Jostin Florentino

P South Bend Cubs

Age 22 RHP 6'0" / 175 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.0 · 2031

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #391MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP44ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	ROKDSL Cubs Red	10	7	35	2.06	1.67	29.4%	7.4%	—	K 20.0% · BB 9.2% · FIP 2.58
2025	20	MIX2 levels	16	14	81	2.43	2.02	29.7%	7.4%	—	K 21.4% · BB 8.8% · FIP 3.15
2026	21	MIX2 levels	18	18	66	4.61	4.64	26.9%	11.7%	—	K 21.6% · BB 13.9% · FIP 6.03
2027PROJ	22	MLBCHC	10	10	52	5.02	5.02	20.2%	11.3%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBCHC	7	7	37	4.77	4.70	21.2%	10.3%	0.1
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBCHC	10	10	54	4.61	4.53	21.9%	9.7%	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$2M2032Arb-2$3M2033Arb-3$3M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff43Control55Command50FB velo40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 10, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 81%

CompsNoah Denoyer (age 23) · Tanner Hall (age 22) · Ryan Atkinson (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 112

ERA5.02

FIP5.02

K%20.2%

BB%11.3%

K-BB%8.8%

Proj IP52

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$1M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4545

CTRL—55

CMD3050

K†5055

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2031	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$4M	+$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	13	0	35	144	35	10	2	0%	2.7	16.5%	8.7%	7.8%	1.8%	3.57	3.78	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	13	0	35	144	35	10	2	0%	2.7	24.3%	6.9%	17.4%	1.4%	3.57	2.70	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	10	7	35	136	40	10	0	70%	3.5	20.0%	9.2%	10.8%	0.0%	2.06	2.58	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	10	7	35	136	40	10	0	70%	3.5	20.0%	9.2%	10.8%	0.0%	2.06	2.58	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	10	7	35	136	40	10	0	70%	3.5	29.4%	7.4%	22.1%	0.0%	2.06	1.67	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	14	81	340	101	25	3	88%	5.1	21.4%	8.8%	12.6%	1.4%	2.43	3.15	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	14	81	340	101	25	3	88%	5.1	21.4%	8.8%	12.6%	1.4%	2.43	3.15	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	14	81	340	101	25	3	88%	5.1	29.7%	7.4%	22.4%	0.9%	2.43	2.02	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	18	66	290	78	34	12	100%	3.7	21.6%	13.9%	7.8%	5.5%	4.61	6.03	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	18	66	290	78	34	12	100%	3.7	21.6%	13.9%	7.8%	5.5%	4.61	6.03	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	18	66	290	78	34	12	100%	3.7	26.9%	11.7%	15.2%	4.1%	4.61	4.64	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	CHC	10	10	52	220	44	25	7	100%	5.2	20.2%	11.3%	8.8%	3.3%	5.02	5.02	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CHC	14	14	76	320	68	33	10	100%	5.4	21.2%	10.3%	10.9%	3.2%	4.84	4.77	+0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	CHC	14	14	78	328	72	32	10	100%	5.6	21.9%	9.7%	12.2%	3.2%	4.68	4.60	+0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	CHC	13	13	79	333	74	31	10	100%	6.1	22.4%	9.3%	13.0%	3.2%	4.57	4.50	+0.4
2031	26	MLB MLE	CHC	13	13	79	333	75	31	10	100%	6.1	22.6%	9.3%	13.3%	3.1%	4.51	4.48	+0.4
2032	27	MLB MLE	CHC	13	13	78	328	74	31	10	100%	6.0	22.6%	9.4%	13.2%	3.2%	4.51	4.52	+0.3
2033	28	MLB MLE	CHC	13	13	75	318	71	30	10	100%	5.8	22.5%	9.5%	13.0%	3.3%	4.56	4.60	+0.3
2034	29	MLB MLE	CHC	12	12	72	304	68	30	10	100%	6.0	22.2%	9.8%	12.5%	3.4%	4.66	4.73	+0.1
2035	30	MLB MLE	CHC	11	11	68	285	62	29	10	100%	6.1	21.9%	10.1%	11.8%	3.6%	4.81	4.91	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	CHC	7	7	37	156	33	16	5	100%	5.3	21.2%	10.3%	10.9%	3.1%	4.77	4.70	+0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	CHC	10	10	54	228	50	22	7	100%	5.4	21.9%	9.7%	12.2%	3.1%	4.61	4.53	+0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	CHC	11	11	64	270	60	25	8	100%	5.8	22.4%	9.3%	13.0%	3.0%	4.51	4.44	+0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	CHC	12	12	69	291	66	27	9	100%	5.8	22.6%	9.3%	13.3%	3.0%	4.45	4.42	+0.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	CHC	12	12	70	296	67	28	9	100%	5.8	22.6%	9.4%	13.2%	3.1%	4.44	4.45	+0.3
2033	28	MLB CTX	CHC	12	12	69	291	65	28	9	100%	5.8	22.5%	9.5%	13.0%	3.2%	4.49	4.53	+0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	CHC	11	11	67	283	63	28	9	100%	6.1	22.2%	9.8%	12.5%	3.3%	4.59	4.66	+0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	CHC	10	10	63	266	58	27	9	100%	6.3	21.9%	10.1%	11.8%	3.5%	4.73	4.83	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		84	84	494	2087	464	201	66	100%	5.9	22.2%	9.6%	12.6%	3.2%	4.56	4.18	+4.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	188	81	27	100%	5.9	22.2%	9.6%	12.6%	3.2%	4.56	4.18	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		57	39	218	910	186	95	23	68%	3.8	20.5%	10.4%	10.0%	2.5%	3.22	4.08	+1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		52	36	200	835	171	87	21	68%	3.8	20.5%	10.4%	10.0%	2.5%	3.22	4.08	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jostin Florentino (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.02	20.2%	11.3%	3.3%	—	4.62	21.9%	12.1%	232	-0.40	—	—	—
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.10	25.7%	15.7%	121	-0.41	3.26	181	93
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	92
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	90
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.15	22.0%	9.5%	123	+0.85	4.30	181	87
Jared Karros R 2023 · 4.77 FIP	22	SP	4.77	19.0%	8.9%	3.9%	.290	5.26	17.8%	8.3%	120	+0.49	3.36	191	87
Bryce Conley R 2018 · 4.71 FIP	23	SP-	4.71	20.2%	12.2%	3.2%	.269	4.88	17.4%	3.3%	197	+0.17	4.22	560	86
Nick Garcia R 2021 · 4.59 FIP	22	SP-	4.59	18.3%	12.3%	2.7%	.274	5.03	17.3%	6.2%	265	+0.44	3.20	411	86
Levi Thomas R 2021 · 5.22 FIP	23	SP-	5.22	18.1%	11.9%	3.9%	.328	5.16	20.8%	3.3%	31	-0.06	5.16	116	86
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	85
Johnathan Harmon R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	22	SP-	4.30	17.8%	10.2%	2.6%	.293	5.14	15.2%	6.4%	193	+0.84	3.52	282	85
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.71	16.1%	6.1%	316	+0.16	3.97	371	85
Christian Roa R 2021 · 4.94 FIP	22	SP	4.94	19.6%	12.4%	3.5%	.321	4.90	22.5%	6.9%	260	-0.04	4.14	414	85
Angel Guzman R 2006 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP-	4.73	22.1%	13.2%	3.3%	.353	3.88	19.6%	12.0%	91	-0.85	3.13	147	84
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	84
Nick Fraze R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	23	SP-	4.49	18.8%	7.3%	3.8%	.271	4.69	18.1%	10.4%	162	+0.20	3.86	278	83
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	83
Jake Lyons R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.325	4.64	19.4%	9.2%	105	+0.18	4.13	174	83
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	83
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.27	22.8%	15.4%	121	+0.08	2.98	262	83
Tim Redding R 2001 · 4.88 FIP	23	SP-	4.88	22.1%	9.6%	4.4%	.321	4.34	15.1%	6.6%	350	-0.54	3.97	822	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.3	73	22.0%	9.8%	1.27	4.67
Luis Vizcaino ('09)	2.7	68	21.0%	10.1%	1.30	4.33
Dan Miceli ('06)	3.5	64	20.6%	10.1%	1.19	4.48
Bobby Ayala ('99)	2.9	72	21.3%	9.7%	1.11	4.78
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Joe Boever ('85-'96, 4 WAR*)	3.8	84	20.9%*	10.0%*	1.14*	4.15*
Wes Stock ('59-'67, 2 WAR*)	2.6	74	22.3%*	9.6%*	1.29*	4.22*