Daury Vasquez

P Visalia Rawhide

Age 21 RHP 6'2" / 170 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.7 · 2032

Overview

APROSPECTFG #634MiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP44ETA2028FG ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	18	ROKDSL Arizona R…	11	6	40	4.05	2.42	26.3%	12.3%	—	K 17.9% · BB 15.4% · FIP 3.53
2025	19	MIX2 levels	16	12	64	3.80	2.94	28.1%	13.0%	—	K 19.5% · BB 15.9% · FIP 4.17
2026	20	MIX2 levels	18	18	60	8.50	5.30	19.4%	13.3%	—	K 14.1% · BB 15.9% · FIP 6.51
2027PROJ	21	MLBARI	9	9	42	5.87	5.87	16.8%	16.4%	-0.5
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBARI	6	6	30	5.42	5.28	19.0%	14.3%	-0.2
2029PROJ73% MLB	23	MLBARI	9	9	46	5.11	4.96	20.3%	12.9%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$1M2033Arb-2$2M2034Ext$7M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control45Command40FB velo60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 90%

CompsLuis Hernandez (age 21) · Danny Flatt (age 20) · Ryan Harvey (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145137vR 128

ERA5.87

FIP5.87

K%16.8%

BB%16.4%

K-BB%0.4%

Proj IP42

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4050

CTRL—45

CMD3040

K†4050

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	10	8	27	126	13	24	1	80%	2.7	7.0%	23.8%	-16.8%	1.3%	4.67	6.25	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	10	8	27	126	13	24	1	80%	2.7	10.3%	19.0%	-8.7%	0.8%	4.67	5.29	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	11	6	40	171	45	21	0	55%	3.6	17.9%	15.4%	2.5%	0.0%	4.05	3.53	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	11	6	40	171	45	21	0	55%	3.6	17.9%	15.4%	2.5%	0.0%	4.05	3.53	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	11	6	40	171	45	21	0	55%	3.6	26.3%	12.3%	14.0%	0.0%	4.05	2.42	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	12	64	285	80	37	3	75%	4.0	19.5%	15.9%	3.6%	1.3%	3.80	4.17	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	12	64	285	80	37	3	75%	4.0	19.5%	15.9%	3.6%	1.3%	3.80	4.17	—
2025	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	12	64	285	80	37	3	75%	4.0	28.1%	13.0%	15.1%	1.1%	3.80	2.94	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	18	60	278	54	37	10	100%	3.4	14.1%	15.9%	-1.8%	4.7%	8.50	6.51	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	18	60	278	54	37	10	100%	3.4	14.1%	15.9%	-1.8%	4.7%	8.50	6.51	—
2026	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	18	60	278	54	37	10	100%	3.4	19.4%	13.3%	6.1%	3.6%	8.50	5.30	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	ARI	9	9	42	177	30	29	6	100%	4.7	16.8%	16.4%	0.4%	3.1%	5.87	5.87	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	ARI	12	12	60	255	48	36	8	100%	5.0	19.0%	14.3%	4.7%	3.1%	5.51	5.37	-0.3
2029	23	MLB MLE	ARI	12	12	63	265	54	34	8	100%	5.2	20.3%	12.9%	7.5%	3.0%	5.20	5.05	-0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	ARI	12	12	64	272	57	33	8	100%	5.4	21.1%	12.0%	9.1%	3.0%	4.98	4.85	+0.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	ARI	11	11	65	275	59	31	8	100%	5.9	21.6%	11.4%	10.1%	3.0%	4.83	4.74	+0.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	ARI	11	11	65	275	60	31	8	100%	5.9	21.8%	11.4%	10.4%	3.0%	4.76	4.72	+0.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	ARI	11	11	64	271	59	31	8	100%	5.8	21.8%	11.5%	10.3%	3.0%	4.76	4.76	+0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	ARI	6	6	30	127	24	18	4	100%	5.0	19.0%	14.3%	4.7%	2.9%	5.42	5.28	-0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	ARI	9	9	46	194	39	25	6	100%	5.1	20.3%	12.9%	7.5%	2.9%	5.11	4.96	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	ARI	9	9	53	224	47	27	6	100%	5.9	21.1%	12.0%	9.1%	2.8%	4.89	4.76	+0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	ARI	10	10	58	245	53	28	7	100%	5.8	21.6%	11.4%	10.1%	2.8%	4.74	4.65	+0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	ARI	10	10	60	253	55	29	7	100%	6.0	21.8%	11.4%	10.4%	2.8%	4.67	4.63	+0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	ARI	10	10	60	253	55	29	7	100%	6.0	21.8%	11.5%	10.3%	2.9%	4.67	4.67	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		54	54	306	1290	272	155	37	100%	5.7	21.1%	12.0%	9.1%	2.8%	4.86	4.40	+1.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	178	101	24	100%	5.7	21.1%	12.0%	9.1%	2.8%	4.86	4.40	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		55	44	191	860	134	146	18	80%	3.5	15.6%	16.9%	-1.3%	2.1%	5.46	5.10	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		57	46	200	899	140	152	19	80%	3.5	15.6%	16.9%	-1.3%	2.1%	5.46	5.10	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Daury Vasquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.87	16.8%	16.4%	3.1%	—	5.08	20.2%	7.2%	188	-0.79	—	—	—
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	90
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	86
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	86
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	86
Aaron Hernandez R 2019 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	18.6%	15.7%	2.4%	.340	4.81	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.02	4.65	194	84
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	84
Camilo Sanchez R 2024 · 5.26 FIP	21	SP-	5.26	15.2%	14.0%	3.1%	.289	7.17	13.8%	-0.2%	19	+1.91	3.57	117	84
Luis Mora R 2016 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	16.3%	15.4%	3.8%	.303	5.27	23.9%	1.2%	43	-0.51	3.95	119	83
Henry Williams R 2023 · 5.59 FIP	21	SP	5.59	16.5%	14.2%	3.8%	.271	4.62	17.1%	7.4%	343	-0.97	4.16	409	83
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	83
Kohl Franklin R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	22	SP	5.24	17.8%	14.6%	3.3%	.320	5.66	19.9%	7.9%	105	+0.42	4.38	205	82
Holt Jones R 2022 · 6.63 FIP	23	SP	6.63	17.9%	19.5%	4.7%	.296	4.64	18.4%	0.8%	147	-1.99	4.21	254	82
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	82
Ismael Agreda R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SP-	5.28	17.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.269	4.71	21.1%	6.1%	178	-0.57	3.35	272	82
Abel Brito R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	21	SP-	4.79	15.7%	12.6%	2.6%	.310	5.66	13.2%	-8.6%	70	+0.87	4.13	147	82
Jake Madden R 2023 · 5.46 FIP	21	SP	5.46	15.9%	15.2%	3.2%	.299	4.57	14.1%	-1.1%	44	-0.89	4.57	123	81
Adam Bates R 2024 · 5.12 FIP	18	SP-	5.12	16.2%	14.1%	2.9%	.358	6.39	13.0%	-7.2%	146	+1.27	5.12	183	81
J.P. Massey R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	23	SP	4.95	18.2%	16.0%	2.5%	.259	5.12	15.9%	0.6%	115	+0.17	4.72	195	81
Jose Diaz R 2021 · 5.27 FIP	21	SP	5.27	16.5%	17.5%	2.5%	.357	5.01	17.6%	0.9%	89	-0.26	3.91	189	81
Wilmer Blanco R 2024 · 5.76 FIP	20	SP	5.76	14.9%	16.3%	3.4%	.364	5.82	14.1%	2.3%	47	+0.06	3.81	163	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.1	61	20.5%	12.6%	1.17	5.09
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Jorge Julio ('09)	2.3	58	21.7%	11.3%	1.25	4.43