Stephen Jones
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
Age 29
RHP
6'4" / 230 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION43 act + 69 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134125vR 116
ERA5.12
FIP5.12
K%17.3%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%6.5%
ROS IP69
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 112 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 49 | 201 | 63 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 1.8% | 3.86 | 3.45 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 49 | 201 | 63 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.3% | 9.5% | 21.9% | 2.0% | 3.86 | 2.75 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 47 | 0 | 58 | 239 | 67 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.7% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 2.64 | 4.26 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 47 | 0 | 58 | 239 | 67 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.0% | 10.0% | 18.0% | 2.5% | 2.64 | 3.38 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 0 | 63 | 305 | 83 | 35 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.8% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 7.86 | 4.36 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 0 | 63 | 305 | 83 | 35 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.2% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 3.0% | 7.86 | 3.99 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 20 | 0 | 21 | 135 | 26 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.9% | 18.7% | -1.7% | 3.4% | 13.08 | 5.91 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 20 | 0 | 21 | 135 | 26 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 17.8% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 13.08 | 7.08 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 1 | 62 | 259 | 55 | 19 | 6 | 2% | 1.3 | 17.9% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 3.94 | 4.51 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 1 | 62 | 259 | 55 | 19 | 6 | 2% | 1.3 | 21.2% | 7.3% | 13.9% | 2.3% | 3.94 | 3.51 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 29 | 0 | 43 | 196 | 61 | 32 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 26.7% | 17.5% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 4.60 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | MIA | 65 | 0 | 69 | 290 | 50 | 31 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.3% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 5.12 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | MIA | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.3% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 5.12 | 5.12 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 112 | 486 | 111 | 63 | 13 | — | — | 22.9% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 2.7% | 4.92 | 4.81 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 7 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 17.3% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 5.12 | 4.74 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 61 | 0 | 64 | 272 | 48 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 5.15 | 5.22 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 57 | 0 | 60 | 254 | 45 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 5.24 | 5.35 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 53 | 0 | 56 | 235 | 41 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.39 | 5.53 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 5.15 | 5.22 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 25 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 5.24 | 5.35 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.39 | 5.53 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 97 | 0 | 101 | 428 | 75 | 48 | 15 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.5% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 5.27 | 4.99 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 148 | 95 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.5% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 5.27 | 4.99 | +1.0 | ||
| Career | — | 240 | 1 | 296 | 1335 | 293 | 165 | 38 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.0% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 5.26 | 4.38 | +3.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 162 | 1 | 200 | 902 | 198 | 111 | 26 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.0% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 5.26 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Stephen Jones (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.12 | 17.3% | 10.8% | 3.2% | — | 5.36 | 17.5% | 6.4% | 180 | +0.24 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 92 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 88 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 87 |
| Angel Castro R 2029 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 85 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 85 |
| Collin Balester R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.25 | 14.2% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .240 | 3.40 | 21.2% | 15.4% | 43 | -0.85 | 3.40 | 116 | 84 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.86 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .275 | 3.73 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -1.13 | 3.40 | 295 | 84 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .333 | 3.24 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -1.15 | 2.96 | 230 | 83 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 83 |
| Eder Llamas R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.20 | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.7% | .261 | 3.71 | 11.3% | 4.6% | 120 | -1.49 | 3.27 | 171 | 83 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2025 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 173 | 82 |
| Drew Hayes R 2025 · 4.12 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.12 | 13.8% | 10.1% | 1.7% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 117 | 82 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 81 |
| Jose De La Torre R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 14.5% | 13.1% | 1.5% | .256 | 2.88 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 65 | -1.51 | 2.54 | 130 | 81 |
| Bo Schultz R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .218 | 3.45 | 15.1% | 8.9% | 77 | -0.86 | 2.73 | 141 | 81 |
| Wil Browning R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.58 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.12 | 162 | 81 |
| Sam Dyson R 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.95 | 13.1% | 8.8% | 3.3% | .303 | 3.28 | 21.3% | 15.1% | 133 | -1.67 | 2.67 | 333 | 80 |
| Francisco Mendoza R 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.11 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 120 | 80 |
| Mike Adams R 2024 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 80 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.54 | 16.5% | 10.4% | 2.8% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 187 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 62 | 17.5% | 11.1% | 1.33 | 5.22 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |