Luis Guanipa — OGILVIE

Luis GuanipaOF Augusta GreenJackets

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 188 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION568 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .111 / .111

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%5

BABIP273

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-3	$6M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.8M		$4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	208	172	41	11	1	4	23	42	11	20	6	238	364	384	748	145	289	20	11	340	117	+4	+2	—	—	+5	1.0
2024	18	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	136	125	23	2	0	0	11	35	0	6	4	184	250	200	450	16	256	26	8	215	32	-11	-0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2024	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	81	71	20	2	2	2	7	10	1	4	0	282	354	451	805	169	295	12	9	349	122	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2025	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	118	108	29	3	0	1	9	14	1	2	1	269	331	324	655	56	301	12	8	301	90	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2025	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	24	18	4	2	0	0	5	6	1	0	0	222	417	333	750	111	333	25	21	358	129	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	208	181	31	8	1	4	14	63	11	20	6	171	272	293	565	122	220	30	7	239	48	-13	+2	—	—	+5	-0.7
2024	18	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	136	129	19	1	0	0	7	49	0	6	4	147	191	155	346	8	247	36	5	167	-1	-16	-0	—	—	+3	-1.4
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	81	73	14	1	1	1	5	14	1	4	0	192	253	274	527	82	224	17	6	252	57	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	118	111	25	2	0	1	6	20	1	2	1	225	271	270	541	45	265	17	5	237	47	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	24	20	3	1	0	0	3	9	1	0	0	150	292	200	492	50	256	38	12	238	47	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	208	181	31	8	1	4	14	63	11	20	6	171	272	293	565	122	233	30	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	208	172	41	11	1	4	23	42	11	20	6	238	364	384	748	145	289	20	11	340	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	217	203	34	3	1	1	11	63	1	10	4	167	214	207	421	39	234	29	5	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A RAW	2 teams	—	217	196	43	4	2	2	18	45	1	10	4	219	288	291	579	71	272	21	8	265	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	142	131	28	4	0	1	9	29	2	2	1	214	275	267	542	53	267	20	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	142	126	33	5	0	1	14	20	2	2	1	262	345	325	670	63	305	14	10	311	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	208	181	31	8	1	4	14	63	11	20	6	171	272	293	565	122	220	30	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	217	203	34	3	1	1	11	63	1	10	4	167	214	207	421	39	238	29	5	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	142	130	28	4	0	1	9	29	2	2	1	215	275	269	544	54	263	20	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	208	181	31	8	1	4	14	63	11	20	6	171	272	293	565	122	220	30	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	217	203	34	3	1	1	11	63	1	10	4	167	214	207	421	39	238	29	5	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	142	130	28	4	0	1	9	29	2	2	1	215	275	269	544	54	263	20	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	ATL	—	568	529	125	20	3	12	23	108	6	42	6	236	276	353	629	117	270	19	4	276	73	-18	+6	+0	-3	+12	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A RAW	ATL	—	422	376	114	17	3	11	34	55	6	37	5	303	370	452	822	149	326	13	8	362	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A+ RAW	ATL	—	146	138	30	8	1	3	4	22	0	5	1	217	239	355	595	138	231	15	3	255	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	ATL	0%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		273	22	0	276	73	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	A MLE	ATL	—	577	538	126	20	3	12	23	110	6	42	6	234	273	349	623	115	268	19	4	276	73	-19	+6	-0	-3	+13	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ATL	25%	379	352	84	14	2	8	20	72	4	13	2	239	287	358	645	119	276	19	5	289	82	-8	+2	-1	-2	+8	-0.1
2028	22	MLB MLE	ATL	38%	461	427	104	17	2	12	26	85	5	15	3	244	295	377	672	133	277	18	6	298	88	-7	+2	-1	-3	+10	0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	ATL	45%	627	578	142	23	3	17	37	115	7	19	3	246	299	384	683	138	279	18	6	305	92	-6	+3	-2	-4	+14	0.5
2030	24	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	638	587	146	24	3	18	39	116	7	19	3	249	303	392	695	143	280	18	6	309	95	-4	+3	-2	-4	+14	0.7
2031	25	MLB MLE	ATL	50%	637	586	146	24	3	18	39	115	7	18	3	249	304	392	696	143	280	18	6	311	97	-3	+2	-2	-4	+14	0.8
2032	26	MLB MLE	ATL	50%	629	578	143	23	3	18	39	113	7	18	3	247	303	391	694	144	280	18	6	312	97	-2	+2	-2	-4	+14	0.9
2033	27	MLB MLE	ATL	50%	619	568	142	23	3	18	39	112	7	17	3	250	306	396	702	146	280	18	6	312	97	-2	+2	-2	-4	+13	0.8
2034	28	MLB MLE	ATL	50%	609	558	139	22	3	18	39	111	7	16	3	249	306	396	702	147	279	18	6	311	97	-2	+2	-2	-4	+13	0.7
2035	29	MLB MLE	ATL	49%	598	547	136	22	3	17	39	110	7	15	3	249	307	393	700	144	278	18	7	309	95	-3	+2	-3	-4	+13	0.5
2036	30	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	587	537	132	21	3	16	38	109	7	14	2	246	304	385	690	140	277	19	6	306	93	-5	+2	-4	-4	+13	0.3
2037	31	MLB MLE	ATL	47%	576	528	127	20	2	16	37	109	6	12	2	241	298	377	675	136	275	19	6	302	91	-7	+2	-4	-3	+12	-0.0
2038	32	MLB MLE	ATL	51%	483	444	105	16	2	13	31	93	5	9	2	236	294	369	663	133	272	19	6	296	87	-8	+1	-5	-3	+10	-0.4
2027	21	MLB CTX	ATL	25%	94	88	20	3	0	2	5	18	1	3	1	227	277	330	606	102	276	19	5	281	82	-2	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	ATL	38%	176	162	39	6	1	4	10	33	2	6	1	241	293	364	657	123	277	19	6	290	88	-2	+1	-0	-1	+4	0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	ATL	45%	285	263	65	11	1	8	17	52	3	9	2	247	300	388	688	141	279	18	6	296	92	-3	+1	-1	-2	+6	0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	307	282	71	11	2	9	19	56	3	9	2	252	306	401	707	149	280	18	6	301	95	-2	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	ATL	50%	316	289	73	12	2	9	20	57	4	9	2	253	310	401	711	149	280	18	6	303	97	-1	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.4
2032	26	MLB CTX	ATL	50%	318	291	73	12	2	9	20	57	4	9	2	251	308	399	707	148	280	18	6	304	97	-1	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	ATL	50%	310	283	72	12	2	9	20	56	4	9	1	254	313	406	719	152	280	18	6	304	97	-1	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.5
2034	28	MLB CTX	ATL	50%	303	277	69	11	1	9	20	55	3	8	1	249	307	394	700	144	279	18	7	303	97	-1	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.4
2035	29	MLB CTX	ATL	49%	290	266	65	11	1	8	19	53	3	7	1	244	302	383	686	139	278	18	7	301	95	-2	+1	-1	-2	+6	0.3
2036	30	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	280	257	63	10	1	8	18	52	3	6	1	245	302	385	687	140	277	19	6	298	93	-2	+1	-2	-2	+6	0.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	ATL	47%	272	249	60	10	1	7	18	52	3	6	1	241	300	373	673	133	275	19	7	294	91	-3	+1	-2	-2	+6	-0.0
2038	32	MLB CTX	ATL	51%	247	226	53	8	1	6	16	48	3	5	1	235	294	358	652	124	272	19	6	288	87	-4	+1	-2	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3198	2933	723	117	15	88	202	589	36	86	16	247	303	387	690	140	279	18	6	298	89	-24	+11	-13	-19	+69	2.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	147	24	3	18	41	120	7	17	3	247	302	388	690	141	280	18	6	298	89	-5	+2	-3	-4	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	7419	6814	1640	264	34	195	457	1417	90	217	43	241	297	375	672	135	276	19	6	300	89	-56	+24	-28	-41	+148	4.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	143	23	3	17	40	124	8	19	4	240	296	374	670	134	275	19	6	300	89	-5	+2	-3	-4	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Manuel Margotlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,154 PA	4.8	3,154	56	94	254	307	380	-5	+27	8.4	8.8
/162	664	12	20	-1.1	+5.6	1.8	pk7: 9
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.1	3,419	92	92	247	299	385	-21	-2	5.4	4.9
/162	664	18	18	-4.0	-0.4	1.0	pk7: 4
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Guanipa (OGILVIE)	20	30→50	35→37	60→62	50	231/275/337	106	273	4	12	19%	5%	73	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Maximo Rivera 2013 · A	20	46	41→45	52→60	43	223/275/312	89	278	9	23	23%	6%	66	-1.1	216/267/290	74	293	5	14	26%	6%	58	-1.7	195/246/249	53	277	2	10	29%	5%	38	-0.7
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2021 · A	20	41→51	42→55	52→55	41	203/255/306	103	257	10	13	25%	5%	58	-1.7	228/267/375	147	291	14	19	26%	4%	78	-0.3	253/291/409	156	303	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
●Edward Olivares 2016 · A	20	43→53	40→55	55	43	203/292/296	93	267	6	17	25%	6%	71	-0.8	214/269/338	124	276	11	13	26%	5%	71	-0.8	262/319/433	171	298	19	16	19%	6%	108	+1.2
●Jahmai Jones 2018 · A	20	48→50	42→50	51→50	43	233/284/342	109	297	9	16	24%	6%	77	-0.3	208/268/307	99	274	8	13	26%	7%	63	-1.4	248/345/422	173	324	16	18	26%	11%	114	+1.3
●Desmond Jennings 2007 · A	20	46→56	40→50	56→60	44	220/278/308	88	281	7	24	24%	6%	67	-1.1	254/316/370	116	301	9	29	18%	7%	95	+0.9	243/323/397	154	290	15	28	21%	9%	102	+1.5
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	38→48	41→45	54→65	45	190/253/296	106	249	8	22	26%	7%	55	-1.9	192/267/308	116	292	10	25	35%	8%	63	-1.3	235/311/365	130	323	13	46	29%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Che-Hsuan Lin 2009 · A	20	44→54	40	58→55	45	211/271/310	100	266	7	21	23%	6%	65	-1.2	231/297/306	75	279	5	20	18%	8%	74	-0.6	234/305/295	62	278	3	22	16%	8%	71	-0.7
✕Efrain Contreras 2007 · A	20	44	41→45	51→55	44	212/279/311	99	261	9	8	22%	6%	69	-0.9	227/290/334	107	277	10	13	21%	6%	78	-0.3	227/291/331	104	281	10	15	22%	5%	75	-0.2
✕Ke'Bryan Hayes 2018 · A	21	48→55	37→50	54→50	44	228/281/304	76	293	4	16	23%	6%	66	-1.1	240/299/360	120	301	9	13	22%	7%	86	+0.3	257/314/398	140	314	13	16	21%	7%	99	+1.0
✕Derek Hill 2016 · A	20	42→52	37→55	58→60	44	202/257/277	75	271	4	24	26%	6%	51	-2.2	202/252/275	73	314	3	27	34%	6%	49	-2.4	242/294/410	167	331	20	27	32%	6%	94	+0.4
✕Forrest Wall 2016 · A	20	47→55	42→45	57→70	46	225/280/336	111	286	8	18	24%	7%	74	-0.6	219/272/313	94	293	8	18	26%	6%	65	-1.2	253/326/354	101	349	8	50	27%	9%	92	+0.5
✕Cody Freeman 2022 · A	21	43→53	41→50	53→50	48	209/283/307	98	259	8	11	22%	8%	70	-0.9	206/261/321	115	251	13	9	23%	6%	63	-1.3	248/292/385	137	277	15	10	16%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Tyler Freeman 2019 · A	20	47→57	39→40	50→55	44	222/277/312	90	260	6	8	17%	5%	68	-1.0	244/295/329	85	283	4	11	15%	4%	78	-0.3	265/336/353	88	301	8	15	14%	5%	96	+0.5
✕Pablo Reyes 2014 · A	20	47→57	39→50	52→55	50	222/274/308	86	248	5	16	13%	7%	65	-1.2	218/276/316	98	261	8	14	19%	7%	68	-1.0	251/321/374	122	298	12	22	19%	9%	95	+0.5
✕Manuel Margot 2015 · A	20	48→52	44→50	56→60	47	236/285/359	123	266	11	25	16%	6%	81	-0.1	242/282/357	115	280	8	26	16%	5%	79	-0.2	245/302/387	142	288	13	20	19%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Victor Robles 2017 · A	20	51→52	42→50	57→60	42	244/314/356	112	302	8	24	21%	5%	92	+0.7	243/310/375	132	303	10	24	22%	5%	95	+0.9	246/315/392	146	305	12	27	22%	6%	97	+0.9
✕Jake Marisnick 2011 · A	20	42→52	41→60	55	40	203/262/305	102	272	7	18	27%	5%	61	-1.5	231/286/355	124	296	11	19	25%	5%	81	-0.1	231/295/439	208	305	27	18	33%	6%	102	+0.7
●Leandro Castro 2009 · A	20	44→54	41→50	51→50	41	215/256/309	94	265	9	16	22%	4%	58	-1.7	212/249/319	107	264	9	13	23%	4%	58	-1.7	244/286/386	143	268	16	11	16%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Darell Hernaiz 2022 · A	20	47→57	39→45	50	42	226/272/299	73	289	7	15	24%	5%	62	-1.4	245/292/349	104	301	10	17	21%	6%	81	-0.1	253/310/346	93	295	7	12	16%	7%	85	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps