Aldrin Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Aldrin Gonzalez P ACL Brewers

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 180 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2028

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 8 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.91

FIP4.91

K%21.9%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%8.9%

ROS IP8

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	6	5	12	53	10	7	1	83%	1.9	12.8%	16.5%	-3.7%	3.3%	4.63	5.90	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	6	5	12	53	10	7	1	83%	1.9	12.8%	16.5%	-3.7%	3.3%	4.63	5.90	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 2	6	5	12	53	10	7	1	83%	1.9	18.9%	13.2%	5.7%	1.9%	4.63	4.30	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	8	2	13	74	15	10	1	25%	1.6	13.8%	16.9%	-3.1%	1.9%	12.46	5.15	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	8	2	13	74	15	10	1	25%	1.6	13.8%	16.9%	-3.1%	1.9%	12.46	5.15	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers	8	2	13	74	15	10	1	25%	1.6	20.3%	13.5%	6.8%	1.4%	12.46	4.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	MIL	8	0	8	34	7	4	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	12.9%	8.9%	3.0%	4.91	4.91	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIL	19	0	20	84	19	10	2	0%	1.1	22.9%	11.4%	11.5%	2.9%	4.70	4.60	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIL	10	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.0	22.9%	11.4%	11.5%	2.9%	4.70	4.60	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.1	22.9%	11.4%	11.5%	2.9%	4.70	4.22	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	102	20	0%	1.1	22.9%	11.4%	11.5%	2.9%	4.70	4.22	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		14	7	25	127	17	21	3	50%	1.8	13.4%	16.7%	-3.3%	2.5%	8.76	5.46	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		114	57	200	1030	138	172	26	50%	1.8	13.4%	16.7%	-3.3%	2.5%	8.76	5.46	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Aldrin Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.91	21.9%	12.9%	3.0%	—	4.60	22.9%	11.5%	20	-0.31	—	—	—
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	86
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	80
Miguel Alfonseca R 2021 · 4.19 FIP	21	SP-	4.19	18.3%	12.1%	2.0%	.400	5.36	14.9%	-0.9%	92	+1.17	4.19	123	79
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	78
Accimias Morales R 2024 · 4.24 FIP	19	SP-	4.24	18.5%	13.0%	1.9%	.362	5.25	18.6%	-2.1%	75	+1.01	2.52	129	75
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	75
Wander Guante R 2021 · 4.74 FIP	21	SW	4.74	21.3%	13.1%	3.3%	.354	5.30	14.7%	3.2%	255	+0.56	3.83	372	74
Wilmer Ortega R 2022 · 4.01 FIP	21	SP-	4.01	18.2%	7.9%	2.6%	.304	5.81	16.1%	1.8%	30	+1.80	3.62	158	74
Luis Rosario R 2018 · 4.68 FIP	21	SP-	4.68	17.5%	11.8%	2.8%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	206	74
Keagan Gillies R 2022 · 5.68 FIP	24	SP-	5.68	17.2%	11.3%	4.7%	.370	3.54	23.5%	13.9%	142	-2.14	2.93	177	73
Florencio Serrano R 2021 · 3.84 FIP	21	SP-	3.84	19.3%	8.5%	2.4%	.264	4.80	14.1%	3.4%	117	+0.96	3.84	206	73
Jonathan Petit R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	21	SP-	4.64	16.3%	9.1%	3.2%	.272	5.11	15.6%	2.4%	113	+0.47	2.70	189	73
Eiberson Castellano R 2022 · 3.94 FIP	21	SW	3.94	21.8%	10.3%	2.5%	.266	3.93	22.0%	12.3%	189	-0.01	3.67	386	72
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	72
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	72
Rodolfo Sanchez R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	23.0%	13.6%	3.3%	.264	4.83	19.9%	6.3%	104	+0.12	3.59	255	72
Luis Rujano R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	21	SW	4.54	17.0%	12.3%	2.4%	.361	4.80	17.9%	-0.8%	97	+0.26	4.54	203	72
Trent Fennell R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP-	4.48	14.5%	12.5%	1.9%	.317	4.46	20.9%	7.5%	89	-0.02	4.08	163	72
Jose Vasquez R 2024 · 4.12 FIP	19	SW	4.12	21.9%	13.4%	2.1%	.359	6.49	15.6%	-10.2%	66	+2.37	4.12	123	72
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.15	27.7%	17.2%	182	-1.97	1.84	247	72