Enmanuel Talavera

Enmanuel Talavera P DSL Reds

Age 20 RHP 6'2" / 170 lbs ROK peak 0.5 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.58

FIP4.58

K%20.8%

BB%9.6%

K-BB%11.2%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	14	3	23	97	25	13	2	21%	1.7	17.5%	16.8%	0.8%	3.1%	3.09	5.47	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	14	3	23	97	25	13	2	21%	1.7	17.5%	16.8%	0.8%	3.1%	3.09	5.47	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	14	3	23	97	25	13	2	21%	1.7	25.8%	13.4%	12.4%	2.1%	3.09	3.74	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	13	10	47	181	44	9	3	77%	3.6	16.5%	6.2%	10.3%	2.3%	2.47	3.77	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	13	10	47	181	44	9	3	77%	3.6	16.5%	6.2%	10.3%	2.3%	2.47	3.77	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rojos	13	10	47	181	44	9	3	77%	3.6	24.3%	5.0%	19.3%	1.7%	2.47	2.64	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	6	6	24	96	26	9	2	100%	4.0	18.4%	11.7%	6.7%	2.9%	3.00	4.64	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	6	6	24	96	26	9	2	100%	4.0	18.4%	11.7%	6.7%	2.9%	3.00	4.64	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	6	6	24	96	26	9	2	100%	4.0	27.1%	9.4%	17.7%	2.1%	3.00	3.14	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	20	MLB	CIN	1	1	2	8	2	1	0	100%	2.0	20.8%	9.6%	11.2%	3.0%	4.58	4.58	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CIN	9	9	45	189	40	17	6	100%	5.0	21.4%	9.2%	12.3%	2.9%	4.48	4.43	+0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	CIN	5	5	22	93	20	8	3	100%	4.4	21.4%	9.2%	12.3%	2.9%	4.48	4.43	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		5	5	22	93	20	8	3	100%	4.4	21.4%	9.2%	12.3%	2.9%	4.48	4.06	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	182	73	27	100%	4.8	21.4%	9.2%	12.3%	2.9%	4.48	4.06	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		33	19	95	374	65	39	10	58%	2.9	17.3%	10.4%	6.9%	2.7%	2.76	4.43	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		70	40	200	790	136	82	21	58%	2.9	17.3%	10.4%	6.9%	2.7%	2.76	4.43	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Enmanuel Talavera (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.58	20.8%	9.6%	3.0%	—	4.43	21.4%	12.3%	45	-0.15	—	—	—
Fraynel Nova R 2022 · 3.83 FIP	20	SP-	3.83	16.4%	7.9%	2.0%	.296	4.17	14.9%	4.9%	110	+0.34	3.38	129	84
Joelvis Del Rosario R 2021 · 3.76 FIP	20	SP-	3.76	22.5%	8.0%	2.8%	.315	4.97	14.6%	6.0%	197	+1.21	3.13	286	83
Miguel Díaz R 2015 · 3.40 FIP	20	SP-	3.40	19.3%	7.7%	1.7%	.365	4.40	19.4%	8.2%	233	+1.00	2.18	573	82
Sean Paul Liñan R 2023 · 4.05 FIP	18	SP-	4.05	17.7%	8.3%	2.5%	.324	4.30	22.1%	10.2%	210	+0.25	3.29	272	81
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	81
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.8%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	80
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	80
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	80
Ryan Fernandez R 2018 · 4.44 FIP	20	SP-	4.44	19.2%	6.8%	3.8%	.357	3.37	20.8%	13.2%	53	-1.07	3.02	360	80
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	80
Saul Gonzalez R 2021 · 3.66 FIP	21	SP-	3.66	16.1%	8.4%	1.6%	.320	3.24	19.8%	9.6%	70	-0.42	2.94	110	79
Felix Arronde R 2023 · 4.42 FIP	20	SW	4.42	20.2%	12.1%	2.7%	.275	4.98	15.8%	5.8%	344	+0.56	4.16	442	79
Lisandro Almonte R 2022 · 4.73 FIP	20	SP-	4.73	17.9%	10.3%	3.3%	.310	5.04	20.5%	3.3%	50	+0.31	3.81	128	79
Porter Hodge R 2021 · 4.20 FIP	20	SP-	4.20	19.3%	8.8%	2.9%	.336	3.40	24.2%	10.6%	249	-0.80	2.97	349	79
Carson Rudd R 2021 · 3.39 FIP	22	SP-	3.39	25.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.351	5.24	21.6%	5.6%	193	+1.85	3.39	242	79
Roger Rodriguez R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	20	SP-	5.15	16.4%	9.6%	4.0%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	128	79
Nicholas Economos R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	20	SP-	4.95	15.3%	10.7%	3.3%	.233	5.28	10.4%	0.6%	57	+0.33	4.40	223	78
Donal Montas R 2022 · 5.29 FIP	20	SP-	5.29	17.3%	9.1%	4.5%	.217	5.03	10.2%	-3.8%	91	-0.26	4.10	156	78
Henry Valencio R 2019 · 4.15 FIP	20	SP-	4.15	16.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.293	5.11	11.9%	-11.9%	14	+0.96	3.48	136	78
Simon Mathews R 2017 · 4.09 FIP	21	SW	4.09	17.7%	7.5%	2.8%	.326	4.42	16.0%	5.9%	167	+0.33	4.09	215	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	32	21.2%	9.3%	1.14	4.51
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58