Adriander Mejía

Adriander MejíaC FCL Orioles

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION150 act + 100 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .280 / .326

PA100

HR2

K%26

BB%6

BABIP281

ISO109

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.2	$11M	+$11M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.2	$10M	+$10M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.2	$10M	+$9M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+2.1	$8M	+$7M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+1.9	$7M	+$5M
2037	Arb-3	$8M	+1.7	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$21M		$53M	+$45M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	16	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	178	164	31	6	0	1	10	44	2	1	2	189	244	244	488	55	250	25	6	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	16	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	178	155	43	9	0	1	19	27	2	1	2	277	364	355	718	77	328	15	11	327	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	198	172	37	6	1	2	19	22	4	6	0	215	308	297	604	81	232	11	10	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	198	158	46	6	2	2	33	15	4	6	0	291	426	392	818	101	306	8	17	372	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	122	104	20	3	0	1	10	41	4	3	0	192	288	250	538	58	292	34	8	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	122	97	26	5	0	1	17	27	4	3	0	268	398	351	749	82	347	22	14	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	BAL	—	150	140	31	7	0	3	5	47	4	2	0	221	268	336	604	114	308	31	3	258	55	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
YTD	19	ROK	BAL	—	150	137	41	10	0	4	8	33	4	2	0	299	356	460	816	161	366	22	5	361	134	+6	+0	+0	+3	+4	1.3
ROS	19	ROK	BAL	0%	100	92	20	4	0	2	6	26	2	2	0	217	280	326	606	109	293	26	6	280	73	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
ROS	19	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		298	—	—	273	67	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	BAL	—	150	141	31	7	0	3	5	47	4	2	0	220	268	333	602	113	304	31	3	258	55	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK	BAL	—	250	232	51	11	0	5	11	73	6	4	0	220	273	332	605	112	297	29	4	267	62	-11	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	BAL	43%	285	260	60	12	1	6	19	71	4	5	1	231	293	354	647	123	294	25	7	289	80	-7	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2028	21	MLB	BAL	61%	397	361	85	17	2	8	27	97	6	7	2	235	299	360	660	125	295	24	7	296	85	-7	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.2
2029	22	MLB	BAL	68%	475	431	102	20	2	11	34	114	7	9	2	237	303	369	672	132	295	24	7	301	89	-6	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.7
2030	23	MLB	BAL	71%	520	470	112	22	2	12	37	124	8	10	2	238	305	370	675	132	296	24	7	304	91	-5	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.0
2031	24	MLB	BAL	71%	520	469	113	22	2	13	38	123	8	10	2	241	309	380	688	139	297	24	7	306	93	-4	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.1
2032	25	MLB	BAL	71%	520	469	113	22	2	13	38	122	8	10	2	241	309	380	688	139	297	23	7	307	93	-4	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.2
2033	26	MLB	BAL	71%	520	469	113	22	2	13	38	122	8	10	2	241	309	380	688	139	297	23	7	308	94	-4	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.2
2034	27	MLB	BAL	69%	520	468	113	22	2	13	39	123	8	10	2	241	311	380	691	139	296	24	8	308	94	-4	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.2
2035	28	MLB	BAL	69%	520	468	113	22	2	13	39	123	8	10	2	241	311	380	691	139	296	24	8	307	93	-4	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.1
2036	29	MLB	BAL	67%	520	468	111	22	2	12	39	124	8	10	2	237	307	370	676	132	295	24	8	305	92	-5	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.9
2037	30	MLB	BAL	66%	520	468	111	22	2	12	39	126	8	9	2	237	307	370	676	132	294	24	8	302	89	-6	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.7
2038	31	MLB	BAL	71%	504	453	106	21	2	11	38	123	8	9	2	234	305	362	667	128	292	24	8	298	86	-8	+1	-3	+9	+14	1.4
2039	32	MLB	BAL	74%	489	442	101	19	2	11	37	122	7	8	2	229	298	355	654	127	288	25	8	292	82	-10	+1	-4	+9	+14	1.0
2040	33	MLB	BAL	77%	450	406	90	17	1	9	34	114	7	7	2	222	293	335	628	113	284	25	8	286	77	-12	+1	-4	+8	+13	0.5
2041	34	MLB	BAL	72%	394	356	77	14	1	8	29	103	6	6	1	216	286	329	615	112	278	26	7	277	70	-13	+1	-5	+7	+11	0.1
2042	35	MLB	BAL	68%	334	302	63	11	1	6	24	90	5	5	1	209	278	311	589	103	272	27	7	267	62	-14	+1	-6	+6	+9	-0.4
2027	20	MLB	BAL	43%	123	112	25	5	0	2	8	31	2	2	0	223	287	321	608	98	298	25	7	283	74	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2028	21	MLB	BAL	61%	242	219	52	11	1	5	17	59	4	4	1	237	304	365	669	128	299	24	7	290	80	-6	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2029	22	MLB	BAL	68%	324	293	71	14	1	8	23	78	5	6	1	242	308	379	687	137	300	24	7	295	84	-6	+1	+0	+6	+9	1.0
2030	23	MLB	BAL	71%	370	334	82	16	2	9	27	88	6	7	2	246	313	386	700	141	301	24	7	298	86	-6	+1	+0	+7	+10	1.2
2031	24	MLB	BAL	71%	369	333	82	16	2	9	27	87	6	7	2	246	314	387	702	141	301	24	7	300	88	-5	+1	+0	+7	+10	1.3
2032	25	MLB	BAL	71%	369	333	82	16	2	9	27	87	6	7	2	246	314	387	702	141	301	24	7	301	88	-5	+1	+0	+7	+10	1.3
2033	26	MLB	BAL	71%	369	333	81	16	2	9	27	87	6	7	2	243	311	384	696	141	301	24	7	301	89	-5	+1	+0	+7	+10	1.3
2034	27	MLB	BAL	69%	361	325	79	16	1	9	27	85	6	7	2	243	313	382	694	138	301	24	7	301	89	-5	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.3
2035	28	MLB	BAL	69%	358	322	79	16	1	9	27	85	6	7	2	245	315	385	701	140	301	24	8	300	88	-5	+1	-0	+6	+10	1.2
2036	29	MLB	BAL	67%	348	314	76	15	1	9	26	83	5	7	2	242	310	382	692	140	300	24	7	298	87	-5	+1	-1	+6	+10	1.1
2037	30	MLB	BAL	66%	342	308	74	15	1	8	26	83	5	6	1	240	310	373	683	133	299	24	8	296	84	-6	+1	-1	+6	+10	0.9
2038	31	MLB	BAL	71%	357	322	76	15	1	8	27	87	5	6	1	236	305	363	668	127	296	24	8	292	81	-8	+1	-2	+6	+10	0.8
2039	32	MLB	BAL	74%	364	329	76	15	1	8	27	91	5	6	1	231	299	356	655	125	293	25	7	286	77	-9	+1	-3	+7	+10	0.6
2040	33	MLB	BAL	77%	346	312	70	13	1	7	26	88	5	5	1	224	294	340	634	115	289	25	8	279	72	-11	+1	-3	+6	+10	0.2
2041	34	MLB	BAL	72%	285	258	57	10	1	6	21	74	4	4	1	221	290	337	627	116	283	26	7	270	65	-11	+0	-4	+5	+8	-0.1
2042	35	MLB	BAL	68%	226	204	43	7	1	4	17	61	3	3	1	211	281	314	595	103	276	27	8	260	57	-11	+0	-4	+4	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5153	4652	1105	216	19	119	380	1254	79	91	22	238	306	369	675	131	298	24	7	292	82	-106	+9	-18	+92	+146	12.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	139	27	2	15	48	158	10	11	3	237	306	366	672	129	297	24	7	292	82	-13	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.6
Career	—			—	8086	7292	1691	326	29	177	594	1954	126	147	31	232	301	357	658	125	291	24	7	295	84	-146	+17	-25	+144	+229	22.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	135	26	2	14	48	157	10	12	2	230	300	353	653	123	289	24	7	295	84	-12	+2	-2	+12	+18	1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	16	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	178	155	43	9	0	1	19	27	2	1	2	277	364	355	718	77	328	15	11	327	109	+2	-1	—	—	+5	0.6
2024	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	198	158	46	6	2	2	33	15	4	6	0	291	426	392	818	101	306	8	17	372	143	+10	+1	—	—	+6	1.7
2025	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	122	97	26	5	0	1	17	27	4	3	0	268	398	351	749	82	347	22	14	339	118	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#5John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#5John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	5,304	119	95	235	300	364	+87	+48	16.6	13.4
	/162	664	15	12	235	300	364	+10.8	+6.0	2.1	pk7: 10
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adriander Mejía (OGILVIE)	19	50→55	36→41	47→52	53	220/273/332	112	297	5	4	29%	4%	62	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Juan Fernandez 2018 · A	19	48→57	41→40	48→50	47	230/294/335	105	278	8	6	20%	7%	77	+0.1	200/257/274	74	263	4	4	24%	6%	45	-2.1	239/301/332	93	297	10	9	22%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	52	39→45	54→50	50	243/311/343	100	274	5	11	13%	7%	85	+0.7	245/315/335	90	288	6	9	16%	7%	85	+0.7	225/297/334	109	287	11	10	24%	7%	74	-0.0
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	45→54	46→45	52→40	49	225/297/363	139	266	12	6	20%	8%	85	+0.7	232/296/339	107	293	9	3	23%	7%	79	+0.3	231/336/345	114	301	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	48→42	43→50	47→45	50	230/306/345	115	283	9	10	21%	8%	85	+0.7	221/273/345	124	289	14	8	27%	6%	70	-0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Jesus Morelli 2009 · A	19	49	42→45	48→50	49	234/311/346	112	300	9	12	24%	8%	87	+0.8	220/282/289	69	304	4	10	27%	6%	59	-1.1	219/279/260	41	287	0	14	22%	6%	47	-0.5
●Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	44→54	43→50	51→50	43	214/269/331	117	274	9	13	25%	6%	65	-0.7	241/291/379	138	314	14	12	26%	6%	86	+0.8	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48	42→45	52→50	43	226/288/345	119	321	8	10	30%	7%	76	+0.1	200/266/306	106	300	10	11	34%	7%	57	-1.2	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	49	40→45	51→50	43	233/286/331	98	308	6	13	25%	6%	71	-0.3	210/256/293	83	314	4	11	32%	5%	49	-1.8	178/220/246	68	283	3	12	36%	4%	17	-1.1
✕Manuel Joseph 2013 · A	19	46	41→45	44→50	45	221/274/319	97	271	8	8	21%	6%	63	-0.8	244/300/352	108	288	9	15	18%	6%	83	+0.6	263/321/381	118	302	10	21	15%	5%	101	+0.8
✕Edgardo Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	48	41→45	48→30	43	233/283/334	102	283	8	5	21%	5%	72	-0.2	201/244/277	76	295	6	5	32%	5%	39	-2.5	180/204/231	51	257	9	0	33%	2%	11	-0.8
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	49→56	43→45	52→60	41	238/280/347	109	301	10	12	24%	5%	72	-0.2	245/290/342	97	292	8	24	18%	5%	76	+0.0	263/301/369	107	303	9	35	16%	4%	85	+0.5
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→49	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	229/306/358	129	287	12	10	23%	9%	89	+0.9	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	49→55	38→45	51→60	51	232/298/315	83	281	5	13	18%	8%	72	-0.2	229/285/335	106	315	11	30	29%	7%	72	-0.2	236/292/342	106	319	11	39	28%	7%	74	-0.1
✕Luis Alvarez 2009 · A	19	47	43→45	44→45	48	231/306/343	112	272	11	5	19%	7%	85	+0.7	224/289/325	101	280	9	6	22%	6%	72	-0.2	209/262/317	108	250	12	1	21%	4%	55	-0.3
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	51→61	38→45	49→50	48	238/291/324	86	288	3	12	18%	7%	71	-0.3	236/280/312	76	293	3	12	19%	5%	63	-0.8	270/315/371	102	328	4	17	18%	5%	90	+0.8
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	47	41→40	47→45	49	227/314/329	102	280	8	6	21%	8%	85	+0.7	215/317/292	77	291	4	7	25%	10%	77	+0.1	211/334/282	71	273	4	7	21%	12%	79	+0.1
✕Andy Paz 2012 · A	19	50	36→40	44→45	50	231/310/298	67	290	3	8	20%	8%	74	-0.1	208/273/281	73	275	4	5	24%	8%	53	-1.5	208/262/276	68	271	6	4	24%	7%	43	-0.5
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→55	40→45	53→55	43	245/292/346	101	303	7	14	21%	5%	78	+0.2	237/292/339	102	303	8	14	23%	6%	76	+0.1	255/306/365	110	315	10	22	21%	6%	86	+0.6