Luis Sotillo — OGILVIE

Luis Sotillo P FCL Mets

Age 21 LHP 6'3" / 176 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 17 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134142vR 150

ERA6.16

FIP6.16

K%18.2%

BB%20.5%

K-BB%-2.3%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	8	2	14	76	15	19	2	25%	1.8	13.4%	31.2%	-17.8%	4.2%	8.16	8.25	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	8	2	14	76	15	19	2	25%	1.8	13.4%	31.2%	-17.8%	4.2%	8.16	8.25	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	8	2	14	76	15	19	2	25%	1.8	19.7%	25.0%	-5.3%	2.6%	8.16	6.80	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	12	11	32	151	22	28	2	92%	2.6	9.9%	23.2%	-13.3%	1.7%	6.82	6.14	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	12	11	32	151	22	28	2	92%	2.6	9.9%	23.2%	-13.3%	1.7%	6.82	6.14	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	12	11	32	151	22	28	2	92%	2.6	14.6%	18.5%	-4.0%	1.3%	6.82	5.18	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	19	0	24	124	33	33	2	0%	1.3	20.0%	31.6%	-11.5%	1.5%	8.62	6.22	—
YTD	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	19	0	24	124	33	33	2	0%	1.3	20.0%	31.6%	-11.5%	1.5%	8.62	6.22	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	NYM	15	0	19	95	28	24	1	0%	1.2	29.5%	25.3%	4.2%	1.1%	7.71	4.39	—
2026	21	A RAW	NYM	4	0	5	29	5	9	1	0%	1.3	17.2%	31.0%	-13.8%	3.4%	11.81	7.47	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	NYM	28	0	30	126	25	21	4	0%	1.1	20.0%	17.0%	3.0%	2.9%	5.71	5.54	-0.3
2027	22	MLB CTX	NYM	14	0	15	63	13	11	2	0%	1.1	20.0%	17.0%	3.0%	2.9%	5.71	5.54	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	62	12	11	2	0%	1.0	20.0%	17.0%	3.0%	2.9%	5.71	5.16	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	150	27	0%	1.1	20.0%	17.0%	3.0%	2.9%	5.71	5.16	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		39	13	70	351	50	98	8	33%	1.8	14.2%	27.9%	-13.6%	2.2%	7.71	6.62	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		111	37	200	1003	143	280	22	33%	1.8	14.2%	27.9%	-13.6%	2.2%	7.71	6.62	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Sotillo (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.16	18.2%	20.5%	3.0%	—	5.54	20.0%	3.0%	30	-0.62	—	—	—
Brayan Restituyo L 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SU	5.53	17.4%	17.3%	3.1%	.312	4.76	17.6%	5.6%	151	-0.77	3.66	239	78
Kikito Severino L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	21	SW	5.78	11.9%	19.5%	2.2%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.87	135	78
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	78
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	77
Brayan De Paula L 2019 · 6.00 FIP	20	SW	6.00	16.9%	16.4%	4.1%	.272	4.58	20.9%	6.1%	59	-1.42	3.57	243	75
Gregori Louis L 2023 · 6.48 FIP	20	SU	6.48	17.3%	20.4%	4.1%	.241	4.37	19.6%	2.9%	111	-2.11	3.58	149	75
Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	17.0%	26.0%	1.7%	.303	5.32	17.8%	4.0%	148	-0.55	4.79	193	75
Alex Robinson L 2016 · 5.59 FIP	21	SU	5.59	22.4%	26.9%	1.8%	.243	4.03	23.8%	8.8%	90	-1.56	3.69	135	74
Adrian Almeida L 2016 · 5.65 FIP	21	SU	5.65	18.6%	15.3%	4.0%	.295	4.97	18.4%	-4.1%	119	-0.68	4.27	188	74
Blake Townsend L 2022 · 5.83 FIP	21	SU	5.83	18.3%	17.5%	3.8%	.170	3.73	18.1%	8.4%	167	-2.10	3.34	305	74
Spencer Giesting L 2022 · 5.80 FIP	21	SP-	5.80	20.8%	16.6%	4.3%	.290	4.31	18.9%	7.9%	394	-1.49	3.58	457	74
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.15	23.9%	5.2%	99	-2.27	3.91	148	74
Starlin Savinon L 2023 · 7.01 FIP	18	SU	7.01	14.9%	27.3%	3.1%	.327	3.87	17.2%	2.4%	109	-3.14	3.67	128	74
Felix Polanco L 2021 · 5.49 FIP	21	SU	5.49	16.1%	13.0%	3.8%	.275	4.39	18.8%	6.2%	51	-1.10	3.68	105	73
Max Herrmann L 2017 · 5.09 FIP	24	SU	5.09	15.0%	17.9%	1.8%	.333	4.37	12.2%	0.8%	152	-0.72	3.93	168	73
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	73
Ryan Anderson L 2021 · 5.71 FIP	22	SP-	5.71	14.7%	26.1%	1.0%	.373	3.73	20.3%	11.0%	149	-1.98	2.80	214	73
Kevin Escorcia L 2016 · 5.05 FIP	21	SU	5.05	17.3%	21.2%	1.3%	.233	3.48	22.1%	9.2%	129	-1.57	3.16	189	73
Luis Silva L 2018 · 5.05 FIP	21	SU	5.05	14.1%	13.4%	2.6%	.311	6.59	8.7%	-7.4%	12	+1.54	4.48	107	73
Jayvien Sandridge L 2019 · 6.78 FIP	20	SU	6.78	19.0%	23.9%	4.1%	.324	3.61	27.9%	5.2%	41	-3.17	3.34	223	73