Geison Urbaez
P
New Hampshire Fisher Cats
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 180 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 157147vR 138
ERA6.16
FIP6.16
K%11.4%
BB%16.3%
K-BB%-4.9%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 103 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 3 | 40 | 190 | 38 | 29 | 2 | 18% | 2.3 | 14.1% | 18.2% | -4.1% | 1.5% | 6.58 | 5.03 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 3 | 40 | 190 | 38 | 29 | 2 | 18% | 2.3 | 20.0% | 15.3% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 6.58 | 4.03 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 9 | 75 | 326 | 70 | 27 | 9 | 32% | 2.7 | 16.2% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.82 | 5.22 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 9 | 75 | 326 | 70 | 27 | 9 | 32% | 2.7 | 21.5% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 2.8% | 3.82 | 3.87 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 6 | 42 | 179 | 32 | 19 | 1 | 33% | 2.4 | 14.0% | 13.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 3.83 | 4.02 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 6 | 42 | 179 | 32 | 19 | 1 | 33% | 2.4 | 17.9% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 0.6% | 3.83 | 3.24 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 29 | 4 | 57 | 261 | 42 | 35 | 5 | 14% | 2.0 | 13.0% | 14.8% | -1.7% | 3.0% | 3.18 | 5.51 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 29 | 4 | 57 | 261 | 42 | 35 | 5 | 14% | 2.0 | 16.1% | 13.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.18 | 4.62 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 19 | 0 | 33 | 163 | 30 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.7 | 14.9% | 16.9% | -2.0% | 5.2% | 6.27 | 6.81 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | TOR | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 34 | 48 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.4% | 16.3% | -4.9% | 2.9% | 6.16 | 6.16 | -1.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | TOR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.4% | 16.3% | -4.9% | 2.9% | 6.16 | 6.16 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 103 | 459 | 64 | 73 | 16 | — | — | 13.9% | 15.9% | -2.0% | 3.4% | 6.20 | 6.37 | -1.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 11.4% | 16.3% | -4.9% | 2.9% | 6.16 | 5.78 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 37 | 46 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.6% | 15.6% | -3.0% | 2.9% | 6.00 | 6.02 | -1.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 37 | 43 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.3% | 15.3% | -2.0% | 3.1% | 5.93 | 5.97 | -1.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 14 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.6% | 15.6% | -3.0% | 2.9% | 6.00 | 6.02 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 22 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.3% | 15.3% | -2.0% | 3.1% | 5.93 | 5.97 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 37 | 44 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.0% | 15.4% | -2.5% | 3.0% | 5.96 | 5.61 | -0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 110 | 131 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.0% | 15.4% | -2.5% | 3.0% | 5.96 | 5.61 | -0.5 | ||
| Career | — | 111 | 22 | 247 | 1119 | 163 | 156 | 34 | 20% | 2.2 | 14.6% | 13.9% | 0.7% | 3.0% | 4.45 | 5.29 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 90 | 18 | 200 | 906 | 132 | 126 | 27 | 20% | 2.2 | 14.6% | 13.9% | 0.7% | 3.0% | 4.45 | 5.29 | +0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Geison Urbaez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.16 | 11.4% | 16.3% | 2.9% | — | 6.00 | 12.9% | -2.5% | 136 | -0.16 | — | — | — |
| Mike Hepple R 2026 · 5.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.74 | 11.1% | 18.5% | 2.2% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 116 | 83 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2025 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.45 | 13.6% | 15.3% | 2.8% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 124 | 81 |
| Clate Schmidt R 2025 · 5.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.61 | 13.5% | 13.9% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 160 | 80 |
| Trey Haley R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 14.0% | 16.5% | 1.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 111 | 79 |
| Vanny Valenzuela R 2027 · 6.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 6.66 | 12.4% | 14.8% | 5.0% | .314 | 4.38 | 15.8% | 4.6% | 70 | -2.28 | 3.26 | 118 | 79 |
| Ricky Salinas R 2026 · 5.81 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.81 | 14.3% | 15.1% | 3.6% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.87 | 274 | 79 |
| Julian Arballo R 2027 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 78 |
| Jesús Reyes R 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.80 | 15.9% | 15.7% | 3.7% | .283 | 5.04 | 17.5% | 5.6% | 118 | -0.76 | 3.79 | 554 | 77 |
| Alex Caldera R 2029 · 5.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.56 | 10.4% | 13.1% | 3.1% | .333 | 4.61 | 11.9% | 0.8% | 84 | -0.95 | 4.61 | 120 | 77 |
| Blake Hickman R 2024 · 6.54 FIP | 24 | SW | 6.54 | 12.9% | 17.8% | 4.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.45 | 156 | 77 |
| Landon Tomkins R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.15 | 10.7% | 15.1% | 1.9% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 161 | 76 |
| Livan Reinoso R 2026 · 5.59 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.59 | 15.9% | 21.2% | 2.1% | .215 | 5.18 | 17.4% | 3.4% | 33 | -0.41 | 4.34 | 207 | 75 |
| Jaycob Deese R 2026 · 5.90 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.90 | 13.4% | 13.9% | 4.0% | .350 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 185 | 75 |
| Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.71 | 17.1% | 21.3% | 2.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.52 | 107 | 74 |
| Tommy DeJuneas R 2025 · 5.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.52 | 13.7% | 17.6% | 2.5% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 178 | 74 |
| Tom Reisinger R 2024 · 6.70 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.70 | 10.3% | 15.9% | 4.5% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.25 | 110 | 74 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2025 · 5.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.44 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 141 | 74 |
| Justin Camp R 2025 · 5.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.00 | 13.2% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.59 | 140 | 74 |
| Fernando Cruz R 2025 · 5.41 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.41 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 356 | 73 |
| Hunter Dollander R 2026 · 6.73 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.73 | 17.6% | 18.3% | 5.1% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 106 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 12.4% | 15.7% | 1.15 | 6.03 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |