Player 809730 — OGILVIE

Player 8097301B Visalia Rawhide

Age — —/— A HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION56 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†91

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .273 / .300

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP310

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	A MLE	ARI	—	56	53	15	8	0	3	1	17	2	0	0	283	321	604	925	321	364	30	2	376	141	+3	+0	+0	-1	+1	0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	A RAW	ARI	—	56	52	19	11	0	3	2	13	2	0	0	365	411	750	1.161	385	444	23	4	496	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	A MLE	ARI	0%	11	10	2	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	200	273	300	573	100	300	27	9	303	91	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	—	A MLE	ARI	—	67	63	17	9	0	3	2	20	2	0	0	270	313	556	869	286	350	30	3	364	132	+3	+0	+0	-1	+1	0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	217	200	45	16	1	6	11	65	4	2	1	225	279	405	684	180	297	30	5	302	91	-2	+0	+0	-4	+5	-0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	343	315	71	24	1	10	19	101	6	3	1	225	282	403	686	178	297	29	6	304	92	-3	+0	+0	-6	+7	-0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	428	393	90	29	2	13	25	125	7	4	2	229	287	412	699	183	296	29	6	305	93	-4	+0	+0	-8	+9	-0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	485	446	102	33	2	15	28	140	8	5	2	229	286	413	699	184	296	29	6	306	93	-4	+0	+0	-9	+11	-0.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	525	481	110	36	2	16	31	152	8	5	2	229	287	412	698	183	295	29	6	306	93	-4	+0	+0	-9	+11	-0.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	552	506	116	38	2	17	32	160	9	5	2	229	287	413	700	184	295	29	6	306	93	-5	+0	+0	-10	+12	-0.2
2033	25	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	572	525	119	39	2	17	33	166	9	6	2	227	284	406	690	179	295	29	6	306	93	-5	+0	+0	-10	+12	-0.2
2034	25	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	587	538	122	40	2	18	34	170	10	6	2	227	285	409	694	182	294	29	6	306	93	-5	+0	+0	-10	+13	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	ARI	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	307	—	—	295	91	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	ARI	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	306	—	—	296	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	ARI	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	305	—	—	297	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	ARI	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	304	—	—	298	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	ARI	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	304	—	—	298	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	ARI	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	304	—	—	298	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	ARI	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	303	—	—	298	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	ARI	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	303	—	—	298	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3720	3414	777	256	14	112	214	1082	61	36	14	228	285	409	694	182	297	29	6	305	93	-32	+2	+0	-66	+81	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	136	45	2	20	37	189	11	6	2	228	285	410	696	183	297	29	6	305	93	-6	+0	+0	-12	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Duvalllast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,723 PA	5.6	3,723	195	22	227	287	459	-31	+11	11.0	11.8
/162	664	35	4	-5.5	+2.0	2.0	pk7: 13
#2Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#3Scott Hairstonlast yr '14 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,624 PA	4.0	2,624	106	36	242	297	444	-18	-16	6.0	6.6
/162	664	27	9	-4.5	-4.1	1.5	pk7: 7
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.9	3,924	117	38	228	282	409	-44	+0	3.6	3.5
/162	664	20	7	-7.4	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3
#6Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 809730 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	223/275/410	187	300	6	2	31%	5%	91	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Travis Vetters 2009 · A	25	47	49→65	49→45	36	234/277/386	152	311	16	6	30%	4%	85	+0.2	219/278/324	105	323	8	6	33%	6%	71	-0.8	187/266/260	74	303	3	0	36%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Jake Scheiner 2021 · A	25	44→52	50→55	44→40	41	228/277/380	152	286	17	6	27%	5%	83	+0.1	217/286/380	163	289	19	4	30%	8%	87	+0.4	208/286/375	167	269	21	3	30%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Joe Mather 2007 · A	25	42→45	49→60	53→50	40	216/267/368	152	270	16	7	26%	5%	78	-0.3	224/287/405	181	251	23	10	21%	6%	94	+0.9	216/284/406	190	230	25	11	20%	6%	91	+0.5
✕Andrew Young 2018 · A	24	45→46	49→55	50→40	40	227/294/375	148	298	16	7	29%	5%	89	+0.5	226/303/389	163	279	20	5	26%	6%	97	+1.1	219/300/401	182	282	23	3	30%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Alex Frazier 2006 · A	25	42→39	52→55	44→45	44	220/295/384	164	279	20	6	28%	8%	92	+0.7	209/262/332	123	281	14	5	30%	5%	67	-1.1	188/226/290	102	254	12	1	30%	3%	42	-1.7
●David Villar 2022 · AA	25	43	51→60	48→40	40	221/287/380	159	306	19	6	33%	6%	88	+0.4	219/303/407	188	290	24	5	32%	9%	101	+1.4	208/297/390	182	274	24	3	32%	9%	92	+0.6
✕Hunter Owen 2019 · A	25	42→38	48→55	48→40	34	212/270/358	145	299	16	5	34%	4%	77	-0.3	207/267/362	155	303	20	4	37%	5%	76	-0.4	188/249/344	156	277	22	2	39%	5%	64	-0.8
✕Kyle Martin 2009 · A	24	42	49→55	45	40	220/264/370	149	273	17	5	26%	5%	76	-0.4	205/259/310	105	271	9	7	27%	6%	61	-1.5	147/207/208	61	195	3	6	25%	5%	18	-1.2
✕Mike Bianucci 2011 · A	25	40	52→60	41→40	36	215/259/377	162	280	21	4	32%	5%	76	-0.4	213/259/369	156	270	20	4	29%	4%	74	-0.5	226/265/420	194	260	28	2	25%	4%	87	+0.2
✕Chris Curley 2013 · A	25	43→53	50	51→45	36	223/262/375	153	285	19	9	29%	4%	77	-0.3	238/279/369	131	294	14	8	24%	4%	82	-0.0	239/279/365	126	291	13	7	22%	4%	78	-0.2
✕Derek Campbell 2017 · A	26	42	46→60	45	37	211/270/337	126	271	13	6	27%	4%	72	-0.7	217/272/331	114	296	11	6	29%	5%	70	-0.8	201/247/285	84	283	8	0	31%	4%	46	-0.7
✕Tyler Moore 2011 · A	24	41→48	53→65	44→40	37	216/260/390	173	285	21	2	32%	5%	80	-0.2	231/275/429	198	292	25	4	30%	5%	95	+0.9	234/281/438	204	290	26	3	29%	5%	96	+0.7
✕Alexander Palma 2021 · A	25	46	50	50→45	41	237/281/388	151	289	18	8	25%	5%	87	+0.4	222/258/352	130	267	16	5	23%	4%	70	-0.9	215/242/345	130	246	19	0	22%	3%	61	-0.9
✕Aderlin Rodríguez 2017 · AA	25	43→48	49→55	42→30	37	223/261/367	144	284	17	3	28%	4%	74	-0.5	239/280/395	156	289	20	2	24%	4%	88	+0.4	238/283/415	178	287	23	1	26%	4%	92	+0.5
✕Joe Davis 2022 · A	25	47	53→55	43→30	40	244/284/411	167	292	22	3	25%	5%	94	+0.9	222/265/382	160	268	23	4	26%	5%	80	-0.2	190/231/352	161	209	28	0	26%	4%	57	-0.9
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2007 · A	23	42→48	49→55	49→50	43	216/280/366	151	284	17	7	30%	7%	82	-0.0	206/259/371	165	258	20	9	28%	6%	75	-0.5	239/297/403	165	282	19	7	22%	7%	93	+0.6
✕Eric Arnold 2006 · A	26	44→41	51→55	47→30	37	221/274/385	164	317	19	4	36%	6%	84	+0.1	209/255/348	139	325	15	4	38%	5%	68	-1.0	187/224/323	136	294	15	0	41%	4%	49	-1.4
✕Devin Mann 2021 · A	24	44	49→50	44→45	46	222/291/369	146	287	17	7	28%	8%	86	+0.3	215/294/365	150	282	16	5	28%	8%	87	+0.4	210/294/364	154	277	16	4	29%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Sean Bouchard 2022 · AA	26	42→44	49→55	47→50	39	214/267/368	155	297	15	10	33%	6%	77	-0.3	228/315/410	182	304	20	14	30%	10%	105	+1.7	223/323/414	192	292	21	16	29%	12%	107	+0.9
✕Mike Wilson 2008 · AA	25	40→50	50→55	46→50	38	204/268/355	151	298	18	6	36%	6%	75	-0.5	211/288/381	170	286	21	10	33%	8%	88	+0.5	227/301/395	168	289	21	9	28%	9%	93	+0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps