Zach Jackson
P
Las Vegas Aviators
+0.0
WAR
Age 31
RHP
6'4" / 230 lbs
AAA
ERA3.93
FIP4.88
xFIP4.48
SIERA4.01
K%23.4%
BB%14.1%
K-BB%9.3%
IP24
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF6565
CTRL2020
CMD5555
K†6060
FB Velo
p3093.1
Whiff%
p6527.7%
K%
p8528.7%
xwOBA vs
p710.292
FB+2.1
SL-1.8
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | GCL Blue Jays | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | 42 | 0 | 51 | 211 | 68 | 26 | 2 | 24.5% | 14.3% | 1.3% | 2.47 | 3.58 | +0.8 |
| 2018 | 23 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 43 | 0 | 62 | 263 | 75 | 48 | 2 | 23.1% | 20.1% | 1.0% | 2.47 | 4.23 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 46 | 0 | 68 | 288 | 68 | 34 | 10 | 20.8% | 12.4% | 3.8% | 3.97 | 5.01 | +0.0 |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 25 | 0 | 28 | 114 | 47 | 13 | 1 | 34.2% | 12.3% | 1.0% | 2.57 | 2.34 | +0.8 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 54 | 0 | 48 | 202 | 67 | 30 | 1 | 33.2% | 14.9% | 0.5% | 3.00 | 2.47 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 21 | 0 | 20 | 88 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 28.7% | 12.5% | 1.3% | 3.15 | 2.95 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 40 | 0 | 39 | 196 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 22.3% | 25.9% | 2.6% | 7.55 | 5.93 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 24 | — | 24 | 101 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 25.7% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 3.84 | 4.87 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 23 | — | 23 | 97 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 24.8% | 14.5% | 3.1% | 4.47 | 4.93 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 272 | 0 | 317 | 1365 | 347 | 224 | 25 | 25.4% | 16.4% | 1.8% | 3.55 | 4.03 | +4.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 171 | 0 | 200 | 860 | 219 | 141 | 16 | 25.4% | 16.4% | 1.8% | 3.55 | 4.03 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zach Jackson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.87 | 25.7% | 15.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.93 | 24.8% | 10.3% | 23 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 82 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 78 |
| Cody Hall R 2025 · 3.92 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.92 | 25.9% | 17.5% | 1.4% | .244 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 134 | 77 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 77 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.43 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.39 | 132 | 76 |
| Adam Ottavino R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.43 | 25.9% | 15.2% | 2.9% | .296 | 2.61 | 33.3% | 22.0% | 162 | -1.82 | 2.15 | 488 | 75 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.83 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .283 | 4.53 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.30 | 2.93 | 176 | 75 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2028 · 4.47 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.47 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.9% | .263 | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.49 | 3.98 | 104 | 74 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.48 | 22.1% | 13.9% | 2.7% | .293 | 3.45 | 27.6% | 18.2% | 147 | -1.03 | 3.02 | 363 | 74 |
| Dan Winkler R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.66 | 21.1% | 15.3% | 2.6% | .233 | 3.85 | 24.4% | 10.4% | 46 | -0.81 | 2.47 | 231 | 73 |
| Leonel Campos R 2025 · 3.71 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.71 | 25.7% | 11.8% | 2.3% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63 | 168 | 73 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.01 | 19.6% | 12.1% | 1.9% | .276 | 3.38 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 16 | -0.63 | 3.38 | 129 | 73 |
| Blake Treinen R 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.92 | 22.2% | 13.5% | 3.6% | .302 | 2.51 | 27.3% | 19.4% | 98 | -2.41 | 1.54 | 521 | 71 |
| Parker Markel R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.45 | 25.5% | 15.5% | 2.8% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 266 | 70 |
| AJ Ramos R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.08 | 25.0% | 17.0% | 3.5% | .292 | 4.53 | 27.3% | 16.6% | 53 | -0.55 | 2.55 | 266 | 70 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 69 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2024 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.8% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 160 | 68 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.31 | 18.7% | 12.6% | 2.2% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 104 | 68 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.90 | 19.3% | 14.7% | 2.9% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 254 | 68 |
| Yu Darvish R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 27.2% | 11.7% | 4.2% | .282 | 3.52 | 30.5% | 24.0% | 421 | -1.04 | 1.99 | 1,253 | 68 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.