Wander Guante P Lansing Lugnuts
Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 206 lbs A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 50 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 113
ERA4.97
FIP4.97
K%19.2%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%9.2%
ROS IP51
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 50 IP
K: -1.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -0.8 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -2.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +2.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.25 (50 IP)-0.2WAR
-0.2-0.2-0.22628
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201919ROKDSL Athletics125451982910242%3.810.0%6.3%3.6%1.4%3.773.83
201919ROKDSL Athletics125451982910242%3.814.6%5.1%9.6%1.0%3.773.06
202121MIX2 levels123261133510325%2.221.3%13.1%8.3%3.3%5.194.74
202121MIX2 levels123261133510325%2.231.0%8.8%22.1%2.7%5.193.06
202222MIX2 levels124452044416433%3.815.6%9.8%5.8%1.6%5.963.91
202222MIX2 levels124452044416433%3.821.6%7.8%13.7%2.0%5.963.36
202323AStockton Ports2518110490100531372%4.415.1%12.8%2.3%3.9%5.255.57
202323AStockton Ports2518110490100531372%4.420.4%10.8%9.6%2.7%5.254.27
202424MIX3 levels33810144578451524%3.114.1%11.3%2.8%5.0%5.246.10
202424MIX3 levels33810144578451524%3.117.5%10.1%7.4%3.4%5.244.82
202525MIX2 levels42052218501850%1.217.9%9.3%8.6%3.1%4.154.45
202525MIX2 levels42052218501850%1.222.9%8.3%14.7%2.3%4.153.47
▸ 2026 Season
202626MLBOAK48051214412270%1.119.2%10.1%9.2%3.3%4.974.97-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727MLBOAK48050211412170%1.019.6%10.1%9.6%3.4%4.924.94-0.2
202828MLBOAK46048205412170%1.119.8%10.2%9.6%3.4%4.944.98-0.2
202727MLBOAK170187615830%1.119.6%10.1%9.6%3.4%4.924.94-0.1
202828MLBOAK28029122241240%1.019.8%10.2%9.6%3.4%4.944.98-0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career45047198392070%1.019.7%10.1%9.6%3.4%4.934.58-0.0
/ 200 IP190020084416685300%1.119.7%10.1%9.6%3.4%4.934.58+1.9
Career1363838016682511805828%2.815.1%10.8%4.3%3.5%5.005.10+1.3
/ 200 IP7220200879132953028%2.815.1%10.8%4.3%3.5%5.005.10+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Wander Guante (OGILVIE) 4.97 19.2%10.1%3.3% 4.96 19.7%9.6%98 -0.01
Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP 26 SW 4.89 20.0%10.9%3.8%.320 4.92 16.2%8.9%14 +0.03 3.63 239 87
Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP 25 SW 4.72 19.9%9.3%3.9%.315 4.72 146 85
Jorge Reyes R 2027 · 5.25 FIP 27 SW 5.25 15.9%8.5%4.4%.307 3.44 14.2%6.2%129 -1.81 3.32 227 84
Roberto Gómez R 2027 · 4.13 FIP 27 SW 4.13 18.4%8.9%2.7%.315 5.25 13.8%4.9%18 +1.12 4.13 115 81
Coleman Huntley III R 2028 · 4.14 FIP 28 SW 4.14 20.2%7.4%3.3%.348 3.66 23.4%13.2%86 -0.48 2.38 160 81
Grant Black R 2027 · 4.49 FIP 27 SW 4.49 19.0%13.9%2.2%.327 5.46 15.2%3.1%156 +0.97 4.49 215 81
Felipe Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.71 FIP 25 SW 4.71 18.3%9.2%3.6%.337 3.27 22.7%12.7%50 -1.44 3.27 339 80
Ranfi Casimiro R 2026 · 4.48 FIP 26 SW 4.48 16.4%10.7%2.6%.285 4.76 8.4%-0.2%16 +0.28 3.84 420 80
Spencer Stockton R 2026 · 4.19 FIP 26 SU 4.19 20.2%10.3%2.7%.276 5.42 19.0%5.8%63 +1.23 1.93 233 80
R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP 26 SU 3.78 20.7%8.9%2.4%.318 3.31 23.8%15.0%96 -0.47 2.46 362 79
Josh Roeder R 2026 · 4.75 FIP 26 SW 4.75 15.1%8.7%3.3%.264 4.75 175 79
Donovan Benoit R 2026 · 4.61 FIP 26 SU 4.61 18.2%12.1%2.8%.313 3.53 183 79
Kevin McGowan R 2026 · 4.84 FIP 26 SW 4.84 18.3%9.7%3.7%.322 5.39 15.4%4.7%64 +0.55 2.93 426 79
Stephen Johnson R 2025 · 5.44 FIP 25 SU 5.44 16.7%12.7%3.9%.268 3.10 141 79
Trevor Cahill R 2027 · 4.15 FIP 27 SW 4.15 16.4%9.4%2.3%.297 4.10 22.9%12.0%293 -0.05 3.33 556 79
Seth McGarry R 2025 · 4.89 FIP 25 SW 4.89 17.1%9.6%3.7%.315 3.36 261 78
Noah Bremer R 2025 · 4.24 FIP 25 SW 4.24 18.0%9.4%2.7%.292 5.88 13.1%1.2%46 +1.64 3.14 271 78
Brayden Spears R 2025 · 4.25 FIP 25 SU 4.25 19.9%10.9%2.6%.311 4.07 105 78
Daniel Blair R 2025 · 4.38 FIP 25 SU 4.38 17.0%9.2%2.8%.347 4.20 171 78
Brett McKinney R 2026 · 5.06 FIP 26 SU 5.06 18.5%9.9%4.1%.287 3.42 183 77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION35019.5%10.1%1.314.94
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78