Jakob Wright

P Great Lakes Loons

Age 24 LHP 5'11" / 170 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #978

ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	ALAA	9	9	20	3.20	1.88	26.7%	8.9%	—	K 19.7% · BB 10.5% · FIP 2.76
2026	23	A+LAD	17	12	56	6.63	3.98	25.1%	18.0%	—	K 19.3% · BB 20.7% · FIP 4.86
2027PROJ	24	MLBLAD	12	12	67	5.61	5.61	20.4%	18.9%	-0.5
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBLAD	5	5	29	5.33	5.24	21.1%	16.4%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBLAD	8	8	45	5.19	5.15	21.5%	15.8%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Command40FB velo60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsDante Biasi (age 24) · Nate Savino (age 22) · Erik Rivera (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123132vR 140

ERA5.61

FIP5.61

K%20.4%

BB%18.9%

K-BB%1.5%

Proj IP67

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4550

CMD3040

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	9	9	20	90	24	8	0	100%	2.2	19.7%	10.5%	9.2%	0.0%	3.20	2.76	—
2025	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	9	9	20	90	24	8	0	100%	2.2	19.7%	10.5%	9.2%	0.0%	3.20	2.76	—
2025	22	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	9	9	20	90	24	8	0	100%	2.2	26.7%	8.9%	17.8%	0.0%	3.20	1.88	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	17	12	56	267	67	48	3	71%	3.3	19.3%	20.7%	-1.4%	1.4%	6.63	4.86	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	17	12	56	267	67	48	3	71%	3.3	19.3%	20.7%	-1.4%	1.4%	6.63	4.86	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	Great Lakes Loons	17	12	56	267	67	48	3	71%	3.3	25.1%	18.0%	7.1%	1.1%	6.63	3.98	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	LAD	12	12	67	283	58	54	7	100%	5.6	20.4%	18.9%	1.5%	2.6%	5.61	5.61	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	LAD	12	12	68	287	61	47	8	100%	5.7	21.1%	16.4%	4.7%	2.7%	5.33	5.24	-0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	LAD	11	11	68	287	62	45	8	100%	6.2	21.5%	15.8%	5.7%	2.7%	5.19	5.15	-0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	LAD	11	11	67	283	61	44	8	100%	6.1	21.6%	15.6%	6.0%	2.8%	5.14	5.14	-0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	LAD	11	11	65	274	59	43	8	100%	5.9	21.5%	15.6%	6.0%	2.9%	5.17	5.21	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	LAD	5	5	29	122	26	20	3	100%	5.8	21.1%	16.4%	4.7%	2.7%	5.33	5.24	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	LAD	8	8	45	190	41	30	5	100%	5.6	21.5%	15.8%	5.7%	2.7%	5.19	5.15	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	LAD	9	9	52	220	47	34	6	100%	5.8	21.6%	15.6%	6.0%	2.8%	5.14	5.14	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	LAD	9	9	55	232	50	36	7	100%	6.1	21.5%	15.6%	6.0%	2.9%	5.17	5.21	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		30	30	181	764	164	120	21	100%	6.0	21.5%	15.8%	5.7%	2.8%	5.19	4.80	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	181	133	23	100%	6.0	21.5%	15.8%	5.7%	2.8%	5.19	4.80	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		26	21	75	357	69	65	4	81%	2.9	19.4%	18.1%	1.3%	1.1%	5.73	4.33	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		69	56	200	948	184	172	10	81%	2.9	19.4%	18.1%	1.3%	1.1%	5.73	4.33	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jakob Wright (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.61	20.4%	18.9%	2.6%	—	5.18	21.4%	5.5%	203	-0.43	—	—	—
Dante Biasi L 2022 · 4.91 FIP	24	SP-	4.91	18.7%	15.9%	2.5%	.288	6.65	20.1%	1.7%	69	+1.74	4.91	224	82
Nate Savino L 2024 · 5.85 FIP	22	SP	5.85	16.8%	18.8%	3.2%	.244	4.83	14.9%	2.0%	130	-1.02	4.26	176	78
Erik Rivera L 2024 · 5.71 FIP	23	SP-	5.71	19.0%	14.6%	4.3%	.255	4.74	23.9%	6.3%	106	-0.97	4.42	141	78
Luke Fox L 2024 · 5.24 FIP	22	SP	5.24	21.8%	19.2%	2.8%	.284	4.16	21.4%	8.1%	125	-1.08	3.60	156	76
Seth Lonsway L 2023 · 5.20 FIP	24	SP-	5.20	13.8%	15.3%	2.4%	.317	4.17	15.5%	4.7%	321	-1.03	3.35	506	75
Bodi Rascon L 2023 · 4.92 FIP	22	SP	4.92	17.5%	14.5%	2.7%	.264	5.66	11.5%	-8.3%	43	+0.74	4.18	218	72
Larson Kindreich L 2023 · 5.29 FIP	24	SW	5.29	21.5%	18.8%	3.0%	.269	4.68	23.0%	9.0%	79	-0.61	4.16	214	72
Brett Adcock L 2019 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP	5.34	17.4%	13.6%	3.6%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	301	71
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	71
Brooks Gosswein L 2023 · 5.61 FIP	24	SP-	5.61	15.2%	17.9%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	5.13	165	71
Liam Sullivan L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP	5.78	25.7%	20.5%	4.1%	.290	5.79	20.9%	7.2%	141	+0.01	4.45	156	71
Matt Imhof L 2016 · 5.68 FIP	22	SP-	5.68	15.9%	21.3%	2.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	5.13	131	70
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	69
Kevin Smith L 2021 · 5.54 FIP	24	SP	5.54	23.8%	16.5%	4.3%	.296	6.20	17.5%	1.3%	48	+0.66	3.26	248	67
Bryce Hubbart L 2024 · 5.45 FIP	23	SP-	5.45	15.5%	13.8%	3.5%	.313	5.14	19.9%	6.3%	82	-0.31	4.79	194	67
Anderson Polanco L 2016 · 4.42 FIP	23	SP-	4.42	17.8%	14.2%	1.9%	.342	5.59	19.5%	0.5%	112	+1.17	4.10	316	67
Christian MacLeod L 2024 · 4.77 FIP	24	SP	4.77	21.5%	13.6%	3.2%	.269	4.50	18.0%	3.0%	128	-0.27	3.88	280	66
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	65
Cole Kirschsieper L 2023 · 5.07 FIP	22	SP-	5.07	15.2%	12.0%	3.2%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	5.07	105	65
Jaylen Nowlin L 2024 · 5.15 FIP	23	SP-	5.15	18.7%	12.6%	3.7%	.299	4.77	21.7%	3.2%	100	-0.38	3.45	372	65

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	21.2%	16.5%	1.05	5.29
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Derrick Turnbow ('08)	1.3	64	23.4%	14.8%	0.87	4.30
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*
Ken Wright ('70-'74, -0 WAR*)	1.2	79	23.8%*	16.1%*	0.70*	5.24*