Bernard Jose
P
Fort Wayne TinCaps
Age 23
RHP
5'11" / 160 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION41 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142133vR 124
ERA5.48
FIP5.48
K%17.1%
BB%14.4%
K-BB%2.7%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 103 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Padres Gold | 16 | 2 | 42 | 181 | 41 | 26 | 1 | 12% | 2.6 | 15.4% | 18.0% | -2.6% | 0.7% | 4.93 | 4.44 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Padres Gold | 16 | 2 | 42 | 181 | 41 | 26 | 1 | 12% | 2.6 | 22.7% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 0.6% | 4.93 | 3.31 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 47 | 221 | 46 | 34 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 14.4% | 19.0% | -4.6% | 3.7% | 4.82 | 6.33 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 47 | 221 | 46 | 34 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 20.8% | 15.4% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 4.82 | 4.71 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 40 | 0 | 66 | 292 | 75 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.0% | 12.9% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 3.95 | 4.53 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 40 | 0 | 66 | 292 | 75 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 25.7% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 1.7% | 3.95 | 3.27 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 25 | 0 | 41 | 190 | 53 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.6 | 21.8% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 6.15 | 5.85 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | SD | 59 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 14.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.48 | 5.48 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | SD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.1% | 14.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.48 | 5.48 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | SD | — | — | 103 | 450 | 98 | 59 | 15 | — | — | 21.7% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 5.75 | 5.63 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | SD | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 49 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.3% | 13.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 5.25 | 5.18 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | SD | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 52 | 33 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 5.07 | 4.99 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | SD | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 53 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 4.98 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | SD | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 21 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 13.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 5.25 | 5.18 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | SD | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 34 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 5.07 | 4.99 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | SD | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 42 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 4.98 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 114 | 0 | 120 | 506 | 97 | 62 | 15 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 5.07 | 4.63 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 162 | 103 | 25 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 5.07 | 4.63 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 111 | 2 | 196 | 884 | 157 | 137 | 27 | 2% | 1.8 | 17.7% | 15.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.83 | 5.25 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 113 | 2 | 200 | 904 | 160 | 140 | 28 | 2% | 1.8 | 17.7% | 15.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.83 | 5.25 | +0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bernard Jose (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.48 | 17.1% | 14.4% | 2.9% | — | 5.04 | 19.0% | 6.7% | 191 | -0.44 | — | — | — |
| Cole Hillier R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.69 | 16.9% | 14.7% | 2.1% | .297 | 4.61 | 18.4% | 4.4% | 95 | -0.08 | 3.72 | 153 | 93 |
| David Trexler R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.91 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 2.9% | .313 | 4.44 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 31 | -0.47 | 4.44 | 100 | 92 |
| Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.55 | 18.3% | 14.4% | 2.1% | .265 | 4.56 | 22.7% | 9.8% | 58 | +0.01 | 4.55 | 155 | 92 |
| Brett Lockwood R 2027 · 5.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.51 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.61 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.90 | 4.29 | 132 | 92 |
| Alaska Abney R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.83 | 18.8% | 13.8% | 2.9% | .301 | 3.88 | 17.4% | 7.9% | 104 | -0.95 | 3.31 | 207 | 91 |
| Jacinto Arredondo R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.22 | 14.4% | 12.7% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.89 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 50 | -0.33 | 4.89 | 101 | 90 |
| Kyle Roche R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.64 | 15.5% | 13.3% | 2.1% | .349 | 4.98 | 16.5% | 5.8% | 47 | +0.34 | 4.64 | 110 | 89 |
| Tayler Scott R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.49 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 2.2% | .309 | 3.99 | 17.9% | 6.2% | 162 | -0.50 | 3.20 | 528 | 89 |
| Josh Harlow R 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.52 | 18.5% | 13.5% | 4.1% | .266 | 5.71 | 17.1% | -4.2% | 51 | +0.19 | 5.52 | 107 | 88 |
| Cody Scroggins R 2027 · 5.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.62 | 17.4% | 15.1% | 3.8% | .263 | 4.25 | 18.6% | 4.4% | 59 | -1.37 | 3.67 | 108 | 88 |
| Everhett Hazelwood R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.32 | 13.8% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .306 | 6.84 | 18.7% | 2.9% | 63 | +1.52 | 5.32 | 117 | 88 |
| Joe Vogatsky R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.42 | 19.0% | 13.3% | 4.1% | .319 | 4.82 | 21.0% | 12.2% | 51 | -0.60 | 4.82 | 120 | 88 |
| Junior Rincon R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.93 | 17.8% | 13.8% | 2.9% | .318 | 3.77 | 17.6% | 5.1% | 82 | -1.16 | 3.50 | 113 | 88 |
| Jhondaniel Medina R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.54 | 19.3% | 13.9% | 2.4% | .261 | 5.50 | 19.3% | 4.4% | 35 | +0.96 | 4.45 | 167 | 88 |
| Kieran Lovegrove R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.13 | 17.9% | 12.6% | 3.5% | .273 | 4.66 | 19.3% | 4.5% | 76 | -0.47 | 3.77 | 215 | 88 |
| Jhonny Polanco R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.92 | 21.3% | 5.7% | 48 | -0.84 | 3.92 | 116 | 87 |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.20 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.9% | .297 | 4.19 | 17.9% | 5.9% | 182 | -1.01 | 3.59 | 327 | 87 |
| Mark McLaughlin R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.18 | 15.8% | 13.3% | 3.1% | .247 | 4.30 | 19.3% | 10.6% | 82 | -0.88 | 4.28 | 195 | 87 |
| Mark Ecker R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.89 | 16.6% | 13.3% | 2.8% | .230 | 3.92 | 16.7% | 5.1% | 59 | -0.97 | 3.03 | 180 | 87 |
| Jared Southard R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.00 | 15.8% | 13.2% | 2.9% | .252 | 4.00 | 19.9% | 11.3% | 116 | -1.00 | 3.91 | 227 | 87 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 63 | 18.5% | 12.8% | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |