Bernard Jose — OGILVIE

Bernard Jose P San Antonio Missions

Age 23 RHP 5'11" / 160 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION68 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141133vR 124

ERA5.66

FIP5.66

K%17.1%

BB%16.0%

K-BB%1.1%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 73 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	16	2	42	181	41	26	1	12%	2.6	15.4%	18.0%	-2.6%	0.7%	4.93	4.47	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	16	2	42	181	41	26	1	12%	2.6	15.4%	18.0%	-2.6%	0.7%	4.93	4.47	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	16	2	42	181	41	26	1	12%	2.6	22.7%	14.4%	8.3%	0.6%	4.93	3.31	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	47	221	46	34	5	0%	1.6	14.4%	19.0%	-4.6%	3.4%	4.82	6.14	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	47	221	46	34	5	0%	1.6	14.4%	19.0%	-4.6%	3.4%	4.82	6.14	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	47	221	46	34	5	0%	1.6	20.8%	15.4%	5.4%	2.3%	4.82	4.71	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	40	0	66	292	75	32	5	0%	1.6	19.0%	12.9%	6.1%	2.4%	3.95	4.44	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	40	0	66	292	75	32	5	0%	1.6	19.0%	12.9%	6.1%	2.4%	3.95	4.44	—
2025	22	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	40	0	66	292	75	32	5	0%	1.6	25.7%	11.0%	14.7%	1.7%	3.95	3.27	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	42	0	68	308	74	31	11	0%	1.6	18.0%	11.4%	6.6%	4.4%	5.72	5.44	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	42	0	68	308	74	31	11	0%	1.6	18.0%	11.4%	6.6%	4.4%	5.72	5.44	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	ROK RAW	SD	12	0	16	67	27	2	0	0%	1.3	40.3%	3.0%	37.3%	0.0%	1.12	0.08	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	SD	13	0	22	109	21	15	7	0%	1.7	19.3%	13.8%	5.5%	6.4%	9.27	6.74	—
2026	23	AA RAW	SD	17	0	29	132	26	14	4	0%	1.7	19.7%	10.6%	9.1%	3.0%	5.52	4.44	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	SD	5	0	6	24	4	4	1	0%	1.1	17.1%	16.0%	1.1%	2.9%	5.66	5.66	-0.1
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	SD	—	—	73	332	78	35	12	—	—	23.5%	10.5%	13.0%	3.5%	5.71	5.45	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	SD	65	0	68	287	53	41	8	0%	1.0	18.3%	14.1%	4.2%	2.9%	5.39	5.31	-0.6
2028	25	MLB MLE	SD	66	0	69	290	55	38	8	0%	1.0	19.1%	13.0%	6.1%	2.9%	5.18	5.09	-0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	SD	66	0	69	290	57	37	8	0%	1.0	19.5%	12.7%	6.8%	2.9%	5.08	5.03	-0.4
2030	27	MLB MLE	SD	65	0	68	286	56	36	8	0%	1.0	19.6%	12.7%	6.9%	2.9%	5.06	5.05	-0.4
2031	28	MLB MLE	SD	63	0	66	278	54	36	8	0%	1.0	19.5%	12.9%	6.6%	3.0%	5.11	5.14	-0.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	SD	60	0	63	265	51	35	8	0%	1.0	19.2%	13.1%	6.1%	3.2%	5.20	5.27	-0.5
2027	24	MLB CTX	SD	29	0	30	127	23	18	4	0%	1.0	18.3%	14.1%	4.2%	2.9%	5.39	5.31	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	SD	44	0	46	194	37	25	6	0%	1.0	19.1%	13.0%	6.1%	2.9%	5.18	5.09	-0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	SD	52	0	55	232	45	30	7	0%	1.1	19.5%	12.7%	6.8%	2.9%	5.08	5.03	-0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	SD	55	0	58	245	48	31	7	0%	1.1	19.6%	12.7%	6.9%	2.9%	5.06	5.05	-0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	SD	56	0	59	249	48	32	8	0%	1.1	19.5%	12.9%	6.6%	3.0%	5.11	5.14	-0.4
2032	29	MLB CTX	SD	54	0	57	241	46	31	8	0%	1.1	19.2%	13.1%	6.1%	3.2%	5.20	5.27	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		290	0	304	1285	248	167	38	0%	1.0	19.3%	13.0%	6.3%	3.0%	5.15	4.76	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	110	25	0%	1.0	19.3%	13.0%	6.3%	3.0%	5.15	4.76	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		128	2	222	1002	171	147	29	2%	1.7	17.1%	14.7%	2.3%	2.9%	4.86	5.12	-2.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		115	2	200	901	154	133	26	2%	1.7	17.1%	14.7%	2.3%	2.9%	4.86	5.12	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Bernard Jose (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.66	17.1%	16.0%	2.9%	—	5.14	19.0%	5.7%	206	-0.52	—	—	—
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	93
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	91
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	90
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	90
Stefan Raeth R 2023 · 4.62 FIP	22	SU	4.62	18.0%	15.4%	2.0%	.309	4.73	17.5%	8.3%	124	+0.11	4.51	173	88
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	88
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	88
David Trexler R 2015 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	17.7%	13.4%	2.4%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.18	4.44	100	88
Sal Biasi R 2019 · 5.22 FIP	23	SU	5.22	20.1%	15.8%	3.3%	.295	7.66	15.3%	-0.2%	23	+2.44	4.68	188	87
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	87
Cole Percival R 2022 · 5.21 FIP	23	SU	5.21	15.4%	14.5%	2.9%	.297	4.27	17.9%	5.9%	182	-0.94	3.58	327	87
Jacinto Arredondo R 2021 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	14.4%	12.7%	2.6%	.310	4.89	15.7%	5.0%	50	-0.04	4.89	101	86
Kris Hall R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	18.3%	17.8%	1.5%	.281	7.01	12.7%	-7.8%	34	+2.38	4.63	106	86
Matt Brill R 2018 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	20.8%	16.3%	2.7%	.248	3.89	19.4%	4.9%	60	-1.01	3.73	161	86
Will McAffer R 2019 · 4.68 FIP	22	SU	4.68	20.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.270	5.96	18.5%	-4.0%	77	+1.28	4.68	133	86
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	86
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	85
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	85
Jhondaniel Medina R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	23	SU	4.54	19.3%	13.9%	2.4%	.261	5.25	19.3%	4.4%	35	+0.71	4.39	167	85
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	85

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	66	18.9%	13.5%	1.15	5.23
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41