Jatnk Diaz
P
Lakeland Flying Tigers
Age 21
RHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 42 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150141vR 132
ERA5.87
FIP5.87
K%13.6%
BB%14.8%
K-BB%-1.2%
ROS IP42
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 80 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 3.80 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 3.77 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 7 | 4 | 14 | 73 | 13 | 14 | 2 | 57% | 2.0 | 12.1% | 24.0% | -11.9% | 4.2% | 10.67 | 7.45 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 7 | 4 | 14 | 73 | 13 | 14 | 2 | 57% | 2.0 | 17.8% | 19.2% | -1.4% | 2.7% | 10.67 | 6.03 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 14 | 64 | 271 | 57 | 29 | 5 | 82% | 3.8 | 14.6% | 13.1% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.36 | 5.38 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 14 | 64 | 271 | 57 | 29 | 5 | 82% | 3.8 | 21.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 1.8% | 4.36 | 3.69 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 23 | 0 | 38 | 196 | 34 | 28 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 12.6% | 17.2% | -4.6% | 1.4% | 7.75 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | DET | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 24 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.6% | 14.8% | -1.2% | 3.0% | 5.87 | 5.87 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.6% | 14.8% | -1.2% | 3.0% | 5.87 | 5.87 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | DET | — | — | 80 | 373 | 58 | 54 | 7 | — | — | 15.6% | 14.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 6.77 | 5.44 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | DET | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 30 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.1% | 13.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.54 | 5.42 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | DET | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.1% | 13.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.54 | 5.42 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.1% | 13.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.54 | 5.04 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 138 | 111 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.1% | 13.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.54 | 5.04 | +0.8 | ||
| Career | — | 49 | 18 | 120 | 552 | 75 | 89 | 15 | 37% | 2.4 | 13.6% | 16.1% | -2.5% | 2.7% | 6.09 | 5.47 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 82 | 30 | 200 | 923 | 125 | 148 | 25 | 37% | 2.4 | 13.6% | 16.1% | -2.5% | 2.7% | 6.09 | 5.47 | -0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jatnk Diaz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.87 | 13.6% | 14.8% | 3.0% | — | 5.42 | 16.1% | 2.9% | 44 | -0.45 | — | — | — |
| Juan Perez R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.28 | 15.4% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .321 | 4.63 | 10.8% | 0.0% | 56 | -0.65 | 4.63 | 113 | 87 |
| Johan Moreno R 2026 · 6.39 FIP | 21 | SW | 6.39 | 13.2% | 16.7% | 4.2% | .325 | 4.18 | 20.7% | 8.6% | 105 | -2.21 | 3.13 | 206 | 86 |
| Tanner Cooper R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.75 | 17.1% | 14.1% | 2.4% | .338 | 5.44 | 14.4% | 6.7% | 121 | +0.69 | 4.49 | 148 | 86 |
| Yunior Montero R 2027 · 4.82 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.82 | 16.9% | 14.1% | 2.5% | .276 | 4.59 | 21.5% | 6.2% | 91 | -0.23 | 3.60 | 127 | 85 |
| Willians Vasquez R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.45 | 12.2% | 13.9% | 3.0% | .292 | 3.20 | 13.9% | 3.9% | 30 | -2.25 | 3.20 | 154 | 85 |
| Eli Saul R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.49 | 12.6% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .305 | 5.48 | 13.8% | -2.9% | 98 | -0.01 | 5.40 | 157 | 85 |
| Joe Barlow R 2025 · 6.15 FIP | 20 | SW | 6.15 | 13.6% | 16.4% | 3.9% | .269 | 3.64 | 29.5% | 10.7% | 116 | -2.51 | 3.04 | 354 | 84 |
| Austin Amaral R 2027 · 5.80 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.80 | 12.1% | 14.4% | 3.4% | .254 | 3.65 | 17.6% | 5.7% | 99 | -2.15 | 3.55 | 122 | 83 |
| Ezequiel Ventura R 2026 · 5.57 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.57 | 13.5% | 11.7% | 3.9% | .302 | 4.95 | 14.1% | 5.7% | 32 | -0.62 | 3.77 | 151 | 83 |
| Blake Quinn R 2028 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | .328 | 4.28 | 17.1% | 3.3% | 48 | -1.04 | 4.28 | 122 | 83 |
| Josh White R 2027 · 5.45 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.45 | 17.7% | 13.9% | 3.8% | .244 | 3.02 | 28.9% | 17.7% | 167 | -2.43 | 1.95 | 232 | 82 |
| Pedro González R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.15 | 13.9% | 16.0% | 2.2% | .321 | 4.35 | 11.0% | 3.4% | 109 | -0.80 | 4.06 | 285 | 82 |
| Griffin Kilander R 2027 · 4.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.83 | 15.5% | 16.2% | 1.8% | .264 | 4.24 | 23.3% | 6.3% | 50 | -0.59 | 4.24 | 115 | 82 |
| Geison Urbaez R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.03 | 14.1% | 18.2% | 1.5% | .322 | 4.83 | 15.5% | 4.7% | 112 | -0.20 | 4.02 | 241 | 82 |
| Deyvis Julian R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.74 | 11.2% | 14.7% | 1.3% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 116 | 81 |
| Garrett Nuss R 2027 · 5.91 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.91 | 14.1% | 14.9% | 3.8% | .352 | 4.67 | 15.0% | 5.3% | 92 | -1.24 | 4.56 | 174 | 81 |
| Luis Rujano R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.69 | 17.0% | 12.3% | 2.7% | .361 | 5.05 | 17.0% | -2.8% | 72 | +0.36 | 4.67 | 178 | 81 |
| Kendy Richard R 2026 · 5.98 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.98 | 12.0% | 16.0% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 141 | 81 |
| Kelvin Vasquez R 2027 · 4.80 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.80 | 14.8% | 13.8% | 2.2% | .248 | 5.43 | 15.0% | -3.0% | 103 | +0.63 | 4.80 | 180 | 81 |
| Reynardo Cruz R 2025 · 5.65 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.65 | 16.1% | 18.2% | 2.9% | .252 | 4.79 | 16.3% | -1.2% | 66 | -0.86 | 3.94 | 216 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 43 | 14.9% | 14.0% | 1.16 | 5.70 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |