Carlos Silva — OGILVIE

Carlos SilvaC FCL Twins

Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 168 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .281 / .305

PA58

HR1

K%27

BB%8

ISO95

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$9M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$7M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+1.0	$3M	+$2M
Totals		$14M		$39M	+$34M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	134	119	16	4	0	1	11	40	4	3	0	134	231	193	425	59	192	30	8	197	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	134	112	22	6	0	1	18	28	4	3	0	196	328	277	605	80	253	21	13	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Twins	—	143	125	18	6	0	1	15	35	2	2	2	144	246	216	462	72	189	24	10	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Twins	—	143	116	25	9	0	1	24	24	2	2	2	216	359	319	678	103	261	17	17	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	54	41	6	2	0	1	6	16	3	0	0	146	300	268	568	122	185	30	11	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	54	37	6	2	0	1	10	11	3	0	0	162	380	297	677	135	179	20	19	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	MIN	—	58	53	11	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	208	276	302	578	94	284	26	7	269	64	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	MIN	34%	146	131	29	6	1	2	12	38	2	2	1	221	297	328	625	107	286	26	8	281	73	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2028	22	MLB	MIN	48%	284	255	57	11	2	5	23	73	4	3	1	224	298	341	639	118	288	26	8	289	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2029	23	MLB	MIN	54%	381	342	77	15	2	8	31	96	5	5	1	225	299	351	650	126	289	25	8	295	84	-7	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.1
2030	24	MLB	MIN	55%	446	401	92	18	3	10	36	112	6	5	2	229	302	364	667	135	290	25	8	298	86	-7	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.4
2031	25	MLB	MIN	56%	485	436	100	20	3	11	40	122	6	6	2	229	303	365	668	135	290	25	8	300	88	-7	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.7
2032	26	MLB	MIN	56%	507	454	105	21	3	12	41	127	7	6	2	231	305	370	675	139	290	25	8	302	89	-6	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.8
2033	27	MLB	MIN	55%	516	461	106	21	3	12	43	130	7	6	2	230	305	367	672	137	290	25	8	302	89	-6	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2034	28	MLB	MIN	55%	518	463	106	21	3	12	43	131	7	6	2	229	304	365	669	136	290	25	8	301	88	-7	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.7
2035	29	MLB	MIN	53%	512	457	104	20	3	12	43	130	7	6	2	228	304	363	667	136	289	25	8	299	87	-8	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.5
2036	30	MLB	MIN	57%	504	450	102	20	3	11	43	130	6	5	2	227	303	358	660	131	287	26	9	296	85	-9	+0	-2	+9	+14	1.3
2037	31	MLB	MIN	60%	477	428	94	18	2	10	40	124	6	4	1	220	295	341	636	121	285	26	8	292	82	-10	+0	-3	+9	+14	1.0
2038	32	MLB	MIN	61%	446	399	87	17	2	9	38	118	6	3	1	218	296	338	634	120	282	26	9	286	77	-11	+0	-4	+8	+13	0.6
2027	21	MLB	MIN	34%	50	45	10	2	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	222	300	333	633	111	286	26	8	272	66	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	22	MLB	MIN	48%	138	124	29	6	1	3	11	35	2	2	1	234	307	371	678	137	288	25	8	280	72	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2029	23	MLB	MIN	54%	207	185	41	8	1	4	17	52	3	3	1	222	298	341	638	119	289	25	8	285	77	-5	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2030	24	MLB	MIN	55%	247	222	51	10	1	6	20	62	3	3	1	230	302	365	667	135	290	25	8	289	79	-6	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2031	25	MLB	MIN	56%	272	244	56	11	2	6	22	68	4	3	1	230	304	365	668	135	291	25	8	291	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2032	26	MLB	MIN	56%	285	256	60	12	2	7	23	71	4	3	1	234	307	379	686	145	290	25	8	292	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2033	27	MLB	MIN	55%	285	255	60	12	2	7	24	72	4	3	1	235	311	380	691	145	290	25	8	293	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2034	28	MLB	MIN	55%	284	254	59	11	2	7	24	72	4	3	1	232	309	374	683	142	290	25	8	292	81	-6	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.7
2035	29	MLB	MIN	53%	274	245	55	11	1	6	23	70	4	3	1	224	301	351	652	127	289	26	8	290	80	-6	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.6
2036	30	MLB	MIN	57%	288	258	58	11	1	7	24	74	4	3	1	225	301	357	657	132	288	26	8	287	78	-7	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.5
2037	31	MLB	MIN	60%	284	254	56	11	1	6	24	74	4	2	1	220	298	343	640	122	285	26	8	283	75	-8	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.3
2038	32	MLB	MIN	61%	273	245	53	10	1	6	23	72	3	2	1	216	292	339	630	122	282	26	8	278	71	-9	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2887	2587	588	115	15	66	239	735	40	31	11	227	303	360	662	133	290	25	8	287	78	-72	+2	-6	+52	+82	5.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	132	26	3	15	54	165	9	7	2	227	302	359	661	132	290	25	8	287	78	-16	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	5611	5015	1110	222	30	118	469	1437	79	63	21	221	298	348	646	127	284	26	8	291	81	-120	+4	-10	+100	+159	13.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	129	26	3	14	54	166	9	7	2	222	298	349	648	127	284	26	8	291	81	-14	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	134	112	22	6	1	18	28	4	3	0	196	328	277	605	80	253	21	13	290	80	-3	+1	—	—	+4	0.1
2024	18	ROK	DSL Twins	—	143	116	25	9	1	24	24	2	2	2	216	359	319	678	103	261	17	17	318	101	+0	-0	—	—	+4	0.4
2025	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	54	37	6	2	1	10	11	3	0	0	162	380	297	677	135	179	20	19	306	93	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#5Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,944	66	32	227	299	359	+53	+28	8.4	7.4
	/162	664	15	7	227	299	359	+11.9	+6.3	1.9	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Silva (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	210/281/305	95	284	1	1	27%	8%	64	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	47	41→40	47→45	49	227/314/329	102	280	8	6	21%	8%	85	+0.7	215/317/292	77	291	4	7	25%	10%	77	+0.1	211/334/282	71	273	4	7	21%	12%	79	+0.1
✕Miguel Palma 2022 · A	20	43	44→45	47→40	49	207/309/323	116	287	11	9	29%	10%	82	+0.5	218/279/333	115	290	13	4	28%	7%	70	-0.3	214/272/318	104	285	12	2	28%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	48→42	43→50	47→45	50	230/306/345	115	283	9	10	21%	8%	85	+0.7	221/273/345	124	289	14	8	27%	6%	70	-0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Jeferson Morales 2019 · A	20	47→45	38→50	50	54	218/320/316	97	274	3	15	20%	10%	84	+0.6	207/296/329	122	258	9	9	22%	9%	77	+0.1	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	47→49	41→45	49→45	50	221/327/317	97	287	8	9	24%	9%	88	+0.9	227/313/341	114	287	11	7	24%	7%	88	+0.9	227/317/342	114	286	11	5	23%	7%	86	+0.4
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	50→55	41→45	50	49	236/301/346	110	285	6	12	19%	7%	82	+0.5	249/307/362	113	307	9	14	21%	7%	89	+0.9	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→42	42→50	44→50	45	227/318/334	107	303	8	7	26%	7%	88	+0.9	214/310/343	129	287	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.9	219/307/369	150	281	18	13	27%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	51→45	49	226/308/322	96	306	7	7	26%	9%	79	+0.3	223/295/301	78	305	5	6	26%	7%	69	-0.4	277/347/362	84	322	4	2	14%	8%	106	+0.8
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2022 · A	22	48	40→55	47→40	48	231/310/327	96	292	7	7	22%	8%	82	+0.5	204/279/334	130	274	15	4	30%	7%	71	-0.3	186/269/361	175	235	26	0	33%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Héctor Sánchez 2010 · A	20	50	40→50	48→30	49	238/311/337	99	289	7	4	20%	8%	84	+0.6	245/285/359	114	300	10	2	21%	5%	78	+0.2	252/291/373	121	310	13	0	22%	4%	83	+0.3
✕Luis Alvarez 2009 · A	19	47	43→45	44→45	48	231/306/343	112	272	11	5	19%	7%	85	+0.7	224/289/325	101	280	9	6	22%	6%	72	-0.2	209/262/317	108	250	12	1	21%	4%	55	-0.3
✕Yeiner Fernandez 2023 · A	20	51→52	41→40	42→45	45	246/305/343	97	305	8	4	22%	6%	83	+0.6	232/294/313	81	280	6	5	18%	7%	71	-0.3	228/290/294	67	272	5	5	17%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Roberto Pérez 2010 · A	21	51→42	40→55	46→30	42	235/306/326	91	339	7	7	30%	7%	79	+0.3	201/286/284	83	289	4	3	29%	10%	60	-1.0	224/314/364	140	294	15	1	27%	11%	90	+0.4
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→47	47→45	52→55	43	223/287/366	143	309	14	9	32%	8%	82	+0.5	211/317/346	135	289	14	16	29%	11%	91	+1.1	204/318/335	131	272	14	21	28%	12%	85	+0.6
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	46	45→50	45	51	220/308/355	135	308	10	8	30%	11%	88	+0.9	191/266/284	93	290	7	5	34%	9%	52	-1.6	183/233/258	75	242	8	4	27%	6%	29	-0.9
✕Sherman Lacrus 2014 · A	20	51	39→30	47→50	48	243/318/320	77	276	7	9	14%	6%	83	+0.6	216/283/305	89	263	6	7	19%	7%	64	-0.8	192/256/280	88	238	6	6	21%	6%	45	-0.6
✕Meibrys Viloria 2017 · A	20	51→47	41→45	45→40	45	245/298/350	105	302	7	3	21%	6%	82	+0.5	233/278/335	102	311	9	3	27%	5%	69	-0.4	205/291/302	97	307	9	3	33%	10%	64	-0.4
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→53	39→40	54→50	56	239/327/329	91	293	6	14	19%	11%	89	+1.0	243/317/334	91	314	8	14	23%	8%	86	+0.8	243/318/331	88	313	8	14	23%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Jairo Marquez 2008 · A	20	52	41→40	45	49	251/309/347	97	277	8	5	13%	6%	85	+0.7	224/275/317	93	252	7	6	14%	5%	63	-0.8	206/259/284	79	226	6	6	12%	6%	45	-0.5
✕Yorberto Mejicano 2022 · A	21	49	45	48→45	45	241/299/362	121	320	13	7	28%	7%	85	+0.7	219/271/329	110	303	11	8	30%	6%	65	-0.7	210/262/317	107	286	11	9	30%	5%	55	-0.6