Jose Alpuria — OGILVIE

Jose AlpuriaCF Visalia Rawhide

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 160 lbs A HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION333 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP299

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$25M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL D-backs Black	—	165	137	24	3	2	1	19	52	9	6	3	175	315	248	563	73	274	32	12	275	72	-5	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2023	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	194	165	41	4	1	2	14	50	14	22	8	248	358	321	679	73	342	26	7	318	102	+0	+1	—	—	+4	0.6
2024	19	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	165	129	37	2	2	1	19	42	15	16	2	287	436	357	792	70	409	25	12	370	137	+7	+2	—	—	+4	1.3
2025	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	297	246	49	13	1	3	30	80	16	23	7	199	325	297	622	98	279	27	10	290	83	-6	+2	—	—	+6	0.2
2025	20	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	23	18	4	1	0	1	3	7	2	0	1	222	391	444	836	222	300	30	13	380	143	+1	-0	—	—	+0	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Black	—	165	143	16	2	1	1	13	77	9	6	3	112	230	161	391	49	221	47	8	179	7	-18	+0	—	—	+4	-1.5
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	194	170	28	3	1	2	9	72	14	22	8	165	264	229	494	65	251	37	5	211	29	-16	+1	—	—	+4	-1.1
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	165	137	27	1	1	1	11	63	15	16	2	197	325	241	566	44	324	38	7	256	59	-8	+2	—	—	+4	-0.2
2025	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	297	256	41	10	1	2	20	109	16	23	7	160	264	230	494	70	250	37	7	223	37	-22	+2	—	—	+6	-1.4
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	23	19	3	1	0	1	2	11	2	0	1	158	304	368	673	211	233	48	9	252	57	-1	-0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Black	—	165	143	16	2	1	1	13	77	9	6	3	112	230	161	391	49	231	47	8	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs Black	—	165	137	24	3	2	1	19	52	9	6	3	175	315	248	563	73	274	32	12	275	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	194	170	28	3	1	2	9	72	14	22	8	165	264	229	494	65	268	37	5	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	194	165	41	4	1	2	14	50	14	22	8	248	358	321	679	73	342	26	7	318	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	165	137	27	1	1	1	11	63	15	16	2	197	325	241	566	44	347	38	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	—	165	129	37	2	2	1	19	42	15	16	2	287	436	357	792	70	409	25	12	370	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	320	275	44	11	1	3	22	120	18	23	8	160	267	240	507	80	266	38	7	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	320	264	53	14	1	4	33	87	18	23	8	201	330	307	637	106	280	27	10	297	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Black	—	165	142	16	2	1	1	13	77	9	6	3	113	230	162	392	49	221	47	8	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	194	169	28	3	1	2	9	72	14	22	8	166	264	231	495	65	251	37	5	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	165	138	27	1	1	1	11	63	15	16	2	196	325	239	564	43	324	38	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	320	277	44	11	1	3	22	120	18	23	8	159	267	238	505	79	249	38	7	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	194	169	28	3	1	2	9	72	14	22	8	166	264	231	495	65	251	37	5	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	165	138	27	1	1	1	11	63	15	16	2	196	325	239	564	43	324	38	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	320	277	44	11	1	3	22	120	18	23	8	159	267	238	505	79	249	38	7	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A MLE	ARI	—	333	289	71	12	4	12	23	101	17	26	4	246	337	439	777	194	331	30	7	331	110	+4	+4	+0	+1	+7	1.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	ARI	—	308	261	80	14	6	13	27	73	16	24	3	307	405	556	960	249	379	24	9	415	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ RAW	ARI	—	25	17	4	1	0	1	7	2	1	2	1	235	480	471	951	235	214	8	28	432	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A MLE	ARI	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		292	33	11	294	85	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	21	A MLE	ARI	—	342	297	72	12	4	12	24	104	17	26	4	242	334	431	765	189	328	30	7	330	109	+4	+4	+0	+1	+7	1.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	ARI	34%	391	346	74	13	3	10	27	119	15	14	3	214	299	355	654	142	290	30	7	294	85	-7	+2	+0	+1	+8	0.5
2028	23	MLB MLE	ARI	48%	456	403	88	15	4	12	33	134	17	15	3	218	305	365	669	146	291	29	7	301	90	-5	+2	+0	+2	+10	0.8
2029	24	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	499	442	98	17	4	14	36	144	18	16	3	222	306	373	680	152	291	29	7	306	93	-4	+2	+0	+2	+11	1.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	521	458	103	18	4	15	39	149	19	16	3	225	312	380	692	155	291	29	7	308	95	-3	+2	+0	+2	+11	1.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	533	469	104	18	4	15	40	152	19	16	3	222	309	373	682	151	291	29	8	309	95	-3	+2	+0	+2	+12	1.3
2032	27	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	535	470	104	18	4	15	41	153	19	15	3	221	309	372	682	151	291	29	8	309	95	-3	+2	+0	+2	+12	1.3
2033	28	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	532	467	103	18	4	15	41	153	19	14	3	221	309	373	682	152	291	29	8	308	95	-3	+2	-1	+2	+12	1.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	523	459	102	18	4	15	40	151	19	13	3	222	311	377	688	155	290	29	8	306	94	-4	+1	-1	+2	+11	0.9
2035	30	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	513	450	98	17	4	14	40	150	18	12	2	218	307	367	674	149	289	29	8	304	92	-5	+2	-2	+2	+11	0.8
2036	31	MLB MLE	ARI	60%	500	439	94	16	4	13	39	147	18	10	2	214	304	358	662	144	287	29	8	300	89	-6	+1	-3	+2	+11	0.5
2037	32	MLB MLE	ARI	61%	482	425	89	15	3	12	37	144	17	9	2	209	299	344	642	134	284	30	8	295	86	-8	+1	-4	+2	+10	0.2
2038	33	MLB MLE	ARI	62%	452	398	82	14	3	11	35	137	16	8	2	206	296	339	635	133	280	30	8	288	81	-10	+1	-4	+2	+10	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	ARI	34%	134	119	25	5	1	3	9	41	5	5	1	210	293	345	638	134	296	31	7	268	85	-2	+1	+0	+0	+3	0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	ARI	48%	221	195	44	8	2	6	16	65	8	7	2	226	311	379	690	154	297	29	7	276	90	-3	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.4
2029	24	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	263	232	52	10	2	7	19	76	10	8	2	224	310	375	685	151	298	29	7	281	93	-2	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.5
2030	25	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	285	252	57	10	3	8	21	81	10	9	2	226	311	385	696	159	298	28	7	284	95	-2	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.6
2031	26	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	297	262	59	11	3	8	22	85	11	9	2	225	312	382	694	156	298	29	7	285	95	-2	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.7
2032	27	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	294	259	59	11	3	8	22	84	11	8	2	228	315	386	701	158	298	29	7	285	95	-2	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.7
2033	28	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	291	257	58	11	3	8	22	84	10	8	2	226	311	385	697	160	297	29	8	284	95	-2	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.6
2034	29	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	279	245	54	10	2	7	22	81	10	7	1	220	310	363	674	143	297	29	8	283	94	-2	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.5
2035	30	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	292	257	56	10	2	8	23	85	10	7	1	218	307	366	673	148	296	29	8	280	92	-3	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.4
2036	31	MLB CTX	ARI	60%	298	262	57	10	2	8	23	88	11	6	1	218	307	363	670	145	293	30	8	276	89	-4	+1	-2	+1	+6	0.3
2037	32	MLB CTX	ARI	61%	295	260	55	10	2	7	23	88	10	6	1	212	300	346	646	135	290	30	8	271	86	-5	+1	-2	+1	+6	0.1
2038	33	MLB CTX	ARI	62%	282	248	52	9	2	7	22	86	10	5	1	210	300	347	647	137	286	30	8	265	81	-6	+1	-3	+1	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3231	2848	628	115	27	85	244	944	116	85	18	221	308	369	677	149	297	29	8	279	84	-34	+10	-9	+12	+70	4.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	126	23	5	17	49	190	23	17	4	220	307	366	673	147	296	29	8	279	84	-7	+2	-2	+2	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6790	5959	1255	214	49	168	504	2068	270	225	53	211	301	348	649	137	289	30	7	292	84	-63	+19	-15	+21	+129	9.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	120	20	5	16	48	198	26	22	5	211	301	347	648	137	290	30	7	292	84	-7	+2	-2	+2	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jackie Bradley Jr.last yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,192 PA	6.3	4,192	109	69	225	303	381	+6	+78	17.2	18.6
/162	664	17	11	+1.0	+12.3	2.7	pk7: 20
#2Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.3	3,552	93	95	216	300	360	+9	+18	6.9	6.2
/162	664	17	18	+1.6	+3.3	1.3	pk7: 5
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Alpuria (OGILVIE)	21	25	30	60	40	208/298/343	135	292	7	17	31%	7%	85	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	38→48	41→45	54→65	45	190/253/296	106	249	8	22	26%	7%	55	-1.9	192/267/308	116	292	10	25	35%	8%	63	-1.3	235/311/365	130	323	13	46	29%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Maximo Rivera 2014 · A	21	46	39→45	53→60	43	222/276/307	85	284	7	21	24%	6%	65	-1.2	213/264/284	71	299	4	10	28%	6%	55	-1.9	202/246/250	47	282	3	7	28%	5%	37	-0.9
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Jon Matthews 2014 · A	23	42	38→40	58→60	41	198/263/275	77	278	5	25	29%	6%	54	-2.0	229/296/296	67	312	3	16	25%	8%	70	-0.8	240/310/292	52	324	2	16	24%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Jenner Emeterio 2014 · A	21	45	35→30	54→60	52	209/291/266	57	279	3	25	24%	10%	63	-1.4	222/308/290	68	293	2	20	22%	10%	74	-0.5	235/336/301	66	302	0	28	19%	12%	86	+0.1
✕Victor Soto 2010 · A	21	39	37→45	56→60	40	188/240/265	77	263	3	22	29%	5%	42	-2.9	199/243/272	73	293	3	14	31%	5%	45	-2.7	187/218/237	50	279	0	18	32%	3%	25	-0.8
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→45	51→45	39	201/262/293	92	296	7	7	33%	6%	57	-1.8	195/269/306	111	299	13	8	37%	7%	65	-1.2	180/257/292	111	259	15	7	35%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	40→46	40	53→60	46	188/283/278	90	291	7	16	35%	10%	63	-1.3	193/292/274	81	290	6	18	32%	11%	66	-1.1	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40	52→50	39	198/250/294	96	274	6	10	29%	5%	53	-2.1	216/274/318	102	332	9	10	35%	7%	68	-1.0	210/271/306	96	328	9	12	36%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	41→40	43→50	52→55	43	204/269/311	107	264	11	18	26%	6%	65	-1.2	205/270/351	146	270	17	18	29%	7%	75	-0.5	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Gorge Munoz 2017 · A	21	43	38→40	50→55	42	205/260/282	78	258	5	17	22%	5%	54	-2.0	206/257/291	85	297	7	10	31%	5%	55	-1.9	189/234/268	78	291	9	9	37%	3%	38	-0.8
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	204/266/281	77	293	2	27	29%	7%	56	-1.9	220/283/294	74	332	4	27	32%	7%	65	-1.2	230/297/289	60	352	4	45	33%	8%	65	-0.5
✕Luis Durango 2023 · A	20	44	35→30	53→65	46	204/281/259	55	266	3	24	23%	7%	58	-1.7	214/284/271	57	295	2	32	26%	6%	61	-1.5	251/307/296	45	331	0	54	22%	4%	70	-0.3
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→37	40	52→50	40	195/254/288	93	274	7	14	31%	6%	53	-2.1	201/272/277	76	304	4	8	32%	8%	58	-1.7	190/273/260	70	294	3	7	33%	10%	51	-1.4
✕Daz Cameron 2018 · A	21	40→45	45→50	53→55	40	202/262/329	127	284	11	19	32%	6%	66	-1.1	201/268/318	117	295	9	17	33%	7%	66	-1.1	225/296/393	168	284	19	27	27%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	40	38→45	53→50	48	189/275/275	85	275	5	15	31%	10%	59	-1.6	188/260/285	97	334	7	13	42%	8%	55	-1.9	138/202/215	77	286	6	16	50%	7%	15	-1.7
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	53	-2.1	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	71	-0.8	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	70	-0.3
✕Angel Aponte 2021 · A	21	43	40→45	55	40	209/265/305	96	292	7	17	30%	6%	61	-1.5	207/265/296	89	300	7	20	32%	6%	59	-1.6	192/249/276	84	281	7	24	33%	5%	47	-0.9
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	63	-1.4	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	57	-1.8	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	33	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps