Luis Guanipa — OGILVIE

Luis GuanipaOF Augusta GreenJackets

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 188 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION372 act + 248 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.243 / .293 / .357

PA248

HR5

SB14

K%19

BB%5

BABIP287

ISO113

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$6M	+$6M
2030	Arb-1	$2M	+1.2	$7M	+$6M
2031	Arb-2	$4M	+1.3	$7M	+$5M
2032	Arb-3	$7M	+1.3	$7M	+$3M
Totals		$16M		$31M	+$21M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	208	182	32	9	0	5	13	66	11	20	6	176	272	308	580	132	239	32	6	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	208	172	41	11	1	4	23	42	11	20	6	238	364	384	748	145	289	20	11	340	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A	2 teams	—	217	202	35	3	1	1	12	62	1	10	4	173	223	213	436	40	241	29	6	198	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A	2 teams	—	217	196	43	4	2	2	18	45	1	10	4	219	288	291	579	71	272	21	8	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	142	131	27	4	0	1	9	30	2	2	1	206	268	260	527	53	260	21	6	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	142	126	33	5	0	1	14	20	2	2	1	262	345	325	670	63	305	14	10	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	ATL	—	372	344	88	13	2	9	16	67	6	31	5	256	301	384	684	128	288	18	4	298	86	-6	+4	+0	-2	+11	0.7
YTD	20	A	ATL	—	372	333	101	16	3	10	27	47	6	31	5	303	366	459	826	156	323	13	7	362	135	+15	+4	+0	-2	+11	2.8
ROS	20	A	ATL	0%	248	230	56	9	1	5	12	48	4	14	3	243	293	357	649	113	284	19	5	287	78	-6	+2	-1	-1	+7	0.0
ROS	20	MLB	ATL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		284	—	—	276	69	—	—	-0	-0	—	—
FULL	20	A	ATL	—	372	345	88	13	2	9	16	67	6	31	5	255	301	383	683	128	287	18	4	298	86	-6	+4	+0	-2	+11	0.7
TOT	20	A	ATL	—	620	574	144	22	3	14	28	115	10	45	8	251	297	373	670	122	288	19	5	293	83	-12	+6	-1	-4	+18	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	ATL	25%	581	537	131	20	3	12	31	110	8	20	4	244	295	359	655	115	284	19	5	294	83	-11	+2	-1	-3	+16	0.3
2028	22	MLB	ATL	38%	609	561	139	22	3	14	35	114	8	19	4	248	301	373	674	125	286	19	6	302	89	-7	+2	-2	-4	+17	0.7
2029	23	MLB	ATL	45%	627	576	144	23	3	16	37	116	9	19	4	250	305	384	689	134	287	19	6	307	93	-5	+2	-2	-4	+18	1.0
2030	24	MLB	ATL	48%	638	585	147	23	3	17	39	118	9	18	4	251	308	388	696	137	288	18	6	311	96	-3	+2	-2	-4	+18	1.2
2031	25	MLB	ATL	50%	637	584	147	23	3	17	39	117	9	18	4	252	309	389	697	137	288	18	6	312	97	-2	+2	-2	-4	+18	1.3
2032	26	MLB	ATL	50%	629	576	146	23	3	17	39	115	9	17	3	253	311	392	703	139	287	18	6	313	98	-2	+2	-2	-4	+18	1.3
2033	27	MLB	ATL	50%	619	566	144	23	3	17	39	114	9	17	3	254	313	396	708	141	287	18	6	313	98	-2	+2	-2	-4	+18	1.3
2034	28	MLB	ATL	50%	609	557	140	22	3	16	39	113	8	16	3	251	310	388	697	136	287	19	6	312	97	-2	+2	-2	-4	+17	1.2
2035	29	MLB	ATL	49%	598	546	138	22	3	16	39	112	8	15	3	253	312	392	704	139	286	19	7	310	96	-3	+2	-3	-4	+17	0.9
2036	30	MLB	ATL	48%	587	536	134	21	3	15	38	111	8	14	3	250	309	384	694	134	285	19	6	307	93	-4	+2	-4	-4	+17	0.7
2037	31	MLB	ATL	47%	576	525	129	20	3	14	38	111	8	12	2	246	306	375	682	130	283	19	7	303	90	-6	+2	-4	-3	+16	0.4
2038	32	MLB	ATL	47%	564	515	123	19	2	13	37	111	7	11	2	239	299	359	658	120	280	20	7	298	86	-9	+1	-5	-3	+16	0.0
2039	33	MLB	ATL	47%	487	447	104	15	2	11	31	98	6	9	2	233	291	349	640	116	276	20	6	291	81	-11	+1	-5	-3	+14	-0.4
2027	21	MLB	ATL	25%	144	133	33	5	1	3	8	27	2	5	1	248	301	368	669	120	284	19	6	284	75	-4	+1	-0	-1	+4	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	ATL	38%	233	215	52	8	1	5	13	44	3	7	1	242	294	358	653	116	286	19	6	292	81	-5	+1	-1	-1	+7	0.1
2029	23	MLB	ATL	45%	285	262	66	10	2	7	17	53	4	9	2	252	307	385	693	134	287	19	6	297	85	-5	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.2
2030	24	MLB	ATL	48%	307	281	71	11	2	8	19	57	4	9	2	253	309	391	701	139	288	19	6	300	88	-4	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.3
2031	25	MLB	ATL	50%	316	289	74	12	2	8	20	58	4	9	2	256	313	394	708	138	288	18	6	302	89	-4	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.4
2032	26	MLB	ATL	50%	318	291	75	12	2	9	20	58	4	9	2	258	314	405	720	148	287	18	6	303	90	-4	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.4
2033	27	MLB	ATL	50%	310	283	71	11	2	8	20	57	4	8	2	251	309	389	698	138	287	18	6	303	90	-4	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.3
2034	28	MLB	ATL	50%	303	276	70	11	2	8	20	56	4	8	2	254	313	395	708	141	287	18	7	302	89	-4	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.3
2035	29	MLB	ATL	49%	290	265	66	10	1	8	19	54	4	7	1	249	309	385	694	136	286	19	7	300	88	-4	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.2
2036	30	MLB	ATL	48%	280	256	63	10	1	7	18	53	4	6	1	246	306	375	681	129	285	19	6	297	86	-5	+1	-2	-2	+8	0.1
2037	31	MLB	ATL	47%	272	248	60	9	1	7	18	52	4	6	1	242	304	371	675	129	283	19	7	293	83	-5	+1	-2	-2	+8	-0.1
2038	32	MLB	ATL	47%	264	242	58	9	1	6	17	52	3	5	1	240	298	360	657	120	280	20	6	288	78	-6	+1	-2	-2	+7	-0.2
2039	33	MLB	ATL	47%	227	207	49	7	1	5	15	46	3	4	1	237	298	353	650	116	276	20	7	281	73	-7	+0	-3	-1	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3549	3249	808	125	19	89	224	667	47	92	19	249	307	381	688	132	286	19	6	297	85	-59	+11	-16	-21	+101	1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	147	23	3	16	41	122	9	17	3	247	305	376	682	129	285	19	6	297	85	-11	+2	-3	-4	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	8576	7856	1916	301	39	207	527	1666	124	251	55	244	302	371	673	127	284	19	6	300	88	-118	+28	-35	-51	+243	6.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	146	23	3	16	40	126	9	19	4	245	302	375	677	129	285	19	6	300	88	-9	+2	-3	-4	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	208	172	41	11	1	4	23	42	11	20	6	238	364	384	748	145	289	20	11	340	119	+4	+2	—	—	+6	1.2
2024	18	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	136	125	23	2	0	0	11	35	0	6	4	184	250	200	450	16	256	26	8	215	23	-12	-0	—	—	+4	-0.9
2024	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	81	71	20	2	2	2	7	10	1	4	0	282	354	451	805	169	295	12	9	349	125	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2025	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	118	108	29	3	0	1	9	14	1	2	1	269	331	324	655	56	301	12	8	301	89	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2025	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	24	18	4	2	0	0	5	6	1	0	0	222	417	333	750	111	333	25	21	358	132	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#3Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	6	2,335	57	47	263	326	406	-24	-8	5.3	5.3
#3Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	/162	664	16	13	263	326	406	-6.7	-2.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,770	93	99	249	303	380	-23	-2	5.6	5.1
	/162	664	16	17	249	303	380	-4.0	-0.4	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Chris Singletonlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,909 PA	5	1,909	28	61	265	308	392	-9	-3	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	10	21	265	308	392	-3.0	-1.2	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Guanipa (OGILVIE)	20	30→50	35→37	60→62	50	251/297/373	122	288	14	45	19%	5%	83	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	40→50	57→55	42	201/257/293	92	281	6	22	30%	7%	50	-1.8	232/286/367	135	290	12	21	23%	7%	82	+0.5	254/312/374	120	299	11	11	18%	7%	92	+1.0
✕Maximo Rivera 2013 · A	20	46	41→45	52→60	43	223/275/312	89	278	9	23	23%	6%	62	-0.9	216/267/290	74	292	5	14	26%	6%	53	-1.5	196/245/249	53	277	2	10	28%	5%	30	-0.7
✕Efrain Contreras 2007 · A	20	44	41→45	51→55	44	212/279/311	99	261	9	8	22%	6%	65	-0.7	227/290/334	107	277	10	13	21%	6%	75	-0.0	227/291/331	104	281	10	15	22%	5%	72	-0.1
●Edward Olivares 2016 · A	20	43→53	40→55	55	43	203/292/296	93	267	6	17	25%	6%	67	-0.5	214/268/343	129	275	13	13	26%	4%	68	-0.5	264/321/443	179	299	21	16	19%	6%	113	+1.6
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2021 · A	20	41→48	42→55	52→55	41	203/255/306	103	257	10	13	25%	5%	53	-1.5	230/269/385	155	293	16	19	27%	4%	79	+0.3	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Forrest Wall 2016 · A	20	47→57	41→45	58→70	45	224/278/332	108	284	7	18	23%	7%	68	-0.5	218/270/312	94	295	8	18	27%	6%	60	-1.0	266/338/377	110	363	9	50	27%	9%	101	+1.1
✕Jake Marisnick 2011 · A	20	41→51	41→60	55	40	201/260/303	102	269	7	18	27%	5%	54	-1.4	229/284/355	126	294	11	19	25%	5%	78	+0.2	226/290/423	196	302	25	18	33%	6%	96	+0.7
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
●Desmond Jennings 2007 · A	20	46→56	40→50	56→60	44	220/278/308	88	281	7	24	24%	6%	63	-0.9	254/316/372	118	301	9	29	18%	7%	95	+1.4	245/325/405	160	290	16	28	20%	9%	105	+2.2
✕Manuel Margot 2014 · A	19	45→53	40→50	56→60	51	215/281/308	93	243	6	19	14%	7%	64	-0.8	235/276/348	113	272	9	27	17%	5%	72	-0.2	250/306/400	150	292	14	20	19%	7%	95	+1.1
✕Che-Hsuan Lin 2009 · A	20	44→54	40	58→55	45	211/271/310	100	266	7	21	23%	6%	60	-1.0	230/296/304	74	279	5	20	18%	8%	69	-0.4	231/302/292	61	277	4	22	17%	8%	66	-0.6
✕Tyler Freeman 2019 · A	20	47→57	39→40	50→55	44	222/277/312	90	260	6	8	17%	5%	63	-0.8	242/293/327	85	280	4	11	15%	4%	74	-0.1	270/342/362	92	306	9	15	14%	6%	101	+0.9
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	38→48	41→50	54→65	45	186/250/288	102	245	7	22	27%	7%	46	-2.0	187/263/301	114	290	10	25	36%	8%	56	-1.3	239/314/383	144	329	16	46	30%	9%	96	+0.9
✕Pablo Reyes 2014 · A	20	47→53	39→50	52→55	50	222/274/308	86	248	5	16	13%	7%	60	-1.0	216/274/311	95	259	7	14	19%	7%	62	-0.9	243/317/375	132	288	13	24	19%	9%	93	+0.8
●Leandro Castro 2009 · A	20	44→54	41→55	51→50	41	215/256/309	94	265	9	16	22%	4%	53	-1.5	214/251/324	110	266	10	13	23%	4%	55	-1.4	250/292/410	161	269	20	11	16%	5%	92	+0.9
✕Ryan Brett 2012 · A	20	48→58	40→45	57→60	47	227/276/330	103	266	5	18	16%	6%	66	-0.6	250/293/351	101	309	7	26	20%	5%	79	+0.3	263/305/369	105	324	8	30	20%	5%	85	+0.5
✕Jahdiel Santamaria 2007 · A	20	48	37→45	52→50	45	224/278/297	72	284	4	11	22%	6%	59	-1.1	235/291/321	86	281	4	10	17%	6%	71	-0.3	247/297/328	81	293	3	9	16%	5%	72	-0.1
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2018 · A	21	48→55	37→50	54→50	44	225/277/299	74	289	4	16	23%	6%	59	-1.1	242/303/373	131	302	10	13	22%	7%	90	+1.0	257/313/393	137	315	12	16	21%	7%	97	+1.3
●Royce Lewis 2019 · A	20	47→49	42→60	53→50	44	231/283/337	106	284	10	17	22%	6%	72	-0.2	205/251/302	97	288	8	15	30%	5%	50	-1.8	261/322/478	218	301	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
✕Manuel Joseph 2014 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	234/287/326	92	283	6	16	20%	5%	71	-0.3	246/305/362	116	287	10	14	17%	6%	88	+0.9	277/338/426	150	303	14	17	13%	6%	120	+1.3