Joshua Liranzo — OGILVIE

Joshua Liranzo3B Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 19 R/R 6'3" / 180 lbs A HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION245 act + 163 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†38

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .265 / .230

PA163

HR1

SB8

K%37

BB%10

BABIP276

ISO63

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED46

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$6M	+$4M
2033	Arb-2	$4M	+1.1	$5M	+$3M
2034	Arb-3	$5M	+1.1	$5M	+$2M
Totals		$14M		$21M	+$14M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	16	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	201	170	29	4	1	5	21	64	9	7	1	171	295	294	589	124	235	32	10	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	16	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	201	160	39	6	2	5	31	48	9	7	1	244	395	400	795	156	315	24	15	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	109	97	16	3	0	0	12	40	0	4	1	165	257	196	453	31	281	37	11	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	109	91	20	4	0	0	18	30	0	4	1	220	349	264	612	44	328	28	17	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A	2 teams	—	308	272	43	8	3	2	27	122	8	16	8	158	254	232	486	74	277	40	9	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A	2 teams	—	308	254	54	10	4	2	45	84	8	16	8	213	349	307	656	94	310	27	15	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A	BAL	—	245	214	31	4	1	2	24	102	4	21	3	145	244	201	445	56	259	42	10	209	18	-23	+3	+0	+1	+7	-1.2
YTD	19	A	BAL	—	245	199	36	5	1	3	38	72	4	21	3	181	322	261	584	80	262	29	16	278	71	-8	+3	+0	+1	+7	0.3
ROS	19	A	BAL	0%	163	143	24	4	1	1	16	60	3	8	2	167	265	230	495	63	270	37	10	234	38	-12	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.5
ROS	19	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		273	—	—	224	30	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	A	BAL	—	245	215	31	4	1	2	24	102	4	21	3	144	244	200	444	56	257	42	10	209	18	-23	+3	+0	+1	+7	-1.2
TOT	19	A	BAL	—	408	357	55	8	2	3	40	162	7	29	5	154	252	213	465	59	266	40	10	219	26	-34	+4	+0	+1	+12	-1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	BAL	34%	424	373	67	11	2	7	41	148	7	12	3	180	273	276	549	97	275	35	10	258	56	-21	+1	+1	+2	+12	-0.6
2028	21	MLB	BAL	48%	502	439	85	14	3	11	49	168	9	13	3	194	288	314	602	121	278	33	10	273	67	-19	+1	+1	+2	+14	-0.1
2029	22	MLB	BAL	54%	555	486	97	16	3	14	55	181	9	13	3	200	293	331	624	132	280	33	10	283	75	-16	+1	+1	+2	+16	0.4
2030	23	MLB	BAL	57%	589	516	105	17	3	16	58	188	10	12	3	203	296	341	637	138	281	32	10	289	79	-14	+1	+1	+2	+17	0.7
2031	24	MLB	BAL	57%	610	534	109	18	3	17	61	194	10	12	3	204	298	345	642	140	282	32	10	293	82	-12	+1	+1	+2	+17	0.9
2032	25	MLB	BAL	57%	622	544	112	18	3	18	62	197	11	12	3	206	300	349	649	143	282	32	10	295	84	-11	+1	+1	+2	+18	1.1
2033	26	MLB	BAL	56%	626	547	113	19	3	18	63	198	11	12	3	207	301	351	652	144	282	32	10	296	84	-11	+1	+1	+2	+18	1.1
2034	27	MLB	BAL	55%	624	544	111	18	3	18	64	198	11	11	2	204	300	347	648	143	282	32	10	296	84	-11	+1	+1	+2	+18	1.1
2035	28	MLB	BAL	55%	618	539	110	18	3	18	64	197	10	11	2	204	300	349	649	145	281	32	10	294	83	-12	+1	+0	+2	+18	1.0
2027	20	MLB	BAL	34%	146	129	24	4	1	3	14	51	2	4	1	186	276	302	578	116	279	35	10	249	49	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
2028	21	MLB	BAL	48%	243	213	41	7	1	5	24	81	4	6	1	192	286	305	591	113	282	33	10	264	60	-11	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
2029	22	MLB	BAL	54%	301	263	53	9	1	8	30	98	5	7	2	202	295	335	630	133	284	33	10	275	68	-11	+1	+0	+1	+9	-0.0
2030	23	MLB	BAL	57%	333	291	60	10	2	9	33	107	6	7	2	206	300	347	647	141	286	32	10	281	73	-10	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.2
2031	24	MLB	BAL	57%	345	302	64	11	2	10	34	110	6	7	2	212	304	361	665	149	286	32	10	285	76	-9	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.3
2032	25	MLB	BAL	57%	351	307	65	11	2	11	35	111	6	7	1	212	305	368	673	156	287	32	10	287	77	-9	+1	+1	+1	+10	0.4
2033	26	MLB	BAL	56%	354	309	66	11	2	11	36	112	6	7	1	214	308	369	677	155	286	32	10	287	78	-9	+1	+1	+1	+10	0.4
2034	27	MLB	BAL	55%	346	302	65	11	2	11	35	110	6	6	1	215	309	374	683	159	286	32	10	287	78	-9	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.4
2035	28	MLB	BAL	55%	339	295	62	10	2	10	35	108	6	6	1	210	307	359	666	149	285	32	10	286	77	-9	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2758	2412	500	84	15	78	276	888	47	57	12	207	301	352	653	144	289	32	10	281	73	-85	+7	+4	+10	+78	1.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	118	20	4	18	65	209	11	13	3	208	301	352	653	144	290	32	10	281	73	-20	+1	+1	+2	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	5951	5204	1021	168	31	145	593	1955	108	143	37	196	292	324	616	128	280	33	10	281	73	-182	+14	+7	+21	+169	2.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	111	18	3	16	65	214	12	16	4	195	291	322	614	127	279	33	10	281	73	-20	+2	+1	+2	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	16	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	201	160	39	6	2	5	31	48	9	7	1	244	395	400	795	156	315	24	15	364	137	+8	+1	—	—	+6	1.5
2024	17	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	109	91	20	4	0	0	18	30	0	4	1	220	349	264	612	44	328	28	17	295	84	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2025	18	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	214	182	33	8	2	1	27	65	5	13	3	181	304	264	567	82	276	30	13	271	66	-8	+1	—	—	+6	-0.1
2025	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	94	72	21	2	2	1	18	19	3	3	5	292	452	417	868	125	385	20	19	395	160	+6	-1	—	—	+3	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,078	77	64	201	291	333	+11	+0	2.2	2.7
	/162	664	17	14	201	291	333	+2.4	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 3
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joshua Liranzo (OGILVIE)	19	20→40	25→50	55→46	50	154/252/213	59	266	3	29	40%	10%	26	-1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2008 · A	19	37	38→45	46→50	37	179/239/262	83	292	6	10	38%	7%	34	-2.8	183/273/286	103	276	11	8	35%	9%	57	-1.2	165/268/271	106	240	13	6	34%	10%	50	-0.6
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→50	49→45	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	32	-3.0	204/249/275	71	283	5	10	28%	5%	41	-2.3	232/296/366	134	301	16	8	27%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	42→41	39→55	47→50	50	201/285/293	92	282	6	8	29%	10%	63	-0.9	187/257/303	116	284	10	9	35%	7%	53	-1.5	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	40→50	40→45	50→65	41	196/253/282	87	272	8	16	30%	6%	45	-2.1	225/290/327	102	307	8	38	27%	7%	72	-0.2	242/320/339	97	323	6	34	25%	10%	85	+0.6
✕Johan Mieses 2014 · A	19	43→33	36→55	45→50	42	203/266/272	69	296	3	9	31%	7%	48	-1.9	202/250/339	137	273	14	14	30%	5%	59	-1.1	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Emmanuel Rivera 2016 · A	20	39→49	35→55	48→45	45	181/259/241	60	277	2	12	33%	9%	38	-2.6	232/277/334	102	306	7	7	25%	5%	69	-0.4	241/298/401	160	289	18	4	23%	7%	93	+0.9
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→55	47	190/278/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	49	-1.8	189/258/257	68	296	3	15	34%	8%	41	-2.3	194/269/271	76	278	5	22	30%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Eguy Rosario 2019 · A	19	40→50	41→50	47→55	38	197/248/296	99	280	8	13	32%	5%	46	-2.0	223/270/347	124	311	11	16	30%	5%	69	-0.4	219/282/363	144	293	15	21	29%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Kevin Alcántara 2021 · A	19	41→49	37→50	48→50	37	198/245/275	77	283	4	8	30%	5%	40	-2.4	222/274/348	126	339	12	10	36%	6%	71	-0.3	229/292/381	152	335	20	12	36%	8%	84	+0.4
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	40	38→55	49→45	43	195/258/270	75	266	5	11	28%	7%	44	-2.1	205/253/318	113	280	11	7	30%	5%	55	-1.4	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→45	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	47	-1.9	190/259/265	75	304	6	15	36%	7%	44	-2.1	192/271/270	78	293	5	32	33%	7%	47	-0.7
✕Isan Díaz 2015 · A	19	34→42	39→55	47→45	39	169/233/258	89	267	6	8	37%	7%	31	-3.0	206/271/341	135	300	13	8	33%	8%	69	-0.4	208/287/373	164	275	21	5	31%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	35	41→45	47→60	41	179/238/272	93	242	10	13	30%	6%	37	-2.7	221/272/301	80	287	7	19	24%	6%	58	-1.2	235/283/299	64	302	5	24	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	40→55	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	59	-1.1	228/295/379	151	303	17	5	29%	7%	89	+1.0	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Jose Cordoba 2022 · A	19	39	39→45	45→55	38	193/252/278	85	266	7	8	29%	5%	44	-2.1	196/255/289	93	278	8	10	31%	6%	48	-1.9	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	42→34	38→45	46→50	39	192/268/272	80	307	5	9	36%	7%	50	-1.7	206/287/306	100	302	9	7	32%	9%	67	-0.5	197/289/306	108	288	11	5	33%	10%	66	-0.3
✕Luis Liberato 2015 · A	19	37→47	37→55	52→50	43	181/245/254	73	265	4	14	32%	7%	35	-2.8	201/256/305	104	305	6	9	33%	7%	52	-1.6	237/280/389	152	300	18	5	27%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Ezequiel Tovar 2021 · A	19	45→47	37→50	49→50	43	209/275/287	78	306	4	12	31%	8%	56	-1.3	231/269/358	127	281	13	15	22%	4%	72	-0.2	227/264/372	145	291	16	11	28%	4%	71	-0.2
✕Brendan Rodgers 2016 · A	19	42→50	40→50	46→45	39	203/253/296	93	299	7	7	33%	6%	49	-1.8	219/263/330	111	288	12	6	27%	4%	62	-0.9	236/292/359	123	281	13	0	20%	6%	80	+0.2