Jose Garces P Greensboro Grasshoppers
Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 149 lbs A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 45 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 155146vR 137
ERA6.10
FIP6.10
K%13.6%
BB%17.3%
K-BB%-3.7%
ROS IP45
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 78 IP
K: -4.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-4KBB: -7.7 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-8BBCONTACT: -13.6 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-14CONTACTSTAM: +6.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+7STAMTotal WAR: -2.00 (78 IP)-2.0WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3535
CTRL3030
CMD3030
K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202117ROKDSL PIT Gold129301383215075%2.515.8%13.6%2.2%0.0%5.163.49
202117ROKDSL PIT Gold129301383215075%2.523.2%10.9%12.3%0.0%5.162.46
202218ROKFCL Pirates1001898192120%1.813.2%26.8%-13.6%3.0%8.007.02
202218ROKFCL Pirates1001898192120%1.819.4%21.4%-2.0%2.0%8.005.93
202319ROKFCL Pirates103241241721030%2.49.3%21.2%-11.8%0.0%8.624.99
202319ROKFCL Pirates103241241721030%2.413.7%16.9%-3.2%0.0%8.624.31
202420ROKFCL Pirates125241171932142%2.011.0%34.2%-23.1%1.4%5.327.28
202420ROKFCL Pirates125241171932142%2.016.2%27.4%-11.1%0.9%5.326.10
202521MIX2 levels41050218422730%1.214.6%14.4%0.2%2.1%3.404.86
202521MIX2 levels41050218422730%1.219.3%12.4%6.9%1.4%3.403.82
▸ 2026 Season
202622A+Greensboro Grasshoppers270331653224110%1.214.9%16.7%-1.8%8.3%9.008.53-1.5
ROS22MLBPIT42045188263350%1.113.6%17.3%-3.7%2.9%6.106.10-0.8
ROS22MLBPIT013.6%17.3%-3.7%2.9%6.106.10
2026 TOT22MLBPIT7835358571616.3%16.0%0.3%4.6%7.337.13-2.0
2026 FULL22MLBPIT0100013.6%17.3%-3.7%2.9%6.105.72-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723MLBPIT44046195313060%1.115.9%15.3%0.6%2.8%5.755.63-0.6
202824MLBPIT45048201352860%1.117.3%14.0%3.3%2.8%5.475.34-0.4
202925MLBPIT46048203372760%1.018.1%13.2%4.8%2.8%5.285.18-0.4
202723MLBPIT2202397151530%1.015.9%15.3%0.6%2.8%5.755.63-0.3
202824MLBPIT31033139242040%1.117.3%14.0%3.3%2.8%5.475.34-0.3
202925MLBPIT37039165302250%1.118.1%13.2%4.8%2.8%5.285.18-0.3
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career910954037057110%1.017.3%14.0%3.2%2.8%5.464.97+0.4
/ 200 IP1900200844147120230%1.117.3%14.0%3.2%2.8%5.464.97+1.0
Career112171798601161702315%1.613.4%19.8%-6.4%2.7%6.155.94-1.1
/ 200 IP125192009631291912615%1.613.4%19.8%-6.4%2.7%6.155.94-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jose Garces (OGILVIE) 6.10 13.6%17.3%2.9% 5.38 17.1%2.9%142 -0.72
Noah Takacs R 2026 · 5.82 FIP 22 SU 5.82 12.5%16.4%3.1%.301 5.77 13.8%-2.3%83 -0.05 5.15 122 92
Cory Thompson R 2026 · 5.42 FIP 22 SU 5.42 15.2%15.7%2.9%.289 4.28 16.3%10.6%131 -1.14 3.48 218 89
Cole Ayers R 2026 · 5.49 FIP 22 SU 5.49 13.0%15.4%2.8%.305 3.96 21.2%10.1%152 -1.53 3.52 171 88
Ocean Gabonia R 2026 · 4.94 FIP 22 SU 4.94 15.4%14.6%2.4%.283 3.31 19.1%10.9%91 -1.63 2.79 144 86
Alec Kenilvort R 2027 · 6.05 FIP 23 SU 6.05 15.1%17.0%3.8%.333 3.95 18.3%9.1%85 -2.10 2.89 109 85
Salvador Justo R 2026 · 5.20 FIP 22 SU 5.20 12.8%17.3%1.8%.328 4.81 15.7%4.6%107 -0.39 4.05 218 85
Brett Hanewich R 2026 · 5.18 FIP 22 SU 5.18 15.9%17.6%2.2%.372 4.32 20.3%2.8%108 -0.86 4.25 134 84
Jeff Soptic R 2028 · 5.27 FIP 24 SU 5.27 15.5%17.2%2.4%.237 5.45 13.6%-1.7%68 +0.18 5.27 124 84
Bryce McGowan R 2026 · 5.98 FIP 22 SU 5.98 17.0%22.9%2.6%.368 4.35 20.6%6.6%145 -1.63 3.59 178 84
Fabian Anguamea R 2026 · 4.91 FIP 22 SU 4.91 16.6%15.2%2.3%.295 4.45 15.8%1.8%96 -0.46 3.94 164 84
Carlton Perkins R 2026 · 5.94 FIP 22 SU 5.94 14.1%19.5%2.9%.254 4.79 21.3%3.3%12 -1.15 4.34 111 84
Jonathan Guzman R 2026 · 5.09 FIP 22 SU 5.09 15.9%17.7%2.0%.337 4.31 104 83
Dylan Rheault R 2027 · 5.57 FIP 23 SU 5.57 6.5%14.9%2.1%.288 4.14 14.1%4.8%96 -1.43 3.96 198 83
Brett Lockwood R 2028 · 5.51 FIP 24 SU 5.51 16.2%15.5%3.3%.312 4.61 11.0%-6.3%79 -0.90 4.29 132 83
Jackson Rose R 2026 · 5.32 FIP 22 SU 5.32 17.3%17.2%2.8%.267 4.58 23.5%16.5%56 -0.74 3.55 147 83
Danny Dopico R 2026 · 5.51 FIP 22 SU 5.51 18.3%22.6%2.0%.309 3.28 23.9%11.2%189 -2.23 3.00 318 82
Justin Militello R 2026 · 6.03 FIP 22 SU 6.03 13.5%18.7%3.1%.312 5.11 100 82
Tommy McCollum R 2026 · 6.22 FIP 22 SU 6.22 17.1%27.2%2.0%.235 3.75 26.4%10.9%112 -2.47 2.90 200 82
Leonardo Rodriguez R 2027 · 5.60 FIP 23 SU 5.60 12.6%16.3%2.7%.367 3.00 142 82
Yunior Thibo R 2027 · 6.41 FIP 23 SU 6.41 11.5%15.8%4.1%.312 4.77 15.6%-1.0%95 -1.64 4.38 110 82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION44716.3%14.9%1.105.64
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)510419.2%13.3%0.944.48
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
Steven Brault ('21)65718.8%11.3%1.004.77
Miguel Castro ('23)75920.8%12.0%1.043.99
John Gant ('21)48520.1%12.5%0.793.91