Player 812540 — OGILVIE

Player 812540— Lake Elsinore Storm

Age — —/— A HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION197 act + 131 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .299 / .327

PA131

HR3

K%31

BB%6

BABIP300

ISO112

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	A	SD	—	197	168	39	7	0	4	9	66	19	11	2	232	342	345	687	113	354	34	5	301	89	-3	+1	+0	-4	+6	0.1
YTD	—	A	SD	—	197	164	46	9	0	5	13	49	19	11	2	280	398	427	825	146	369	25	7	375	145	+10	+1	+0	-4	+6	1.4
ROS	—	A	SD	0%	131	116	25	4	0	3	8	41	6	4	1	215	299	327	626	112	309	31	6	292	82	-3	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.1
ROS	—	MLB	SD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		305	—	—	253	51	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	A	SD	—	197	169	39	7	0	4	9	66	19	11	2	231	342	343	685	112	350	34	5	301	89	-3	+1	+0	-4	+6	0.1
TOT	—	A	SD	—	328	284	64	11	0	7	17	107	25	15	3	225	325	338	662	113	331	33	5	297	86	-5	+2	+0	-6	+9	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	SD	0%	425	379	85	15	2	10	26	128	17	11	2	224	303	354	657	129	304	30	6	293	82	-8	+1	+0	-8	+12	-0.3
2028	25	MLB	SD	0%	480	428	95	17	2	11	31	142	18	12	2	222	302	348	650	126	303	30	6	296	85	-8	+2	+0	-9	+14	-0.2
2029	25	MLB	SD	0%	517	459	104	19	2	13	34	151	19	13	3	227	307	362	668	135	302	29	7	298	87	-8	+1	+0	-9	+15	-0.1
2030	25	MLB	SD	0%	544	484	110	20	2	14	36	158	19	13	3	227	306	364	670	136	302	29	7	300	88	-8	+1	+0	-10	+15	-0.1
2031	25	MLB	SD	0%	563	501	112	20	2	14	37	163	20	14	3	224	303	355	658	132	301	29	7	301	88	-8	+2	+0	-10	+16	-0.0
2032	25	MLB	SD	0%	577	512	116	21	2	15	39	167	21	14	3	227	308	363	671	137	301	29	7	301	89	-7	+2	+0	-10	+16	0.0
2027	25	MLB	SD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		300	—	—	260	57	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	SD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		299	—	—	265	61	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	SD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		298	—	—	268	63	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	SD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		298	—	—	270	65	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	SD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		298	—	—	270	65	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB	SD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		297	—	—	271	66	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3237	2879	647	116	12	80	211	950	120	81	17	225	305	357	661	132	304	29	7	298	86	-50	+9	+0	-58	+92	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	129	23	2	16	42	191	24	16	3	223	302	353	655	130	302	29	6	298	86	-10	+2	+0	-12	+18	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,426	83	84	225	300	355	-39	+0	1.4	1.6
	/162	664	16	16	225	300	355	-7.6	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 2
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 812540 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	225/325/338	113	331	7	15	33%	5%	86	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	39→40	45→50	51→55	41	198/264/325	127	271	12	15	31%	6%	62	-0.9	206/284/345	139	284	16	22	32%	8%	76	+0.1	198/283/340	141	269	18	27	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Barrett Barnes 2015 · A	24	42→48	44→45	51→50	42	210/273/325	116	283	12	14	30%	7%	66	-0.6	223/289/345	122	293	11	12	26%	7%	77	+0.1	215/293/346	131	300	13	7	30%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Kyle Petty 2016 · A	25	46→49	42→50	53→50	39	221/266/325	104	308	9	11	30%	5%	61	-1.0	230/288/343	113	330	11	9	32%	6%	76	+0.1	233/295/348	115	335	12	8	32%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Jerad Head 2008 · A	25	41→46	44→55	49→50	41	207/274/331	124	262	11	9	25%	5%	68	-0.5	223/280/367	144	278	14	10	25%	5%	79	+0.3	230/283/396	166	281	18	9	25%	4%	85	+0.4
✕Brandon Lockridge 2021 · A	24	40→50	44→50	50→65	36	200/251/322	121	295	11	12	35%	5%	55	-1.4	227/276/357	130	327	14	22	33%	6%	75	-0.0	251/318/335	84	356	3	53	28%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Chris Colton 2007 · A	24	44→48	43→55	47→50	41	218/265/329	111	284	11	14	27%	6%	63	-0.9	225/280/359	134	289	13	10	26%	7%	77	+0.1	236/296/445	209	274	23	5	23%	8%	106	+0.6
✕Sean Bouchard 2021 · A	25	39→41	43→55	47→50	38	194/251/304	110	295	10	10	36%	6%	50	-1.7	216/293/388	172	295	19	12	31%	9%	91	+1.1	210/314/386	176	278	19	16	30%	12%	96	+0.7
✕Preston Scott 2018 · A	24	45	45→50	49→50	42	220/287/349	129	295	11	10	28%	6%	78	+0.2	203/259/304	101	314	8	9	36%	5%	54	-1.4	179/229/263	84	296	6	8	39%	4%	27	-2.0
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	40→50	46→45	54→55	44	199/284/331	132	279	13	21	32%	8%	72	-0.2	219/298/335	116	289	10	19	26%	8%	79	+0.3	221/302/335	114	287	10	20	25%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2015 · A	25	43→41	48→50	51→50	45	219/286/364	145	276	16	14	27%	7%	82	+0.5	206/262/337	131	281	14	9	31%	6%	64	-0.8	165/214/276	112	225	13	5	33%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Jose Pineda 2007 · A	25	42→40	43→45	50→45	43	208/278/319	111	295	11	10	32%	8%	66	-0.6	219/274/365	146	305	17	7	33%	6%	76	+0.1	215/264/384	170	287	22	3	33%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Alex Castellanos 2011 · A	24	44→49	45→55	52→50	35	213/265/350	137	310	11	15	34%	4%	69	-0.4	221/282/382	161	300	17	15	31%	6%	85	+0.7	210/277/374	164	282	19	17	32%	6%	78	+0.2
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	43	44→45	48→50	43	215/283/333	118	286	12	11	28%	7%	72	-0.2	206/263/326	120	268	13	7	28%	5%	62	-0.9	190/242/307	117	240	15	5	27%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Stuart Fairchild 2021 · AA	25	43→42	43→50	47→55	42	212/278/328	116	288	10	10	29%	7%	69	-0.4	223/300/379	156	295	17	13	29%	8%	92	+1.2	220/316/365	145	284	15	26	26%	9%	92	+0.7
✕Ben Harrison 2006 · A	24	45→50	41→50	50	41	217/268/312	96	298	9	12	29%	6%	59	-1.1	229/289/375	146	313	18	11	31%	6%	85	+0.7	229/293/384	155	314	20	12	32%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Jhonny Santos 2021 · A	24	43	44→50	50	42	214/274/332	117	291	11	16	30%	7%	67	-0.5	213/263/380	167	277	22	6	31%	6%	76	+0.1	189/238/374	185	227	28	1	31%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Devin Shines 2013 · A	24	42	44→50	50	37	211/263/328	117	296	12	11	32%	5%	62	-0.9	198/251/296	98	285	9	9	32%	6%	48	-1.9	155/208/229	74	220	6	7	31%	6%	11	-1.5
●Brett Harris 2022 · A	24	45→50	45→50	49→50	43	220/292/339	119	296	13	11	29%	7%	78	+0.2	243/315/397	154	291	18	10	22%	8%	102	+1.9	239/320/383	144	286	17	9	22%	9%	97	+1.2
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→44	44→55	51→45	42	209/269/330	121	281	12	9	29%	7%	65	-0.7	226/282/380	154	300	19	5	30%	6%	84	+0.6	223/282/380	157	291	20	3	30%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Mike Ahmed 2017 · A	25	43→45	45→50	47→50	44	213/280/338	125	293	13	11	31%	8%	72	-0.2	209/268/328	119	322	12	9	37%	7%	64	-0.8	199/255/309	110	322	11	7	39%	6%	51	-0.6