Adriander Mejía

Adriander MejíaC FCL Orioles

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK HR +8%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 4.1 · 2033

wRC+†87

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .306 / .353

PA103

HR2

K%23

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

55↗60

PWR

33↗38

SPD

47↗52

EYE

53↗58

trajectory · 10 yrs

4.1peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+4.0	$38M	+$37M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+4.1	$40M	+$39M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+4.1	$42M	+$41M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+4.0	$42M	+$34M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$13M	+3.8	$41M	+$28M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$17M	+3.6	$40M	+$23M
Totals		$41M		$243M	+$202M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	16	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	178	164	32	6	0	1	10	43	2	1	2	.195	.250	.250	.500	.055	.256	24	6	.226	31	-14	-1	+0	+3	+5	-0.6
2024	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	198	172	37	5	1	2	19	22	4	6	0	.215	.308	.291	.598	.076	.232	11	10	.265	61	-9	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.2
2025	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	122	104	20	3	0	1	10	40	4	3	0	.192	.288	.250	.538	.058	.288	33	8	.241	43	-8	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	BAL	103	92	22	4	1	2	9	24	1	2	0	.239	.314	.370	.683	.130	.291	23	9	.299	87	-1	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 11%	BAL	192	169	43	8	1	5	18	42	3	4	1	.254	.337	.402	.739	.148	.301	22	9	.320	103	+1	+0	+0	+3	+5	1.0
2028	21	MLB 28%	BAL	326	286	72	13	2	8	32	70	5	7	2	.252	.337	.395	.733	.143	.302	21	10	.328	109	+3	+1	+0	+6	+9	1.9
2029	22	MLB 48%	BAL	424	373	95	17	2	12	42	89	6	10	2	.255	.340	.408	.747	.153	.303	21	10	.334	114	+7	+1	+0	+8	+12	2.8
2030	23	MLB 65%	BAL	490	430	111	20	3	14	50	100	7	11	2	.258	.345	.416	.761	.158	.303	20	10	.339	118	+10	+1	+0	+9	+14	3.5
2031	24	MLB 82%	BAL	520	453	118	21	3	15	55	105	7	11	2	.260	.350	.419	.769	.159	.304	20	11	.344	121	+12	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.9
2032	25	MLB	BAL	520	452	119	21	3	16	56	104	7	11	2	.263	.353	.429	.783	.166	.305	20	11	.347	124	+14	+1	+0	+9	+15	4.0
2033	26	MLB	BAL	520	451	119	21	3	16	57	104	7	11	2	.264	.355	.430	.785	.166	.305	20	11	.349	125	+15	+1	+0	+9	+15	4.1
2034	27	MLB	BAL	520	451	118	21	3	16	57	104	7	11	2	.262	.353	.428	.781	.166	.305	20	11	.349	125	+15	+1	+0	+9	+15	4.1
2035	28	MLB	BAL	520	450	118	21	3	16	58	105	7	10	2	.262	.355	.429	.784	.167	.305	20	11	.348	124	+14	+1	-1	+9	+15	4.0
2036	29	MLB	BAL	520	450	118	21	3	16	58	107	7	10	1	.262	.355	.429	.784	.167	.305	21	11	.346	123	+13	+2	-1	+9	+15	3.8
2037	30	MLB	BAL	520	450	116	21	2	15	58	109	7	9	1	.258	.351	.413	.765	.156	.304	21	11	.343	121	+12	+1	-2	+9	+15	3.6
2038	31	MLB	BAL	504	436	111	20	2	14	56	107	7	8	0	.255	.349	.406	.755	.151	.303	21	11	.339	118	+10	+2	-3	+9	+14	3.3
2039	32	MLB	BAL	489	425	107	19	2	14	54	107	7	7	0	.252	.346	.405	.750	.153	.302	22	11	.335	115	+8	+1	-4	+9	+14	2.9
2040	33	MLB	BAL	450	391	97	17	2	12	50	101	6	6	0	.248	.342	.394	.736	.146	.302	22	11	.330	111	+5	+1	-4	+8	+13	2.4
2041	34	MLB	BAL	393	342	83	14	2	10	43	92	5	6	0	.243	.336	.383	.719	.140	.301	23	11	.324	106	+3	+1	-5	+7	+11	1.7
2042	35	MLB	BAL	334	291	69	12	1	8	36	81	4	5	0	.237	.329	.368	.697	.131	.300	24	11	.316	100	+0	+1	-6	+6	+9	1.1
2043	36	MLB	BAL	273	239	55	9	1	6	29	69	3	4	0	.230	.321	.351	.672	.121	.298	25	11	.308	94	-2	+1	-6	+5	+8	0.5
2044	37	MLB	BAL	213	185	42	7	1	4	23	56	3	4	0	.227	.322	.341	.663	.114	.295	26	11	.299	87	-3	+1	-7	+4	+6	0.0
2045	38	MLB	BAL	152	133	30	5	1	3	16	41	2	2	0	.226	.318	.346	.664	.120	.291	27	11	.288	79	-4	+0	-8	+3	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8481	7389	1852	326	42	226	896	1822	118	159	21	.251	.341	.398	.739	.147	.302	21	11	.330	111	+101	+23	-46	+151	+240	48.0
/ 162G	—			650	566	141	25	3	17	69	140	9	12	2	.249	.340	.394	.734	.145	.300	22	11	.330	111	+8	+2	-4	+12	+18	3.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	16	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	178	155	43	9	0	1	19	27	2	1	2	.277	.364	.355	.718	.077	.328	15	11	.327	109	+2	-1	—	—	+5	0.6
2024	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	198	158	46	6	2	2	33	15	4	6	0	.291	.426	.392	.818	.101	.306	8	17	.372	143	+10	+1	—	—	+6	1.7
2025	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	122	97	26	5	0	1	17	27	4	3	0	.268	.398	.351	.749	.082	.347	22	14	.339	118	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adriander Mejía (OGILVIE)	19	55→60	33→38	47→52	58	.231/.306/.353	.122	.291	2	2	23%	9%	87	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→56	42→45	49→50	46	.224/.285/.337	.113	.288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	.233/.299/.337	.104	.295	6	12	21%	8%	79	+0.3	.254/.316/.360	.106	.307	10	16	19%	7%	89	+0.7
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	50→59	41→50	50	56	.236/.325/.340	.104	.299	8	10	22%	12%	91	+1.1	.251/.334/.388	.137	.334	12	14	26%	11%	107	+2.2	.247/.330/.386	.139	.319	14	15	25%	10%	103	+1.9
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	46→54	45	52→40	48	.224/.296/.359	.134	.268	11	6	21%	7%	84	+0.6	.237/.302/.349	.112	.294	10	3	22%	7%	84	+0.6	.234/.338/.350	.116	.305	12	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
●Vaughn Grissom 2022 · A	21	52→62	42→50	53→55	48	.250/.318/.360	.110	.306	9	11	21%	7%	93	+1.3	.269/.332/.397	.128	.319	12	17	19%	7%	108	+2.3	.268/.333/.391	.123	.317	12	18	19%	7%	103	+1.6
●Lorenzo Cain 2006 · A	20	50→60	42→50	53→55	43	.239/.292/.353	.114	.300	8	10	22%	6%	79	+0.3	.245/.297/.340	.095	.323	6	16	24%	6%	78	+0.2	.299/.370/.422	.123	.348	12	25	16%	9%	126	+3.3
●Alejandro Kirk 2019 · A	20	52→59	48→50	50→40	52	.263/.322/.404	.141	.286	16	5	15%	8%	106	+2.2	.249/.323/.388	.139	.281	13	4	16%	9%	102	+1.9	.271/.356/.402	.130	.288	15	0	11%	11%	117	+1.9
●J.P. Crawford 2015 · A	20	51→58	41→45	47→50	51	.245/.310/.342	.096	.296	8	15	20%	8%	85	+0.7	.235/.303/.332	.097	.280	8	11	18%	9%	79	+0.3	.263/.355/.386	.123	.307	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.8
●Willy Adames 2015 · A	19	48→53	41→60	47→50	46	.224/.293/.338	.114	.316	6	6	29%	8%	76	+0.1	.224/.290/.335	.111	.332	7	8	32%	8%	75	-0.0	.263/.332/.462	.199	.341	24	5	28%	9%	122	+2.4
★Carlos Correa 2014 · A	19	52→62	42→60	44→55	45	.248/.303/.360	.112	.313	8	7	23%	6%	86	+0.8	.266/.331/.425	.159	.323	15	16	21%	8%	115	+2.8	.284/.360/.488	.204	.328	24	14	20%	10%	137	+4.4
●Iván Herrera 2019 · A	19	51→57	38→50	46→50	42	.236/.300/.321	.085	.317	4	5	25%	6%	76	+0.0	.225/.293/.327	.102	.297	11	3	26%	7%	74	-0.1	.278/.371/.439	.161	.339	19	13	22%	11%	132	+2.8
●Bo Bichette 2017 · A	19	50→60	46→60	53→55	40	.243/.287/.379	.136	.324	13	8	28%	6%	85	+0.7	.267/.312/.417	.150	.332	13	17	23%	6%	105	+2.1	.305/.346/.482	.177	.358	22	13	20%	5%	135	+4.6
✕Luis Alvarez 2009 · A	19	47	43→45	44→45	48	.230/.303/.339	.110	.271	10	5	19%	7%	82	+0.5	.225/.291/.326	.101	.280	9	5	22%	6%	73	-0.1	.212/.264/.322	.111	.252	13	1	21%	4%	57	-0.3
●Luis Robert Jr. 2018 · A	20	48→58	43→60	52→60	46	.224/.316/.343	.119	.317	10	15	30%	9%	89	+1.0	.228/.285/.372	.144	.324	14	22	33%	5%	83	+0.6	.284/.330/.497	.213	.339	28	17	24%	5%	131	+2.8
●Wilson Ramos 2008 · A	20	47→57	43→55	45→30	41	.233/.274/.344	.111	.282	10	5	22%	4%	70	-0.3	.245/.283/.364	.119	.308	12	2	24%	4%	79	+0.3	.291/.339/.471	.180	.318	24	0	17%	7%	125	+2.3
●Wander Franco 2021 · A	20	54→57	45→55	47→55	53	.260/.315/.389	.128	.277	11	10	11%	7%	98	+1.6	.271/.327/.427	.156	.294	14	13	13%	7%	114	+2.7	.279/.339/.452	.173	.300	16	20	12%	8%	120	+2.3
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	48→45	43→50	47→45	50	.231/.307/.347	.116	.285	10	9	22%	8%	85	+0.7	.226/.277/.353	.127	.290	14	8	26%	6%	74	-0.1	.224/.279/.364	.140	.271	17	6	24%	6%	75	+0.0
✕Luis Santana 2019 · A	20	54	40→45	51→50	50	.254/.323/.352	.098	.288	6	10	14%	7%	93	+1.3	.228/.295/.318	.090	.283	7	8	21%	6%	73	-0.1	.212/.267/.344	.132	.272	16	8	27%	5%	64	-0.4
●Andrés Giménez 2018 · A	19	50→60	39→50	48→55	48	.235/.303/.327	.092	.279	6	11	18%	6%	78	+0.2	.235/.290/.342	.107	.303	7	22	24%	5%	77	+0.1	.262/.326/.420	.159	.312	17	25	21%	5%	108	+2.1
●Angel Salome 2006 · A	20	51→61	49→50	49→45	44	.256/.292/.407	.151	.285	16	7	17%	5%	95	+1.4	.263/.298/.401	.138	.304	13	5	18%	5%	95	+1.4	.285/.321/.432	.146	.330	14	4	17%	4%	111	+1.6
✕Jesus Morelli 2009 · A	19	49	42→45	48→50	49	.233/.310/.344	.110	.300	9	12	24%	8%	85	+0.7	.223/.286/.295	.072	.303	4	10	26%	6%	63	-0.9	.219/.279/.260	.041	.287	0	14	22%	6%	47	-0.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)