Misael Lopez (P, DSL Mets Blue) prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Misael Lopez P DSL Mets Blue

Age 23 LHP 6'2" / 180 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 9 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128136vR 144

ERA5.85

FIP5.85

K%22.2%

BB%20.5%

K-BB%1.7%

ROS IP10

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	14	0	18	96	18	20	1	0%	1.3	12.8%	26.0%	-13.3%	1.3%	12.74	6.06	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	14	0	18	96	18	20	1	0%	1.3	12.8%	26.0%	-13.3%	1.3%	12.74	6.06	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Orange	14	0	18	96	18	20	1	0%	1.3	18.8%	20.8%	-2.1%	1.0%	12.74	5.19	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	12	0	16	90	25	22	2	0%	1.3	18.9%	30.6%	-11.7%	3.2%	12.06	7.14	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	12	0	16	90	25	22	2	0%	1.3	18.9%	30.6%	-11.7%	3.2%	12.06	7.14	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	12	0	16	90	25	22	2	0%	1.3	27.8%	24.4%	3.3%	2.2%	12.06	5.78	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	NYM	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.2%	20.5%	1.7%	3.0%	5.85	5.85	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	NYM	19	0	20	84	19	15	3	0%	1.1	22.9%	17.2%	5.6%	3.0%	5.49	5.36	-0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	NYM	9	0	9	38	9	7	1	0%	1.0	22.9%	17.2%	5.6%	3.0%	5.49	5.36	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	6	1	0%	1.1	22.9%	17.2%	5.6%	3.0%	5.49	4.98	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	140	23	0%	1.1	22.9%	17.2%	5.6%	3.0%	5.49	4.98	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		26	0	33	186	29	52	4	0%	1.3	15.7%	28.2%	-12.5%	2.3%	12.42	6.58	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		156	0	200	1116	175	315	25	0%	1.3	15.7%	28.2%	-12.5%	2.3%	12.42	6.58	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Misael Lopez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.85	22.2%	20.5%	3.0%	—	5.36	22.9%	5.6%	20	-0.49	—	—	—
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	91
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	88
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	87
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	87
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	85
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	84
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	83
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	82
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2023 · 6.79 FIP	23	SU	6.79	19.3%	26.9%	3.5%	.307	2.58	30.1%	16.3%	62	-4.21	2.58	155	82
Ben Harris L 2023 · 4.76 FIP	23	SU	4.76	25.4%	21.9%	1.9%	.252	5.29	22.7%	2.9%	76	+0.53	3.06	183	80
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.12	24.1%	5.4%	99	-2.30	3.91	148	80
Eric Torres L 2023 · 6.58 FIP	23	SU	6.58	21.7%	19.8%	5.1%	.283	4.18	26.5%	10.4%	56	-2.40	2.81	155	79
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	78
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	78
Juan Pichardo L 2021 · 4.83 FIP	23	SU	4.83	17.7%	17.1%	1.9%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	103	78
Bryan King L 2021 · 5.20 FIP	24	SU	5.20	17.4%	17.8%	2.4%	.317	2.82	24.4%	14.9%	77	-2.38	2.41	244	77
Brayan Restituyo L 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SU	5.53	17.4%	17.3%	3.1%	.312	4.76	17.6%	5.6%	151	-0.77	3.66	239	77
Max Herrmann L 2017 · 5.09 FIP	24	SU	5.09	15.0%	17.9%	1.8%	.333	4.37	12.2%	0.8%	152	-0.72	3.93	168	77
John Parrish L 2001 · 5.98 FIP	23	SU	5.98	18.7%	15.0%	4.7%	.258	3.77	19.2%	7.0%	102	-2.21	3.64	272	77
Cristhian Tortosa L 2022 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	24.3%	17.7%	2.9%	.304	4.46	22.5%	4.3%	65	-0.42	3.55	228	77