Accimias Morales P Ontario Tower Buzzers
Age 21 RHP 6'5" / 190 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 13 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.40
FIP4.40
K%22.6%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%13.1%
ROS IP13
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP
K: +1.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+1KBB: -6.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-6BBCONTACT: +0.6 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+1CONTACTSTAM: +1.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.28 (44 IP)-0.3WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202217ROKDSL LAD Bautista1212371552430100%3.110.5%2.4%8.1%0.0%3.192.52
202217ROKDSL LAD Bautista1212371552430100%3.115.5%1.9%13.5%0.0%3.192.04
202419ROKACL Dodgers951777218156%1.918.5%13.0%5.6%2.1%4.674.31
202419ROKACL Dodgers951777218156%1.927.3%10.4%16.9%1.3%4.672.81
202520ROKACL Dodgers12125115221128%2.113.0%12.0%1.1%1.8%4.324.49
202520ROKACL Dodgers12125115221128%2.119.1%9.6%9.6%1.7%4.323.70
▸ 2026 Season
202621A+Great Lakes Loons27030169454110%1.119.9%28.3%-8.4%0.7%7.125.41-0.3
ROS21MLBLAD130135713520%1.022.6%9.5%13.1%3.0%4.404.40+0.0
ROS21MLBLAD022.6%9.5%13.1%3.0%4.404.40
2026 TOT21MLBLAD442265846325.6%20.6%5.0%1.2%6.295.10-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722MLBLAD190208420820%1.123.5%8.9%14.6%2.9%4.284.21+0.1
202722MLBLAD100104210410%1.023.5%8.9%14.6%2.9%4.284.21+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career90104210410%1.123.5%8.9%14.6%2.9%4.283.83+0.1
/ 200 IP190020084420381200%1.123.5%8.9%14.6%2.9%4.283.83+3.7
Career60181095167975530%1.815.3%14.6%0.7%0.9%4.774.17+1.6
/ 200 IP11033200944145138930%1.815.3%14.6%0.7%0.9%4.774.17+2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Accimias Morales (OGILVIE) 4.40 22.6%9.5%3.0% 4.21 23.5%14.6%20 -0.19
Cody Palmquist R 2027 · 4.04 FIP 22 SU 4.04 21.9%9.0%3.0%.278 5.78 14.7%7.1%62 +1.74 4.04 104 88
Kyle Zurak R 2027 · 3.96 FIP 22 SU 3.96 21.2%9.4%2.6%.302 3.48 16.7%7.5%121 -0.48 3.28 181 87
Michael Gomez R 2027 · 3.38 FIP 22 SU 3.38 22.6%9.2%1.9%.283 3.78 17.9%8.3%110 +0.40 3.33 286 85
Addison Russ R 2027 · 3.90 FIP 22 SU 3.90 22.2%7.9%3.1%.324 3.02 25.6%17.5%121 -0.88 2.96 194 85
Ismael Cabrera R 2026 · 3.56 FIP 21 SU 3.56 19.0%7.4%2.1%.250 5.44 17.4%6.6%117 +1.88 3.56 133 84
Sandy Lugo R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 21 SU 3.86 20.7%9.5%2.4%.352 3.94 23.6%12.5%119 +0.08 3.28 146 84
Danny Dopico R 2026 · 3.87 FIP 21 SU 3.87 25.4%10.8%2.8%.333 3.98 22.8%8.1%173 +0.11 3.00 318 83
Chris Gau R 2026 · 4.76 FIP 21 SU 4.76 20.0%8.6%4.1%.290 3.23 29.5%23.5%37 -1.53 2.88 211 83
Heath Holder R 2028 · 4.16 FIP 23 SU 4.16 21.1%10.1%2.8%.287 3.13 22.3%13.1%247 -1.03 2.74 367 83
Kenny Oakley R 2027 · 3.50 FIP 22 SU 3.50 23.8%9.1%2.3%.348 3.65 17.3%7.8%115 +0.15 3.00 144 83
Jake Elliott R 2026 · 3.82 FIP 21 SU 3.82 19.2%7.1%2.6%.353 3.81 18.1%10.0%202 -0.01 3.10 354 82
Collin Kober R 2027 · 3.39 FIP 22 SU 3.39 21.3%7.5%2.1%.268 3.04 24.0%17.9%128 -0.35 2.40 294 82
Jeff Bain R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 21 SU 3.94 19.7%6.7%3.0%.339 4.13 19.1%10.7%274 +0.19 3.37 475 82
Devon Roedahl R 2027 · 3.94 FIP 22 SU 3.94 19.7%6.7%3.0%.305 4.92 16.5%9.2%100 +0.98 3.94 122 82
Nick Lockhart R 2026 · 4.65 FIP 21 SU 4.65 22.0%9.9%3.9%.275 4.67 16.1%5.5%43 +0.02 4.65 140 82
Sean Boyle R 2026 · 4.70 FIP 21 SU 4.70 21.3%7.8%4.4%.342 2.85 22.6%15.3%86 -1.85 2.85 496 81
Tyler Bray R 2028 · 4.08 FIP 23 SU 4.08 22.3%9.1%3.1%.356 3.17 17.9%7.6%114 -0.91 2.81 152 81
Caleb Freeman R 2026 · 3.98 FIP 21 SU 3.98 24.6%12.9%2.4%.267 5.17 21.7%8.1%58 +1.19 3.98 222 81
David Garner R 2027 · 3.94 FIP 22 SU 3.94 21.7%10.0%2.6%.282 4.65 19.8%5.2%98 +0.71 3.94 154 81
Mason Fox R 2026 · 3.59 FIP 21 SU 3.59 21.9%11.5%1.6%.260 7.31 21.3%4.8%30 +3.72 3.59 112 81