Weber Neels

C Visalia Rawhide

Age 24 R/R A HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1720ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	23	AARI	56	.365/.411/.750	3	0	130	—	.264/.304/.528
2027PROJMLE	24	MLBARI	200	.217/.270/.382	5	2	81	0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBARI	28	.228/.281/.400	1	0	82	0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBARI	69	.229/.283/.401	2	1	83	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

wOBA99

wRC+99

ISO99

K%55

Whiff%50

Z-Con%41

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsNick Cimillo (age 24) · Tyler Marlette (age 24) · Jaxx Groshans (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 55 proj PA

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .268 / .379

PA55

HR1

K%31

BB%5

ISO166

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	23	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	56	52	19	11	0	3	2	13	2	0	0	365	411	750	1.161	385	444	23	4	496	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	56	53	14	8	0	2	1	18	2	0	0	264	304	528	832	264	371	32	2	361	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	56	53	14	8	0	2	1	18	2	0	0	264	304	528	832	264	364	32	2	361	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	—	56	52	19	11	0	3	2	13	2	0	0	365	411	750	1.161	385	444	23	4	496	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	56	53	14	8	0	2	1	18	2	0	0	264	304	528	832	264	371	32	2	361	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	56	53	14	8	0	2	1	18	2	0	0	264	304	528	832	264	371	32	2	361	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	200	185	40	14	1	5	10	61	3	2	1	217	270	382	652	166	291	30	5	288	81	-5	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	ARI	30%	94	88	18	6	0	2	5	28	1	1	0	218	273	384	657	166	291	30	5	290	82	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	ARI	44%	156	144	32	10	1	4	9	46	2	2	1	220	275	385	660	166	291	29	6	292	83	-3	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	ARI	49%	200	184	40	13	1	5	11	59	3	2	1	220	276	384	660	164	291	30	6	292	84	-4	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.4
2031	28	MLB MLE	ARI	51%	235	216	48	15	1	6	14	69	3	2	1	219	276	381	657	161	290	29	6	291	83	-5	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	ARI	51%	253	233	51	16	1	6	15	74	3	1	1	218	276	376	652	158	288	29	6	289	82	-6	-0	-1	+5	+5	0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	ARI	30%	28	26	6	2	0	1	2	8	0	0	0	228	281	400	682	173	307	29	7	300	82	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	ARI	44%	69	64	14	5	0	2	4	21	1	1	0	229	283	401	685	172	307	30	6	301	83	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	ARI	49%	98	91	21	7	1	2	6	29	1	1	0	229	285	399	684	171	306	30	6	301	84	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	ARI	51%	121	111	26	9	1	3	7	36	2	1	0	228	285	396	680	168	304	30	6	300	83	-2	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	ARI	51%	130	119	27	9	1	3	8	38	2	0	0	227	284	391	674	164	303	29	6	298	82	-3	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	446	411	94	32	3	11	27	132	6	3	0	229	286	401	687	173	307	30	6	300	85	-9	+1	-1	+8	+10	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	137	47	4	16	39	192	9	4	0	229	286	401	687	172	307	30	6	300	85	-13	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	1049	969	214	72	4	26	58	311	15	9	4	221	275	384	659	163	296	30	6	294	85	-21	+0	-2	+18	+22	1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	600	132	45	2	16	36	193	9	6	2	220	274	382	656	162	295	30	6	294	85	-13	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AVisalia Rawhide · 56 PAwOBA .481 → .361 (−120)K% 23.2% → 31.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.21%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	31.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.57%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.990	2.44%
HBP% /PA	3.57%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	2.76%
Singles /BIP	12.82%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×0.990	11.68%
Doubles /BIP	28.21%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×0.990	23.18%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	—	×0.990	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.69%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.990	6.09%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .481 → .361; ISO .385 → .282; BABIP .444 → .371. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Chris Widger'95-'06 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,998 PA	3.0	1,998	55	10	227*	283*	381*	+33	-0	3.6	4.1
/162	664	18	3	+11.1	-0.2	1.2	pk7: 5
#4Brian Johnson'94-'01 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	49	1	237*	279*	395*	+26	-0	3.5	3.7
/162	664	21	0	+11.1	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#5Mike Difelice'96-'08 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,714 PA	2.6	1,714	28	3	226*	277*	345*	+30	+0	0.6	1.5
/162	664	11	1	+11.7	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	0.8	501	13	4	220	273	383	+9	+12	1.2	1.2
/162	664	17	5	+11.9	+15.9	1.7	pk7: 1
#6Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Weber Neels (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	215/268/379	164	291	1	1	31%	5%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Cimillo 2024 · A	24	42→37	49→55	47→40	45	211/291/359	149	291	16	5	32%	9%	84	+0.2	206/277/378	172	264	21	5	29%	8%	84	+0.1	191/263/365	174	240	22	3	30%	8%	73	-0.4
✕Tyler Marlette 2017 · AA	24	45→43	48→50	45	40	228/271/371	143	292	16	6	28%	5%	79	-0.2	218/267/341	123	287	13	5	28%	6%	70	-0.8	210/262/326	116	274	13	3	27%	6%	62	-1.1
✕Jaxx Groshans 2022 · A	24	46	47→50	47→30	46	228/292/362	134	300	15	4	28%	8%	84	+0.2	198/263/320	122	284	13	5	33%	8%	65	-1.2	121/197/239	117	168	13	0	36%	8%	20	-1.5
✕Kyle Martin 2009 · A	24	42	49→55	45	40	217/260/363	146	268	17	5	26%	5%	73	-0.6	203/256/307	104	268	9	7	27%	6%	59	-1.7	143/201/202	59	189	3	6	25%	5%	15	-1.2
✕Braxton Fulford 2023 · A	24	44→41	47→50	52→50	44	216/299/348	131	298	14	10	31%	8%	85	+0.2	213/288/349	136	291	14	10	30%	7%	82	-0.0	207/283/351	144	282	15	9	30%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Andrew Young 2018 · A	24	45→46	49→55	50→40	40	226/292/373	147	297	16	7	29%	5%	88	+0.5	226/303/391	165	279	20	5	26%	6%	97	+1.1	219/301/403	184	282	23	3	30%	6%	96	+0.8
✕Christian Koss 2022 · A	24	42→47	47→45	50	39	217/262/353	136	281	15	9	29%	5%	72	-0.7	224/268/346	122	299	12	14	28%	4%	72	-0.7	246/294/365	119	307	12	15	23%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	38→47	46→45	49→50	43	195/275/324	129	258	13	9	29%	7%	71	-0.8	216/290/343	127	275	12	9	25%	7%	80	-0.1	222/297/349	127	274	11	8	22%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Chris Wallace 2011 · A	23	46→41	47→55	47→45	37	228/280/359	131	318	15	6	32%	5%	80	-0.2	225/277/362	137	309	15	4	31%	5%	80	-0.2	222/274/358	136	307	15	2	31%	5%	75	-0.2
✕Zachery Almond 2019 · A	23	45	48→55	48→40	40	229/271/365	136	284	16	4	25%	5%	78	-0.3	198/253/296	98	288	9	5	32%	7%	55	-1.9	162/226/242	79	245	7	3	35%	7%	34	-2.1
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	44	46→45	48→50	42	221/284/348	127	282	13	11	26%	6%	79	-0.2	210/265/327	117	265	13	7	25%	5%	67	-1.1	194/247/303	110	239	13	5	25%	5%	52	-1.2
✕Devin Mann 2021 · A	24	44→45	49→50	44→45	46	224/292/371	148	289	17	7	28%	8%	87	+0.4	217/297/370	153	284	16	5	28%	8%	89	+0.5	213/299/370	157	281	17	4	29%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Jakson Reetz 2021 · A	25	42→33	46→55	44→45	42	208/286/332	125	292	14	5	32%	7%	77	-0.3	196/273/349	153	268	18	5	33%	6%	76	-0.4	198/277/386	187	246	23	4	29%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Alex Isola 2022 · A	24	39→44	50	47→40	46	205/273/349	143	260	19	4	29%	8%	76	-0.4	217/284/350	133	273	16	4	26%	8%	79	-0.2	209/277/330	121	257	15	4	24%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Joshua Hansen 2006 · A	24	42→40	50	46→30	38	218/265/367	149	291	19	3	32%	6%	76	-0.4	207/250/344	137	272	16	4	30%	5%	65	-1.2	188/228/321	132	238	16	1	29%	4%	49	-2.1
✕Kendall Simmons 2024 · A	24	38	49→50	48→50	39	200/266/350	150	279	17	9	34%	6%	73	-0.6	209/268/339	130	307	14	8	35%	6%	71	-0.8	195/253/316	121	290	13	7	36%	5%	57	-0.6
✕Tucker Mitchell 2024 · A	23	43	47→50	50→45	40	210/286/337	127	310	15	9	35%	7%	78	-0.3	198/250/292	94	278	10	7	31%	5%	53	-2.1	162/205/229	67	228	8	5	32%	4%	18	-1.7
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA	24	38→40	47→60	48→45	42	198/263/331	133	270	14	9	32%	7%	68	-1.0	210/285/377	167	290	20	5	33%	8%	86	+0.3	210/288/419	208	272	29	1	33%	8%	97	+0.6
✕John Hester 2008 · A	24	42	46→55	47→50	40	212/260/340	128	278	13	7	29%	6%	68	-1.0	239/279/388	149	311	14	9	27%	5%	86	+0.3	251/294/417	165	322	14	10	26%	5%	96	+0.6
✕Travis Scott 2009 · A	24	43	49→55	46→40	42	221/276/367	146	289	17	5	29%	7%	80	-0.1	220/272/371	151	280	17	5	27%	6%	80	-0.2	220/274/391	171	267	19	2	25%	6%	84	+0.1

Weber Neels

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps