Wander Guante — OGILVIE

Wander Guante P Lansing Lugnuts

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 206 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132123vR 115

ERA5.18

FIP5.18

K%16.6%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%6.2%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	12	5	45	198	29	10	2	42%	3.8	10.0%	6.3%	3.6%	1.4%	3.77	3.83	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	12	5	45	198	29	10	2	42%	3.8	14.6%	5.1%	9.6%	1.0%	3.77	3.06	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	3	26	113	35	10	3	25%	2.2	21.3%	13.1%	8.3%	3.3%	5.19	4.74	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	3	26	113	35	10	3	25%	2.2	31.0%	8.8%	22.1%	2.7%	5.19	3.06	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	4	45	204	44	16	4	33%	3.8	15.6%	9.8%	5.8%	1.5%	5.96	3.86	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	4	45	204	44	16	4	33%	3.8	21.6%	7.8%	13.7%	2.0%	5.96	3.36	—
2023	23	A MLE	Stockton Ports	25	18	110	490	100	53	13	72%	4.4	15.1%	12.8%	2.3%	3.7%	5.25	5.45	—
2023	23	A MLE	Stockton Ports	25	18	110	490	100	53	13	72%	4.4	15.1%	12.8%	2.3%	3.7%	5.25	5.45	—
2023	23	A RAW	Stockton Ports	25	18	110	490	100	53	13	72%	4.4	20.4%	10.8%	9.6%	2.7%	5.25	4.27	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	8	101	445	78	45	15	24%	3.1	13.9%	11.0%	3.0%	4.5%	5.24	5.77	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	8	101	445	78	45	15	24%	3.1	13.9%	11.0%	3.0%	4.5%	5.24	5.77	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	33	8	101	445	78	45	15	24%	3.1	17.5%	10.1%	7.4%	3.4%	5.24	4.82	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	52	218	50	18	5	0%	1.2	17.9%	9.3%	8.6%	2.9%	4.15	4.38	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	52	218	50	18	5	0%	1.2	17.9%	9.3%	8.6%	2.9%	4.15	4.38	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	52	218	50	18	5	0%	1.2	22.9%	8.3%	14.7%	2.3%	4.15	3.47	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	OAK	4	0	4	17	3	2	1	0%	1.0	16.6%	10.4%	6.2%	3.2%	5.18	5.18	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	OAK	86	0	90	379	65	39	12	0%	1.0	17.2%	10.2%	6.9%	3.3%	5.11	5.13	-0.6
2028	28	MLB MLE	OAK	83	0	87	368	64	38	12	0%	1.0	17.4%	10.2%	7.2%	3.4%	5.10	5.14	-0.6
2029	29	MLB MLE	OAK	79	0	83	351	61	36	12	0%	1.1	17.4%	10.3%	7.1%	3.5%	5.16	5.23	-0.6
2030	30	MLB MLE	OAK	74	0	78	330	63	32	12	0%	1.1	19.2%	9.7%	9.4%	3.7%	5.12	5.11	-0.5
2027	27	MLB CTX	OAK	31	0	33	139	24	14	5	0%	1.1	17.2%	10.2%	6.9%	3.3%	5.11	5.13	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	OAK	49	0	51	215	37	22	7	0%	1.0	17.4%	10.2%	7.2%	3.4%	5.10	5.14	-0.3
2029	29	MLB CTX	OAK	56	0	59	249	43	26	9	0%	1.1	17.4%	10.3%	7.1%	3.5%	5.16	5.23	-0.4
2030	30	MLB CTX	OAK	58	0	61	258	49	25	9	0%	1.1	19.2%	9.7%	9.4%	3.7%	5.12	5.11	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		194	0	204	861	154	87	30	0%	1.1	17.9%	10.1%	7.8%	3.5%	5.12	4.78	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	151	85	29	0%	1.1	17.9%	10.1%	7.8%	3.5%	5.12	4.78	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		136	38	380	1668	251	179	54	28%	2.8	15.0%	10.7%	4.3%	3.2%	5.00	4.96	-2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	20	200	879	132	94	28	28%	2.8	15.0%	10.7%	4.3%	3.2%	5.00	4.96	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wander Guante (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.18	16.6%	10.4%	3.2%	—	5.17	17.3%	7.1%	260	-0.01	—	—	—
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	88
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	84
Ranfi Casimiro R 2018 · 4.62 FIP	26	SW	4.62	16.4%	10.7%	2.8%	.285	4.93	8.4%	-0.2%	16	+0.31	3.81	420	83
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	82
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	82
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	82
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	82
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	82
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	81
Dylan Cumming R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	24	SW	4.11	16.0%	10.7%	1.8%	.311	4.31	18.4%	9.4%	314	+0.20	3.75	406	81
Trevor Cahill R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	27	SW	4.13	16.4%	9.4%	2.2%	.297	4.12	22.9%	12.0%	293	-0.01	3.37	556	80
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	80
Felipe Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	25	SW	4.60	18.3%	9.2%	3.4%	.337	3.27	22.7%	12.7%	50	-1.33	3.27	339	79
Seth McGarry R 2019 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	17.1%	9.6%	3.2%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	261	79
Jake Christianson R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SW	4.00	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.72	4.00	188	79
Brad Allen R 2015 · 4.25 FIP	26	SW	4.25	14.0%	12.6%	1.3%	.315	5.82	14.7%	1.5%	87	+1.57	4.25	149	79
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	79
Tyler Santana R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	25	SW	4.43	15.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.306	4.90	15.1%	4.9%	191	+0.47	3.37	399	78
Daniel Blair R 2023 · 4.10 FIP	24	SW	4.10	16.6%	10.0%	2.1%	.284	4.39	17.0%	7.8%	78	+0.29	4.10	171	78
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.9	78	17.6%	10.2%	1.32	5.13
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09