Qrey Lott — OGILVIE

Qrey LottOF Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 22 R/R A HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .279 / .321

PA320

HR6

SB8

K%27

BB%6

ISO115

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 33 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT33

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED65

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	343	283	77	14	2	8	29	84	26	27	5	272	391	420	811	148	352	24	8	365	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	343	292	66	11	2	6	20	114	26	27	5	226	331	339	670	113	319	33	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	343	292	66	11	2	6	20	114	26	27	5	226	331	339	670	113	339	33	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	343	283	77	14	2	8	29	84	26	27	5	272	391	420	811	148	352	24	8	365	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	343	294	66	11	2	6	20	114	26	27	5	224	331	337	668	112	319	33	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	343	294	66	11	2	6	20	114	26	27	5	224	331	337	668	112	319	33	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	SD	0%	453	409	85	15	3	9	29	124	12	11	2	209	281	323	604	115	274	27	6	274	72	-15	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	SD	34%	378	340	72	13	2	8	25	102	10	10	2	212	285	333	618	120	276	27	7	279	75	-11	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.4
2029	24	MLB MLE	SD	46%	441	398	86	15	3	10	29	117	11	12	3	215	288	340	628	125	277	27	7	284	78	-12	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	SD	52%	476	429	94	17	3	11	32	126	12	13	3	217	290	344	635	127	278	26	7	286	80	-11	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	SD	54%	495	446	97	18	3	11	34	130	12	13	3	218	291	347	639	129	278	26	7	288	81	-11	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	SD	54%	503	451	99	18	3	12	35	131	12	13	3	219	292	348	640	129	279	26	7	288	81	-11	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.2
2033	28	MLB MLE	SD	58%	503	452	98	18	3	11	35	132	11	12	3	217	290	343	633	126	278	26	7	285	79	-12	+1	-1	-3	+11	-0.4
2034	29	MLB MLE	SD	60%	496	448	96	17	3	11	34	132	11	12	3	214	287	337	624	122	276	27	7	282	77	-14	+1	-1	-3	+11	-0.6
2028	23	MLB CTX	SD	34%	130	118	25	4	1	3	8	35	3	3	1	209	282	329	611	119	270	27	6	277	75	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	SD	46%	203	182	39	7	1	5	14	54	5	5	1	212	285	336	621	124	272	27	7	281	78	-5	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	SD	52%	246	221	47	8	1	6	17	65	6	7	1	214	287	340	628	126	273	26	7	283	80	-6	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	SD	54%	268	242	51	9	1	6	18	70	6	7	2	215	289	343	632	128	273	26	7	285	81	-6	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	SD	54%	273	246	52	9	1	6	19	71	6	7	2	215	289	344	633	128	273	26	7	285	81	-6	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	SD	58%	294	264	57	10	2	7	21	77	7	7	2	214	287	339	626	125	272	26	7	283	79	-7	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	SD	60%	300	269	57	10	1	7	21	80	7	7	2	211	284	332	617	121	271	27	7	279	77	-8	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1714	1542	328	57	8	40	118	452	40	43	11	213	286	338	624	125	272	26	7	282	79	-43	+4	-1	-10	+37	-1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	125	22	3	15	45	171	15	16	4	214	287	338	625	125	274	26	7	282	79	-16	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3955	3544	768	138	24	86	264	1072	114	120	27	217	292	342	634	125	283	27	7	285	79	-93	+10	-2	-22	+78	-3.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	126	23	4	14	43	176	19	20	4	216	292	342	634	125	283	27	7	285	79	-17	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#4Dylan Carlsonlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,987 PA	3.0	1,987	43	16	233	312	372	-9	-22	0.8	0.8
/162	664	14	5	-3.0	-7.4	0.3	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.1	2,034	44	52	216	286	341	-12	+0	-0.3	-0.1
/162	664	15	17	-4.0	+0.0	-0.1	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Qrey Lott (OGILVIE)	22	28→33	40→45	60→65	47	207/279/321	114	274	6	8	27%	6%	72	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	44	42→45	55	47	215/295/325	110	284	9	14	26%	8%	78	-0.3	222/280/325	103	297	9	9	27%	6%	72	-0.7	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Cooper Bowman 2022 · A	22	44	45	56→60	41	214/289/346	132	303	12	19	32%	7%	81	-0.1	204/281/321	117	287	12	34	31%	8%	72	-0.7	210/283/330	120	279	11	40	27%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Johan Lopez 2022 · A	22	44	44→45	56→55	44	210/292/329	119	303	11	16	32%	8%	78	-0.3	197/269/298	101	299	9	12	35%	8%	62	-1.4	173/246/259	86	259	8	12	34%	7%	43	-1.0
✕Brayan Buelvas 2024 · AA	22	37→45	46→50	55	41	190/252/319	129	260	13	18	32%	7%	61	-1.5	204/265/326	122	293	11	16	32%	7%	66	-1.1	205/266/334	130	290	12	14	32%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Michael Guldberg 2022 · A	23	45	44→45	55	44	222/290/341	119	280	12	16	24%	7%	80	-0.2	214/272/298	84	283	6	12	25%	6%	62	-1.4	205/259/264	60	274	3	10	25%	6%	47	-0.7
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→42	44→50	55	35	195/250/303	109	296	12	14	37%	5%	56	-1.9	203/253/327	124	287	14	19	33%	5%	62	-1.4	209/260/343	134	298	14	23	33%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Max Wagner 2024 · AA	22	41→38	46→50	55→50	42	204/275/332	128	291	13	18	33%	8%	72	-0.7	195/261/317	122	302	13	12	37%	7%	63	-1.3	190/255/330	140	291	17	7	39%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2018 · AA	22	43→40	46→50	53→55	45	213/280/344	131	271	13	20	26%	7%	76	-0.4	203/282/338	135	283	13	16	31%	8%	76	-0.4	182/270/306	124	256	12	18	32%	9%	63	-0.9
✕John Rhodes 2023 · AA	22	43→37	41→45	58→50	47	208/286/313	105	274	8	16	26%	8%	72	-0.7	190/258/293	103	266	10	9	31%	7%	57	-1.8	173/241/264	91	242	10	7	31%	7%	41	-2.2
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→49	42→50	57→50	43	224/279/341	116	300	8	15	27%	6%	74	-0.5	220/277/337	117	289	10	12	26%	6%	73	-0.6	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Loidel Chapelli 2024 · A	22	39→36	43→45	56→55	46	196/271/312	116	271	10	18	30%	8%	65	-1.2	196/259/284	88	300	7	17	34%	7%	54	-2.0	176/233/238	63	279	4	20	36%	6%	31	-2.0
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	42→41	43→50	52→55	44	208/273/317	109	269	11	18	26%	7%	68	-1.0	210/276/360	150	277	17	18	29%	7%	79	-0.2	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	40→38	45→50	54→50	38	199/264/327	128	286	12	13	34%	6%	67	-1.1	211/271/364	153	307	18	14	36%	6%	78	-0.3	204/267/368	165	294	22	15	37%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Eddinson Paulino 2024 · A	22	42	46→50	54→50	43	210/273/349	139	282	12	17	29%	7%	75	-0.5	202/261/322	120	278	12	13	30%	6%	64	-1.3	186/244/297	111	257	12	11	31%	6%	49	-1.3
✕Clay Fuller 2009 · A	22	46	42→45	59→55	44	214/295/330	116	316	8	20	32%	8%	79	-0.2	209/279/321	112	294	11	18	31%	8%	71	-0.8	203/269/311	107	279	12	18	30%	7%	62	-1.0
✕David Kandilas 2013 · A	22	45→44	41→45	55	44	216/270/323	107	277	7	15	24%	6%	67	-1.1	210/271/303	93	279	7	17	26%	7%	63	-1.3	203/267/290	87	269	7	20	26%	7%	57	-1.2
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	40→33	45→55	52→50	40	204/250/330	126	265	12	14	28%	5%	61	-1.5	189/238/351	162	266	20	4	37%	5%	63	-1.4	192/268/358	166	237	23	7	30%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Travis Witherspoon 2011 · A	22	42→47	43→45	57→55	34	208/247/314	106	303	11	13	35%	4%	56	-1.9	213/264/325	112	292	12	23	30%	6%	65	-1.2	208/268/334	126	273	14	25	28%	7%	66	-0.9
✕Lane Adams 2012 · A	22	42→45	39→50	54→60	39	203/256/294	91	297	6	12	33%	6%	55	-2.0	218/268/326	108	293	10	19	28%	6%	67	-1.1	224/277/350	126	304	14	36	30%	6%	73	-0.5
✕Miguel Hiraldo 2023 · A	22	41→46	43→45	56→55	38	200/251/308	108	302	10	21	36%	6%	57	-1.8	216/263/319	103	337	10	20	37%	5%	63	-1.3	221/269/319	98	346	9	22	37%	5%	63	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps