Luis Guanipa — OGILVIE

Luis GuanipaOF Augusta GreenJackets

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 188 lbs A BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.3 · 2033

wRC+†93

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .294 / .350

PA136

HR3

SB13

K%25

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

30↗50

PWR

35↗37

SPD

60↗62

FLD

40↗49

EYE

37↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.4peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.1	$19M	+$19M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.2	$21M	+$20M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.3	$23M	+$22M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+2.2	$22M	+$18M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+2.0	$21M	+$14M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+1.7	$18M	+$10M
Totals		$22M		$125M	+$102M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Braves	208	182	31	8	1	4	13	65	11	20	6	.170	.267	.291	.558	.121	.235	31	6	.245	46	-13	+2	+0	-1	+6	-0.7
2024	18	A	2 teams	217	202	35	3	1	1	12	62	1	10	4	.173	.223	.213	.436	.040	.241	29	6	.197	9	-22	+0	+0	-1	+6	-1.7
2025	19	A	2 teams	142	131	28	4	0	1	9	29	2	2	1	.214	.275	.267	.542	.053	.267	20	6	.236	39	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	A	Augusta GreenJackets	71	64	19	3	0	2	1	14	2	10	0	.297	.328	.438	.766	.141	.327	20	1	.316	100	+0	+2	+0	-0	+2	0.4
ROS	20	MLB	ATL	65	60	14	3	0	1	4	16	1	3	0	.233	.292	.333	.626	.100	.294	25	6	.296	85	-1	+1	-0	-0	+2	0.1
TOT	20	MLB	ATL	136	124	33	6	0	3	5	30	3	13	0	.266	.311	.387	.698	.121	.316	22	4	.307	93	-1	+3	-0	-1	+4	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 7%	ATL	232	209	51	9	1	6	18	48	3	9	1	.244	.313	.383	.696	.139	.289	21	8	.314	98	-0	+1	-1	-1	+7	0.6
2028	22	MLB 18%	ATL	350	313	77	14	1	10	29	71	5	12	2	.246	.320	.393	.713	.147	.289	20	8	.323	105	+2	+2	-1	-2	+10	1.1
2029	23	MLB 27%	ATL	428	382	97	18	2	13	37	85	6	14	2	.254	.329	.414	.743	.160	.290	20	9	.328	109	+5	+2	-1	-3	+12	1.5
2030	24	MLB 36%	ATL	480	428	109	20	2	15	42	94	7	14	2	.255	.331	.416	.747	.161	.290	20	9	.332	112	+7	+2	-1	-3	+14	1.9
2031	25	MLB 44%	ATL	509	451	115	21	2	16	46	99	7	15	2	.255	.333	.417	.750	.162	.291	19	9	.335	115	+9	+2	-1	-3	+14	2.1
2032	26	MLB 51%	ATL	525	464	119	22	2	17	48	102	8	14	2	.256	.337	.422	.759	.166	.291	19	9	.337	116	+10	+2	-1	-3	+15	2.2
2033	27	MLB 60%	ATL	531	469	120	22	2	17	49	103	8	14	2	.256	.337	.420	.757	.164	.291	19	9	.337	116	+10	+2	-1	-3	+15	2.3
2034	28	MLB 63%	ATL	530	467	119	22	2	17	50	104	8	13	1	.255	.337	.420	.757	.165	.291	20	9	.336	115	+9	+2	-2	-3	+15	2.2
2035	29	MLB 66%	ATL	522	461	117	21	2	17	49	104	7	13	1	.254	.335	.419	.753	.165	.290	20	9	.334	114	+8	+2	-3	-3	+15	2.0
2036	30	MLB 68%	ATL	513	452	114	21	2	16	49	104	7	12	0	.252	.335	.414	.748	.162	.289	20	10	.331	111	+7	+2	-3	-3	+15	1.7
2037	31	MLB 78%	ATL	500	442	110	20	2	15	47	104	7	11	0	.249	.331	.405	.736	.156	.288	21	9	.327	108	+5	+2	-4	-3	+14	1.4
2038	32	MLB 89%	ATL	482	427	104	19	2	14	45	102	7	10	0	.244	.326	.396	.721	.152	.286	21	9	.322	105	+3	+2	-5	-3	+14	1.1
2039	33	MLB	ATL	453	402	97	17	2	13	42	99	6	9	0	.241	.322	.391	.713	.149	.285	22	9	.317	100	+0	+2	-5	-3	+13	0.7
2040	34	MLB	ATL	407	361	84	15	1	11	38	93	5	8	0	.233	.314	.371	.686	.139	.283	23	9	.310	95	-2	+2	-6	-2	+12	0.3
2041	35	MLB	ATL	353	314	71	12	1	9	32	84	4	7	0	.226	.306	.357	.662	.131	.281	24	9	.302	89	-4	+1	-7	-2	+10	-0.1
2042	36	MLB	ATL	294	261	58	10	1	7	27	73	4	6	0	.222	.305	.349	.653	.126	.278	25	9	.293	82	-6	+1	-7	-2	+8	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7741	6878	1670	301	29	220	686	1641	114	216	26	.243	.322	.391	.713	.148	.287	21	9	.318	102	+14	+33	-50	-46	+219	17.3
/ 162G	—			650	578	139	25	2	18	58	138	10	18	2	.240	.321	.384	.705	.144	.285	21	9	.318	102	+1	+3	-4	-4	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Braves	208	172	41	11	1	4	23	42	11	20	6	.238	.364	.384	.748	.145	.289	20	11	.340	119	+4	+2	—	—	+6	1.2
2024	18	A	Augusta GreenJackets	136	125	23	2	0	0	11	35	0	6	4	.184	.250	.200	.450	.016	.256	26	8	.215	23	-12	-0	—	—	+4	-0.9
2024	18	ROK	FCL Braves	81	71	20	2	2	2	7	10	1	4	0	.282	.354	.451	.805	.169	.295	12	9	.349	125	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2025	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	118	108	29	3	0	1	9	14	1	2	1	.269	.331	.324	.655	.056	.301	12	8	.301	89	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2025	19	ROK	FCL Braves	24	18	4	2	0	0	5	6	1	0	0	.222	.417	.333	.750	.111	.333	25	21	.358	132	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Guanipa (OGILVIE)	20	30→50	35→37	60→62	50	.225/.294/.350	.125	.287	3	3	25%	8%	82	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Edward Olivares 2016 · A	20	43→53	39→55	54→55	44	.207/.294/.298	.092	.271	6	17	24%	6%	69	-0.4	.215/.272/.338	.123	.275	11	13	25%	5%	69	-0.4	.259/.316/.431	.172	.293	20	16	19%	6%	108	+1.4
✕Efrain Contreras 2008 · A	21	47	44→45	53→55	45	.232/.297/.346	.114	.275	12	15	20%	6%	82	+0.5	.215/.274/.310	.095	.277	8	11	24%	5%	62	-0.9	.185/.240/.257	.072	.258	6	6	29%	5%	31	-1.1
●Vaughn Grissom 2021 · A	20	44→54	39→50	51→55	44	.214/.271/.302	.088	.272	7	6	23%	6%	58	-1.2	.265/.329/.388	.123	.318	11	15	19%	7%	105	+2.1	.283/.348/.417	.134	.334	12	17	18%	7%	116	+2.4
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	.214/.294/.340	.125	.274	14	15	26%	8%	79	+0.3	.220/.281/.362	.142	.292	16	13	29%	7%	79	+0.3	.205/.253/.387	.182	.264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Sean Henry 2006 · A	20	42→52	43→50	55	42	.206/.271/.314	.108	.302	10	15	34%	8%	62	-0.9	.225/.279/.352	.127	.288	12	19	25%	6%	75	-0.0	.247/.300/.379	.132	.296	12	17	20%	6%	87	+0.7
✕Noelvi Marte 2022 · A	20	45→53	50	51→55	43	.227/.286/.379	.153	.297	17	14	29%	7%	85	+0.7	.232/.294/.366	.134	.298	15	17	26%	7%	85	+0.7	.241/.288/.377	.137	.301	14	21	24%	5%	83	+0.4
✕Forrest Wall 2016 · A	20	45→55	42→45	57→70	45	.220/.273/.329	.110	.277	8	17	23%	7%	66	-0.6	.218/.270/.313	.095	.291	8	18	26%	6%	59	-1.1	.260/.332/.371	.111	.354	9	50	27%	9%	98	+1.0
●Royce Lewis 2019 · A	20	48→49	43→60	53→50	45	.233/.286/.344	.111	.281	10	17	21%	6%	76	+0.0	.207/.254/.310	.103	.281	9	15	28%	5%	53	-1.5	.261/.323/.483	.222	.300	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
●Jahmai Jones 2018 · A	20	48→50	42→55	51→50	43	.232/.283/.339	.107	.293	9	16	24%	6%	72	-0.2	.209/.268/.311	.102	.277	8	14	26%	7%	59	-1.1	.250/.346/.432	.182	.322	17	18	26%	11%	119	+1.6
✕Adan Velazquez 2010 · A	20	44→52	42→45	54→50	43	.216/.278/.330	.114	.279	9	11	25%	6%	69	-0.4	.209/.261/.304	.095	.292	7	10	29%	5%	54	-1.4	.246/.284/.346	.100	.296	10	4	20%	4%	72	-0.2
●Lorenzo Cain 2006 · A	20	50→60	42→50	53→55	43	.239/.292/.353	.114	.300	8	10	22%	6%	79	+0.3	.245/.297/.340	.095	.323	6	16	24%	6%	78	+0.2	.299/.370/.422	.123	.348	12	25	16%	9%	126	+3.3
●Dilson Herrera 2014 · A	20	43→53	45→50	49→50	40	.213/.264/.339	.126	.281	12	11	28%	6%	65	-0.7	.248/.297/.383	.135	.313	14	13	24%	6%	90	+1.0	.257/.307/.397	.140	.313	15	13	22%	6%	94	+1.2
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→51	43→55	56→55	48	.206/.282/.325	.120	.283	9	13	29%	9%	69	-0.4	.212/.283/.340	.128	.306	11	16	32%	9%	73	-0.1	.232/.314/.375	.143	.300	15	24	26%	11%	91	+0.8
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2013 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	.231/.300/.334	.103	.298	6	13	23%	6%	79	+0.3	.214/.266/.312	.098	.287	6	10	26%	5%	59	-1.1	.194/.236/.286	.092	.269	8	8	30%	4%	36	-0.9
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A	21	42→50	47→55	58→55	39	.214/.256/.353	.139	.265	14	15	25%	4%	65	-0.7	.239/.275/.401	.162	.303	18	22	27%	4%	85	+0.7	.244/.283/.399	.155	.300	17	24	24%	4%	86	+0.7
●Esteury Ruiz 2018 · A	19	47→57	43→50	56→70	38	.227/.269/.356	.129	.308	8	18	28%	5%	71	-0.3	.204/.253/.311	.107	.309	9	27	35%	5%	53	-1.5	.264/.338/.396	.132	.327	13	74	22%	6%	108	+1.6
✕Johan Rojas 2022 · A	21	45→55	44→45	55→65	43	.221/.274/.341	.120	.281	11	21	25%	6%	69	-0.4	.232/.276/.342	.110	.293	9	36	23%	5%	70	-0.3	.258/.299/.360	.102	.324	7	41	22%	5%	80	+0.3
●Vinnie Catricala 2010 · A	21	46→56	45→55	51→45	43	.228/.278/.355	.126	.272	13	7	21%	5%	75	-0.0	.248/.304/.397	.149	.303	16	7	23%	6%	97	+1.5	.245/.302/.394	.149	.297	16	7	22%	6%	93	+1.2
●Desmond Jennings 2007 · A	20	46→56	40→50	56→60	44	.220/.278/.309	.089	.282	7	23	24%	6%	63	-0.9	.248/.308/.365	.117	.293	10	28	18%	7%	89	+1.0	.252/.331/.406	.154	.301	15	28	21%	9%	106	+2.2
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	46→54	45	52→40	48	.224/.296/.359	.134	.268	11	6	21%	7%	84	+0.6	.237/.302/.349	.112	.294	10	3	22%	7%	84	+0.6	.234/.338/.350	.116	.305	12	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)