Geison Urbaez — OGILVIE

Geison Urbaez P New Hampshire Fisher Cats

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 180 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150141vR 133

ERA6.13

FIP6.13

K%11.4%

BB%16.4%

K-BB%-5.0%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL3535

CMD3030

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	3	40	190	38	29	2	18%	2.3	14.1%	18.2%	-4.1%	1.5%	6.58	5.03	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	3	40	190	38	29	2	18%	2.3	20.0%	15.3%	4.7%	1.1%	6.58	4.03	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	9	75	326	70	27	9	32%	2.7	16.2%	9.5%	6.8%	3.8%	3.82	5.04	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	9	75	326	70	27	9	32%	2.7	21.5%	8.3%	13.2%	2.8%	3.82	3.87	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	6	42	179	32	19	1	33%	2.4	14.0%	13.4%	0.6%	0.8%	3.83	4.04	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	6	42	179	32	19	1	33%	2.4	14.0%	13.4%	0.6%	0.8%	3.83	4.04	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	6	42	179	32	19	1	33%	2.4	17.9%	10.6%	7.3%	0.6%	3.83	3.24	—
2025	25	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	29	4	57	261	42	35	5	14%	2.0	13.0%	14.8%	-1.7%	2.6%	3.18	5.29	—
2025	25	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	29	4	57	261	42	35	5	14%	2.0	13.0%	14.8%	-1.7%	2.6%	3.18	5.29	—
2025	25	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	29	4	57	261	42	35	5	14%	2.0	16.1%	13.4%	2.7%	1.9%	3.18	4.62	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	19	0	33	163	30	25	7	0%	1.7	14.9%	16.9%	-2.0%	5.2%	6.27	6.81	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	19	0	33	163	30	25	7	0%	1.7	14.9%	16.9%	-2.0%	5.2%	6.27	6.81	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AA RAW	TOR	19	0	33	163	30	25	7	0%	1.7	18.4%	15.3%	3.1%	4.3%	6.27	5.85	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	TOR	6	0	6	25	3	4	1	0%	1.0	11.4%	16.4%	-5.0%	2.8%	6.13	6.13	-0.1
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	TOR	—	—	39	188	33	29	8	—	—	17.5%	15.5%	2.0%	4.1%	6.25	6.70	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	TOR	66	0	69	291	37	46	8	0%	1.0	12.6%	15.8%	-3.2%	2.9%	5.97	5.99	-1.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	TOR	64	0	67	282	37	44	8	0%	1.0	13.3%	15.4%	-2.1%	3.0%	5.91	5.95	-1.0
2029	29	MLB MLE	TOR	61	0	64	270	37	41	8	0%	1.0	13.5%	15.3%	-1.8%	3.1%	5.93	6.00	-1.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	TOR	25	0	26	110	14	17	3	0%	1.0	12.6%	15.8%	-3.2%	2.9%	5.97	5.99	-0.4
2028	28	MLB CTX	TOR	38	0	40	169	22	26	5	0%	1.1	13.3%	15.4%	-2.1%	3.0%	5.91	5.95	-0.6
2029	29	MLB CTX	TOR	43	0	45	190	26	29	6	0%	1.0	13.5%	15.3%	-1.8%	3.1%	5.93	6.00	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		106	0	111	469	62	73	14	0%	1.0	13.2%	15.5%	-2.2%	3.0%	5.93	5.60	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	112	131	25	0%	1.1	13.2%	15.5%	-2.2%	3.0%	5.93	5.60	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		111	22	247	1119	163	156	32	20%	2.2	14.6%	13.9%	0.7%	2.8%	4.45	5.19	-3.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	18	200	906	132	126	26	20%	2.2	14.6%	13.9%	0.7%	2.8%	4.45	5.19	-3.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Geison Urbaez (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.13	11.4%	16.4%	2.8%	—	5.98	13.1%	-2.4%	200	-0.15	—	—	—
Mike Hepple R 2016 · 5.75 FIP	26	SU	5.75	11.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	116	83
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	80
Trey Haley R 2016 · 4.98 FIP	26	SU	4.98	14.0%	16.5%	1.8%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	3.14	111	79
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	79
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	78
Ricky Salinas R 2022 · 5.79 FIP	26	SU	5.79	14.3%	15.1%	3.6%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	274	78
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	78
Jesús Reyes R 2019 · 5.71 FIP	26	SU	5.71	15.9%	15.7%	3.6%	.283	5.11	17.5%	5.6%	118	-0.60	3.85	554	77
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	77
Blake Hickman R 2018 · 6.57 FIP	24	SW	6.57	12.9%	17.8%	4.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	4.19	156	76
Vanny Valenzuela R 2015 · 6.82 FIP	27	SW	6.82	12.4%	14.8%	5.3%	.314	4.29	15.8%	4.6%	70	-2.53	3.26	118	76
Tommy DeJuneas R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	25	SU	5.65	13.7%	17.6%	2.7%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	178	74
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	74
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	73
Jake Haberer R 2021 · 6.54 FIP	26	SU	6.54	13.4%	17.5%	4.3%	.287	5.15	19.6%	4.0%	106	-1.39	3.46	183	73
Jake Gozzo R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	26	SU	5.04	16.2%	17.6%	2.0%	.227	4.32	15.6%	-1.3%	32	-0.72	4.32	162	73
Wandi Montout R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	25	SU	5.59	13.4%	18.7%	2.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	103	73
Hunter Dollander R 2023 · 6.77 FIP	26	SU	6.77	17.6%	18.3%	5.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	106	73
Miguel Nunez R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	24	SU	5.12	13.2%	13.7%	2.6%	.257	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	154	72
Mitchell Osnowitz R 2017 · 5.30 FIP	26	SU	5.30	16.5%	18.7%	2.2%	.366	5.43	19.2%	7.7%	42	+0.13	4.54	132	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	67	12.7%	15.7%	1.14	5.99
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10