Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 12 | 5 | 45 | 198 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 42% | 3.8 | 10.0% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 3.77 | 3.83 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 12 | 5 | 45 | 198 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 42% | 3.8 | 14.6% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 1.0% | 3.77 | 3.06 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 3 | 26 | 113 | 35 | 10 | 3 | 25% | 2.2 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 5.19 | 4.74 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 3 | 26 | 113 | 35 | 10 | 3 | 25% | 2.2 | 31.0% | 8.8% | 22.1% | 2.7% | 5.19 | 3.06 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 4 | 45 | 204 | 44 | 16 | 4 | 33% | 3.8 | 15.6% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 5.96 | 3.91 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 4 | 45 | 204 | 44 | 16 | 4 | 33% | 3.8 | 21.6% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 2.0% | 5.96 | 3.36 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Stockton Ports | 25 | 18 | 110 | 490 | 100 | 53 | 13 | 72% | 4.4 | 15.1% | 12.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.25 | 5.57 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Stockton Ports | 25 | 18 | 110 | 490 | 100 | 53 | 13 | 72% | 4.4 | 20.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 5.25 | 4.27 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 8 | 101 | 445 | 78 | 45 | 15 | 24% | 3.1 | 14.1% | 11.3% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.24 | 6.10 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 8 | 101 | 445 | 78 | 45 | 15 | 24% | 3.1 | 17.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 5.24 | 4.82 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 52 | 218 | 50 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 4.15 | 4.45 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 52 | 218 | 50 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.9% | 8.3% | 14.7% | 2.3% | 4.15 | 3.47 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 48 | 0 | 51 | 214 | 41 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 4.97 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 41 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 4.92 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 46 | 0 | 48 | 205 | 41 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 4.94 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 4.92 | 4.94 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 4.94 | 4.98 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 39 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 4.93 | 4.58 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 166 | 85 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 4.93 | 4.58 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 136 | 38 | 380 | 1668 | 251 | 180 | 58 | 28% | 2.8 | 15.1% | 10.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.00 | 5.10 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 72 | 20 | 200 | 879 | 132 | 95 | 30 | 28% | 2.8 | 15.1% | 10.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.00 | 5.10 | +0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Wander Guante (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.97 | 19.2% | 10.1% | 3.3% | — | 4.96 | 19.7% | 9.6% | 98 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 87 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 85 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2027 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 84 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 81 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2028 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 81 |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 81 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 80 |
| Ranfi Casimiro R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.48 | 16.4% | 10.7% | 2.6% | .285 | 4.76 | 8.4% | -0.2% | 16 | +0.28 | 3.84 | 420 | 80 |
| Spencer Stockton R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .276 | 5.42 | 19.0% | 5.8% | 63 | +1.23 | 1.93 | 233 | 80 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .318 | 3.31 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.47 | 2.46 | 362 | 79 |
| Josh Roeder R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 79 |
| Donovan Benoit R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.61 | 18.2% | 12.1% | 2.8% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 183 | 79 |
| Kevin McGowan R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.84 | 18.3% | 9.7% | 3.7% | .322 | 5.39 | 15.4% | 4.7% | 64 | +0.55 | 2.93 | 426 | 79 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2025 · 5.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.44 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 141 | 79 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2027 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 16.4% | 9.4% | 2.3% | .297 | 4.10 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 293 | -0.05 | 3.33 | 556 | 79 |
| Seth McGarry R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.89 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.7% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 261 | 78 |
| Noah Bremer R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 78 |
| Brayden Spears R 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.25 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 105 | 78 |
| Daniel Blair R 2025 · 4.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.38 | 17.0% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 171 | 78 |
| Brett McKinney R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.06 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 4.1% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 183 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 50 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.31 | 4.94 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |