Luis Guanipa

OF Augusta GreenJackets
Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 188 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1865ETA2030MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418A/ROKATL217.219/.288/.29121025—.174/.228/.215
202519A/ROKATL142.262/.345/.3251249—.213/.275/.258
202620A+/AATL568.280/.337/.426144272—.240/.281/.361
2027PROJMLE21MLBATL584.237/.281/.343101875-0.1
2028PROJ25% MLB22MLBATL117.241/.287/.3572481-0.1
2029PROJ38% MLB23MLBATL200.244/.292/.3664685-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$1M2032Arb-2$3M2033Arb-3$3M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Z-Con%97
K%91
Whiff%84
Speed76
ISO44
wRC+11
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 7.6, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 81%
CompsJohan Rojas (age 21) · Darell Hernaiz (age 21) · Cody Freeman (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†75
AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .278 / .340
PA210
HR4
SB7
K%18
BB%5
ISO106
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +1.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.6 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: -1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.10.20.20.227282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$4M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Arb-1$1M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M (cut)
2032Arb-2$3M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Arb-3$3M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $0.0M $2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Braves — 208172 411114 234211 206 238364384748 145289 2011 340 34 — — — — — —
202418 AAugusta GreenJackets — 136125 23200 11350 64 184250200450 16256 268 215 6 — — — — — —
202418 ROKFCL Braves — 8171 20222 7101 40 282354451805 169295 129 349 58 — — — — — —
202519 AAugusta GreenJackets — 118108 29301 9141 21 269331324655 56301 128 301 50 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Braves — 2418 4200 561 00 222417333750 111333 2521 358 47 — — — — — —
202620 A+Rome Emperors — 146138 30813 4220 51 217239355595 138231 153 255 30 — — — — — —
202620 AAugusta GreenJackets — 422376 11417311 34556 375 303370452822 149326 138 362 87 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 208180 26712 155311 206 144252228480 83182 257 218 34 — — — — — —
202418 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 136128 21200 8470 64 164213180393 16253 356 177 6 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 8173 14111 5141 40 192253274527 82226 176 254 58 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 118111 25201 6191 21 225271270541 45268 165 242 50 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 2420 3100 391 00 150292200492 50255 3812 237 47 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLERome Emperors — 146140 26613 2290 51 186197307504 121199 201 213 30 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 422387 1001439 23756 375 258310380690 121285 185 297 87 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 208180 26712 155311 206 144252228480 83189 257 218 34 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Braves — 208172 411114 234211 206 238364384748 145289 2011 340 34 — — — — — —
202418 A MLE2 teams — 217202 35311 12611 104 173223213436 40239 286 206 25 — — — — — —
202418 A RAW2 teams — 217196 43422 18451 104 219288291579 71272 218 265 25 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE2 teams — 142130 28401 10282 21 215282269551 54267 207 241 49 — — — — — —
202519 A RAW2 teams — 142126 33501 14202 21 262345325670 63305 1410 311 49 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 568526 12620412 261036 426 240283361644 122271 185 275 73 — — — — — —
202620 A RAW2 teams — 568514 14425414 38776 426 280337426763 146300 147 335 73 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 208180 26712 155311 206 144252228480 83182 257 218 34 — — — — — —
202418 A MLE2 teams — 217202 35311 12611 104 173223213436 40243 286 206 25 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE2 teams — 142129 28401 10282 21 217282271553 54266 207 241 49 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 568531 12620412 261036 426 237283358641 121263 185 275 73 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 A MLE2 teams — 217202 35311 12611 104 173223213436 40243 286 206 25 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE2 teams — 142129 28401 10282 21 217282271553 54266 207 241 49 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 568531 12620412 261036 426 237283358641 121263 185 275 73 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEATL 0% 584546 12921310 281035 183 237281343624 106273 185 278 75 -18 +2 -2 -4 +13 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEATL 25% 469438 1051739 24814 153 241287357644 116274 175 287 81 -11 +2 -1 -3 +10 -0.3
202923 MLB MLEATL 38% 522484 11819311 29904 163 244292366658 122276 176 293 85 -10 +2 -1 -3 +11 -0.0
203024 MLB MLEATL 44% 558516 12721313 32975 163 246296373669 127277 176 297 87 -8 +2 -0 -3 +12 0.2
203125 MLB MLEATL 47% 578534 13222314 341015 163 246298377674 130278 176 300 89 -7 +2 -0 -3 +13 0.3
203226 MLB MLEATL 49% 592546 13423314 361055 163 246299378677 132278 186 301 90 -7 +2 -1 -4 +13 0.4
203327 MLB MLEATL 49% 590544 13322314 361065 163 245298375673 130278 186 300 89 -8 +2 -1 -4 +13 0.3
203428 MLB MLEATL 49% 582537 13122314 351055 143 243296371666 127277 186 297 87 -9 +2 -1 -3 +13 0.1
203529 MLB MLEATL 48% 565522 12621313 341044 122 241293364657 123276 186 293 84 -10 +2 -2 -3 +12 -0.2
203630 MLB MLEATL 52% 552510 12120212 331034 102 238289356646 119274 196 288 81 -12 +1 -3 -3 +12 -0.5
202822 MLB CTXATL 25% 117109 26412 6201 41 241287357644 116274 175 287 81 -3 +0 -0 -1 +3 -0.1
202923 MLB CTXATL 38% 200185 44714 11352 61 244292366658 122276 186 293 85 -4 +1 -0 -1 +4 -0.0
203024 MLB CTXATL 44% 245227 56916 14422 71 246296373669 127277 176 297 87 -4 +1 -0 -1 +5 0.1
203125 MLB CTXATL 47% 273253 621017 16482 81 246298377674 130278 186 300 89 -4 +1 -0 -2 +6 0.2
203226 MLB CTXATL 49% 291269 661127 18522 81 246299378677 132278 186 301 90 -4 +1 -0 -2 +6 0.2
203327 MLB CTXATL 49% 290268 661127 18522 81 245298375673 130278 186 300 89 -4 +1 -0 -2 +6 0.2
203428 MLB CTXATL 49% 286265 641117 17522 71 243296371666 127277 186 297 87 -4 +1 -1 -2 +6 0.0
203529 MLB CTXATL 48% 272252 601016 16502 61 241293364657 123276 186 293 84 -5 +1 -1 -2 +6 -0.1
203630 MLB CTXATL 52% 287266 621016 17542 51 238289356646 119274 196 288 81 -6 +1 -1 -2 +6 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 22612094 506831152 13340517 599 242292366659 125276 186 296 80 -37 +8 -4 -14 +49 0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650602 14524315 381165 173 241291365657 125274 186 296 80 -11 +2 -1 -4 +14 0.1
Career— MLE — 63535865 138922933134 366117463 21243 237289356645 119273 186 286 80 -89 +17 -10 -31 +113 -0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650600 14223314 371206 224 237287355642 118272 186 286 80 -11 +2 -1 -4 +14 -0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAugusta GreenJackets · 422 PAwOBA .357 → .297 (−60)K% 13.0% → 17.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.03%÷1.000×1.360——17.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.82%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0155.48%
HBP% /PA1.42%—×0.780—×1.0151.13%
Singles /BIP25.86%÷1.000×0.920×0.958×1.01523.14%
Doubles /BIP5.30%÷1.000×0.830×0.958×1.0154.28%
Triples /BIP0.93%÷1.000×0.910×0.958×1.0150.83%
Home runs /BIP3.43%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0152.78%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.

Result: wOBA .357 → .297; ISO .149 → .121; BABIP .326 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Rome Emperors · 146 PAwOBA .255 → .213 (−41)K% 15.1% → 19.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.07%÷1.000×1.310——19.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA2.74%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0271.69%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×1.0270.00%
Singles /BIP15.52%÷1.000×0.870×0.999×1.02713.85%
Doubles /BIP6.90%÷1.000×0.780×0.999×1.0275.52%
Triples /BIP0.86%÷1.000×0.850×0.999×1.0270.75%
Home runs /BIP2.59%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0272.34%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .255 → .213; ISO .138 → .117; BABIP .231 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAugusta GreenJackets · 118 PAwOBA .294 → .242 (−51)K% 11.9% → 16.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.86%÷0.984×1.360——16.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.63%÷0.985×0.690—×1.0305.50%
HBP% /PA0.85%—×0.780—×1.0300.68%
Singles /BIP26.60%÷1.030×0.920×0.976×1.03023.87%
Doubles /BIP3.19%÷0.977×0.830×0.976×1.0302.72%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.037×0.910×0.976×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP1.06%÷1.281×0.800—×1.0300.68%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 107, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.

Result: wOBA .294 → .242; ISO .056 → .040; BABIP .301 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Braves · 24 PAwOBA .351 → .237 (−114)K% 25.0% → 36.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷0.980×1.440——36.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.83%÷1.013×0.620—×0.99512.69%
HBP% /PA4.17%—×0.720—×0.9952.98%
Singles /BIP16.67%÷1.005×0.820—×0.99513.53%
Doubles /BIP16.67%÷0.996×0.720—×0.99511.99%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.856×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 101, 2B 99, 3B 100, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .351 → .237; ISO .111 → .076; BABIP .333 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAugusta GreenJackets · 136 PAwOBA .210 → .177 (−33)K% 25.7% → 34.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.74%÷1.009×1.360——34.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.09%÷0.998×0.690—×1.0455.84%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0450.00%
Singles /BIP23.33%÷0.959×0.920×0.996×1.04523.30%
Doubles /BIP2.22%÷0.983×0.830×0.996×1.0451.95%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×0.996×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.010×0.800—×1.0450.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 92, 2B 97, 3B 100, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .210 → .177; ISO .016 → .013; BABIP .256 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Braves · 81 PAwOBA .348 → .254 (−94)K% 12.3% → 17.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.35%÷1.037×1.440——17.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.64%÷0.965×0.620—×1.0085.59%
HBP% /PA1.23%—×0.720—×1.0080.90%
Singles /BIP22.95%÷1.047×0.820×1.016×1.00818.40%
Doubles /BIP3.28%÷1.022×0.720×1.016×1.0082.36%
Triples /BIP3.28%÷1.150×0.720×1.016×1.0082.10%
Home runs /BIP3.28%÷1.266×0.780—×1.0082.03%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 153, 1B 109, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 107, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .348 → .254; ISO .169 → .110; BABIP .295 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Braves · 208 PAwOBA .335 → .218 (−117)K% 20.2% → 25.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.19%÷0.961×1.220——25.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.06%÷1.048×0.700—×1.0087.44%
HBP% /PA5.29%—×0.700—×1.0083.73%
Singles /BIP19.23%÷1.004×0.680×0.950×1.00812.47%
Doubles /BIP8.46%÷0.913×0.600×0.950×1.0085.32%
Triples /BIP0.77%÷1.141×0.600×0.950×1.0080.39%
Home runs /BIP3.08%÷0.816×0.470—×1.0081.78%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 101, 2B 83, 3B 128, K 92, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .335 → .218; ISO .145 → .088; BABIP .289 → .182. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).