Javier González

Javier González P FCL Orioles

Age 20 RHP 6'0" / 150 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.78

FIP4.78

K%19.7%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%8.9%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	11	11	43	184	42	16	6	100%	3.9	15.5%	10.9%	4.7%	5.4%	5.48	6.12	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	11	11	43	184	42	16	6	100%	3.9	15.5%	10.9%	4.7%	5.4%	5.48	6.12	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	11	11	43	184	42	16	6	100%	3.9	22.8%	8.7%	14.1%	3.3%	5.48	4.08	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	10	8	34	150	38	11	0	80%	3.4	17.2%	9.2%	8.1%	0.0%	3.93	2.81	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	10	8	34	150	38	11	0	80%	3.4	17.2%	9.2%	8.1%	0.0%	3.93	2.81	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	10	8	34	150	38	11	0	80%	3.4	25.3%	7.3%	18.0%	0.0%	3.93	1.85	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	4	39	176	41	19	2	31%	3.0	15.5%	12.1%	3.4%	1.9%	5.77	4.38	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	4	39	176	41	19	2	31%	3.0	15.5%	12.1%	3.4%	1.9%	5.77	4.38	—
2025	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	4	39	176	41	19	2	31%	3.0	23.3%	10.8%	12.5%	1.1%	5.77	3.13	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	22	0	29	133	33	14	3	0%	1.3	17.3%	13.0%	4.3%	2.9%	2.76	4.90	—
YTD	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	22	0	29	133	33	14	3	0%	1.3	17.3%	13.0%	4.3%	2.9%	2.76	4.90	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	BAL	12	0	18	77	24	11	0	0%	1.5	31.2%	14.3%	16.9%	0.0%	1.00	2.28	—
2026	20	A RAW	BAL	10	0	11	56	9	3	3	0%	1.1	16.1%	5.4%	10.7%	5.4%	5.56	5.36	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	BAL	35	0	37	156	32	16	4	0%	1.1	20.6%	10.0%	10.6%	2.9%	4.64	4.58	-0.0
2027	21	MLB CTX	BAL	17	0	18	76	16	8	2	0%	1.1	20.6%	10.0%	10.6%	2.9%	4.64	4.58	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	77	16	8	2	0%	1.1	20.6%	10.0%	10.6%	2.9%	4.64	4.20	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	176	88	22	0%	1.1	20.6%	10.0%	10.6%	2.9%	4.64	4.20	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		56	23	145	643	105	72	17	41%	2.6	16.3%	11.2%	5.0%	2.7%	4.64	4.62	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		77	32	200	885	144	99	24	41%	2.6	16.3%	11.2%	5.0%	2.7%	4.64	4.62	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Javier González (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.78	19.7%	10.8%	2.9%	—	4.58	20.6%	10.6%	37	-0.20	—	—	—
Saul Teran R 2022 · 4.81 FIP	20	SW	4.81	17.5%	9.8%	3.5%	.333	3.88	20.8%	8.7%	94	-0.93	2.28	166	90
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.01	538	85
Luis Aguilar R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	17.6%	10.3%	2.8%	.356	4.27	16.7%	6.7%	111	-0.18	3.51	146	84
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	83
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	82
Huei-Sheng Lin R 2019 · 4.59 FIP	20	SW	4.59	17.4%	7.4%	3.7%	.360	5.64	16.1%	3.7%	88	+1.05	4.59	120	82
Edgar Sanchez R 2021 · 3.89 FIP	20	SW	3.89	17.2%	11.0%	1.5%	.288	4.34	16.2%	3.0%	189	+0.45	2.53	257	82
Adrián Martinez R 2017 · 4.30 FIP	20	SW	4.30	18.8%	8.4%	3.1%	.329	4.25	17.3%	7.6%	92	-0.05	2.02	526	82
Carlos Espinosa R 2022 · 3.73 FIP	20	SW	3.73	17.0%	11.2%	1.2%	.260	4.52	22.0%	9.8%	177	+0.79	3.73	274	82
Denis Reguillo R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	19	SW	5.27	17.6%	11.6%	4.0%	.358	5.19	10.7%	-8.3%	52	-0.08	3.78	109	82
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	82
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	81
Joel Garcia R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	19	SW	4.26	18.4%	13.0%	1.9%	.341	3.88	16.7%	9.5%	72	-0.38	3.02	104	81
Davis Martin R 2018 · 3.59 FIP	21	SW	3.59	16.3%	8.2%	1.5%	.317	4.71	18.9%	10.7%	233	+1.12	3.56	738	81
Carlos Campos R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	20	SU	4.82	20.4%	10.7%	3.8%	.304	5.85	15.3%	8.1%	19	+1.03	4.82	134	81
Joel Ibarra R 2022 · 4.08 FIP	20	SW	4.08	21.4%	13.8%	1.9%	.323	4.74	19.6%	-3.4%	86	+0.66	4.08	155	81
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	81
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	80
Johzan Oquendo R 2021 · 4.22 FIP	20	SW	4.22	18.4%	14.5%	1.5%	.294	3.65	23.5%	5.7%	113	-0.57	3.62	187	80
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	20.3%	10.3%	1.12	4.69
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21