Edgar Navarro — OGILVIE

Edgar Navarro P Charlotte Knights

Age 28 RHP 6'1" / 260 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

K%19.8%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%8.6%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

SL-1.0

FB-1.3

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	20	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	24	3	58	289	60	30	0	12%	2.4	14.1%	13.0%	1.1%	0.0%	6.36	3.55	—
2018	20	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	24	3	58	289	60	30	0	12%	2.4	20.8%	10.4%	10.4%	0.0%	6.36	2.58	—
2019	21	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	23	2	56	246	68	18	2	9%	2.4	18.8%	9.1%	9.7%	1.1%	4.20	3.30	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	23	2	56	246	68	18	2	9%	2.4	27.6%	7.3%	20.3%	0.8%	4.20	2.09	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	35	0	44	214	37	33	6	0%	1.2	13.3%	17.7%	-4.4%	3.7%	8.45	6.23	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	35	0	44	214	37	33	6	0%	1.2	17.3%	15.4%	1.9%	2.8%	8.45	5.46	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	45	0	54	250	69	40	3	0%	1.2	21.5%	19.0%	2.6%	1.7%	3.64	4.60	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	45	0	54	250	69	40	3	0%	1.2	27.6%	16.0%	11.6%	1.2%	3.64	3.49	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	54	0	61	269	53	38	3	0%	1.1	15.9%	14.1%	1.8%	0.5%	4.11	3.80	+0.5
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	54	0	61	269	53	38	3	0%	1.1	15.9%	14.1%	1.8%	0.5%	4.11	3.80	+0.5
2023	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	54	0	61	269	53	38	3	0%	1.1	19.7%	14.1%	5.6%	1.1%	4.11	3.87	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			8	0	9	39	9	2	2	0%	1.1	23.1%	5.1%	17.9%	5.1%	7.27	4.72	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	CWS	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	19.8%	11.2%	8.6%	2.8%	4.79	4.79	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CWS	23	0	24	103	21	12	3	0%	1.1	19.9%	11.2%	8.7%	3.0%	4.82	4.87	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	CWS	9	0	9	38	8	4	1	0%	1.0	19.9%	11.2%	8.7%	3.0%	4.82	4.87	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	77	17	6	3	0%	1.0	21.5%	8.1%	13.4%	4.1%	6.02	4.55	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		188	0	200	872	192	68	34	0%	1.1	21.5%	8.1%	13.4%	4.1%	6.02	4.55	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		181	5	273	1268	212	183	16	3%	1.5	16.7%	14.5%	2.3%	1.3%	5.21	4.22	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		133	4	200	929	155	134	12	3%	1.5	16.7%	14.5%	2.3%	1.3%	5.21	4.22	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Edgar Navarro (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	19.8%	11.2%	2.8%	—	4.87	19.9%	8.7%	24	+0.08	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	88
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	87
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	86
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	85
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	84
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	84
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	84
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	84
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	84
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	82
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	82
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	82
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	81
Jhan Mariñez R 2017 · 3.97 FIP	28	SU	3.97	17.2%	8.8%	2.2%	.309	4.09	21.2%	13.3%	48	+0.12	3.16	253	81
Matt Carasiti R 2019 · 4.01 FIP	28	SU	4.01	18.6%	10.0%	2.2%	.276	4.88	22.4%	10.9%	22	+0.87	2.80	312	80
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	80
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	80
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	80
Guido Knudson R 2016 · 4.69 FIP	26	SU	4.69	17.5%	10.8%	3.1%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	106	80
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	25	19.9%	11.2%	1.13	4.80
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19