Edgar Navarro P Charlotte Knights
Age 28 RHP 6'1" / 260 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 25 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120110vR 101
ERA4.43
FIP4.43
K%22.5%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%12.3%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP
K: -0.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.3 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +1.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.04 (25 IP)+0.0WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555
SL-1.0
FB-1.3

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201820ROKDSL White Sox243582896030012%2.414.1%13.0%1.1%0.0%6.363.55
201820ROKDSL White Sox243582896030012%2.420.8%10.4%10.4%0.0%6.362.58
201921ROKDSL White Sox23256246681829%2.418.8%9.1%9.7%1.1%4.203.30
201921ROKDSL White Sox23256246681829%2.427.6%7.3%20.3%0.8%4.202.09
202123A+Winston-Salem Dash35044214373360%1.213.3%17.7%-4.4%3.8%8.456.33
202123A+Winston-Salem Dash35044214373360%1.217.3%15.4%1.9%2.8%8.455.46
202224MIX3 levels45054250694030%1.221.5%19.0%2.6%1.6%3.644.56
202224MIX3 levels45054250694030%1.227.6%16.0%11.6%1.2%3.643.49
202325MIX3 levels54061269533830%1.116.9%16.4%0.4%0.4%4.113.99+0.4
202325MIX3 levels54061269533830%1.119.7%14.1%5.6%1.1%4.113.87+0.5
▸ 2026 Season
202628MLBCWS24026109241130%1.122.5%10.2%12.3%2.8%4.434.43+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202729MLBCWS23024103231130%1.122.4%10.3%12.0%3.0%4.504.550.0
202729MLBCWS909389410%1.022.4%10.3%12.0%3.0%4.504.550.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career170187718630%1.022.7%7.7%15.0%4.1%5.864.40+0.0
/ 200 IP188020087220468340%1.122.7%7.7%15.0%4.1%5.864.40+2.3
Career18152731268215190163%1.516.9%15.0%2.0%1.3%5.214.26+3.6
/ 200 IP1334200929157139123%1.516.9%15.0%2.0%1.3%5.214.26+2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Edgar Navarro (OGILVIE) 4.43 22.5%10.2%2.8% 4.55 22.4%12.0%24 +0.12
Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP 28 SU 3.87 24.9%8.8%3.2%.276 2.42 21.7%12.6%34 -1.45 2.42 125 86
Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP 29 SU 4.07 21.3%8.5%3.1%.241 4.06 18.5%11.9%118 -0.01 3.28 149 84
Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP 28 SU 3.49 21.6%8.4%2.1%.355 3.55 20.5%15.1%56 +0.06 2.51 137 84
Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.36 FIP 28 SU 3.36 21.6%8.5%1.8%.276 4.03 20.3%11.3%85 +0.67 3.27 150 82
Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.46 FIP 28 SU 3.46 22.6%9.0%2.1%.327 4.77 20.9%11.8%74 +1.31 2.32 676 82
Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP 28 SU 4.96 20.1%11.6%3.8%.275 7.33 13.9%-1.9%30 +2.37 3.78 180 82
Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.34 FIP 28 SU 3.34 23.5%10.7%1.6%.346 3.31 166 81
Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP 28 SU 4.81 19.8%13.5%3.0%.265 3.88 18.2%10.2%272 -0.93 3.53 365 81
Rob Scahill R 2026 · 3.83 FIP 28 SU 3.83 16.9%7.7%2.1%.288 3.34 17.9%10.1%171 -0.49 2.93 201 81
Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP 30 SU 4.87 18.6%12.2%3.3%.292 1.30 28.6%24.5%126 -3.57 1.30 218 81
Cody Satterwhite R 2026 · 3.62 FIP 28 SU 3.62 20.2%9.8%1.8%.333 4.06 17.7%10.2%75 +0.44 3.62 147 81
Al Alburquerque R 2027 · 3.58 FIP 29 SU 3.58 21.4%11.1%1.6%.330 3.18 21.3%12.5%114 -0.40 2.76 228 81
Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.04 FIP 27 SU 4.04 20.4%12.1%2.1%.315 3.28 113 81
Dustin Molleken R 2028 · 3.61 FIP 30 SU 3.61 20.4%11.7%1.4%.287 4.00 20.6%8.4%77 +0.39 3.35 129 80
Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 3.72 FIP 28 SU 3.72 19.6%7.3%2.5%.307 3.62 125 80
Blake Treinen R 2026 · 3.32 FIP 28 SU 3.32 24.0%9.5%1.9%.271 2.99 26.0%17.7%215 -0.33 1.51 544 80
Grant Sides R 2025 · 3.89 FIP 27 SU 3.89 22.4%11.9%2.1%.247 3.24 21.7%11.9%47 -0.65 3.24 159 80
Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 3.46 FIP 28 SU 3.46 19.6%7.2%2.0%.359 5.26 12.8%2.8%47 +1.80 3.46 108 80
David Hernandez R 2028 · 4.32 FIP 30 SU 4.32 22.9%7.6%4.0%.287 3.20 24.9%18.4%192 -1.12 2.56 268 80
J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.69 FIP 28 SU 4.69 22.6%8.6%4.4%.350 5.85 20.3%10.0%137 +1.16 4.26 258 79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION22522.5%10.3%1.134.46
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Randall Delgado ('17)37022.2%9.2%0.903.78
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Santiago Casilla ('18)45223.5%9.6%0.963.49