Jose Alpuria — OGILVIE

Jose AlpuriaCF Visalia Rawhide

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 160 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION294 act + 196 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .294 / .331

PA196

HR4

SB11

K%33

BB%7

BABIP295

ISO128

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$7M	+$6M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.2	$5M	+$4M
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2036	Arb-3	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.1M
Totals		$12M		$33M	+$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL D-backs Black	—	165	142	15	1	1	1	14	78	9	6	3	106	230	148	378	42	222	47	8	178	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL D-backs Black	—	165	137	24	3	2	1	19	52	9	6	3	175	315	248	563	73	274	32	12	275	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	194	171	27	3	1	2	8	72	14	22	8	158	254	222	476	64	255	37	4	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	194	165	41	4	1	2	14	50	14	22	8	248	358	321	679	73	342	26	7	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	165	138	26	1	1	1	10	65	15	16	2	188	313	232	545	43	338	39	6	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	165	129	37	2	2	1	19	42	15	16	2	287	436	357	792	70	409	25	12	370	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	320	275	42	11	1	2	22	122	18	23	8	153	260	222	482	69	261	38	7	220	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	320	264	53	14	1	4	33	87	18	23	8	201	330	307	637	106	280	27	10	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	ARI	—	294	256	65	11	4	11	19	95	15	24	3	254	341	457	798	203	355	32	6	336	115	+5	+4	+0	+1	+8	1.8
YTD	21	A	ARI	—	294	249	78	14	6	13	26	71	15	24	3	313	410	574	985	261	389	24	9	424	182	+27	+4	+0	+1	+8	4.1
ROS	21	A	ARI	0%	196	172	35	6	2	4	13	64	9	11	2	203	294	331	625	128	299	33	7	293	82	-4	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.4
ROS	21	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		301	—	—	260	57	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	21	A	ARI	—	294	257	65	11	4	11	19	95	15	24	3	253	341	455	797	202	353	32	6	336	115	+5	+4	+0	+1	+8	1.8
TOT	21	A	ARI	—	490	428	100	17	6	15	32	159	24	35	5	234	322	407	729	173	331	32	7	319	102	+1	+5	+0	+2	+14	2.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	ARI	34%	439	390	83	14	4	11	29	140	17	16	3	213	296	354	650	141	296	32	7	292	82	-9	+2	+0	+2	+12	0.7
2028	23	MLB	ARI	48%	490	436	95	17	4	13	33	151	18	16	3	218	300	365	664	147	297	31	7	299	87	-7	+2	+0	+2	+14	1.0
2029	24	MLB	ARI	53%	560	496	109	19	5	15	39	169	20	18	3	220	303	369	672	149	297	30	7	303	90	-6	+2	+0	+2	+16	1.4
2030	25	MLB	ARI	55%	559	494	110	19	5	16	40	167	20	17	3	223	307	379	685	156	297	30	7	306	92	-5	+2	+0	+2	+16	1.5
2031	26	MLB	ARI	56%	555	490	110	19	5	16	40	165	20	16	3	224	309	382	691	157	297	30	7	306	93	-5	+2	+0	+2	+16	1.5
2032	27	MLB	ARI	55%	548	483	108	19	4	16	40	164	20	15	3	224	309	379	688	155	297	30	7	307	93	-4	+2	+0	+2	+16	1.5
2033	28	MLB	ARI	55%	540	476	105	19	4	15	40	162	19	14	3	221	307	372	678	151	297	30	7	306	92	-5	+2	-1	+2	+15	1.4
2034	29	MLB	ARI	53%	530	467	103	18	4	15	39	160	19	13	2	221	307	373	679	152	296	30	7	304	91	-6	+2	-1	+2	+15	1.2
2035	30	MLB	ARI	57%	521	459	99	17	4	14	39	159	18	12	2	216	302	362	664	146	295	31	7	301	89	-7	+2	-2	+2	+15	1.0
2036	31	MLB	ARI	60%	501	441	95	17	4	13	37	154	18	10	2	215	302	361	663	145	293	31	7	298	86	-8	+1	-3	+2	+14	0.7
2027	22	MLB	ARI	34%	151	134	29	5	1	4	10	48	6	5	1	216	300	358	658	142	299	32	7	265	61	-7	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	ARI	48%	237	210	46	8	2	6	16	73	9	8	2	219	302	362	664	143	299	31	7	274	68	-9	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.0
2029	24	MLB	ARI	53%	295	261	57	10	2	8	21	89	11	9	2	218	304	364	668	146	300	30	7	279	72	-9	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.1
2030	25	MLB	ARI	55%	306	270	62	11	3	9	22	91	11	9	2	230	314	393	706	163	300	30	7	282	74	-9	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.2
2031	26	MLB	ARI	56%	309	273	62	11	3	9	22	92	11	9	2	227	310	388	699	161	299	30	7	283	75	-9	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.2
2032	27	MLB	ARI	55%	301	265	60	11	2	9	22	90	11	8	2	226	312	385	697	158	299	30	7	283	75	-9	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.2
2033	28	MLB	ARI	55%	295	260	57	10	2	8	22	89	11	8	1	219	307	365	673	146	299	30	7	282	74	-9	+1	-0	+1	+8	0.2
2034	29	MLB	ARI	53%	283	250	55	10	2	8	21	85	10	7	1	220	306	372	678	152	298	30	7	280	73	-9	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.1
2035	30	MLB	ARI	57%	297	262	57	10	2	8	22	90	11	7	1	218	305	363	668	145	297	30	7	278	71	-10	+1	-1	+1	+8	-0.1
2036	31	MLB	ARI	60%	298	264	57	10	2	8	22	92	10	6	1	216	301	360	661	144	295	31	7	274	68	-11	+1	-2	+1	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2772	2450	542	96	21	77	200	839	101	76	15	221	307	372	678	151	301	30	7	279	72	-89	+9	-4	+10	+79	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	128	23	5	18	47	197	24	18	4	223	309	375	683	152	304	30	7	279	72	-21	+2	-1	+2	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	6283	5530	1162	200	49	154	443	1992	254	225	50	210	299	348	646	137	295	32	7	290	80	-139	+25	-7	+22	+178	8.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	121	21	5	16	46	206	26	23	5	212	300	350	649	138	297	32	7	290	80	-14	+3	-1	+2	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL D-backs Black	—	165	137	24	3	2	1	19	52	9	6	3	175	315	248	563	73	274	32	12	275	68	-6	+0	—	—	+5	-0.1
2023	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	194	165	41	4	1	2	14	50	14	22	8	248	358	321	679	73	342	26	7	318	102	+0	+1	—	—	+5	0.7
2024	19	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	165	129	37	2	2	1	19	42	15	16	2	287	436	357	792	70	409	25	12	370	142	+8	+2	—	—	+5	1.5
2025	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	297	246	49	13	1	3	30	80	16	23	7	199	325	297	622	98	279	27	10	290	80	-7	+2	—	—	+8	0.4
2025	20	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	23	18	4	1	0	1	3	7	2	0	1	222	391	444	836	222	300	30	13	380	149	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	8	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
	/162	664	14	30	243	301	366	+2.4	+12.6	2.6	pk7: 11
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,093	80	88	216	298	361	+11	+15	5.8	5.5
	/162	664	17	19	216	298	361	+2.4	+3.2	1.2	pk7: 5
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Alpuria (OGILVIE)	21	25	30	60	40	234/322/407	173	331	15	35	32%	7%	102	+2.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jon Matthews 2012 · A	21	42	36→40	54→60	40	196/256/265	69	282	2	18	30%	6%	42	-2.3	206/267/279	73	292	4	23	29%	6%	50	-1.7	233/305/297	64	314	3	21	24%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	39→46	40	53→60	46	187/281/276	89	288	7	16	34%	10%	58	-1.2	194/293/274	80	293	6	18	32%	11%	63	-0.9	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Victor Soto 2010 · A	21	39	37→45	56→60	40	188/240/265	77	263	3	22	29%	5%	35	-2.8	199/243/272	73	293	3	14	31%	5%	37	-2.6	187/218/237	50	279	0	18	32%	3%	15	-0.8
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	38→48	41→50	54→65	45	186/250/288	102	245	7	22	27%	7%	46	-2.0	187/263/301	114	290	10	25	36%	8%	56	-1.3	239/314/383	144	329	16	46	30%	9%	96	+0.9
✕Maximo Rivera 2014 · A	21	46	39→45	53→60	43	222/276/307	85	284	7	21	24%	6%	61	-1.0	213/264/284	71	297	4	10	28%	6%	50	-1.8	203/245/250	47	280	3	7	27%	5%	29	-0.9
✕Jenner Emeterio 2014 · A	21	45	35→30	54→60	52	209/291/266	57	279	3	25	24%	10%	58	-1.2	222/308/290	68	293	2	20	22%	10%	71	-0.3	235/336/301	66	302	0	28	19%	12%	85	+0.3
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	39→35	40	52→50	40	193/252/284	91	274	7	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	201/271/278	77	305	4	8	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	45→42	42→50	56→50	40	218/268/331	113	302	8	15	30%	6%	64	-0.8	215/273/337	122	287	11	12	27%	6%	68	-0.5	225/274/377	152	279	18	13	26%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	41→40	42→50	52→55	42	203/265/309	106	263	10	18	26%	6%	58	-1.2	207/272/357	150	272	17	18	30%	7%	74	-0.1	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Sergio Garcia 2012 · AAA	21	38	42→45	54→60	41	193/248/290	97	267	11	22	31%	6%	45	-2.1	213/253/326	113	295	12	27	31%	4%	56	-1.3	231/255/354	123	300	13	17	28%	2%	62	-0.4
✕Pedruin Bautista 2006 · A	22	39	38→40	50→60	33	192/225/272	80	283	4	10	33%	4%	30	-3.1	197/277/272	75	275	3	17	27%	8%	53	-1.5	190/288/262	72	257	2	25	24%	10%	54	-0.6
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	204/266/281	77	293	2	27	29%	7%	50	-1.7	220/283/294	74	332	4	27	32%	7%	61	-1.0	230/297/289	60	352	4	45	33%	8%	61	-0.4
✕Luke Williams 2018 · A	21	39→46	35→45	55→60	41	188/231/243	55	251	3	18	26%	5%	25	-3.5	199/255/286	87	268	7	18	27%	6%	47	-1.9	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	38→45	53→50	47	187/270/270	84	274	5	15	31%	9%	51	-1.7	185/255/279	94	336	7	13	43%	8%	46	-2.0	134/194/209	75	291	5	16	52%	6%	-1	-1.8
✕Gorge Munoz 2017 · A	21	43	38→40	50→55	42	205/260/282	78	258	5	17	22%	5%	48	-1.9	205/257/290	85	298	7	10	32%	5%	49	-1.8	185/231/261	77	287	9	9	37%	3%	28	-0.8
✕Kenny Wilson 2011 · A	21	36→46	35→40	56→60	40	170/243/223	53	273	2	26	36%	7%	27	-3.3	191/262/262	71	286	4	28	32%	7%	45	-2.1	195/262/289	94	302	8	22	35%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	42→50	40→45	59→55	39	204/254/302	98	293	6	20	31%	6%	50	-1.7	223/280/337	114	302	9	18	28%	6%	71	-0.3	225/287/343	117	297	10	18	26%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/248/282	94	270	8	13	32%	6%	43	-2.2	195/260/276	81	313	7	10	37%	7%	47	-1.9	186/257/265	79	290	10	10	37%	7%	41	-1.1
✕Kenedy Corona 2022 · A	22	43→40	39→45	52→55	39	205/259/290	85	285	6	20	29%	5%	50	-1.8	206/268/333	127	294	13	23	33%	7%	66	-0.6	198/265/322	124	280	13	27	32%	7%	58	-0.9