4.03	216	79
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	79
Aneudis Mejia R 2023 · 7.12 FIP	19	SW	7.12	18.7%	29.9%	3.3%	.404	5.03	16.9%	1.3%	102	-2.09	4.36	122	78
Mason McGwire R 2024 · 6.46 FIP	20	SP-	6.46	11.7%	21.2%	3.0%	.298	4.11	21.4%	10.7%	79	-2.35	4.11	155	78
Nestor Lorant R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SW	5.53	18.7%	18.2%	3.1%	.280	3.86	20.5%	11.3%	249	-1.67	2.73	373	78
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	78
Chad Bryant R 2021 · 6.29 FIP	21	SP-	6.29	14.8%	20.7%	3.3%	.337	5.59	16.0%	-3.4%	81	-0.70	3.93	136	77
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	77
Jose Garces R 2024 · 7.21 FIP	20	SW	7.21	11.0%	34.2%	1.3%	.277	6.53	15.6%	-0.5%	96	-0.68	3.49	191	77
Kamdyn Perry R 2024 · 5.61 FIP	18	SW	5.61	12.3%	18.4%	2.2%	.300	5.55	14.9%	1.0%	116	-0.06	5.31	142	77
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	76
Samuel Vásquez R 2021 · 6.05 FIP	21	SP-	6.05	11.2%	21.6%	2.1%	.353	5.15	16.0%	-2.8%	111	-0.90	4.01	273	76
Elian Rodriguez R 2018 · 6.43 FIP	21	SW	6.43	11.3%	28.5%	1.2%	.221	6.29	16.9%	-6.1%	61	-0.14	5.60	109	76
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	76
Omar Gonzalez R 2024 · 6.16 FIP	19	SW	6.16	13.9%	23.1%	2.4%	.164	5.56	15.4%	0.1%	82	-0.60	2.25	137	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	37	17.4%	18.6%	1.09	5.98
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*