Accimias Morales

Accimias Morales P Ontario Tower Buzzers

Age 21 RHP 6'5" / 190 lbs A peak 0.2 · 2029

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 13 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 109

ERA4.87

FIP4.87

K%20.0%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%8.5%

ROS IP13

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	12	12	37	155	24	3	0	100%	3.1	10.5%	2.4%	8.1%	0.0%	3.19	2.52	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	12	12	37	155	24	3	0	100%	3.1	15.5%	1.9%	13.5%	0.0%	3.19	2.04	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	9	5	17	77	21	8	1	56%	1.9	18.5%	13.0%	5.6%	1.9%	4.67	4.24	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	9	5	17	77	21	8	1	56%	1.9	18.5%	13.0%	5.6%	1.9%	4.67	4.24	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	9	5	17	77	21	8	1	56%	1.9	27.3%	10.4%	16.9%	1.3%	4.67	2.81	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	12	1	25	115	22	11	2	8%	2.1	13.0%	12.0%	1.1%	2.1%	4.32	4.64	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	12	1	25	115	22	11	2	8%	2.1	13.0%	12.0%	1.1%	2.1%	4.32	4.64	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	12	1	25	115	22	11	2	8%	2.1	19.1%	9.6%	9.6%	1.7%	4.32	3.70	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	41	0	50	257	74	55	4	0%	1.2	21.4%	25.0%	-3.6%	2.0%	6.26	5.56	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	41	0	50	257	74	55	4	0%	1.2	21.4%	25.0%	-3.6%	2.0%	6.26	5.56	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	A RAW	LAD	34	0	42	207	64	37	3	0%	1.2	30.9%	17.9%	13.0%	1.4%	5.74	3.55	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	LAD	7	0	8	50	10	18	1	0%	1.1	20.0%	36.0%	-16.0%	2.0%	9.00	7.07	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	LAD	49	0	52	219	47	23	6	0%	1.1	21.3%	10.4%	11.0%	2.9%	4.68	4.58	-0.0
2028	23	MLB MLE	LAD	51	0	54	227	50	22	6	0%	1.1	22.2%	9.7%	12.6%	2.9%	4.51	4.40	+0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	LAD	52	0	55	232	53	21	7	0%	1.1	22.8%	9.2%	13.6%	2.8%	4.37	4.28	+0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	LAD	53	0	56	235	55	21	7	0%	1.1	23.2%	8.9%	14.3%	2.8%	4.27	4.21	+0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	LAD	53	0	56	235	55	21	7	0%	1.1	23.4%	8.9%	14.5%	2.8%	4.22	4.18	+0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	LAD	52	0	55	232	54	21	7	0%	1.1	23.4%	9.0%	14.4%	2.9%	4.22	4.22	+0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	LAD	24	0	25	106	23	11	3	0%	1.0	21.3%	10.4%	11.0%	2.9%	4.68	4.58	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	LAD	37	0	39	165	37	16	5	0%	1.1	22.2%	9.7%	12.6%	2.9%	4.51	4.40	+0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	LAD	44	0	46	194	44	18	6	0%	1.0	22.8%	9.2%	13.6%	2.8%	4.37	4.28	+0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	LAD	47	0	49	207	48	18	6	0%	1.0	23.2%	8.9%	14.3%	2.8%	4.27	4.21	+0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	LAD	49	0	51	215	50	19	6	0%	1.0	23.4%	8.9%	14.5%	2.8%	4.22	4.18	+0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	LAD	49	0	51	215	50	19	6	0%	1.0	23.4%	9.0%	14.4%	2.9%	4.22	4.22	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		249	0	261	1103	252	102	31	0%	1.0	22.9%	9.2%	13.7%	2.9%	4.34	3.90	+2.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	78	24	0%	1.1	22.9%	9.2%	13.7%	2.9%	4.34	3.90	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		74	18	129	604	101	92	9	24%	1.7	16.7%	15.2%	1.5%	1.5%	4.80	4.44	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		114	28	200	934	156	142	14	24%	1.7	16.7%	15.2%	1.5%	1.5%	4.80	4.44	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Accimias Morales (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.87	20.0%	11.5%	3.0%	—	4.42	22.1%	12.4%	160	-0.45	—	—	—
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	87
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	86
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	86
Max Gieg R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	21	SU	5.10	21.1%	11.8%	4.2%	.317	4.65	20.4%	2.3%	92	-0.45	3.98	149	86
Austin Mason R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	21	SU	4.41	17.1%	11.6%	2.4%	.289	4.06	16.2%	6.5%	151	-0.35	3.60	179	85
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	85
Jeremy Beasley R 2017 · 4.71 FIP	21	SU	4.71	19.5%	11.6%	3.3%	.273	4.10	17.7%	8.7%	234	-0.61	3.17	337	85
Sandy Lugo R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	21	SU	3.86	20.7%	9.5%	2.4%	.352	3.98	23.6%	12.5%	119	+0.12	3.48	146	84
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	84
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	84
Logan Lombana R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	21	SU	4.63	16.9%	10.0%	3.1%	.315	4.02	15.7%	8.1%	123	-0.61	3.80	155	84
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	84
Yordin Chalas R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	19	SU	4.56	17.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.294	3.92	19.9%	7.8%	116	-0.64	3.67	140	84
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	84
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	84
Audry Lugo R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	20	SU	4.05	18.5%	11.4%	2.0%	.247	5.30	15.6%	-0.4%	77	+1.25	4.05	113	83
Andrew Bash R 2019 · 3.87 FIP	22	SU	3.87	18.0%	9.2%	2.1%	.273	4.21	14.9%	4.8%	146	+0.34	3.52	483	83
Reiss Knehr R 2018 · 4.29 FIP	21	SU	4.29	21.3%	12.3%	2.6%	.267	4.86	18.8%	7.2%	171	+0.57	3.46	398	83
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	83
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	49	22.6%	9.4%	1.11	4.39
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33