Chay Yeager — OGILVIE

Chay Yeager P Vancouver Canadians

Age 24 RHP 5'10" / 180 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 90 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.80

FIP4.80

K%22.5%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%10.3%

ROS IP90

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5560

CMD3040

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	0	8	34	8	2	0	0%	1.4	23.5%	5.9%	17.6%	0.0%	2.16	1.86	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	0	8	34	8	2	0	0%	1.4	23.5%	5.9%	17.6%	0.0%	2.16	1.90	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	42	0	54	241	41	33	6	0%	1.3	13.1%	15.7%	-2.6%	2.9%	5.50	5.60	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	42	0	54	241	41	33	6	0%	1.3	13.1%	15.7%	-2.6%	2.9%	5.50	5.60	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	42	0	54	241	41	33	6	0%	1.3	17.0%	13.7%	3.3%	2.5%	5.50	4.86	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	1	56	220	64	20	5	2%	1.3	22.8%	10.3%	12.5%	3.1%	2.75	4.20	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	1	56	220	64	20	5	2%	1.3	22.8%	10.3%	12.5%	3.1%	2.75	4.20	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	1	56	220	64	20	5	2%	1.3	29.1%	9.1%	20.0%	2.3%	2.75	3.05	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	TOR	86	0	90	380	85	46	12	0%	1.0	22.5%	12.2%	10.3%	3.1%	4.80	4.80	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TOR	87	0	91	385	90	43	12	0%	1.0	23.4%	11.3%	12.2%	3.0%	4.66	4.60	-0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	TOR	87	0	91	385	92	42	12	0%	1.0	23.9%	11.0%	13.0%	3.0%	4.56	4.52	+0.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	TOR	85	0	90	379	90	41	12	0%	1.1	23.8%	10.9%	13.0%	3.1%	4.54	4.54	+0.0
2031	28	MLB MLE	TOR	83	0	87	367	87	40	12	0%	1.0	23.7%	11.0%	12.7%	3.2%	4.58	4.62	-0.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	TOR	79	0	83	351	82	39	12	0%	1.1	23.4%	11.2%	12.2%	3.3%	4.68	4.75	-0.2
2033	30	MLB MLE	TOR	74	0	78	330	83	35	12	0%	1.1	25.1%	10.7%	14.4%	3.5%	4.67	4.66	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	TOR	37	0	39	165	39	19	5	0%	1.1	23.4%	11.3%	12.2%	3.0%	4.66	4.60	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	TOR	58	0	61	258	62	28	8	0%	1.1	23.9%	11.0%	13.0%	3.0%	4.56	4.52	+0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	TOR	66	0	69	291	69	32	9	0%	1.0	23.8%	10.9%	13.0%	3.1%	4.54	4.54	+0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	TOR	70	0	73	308	73	34	10	0%	1.0	23.7%	11.0%	12.7%	3.2%	4.58	4.62	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	TOR	70	0	73	308	72	34	10	0%	1.0	23.4%	11.2%	12.2%	3.3%	4.68	4.75	-0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	TOR	67	0	70	296	74	32	10	0%	1.0	25.1%	10.7%	14.4%	3.5%	4.67	4.66	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		367	0	385	1626	389	179	52	0%	1.0	23.9%	11.0%	13.0%	3.2%	4.61	4.24	+1.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	202	93	27	0%	1.1	23.9%	11.0%	13.0%	3.2%	4.61	4.24	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		90	1	118	495	90	63	14	1%	1.3	18.1%	12.6%	5.5%	2.8%	3.97	4.72	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		153	2	200	839	152	106	24	1%	1.3	18.1%	12.6%	5.5%	2.8%	3.97	4.72	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chay Yeager (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.80	22.5%	12.2%	3.1%	—	4.55	23.7%	12.7%	272	-0.25	—	—	—
Todd Van Steensel R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	22.5%	11.6%	2.0%	.294	3.31	19.3%	6.5%	157	-0.48	2.87	223	89
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	89
Aaron Crow R 2011 · 4.20 FIP	24	SU	4.20	24.4%	10.9%	3.2%	.287	4.16	20.1%	11.4%	172	-0.04	2.88	234	88
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	87
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.47	22.1%	12.1%	189	-0.47	3.35	250	86
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	86
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	86
Johnny Barbato R 2016 · 3.73 FIP	24	SU	3.73	22.4%	11.2%	2.0%	.282	4.66	21.1%	11.6%	105	+0.93	2.59	304	86
Alex Palsha R 2016 · 3.84 FIP	24	SU	3.84	20.6%	10.4%	2.1%	.288	3.83	15.3%	4.4%	77	-0.01	3.40	134	86
Aaron Kurcz R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	22.4%	13.6%	1.9%	.331	4.05	16.1%	8.0%	105	+0.07	3.31	213	85
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	85
Daniel Webb R 2014 · 4.12 FIP	24	SU	4.12	19.6%	12.5%	2.0%	.272	4.56	15.7%	2.3%	58	+0.44	4.12	126	85
Zach Jackson R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	24	SU	5.01	20.8%	12.4%	3.8%	.261	2.42	33.6%	19.6%	76	-2.59	2.33	309	85
Andrew Cashner R 2010 · 4.51 FIP	23	SU	4.51	20.2%	10.1%	3.4%	.285	3.30	19.9%	13.0%	221	-1.21	2.94	1,185	84
James McDonald R 2009 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	19.3%	10.4%	2.1%	.283	4.16	20.4%	11.3%	414	+0.20	2.99	506	84
Tommy Kahnle R 2014 · 3.72 FIP	24	SU	3.72	22.1%	10.2%	2.2%	.237	2.86	29.0%	18.0%	177	-0.86	1.53	527	84
Luis Ramirez R 2016 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	24.0%	12.6%	1.9%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.71	104	84
Tanner Jacobson R 2024 · 5.22 FIP	24	SU	5.22	20.9%	12.9%	4.1%	.261	4.47	21.4%	2.1%	51	-0.75	4.09	168	84
Stephen Jones R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	24	SU	3.62	23.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.304	4.50	21.7%	10.0%	142	+0.88	3.62	311	84
Mason Vinyard R 2023 · 3.73 FIP	24	SU	3.73	22.7%	13.6%	1.5%	.270	4.67	19.3%	6.0%	147	+0.94	3.60	207	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,251 pitcher careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.1	87	23.7%	11.2%	1.23	4.64
Brad Peacock ('21)	2.8	93	24.7%	10.1%	1.27	4.11
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Zack Godley ('21)	2.8	95	22.1%	9.6%	1.16	4.92
Jonathan Sánchez ('13)	3.9	112	22.8%	12.5%	1.04	4.70
Héctor Santiago ('21)	4.7	105	20.7%	10.6%	1.38	4.12
Jeff Juden ('99)	2.7	107	18.8%	10.5%	1.23	4.81