Jose Garces — OGILVIE

Jose Garces P Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 149 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 156148vR 140

ERA6.49

FIP6.49

K%13.6%

BB%20.5%

K-BB%-6.9%

ROS IP45

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL3030

CMD3030

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Gold	12	9	30	138	32	15	0	75%	2.5	15.8%	13.6%	2.2%	0.0%	5.16	3.49	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL PIT Gold	12	9	30	138	32	15	0	75%	2.5	23.2%	10.9%	12.3%	0.0%	5.16	2.46	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	10	0	18	98	19	21	2	0%	1.8	13.2%	26.8%	-13.6%	2.9%	8.00	6.98	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	10	0	18	98	19	21	2	0%	1.8	19.4%	21.4%	-2.0%	2.0%	8.00	5.93	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	10	3	24	124	17	21	0	30%	2.4	9.3%	21.2%	-11.8%	0.0%	8.62	4.99	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	10	3	24	124	17	21	0	30%	2.4	9.3%	21.2%	-11.8%	0.0%	8.62	4.99	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	10	3	24	124	17	21	0	30%	2.4	13.7%	16.9%	-3.2%	0.0%	8.62	4.31	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	12	5	24	117	19	32	1	42%	2.0	11.0%	34.2%	-23.1%	1.3%	5.32	7.21	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	12	5	24	117	19	32	1	42%	2.0	11.0%	34.2%	-23.1%	1.3%	5.32	7.21	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	12	5	24	117	19	32	1	42%	2.0	16.2%	27.4%	-11.1%	0.9%	5.32	6.10	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	50	218	42	27	3	0%	1.2	14.6%	14.4%	0.2%	2.0%	3.40	4.77	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	50	218	42	27	3	0%	1.2	14.6%	14.4%	0.2%	2.0%	3.40	4.77	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	50	218	42	27	3	0%	1.2	19.3%	12.4%	6.9%	1.4%	3.40	3.82	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	38	0	46	230	50	36	15	0%	1.2	16.7%	18.0%	-1.3%	8.2%	9.20	8.44	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	38	0	46	230	50	36	15	0%	1.2	16.7%	18.0%	-1.3%	8.2%	9.20	8.44	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A+ RAW	PIT	38	0	46	230	50	36	15	0%	1.2	21.7%	15.7%	6.1%	6.5%	9.20	6.83	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	PIT	45	0	47	198	32	35	6	0%	1.0	15.9%	17.6%	-1.7%	2.8%	6.06	5.91	-0.7
2028	24	MLB MLE	PIT	46	0	48	204	35	32	6	0%	1.0	17.3%	15.8%	1.5%	2.8%	5.71	5.56	-0.5
2027	23	MLB CTX	PIT	22	0	23	97	15	17	3	0%	1.0	15.9%	17.6%	-1.7%	2.8%	6.06	5.91	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	PIT	32	0	34	144	25	23	4	0%	1.1	17.3%	15.8%	1.5%	2.8%	5.71	5.56	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		54	0	57	240	40	40	7	0%	1.1	16.7%	16.5%	0.2%	2.8%	5.85	5.32	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	141	141	25	0%	1.1	16.7%	16.5%	0.2%	2.8%	5.85	5.32	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		123	17	192	925	129	184	27	14%	1.6	14.0%	19.9%	-5.9%	3.0%	6.39	6.07	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		128	18	200	965	135	192	29	14%	1.6	14.0%	19.9%	-5.9%	3.0%	6.39	6.07	-2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Garces (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.49	13.6%	20.5%	2.8%	—	5.73	16.6%	-0.1%	95	-0.76	—	—	—
Salvador Justo R 2017 · 5.57 FIP	22	SU	5.57	12.8%	17.3%	2.5%	.328	5.22	15.7%	4.6%	107	-0.35	4.32	218	88
Cory Thompson R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	22	SU	5.42	15.2%	15.7%	2.9%	.289	4.34	16.3%	10.6%	131	-1.08	3.59	218	87
Cole Ayers R 2022 · 5.58 FIP	22	SU	5.58	13.0%	15.4%	2.9%	.305	4.01	21.2%	10.1%	152	-1.57	3.58	171	87
Bryce McGowan R 2022 · 5.90 FIP	22	SU	5.90	17.0%	22.9%	2.4%	.368	4.36	20.6%	6.6%	145	-1.54	3.71	178	85
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	84
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	83
Roman Phansalkar R 2022 · 6.38 FIP	24	SU	6.38	13.5%	18.4%	3.8%	.245	4.77	17.4%	4.0%	147	-1.61	4.33	164	83
Danny Dopico R 2016 · 5.58 FIP	22	SU	5.58	18.3%	22.6%	2.1%	.309	3.19	23.9%	11.2%	189	-2.39	3.00	318	83
Jesus Rios R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SU	5.41	10.4%	14.8%	2.4%	.321	5.03	13.7%	2.3%	151	-0.38	3.86	175	83
Dylan Rheault R 2015 · 5.75 FIP	23	SU	5.75	6.5%	14.9%	2.4%	.288	4.11	14.1%	4.8%	96	-1.64	3.88	198	83
Tommy McCollum R 2021 · 6.21 FIP	22	SU	6.21	17.1%	27.2%	2.0%	.235	3.80	26.4%	10.9%	112	-2.41	2.90	219	83
Tyler Ferguson R 2016 · 7.21 FIP	22	SU	7.21	11.2%	32.2%	1.8%	.297	5.40	17.3%	3.4%	64	-1.81	2.57	421	82
Jake Gozzo R 2021 · 7.10 FIP	24	SU	7.10	14.3%	30.2%	2.5%	.200	5.35	15.8%	-0.7%	129	-1.75	4.32	162	82
Alexis Liebano R 2023 · 6.15 FIP	20	SU	6.15	11.8%	24.2%	1.8%	.312	6.00	17.7%	3.8%	112	-0.15	4.80	142	82
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	82
Yunior Thibo R 2021 · 6.35 FIP	23	SU	6.35	11.5%	15.8%	4.0%	.312	4.82	15.6%	-1.0%	95	-1.53	4.42	110	82
Alec Kenilvort R 2016 · 6.44 FIP	23	SU	6.44	15.1%	17.0%	4.5%	.333	3.97	18.3%	9.1%	85	-2.47	2.97	109	82
Jack Hartman R 2022 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	15.1%	20.3%	2.5%	.357	3.99	19.5%	8.6%	143	-1.79	3.46	161	82
Leonardo Rodriguez R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	12.6%	16.3%	2.8%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	142	82
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	47	15.7%	17.9%	1.09	6.08
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91