Carlos Silva — OGILVIE

Carlos SilvaC FCL Twins

Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 168 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj PA

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .281 / .305

PA5

HR0

K%27

BB%8

ISO95

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$36M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.3M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	134	112	22	6	0	1	18	28	4	3	0	196	328	277	605	80	253	21	13	290	82	-3	+1	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	18	ROK	DSL Twins	—	143	116	25	9	0	1	24	24	2	2	2	216	359	319	678	103	261	17	17	318	101	+0	-0	—	—	+3	0.3
2025	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	54	37	6	2	0	1	10	11	3	0	0	162	380	297	677	135	179	20	19	306	94	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	134	119	16	4	0	1	11	40	4	3	0	134	231	193	425	59	195	30	8	197	19	-13	+1	—	—	+3	-1.0
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	143	125	19	6	0	1	15	35	2	2	2	152	254	224	478	72	198	24	10	221	36	-11	-0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	54	41	6	2	0	1	6	16	3	0	0	146	300	268	568	122	139	30	11	239	48	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	134	119	16	4	0	1	11	40	4	3	0	134	231	193	425	59	192	30	8	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	134	112	22	6	0	1	18	28	4	3	0	196	328	277	605	80	253	21	13	290	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	143	125	19	6	0	1	15	35	2	2	2	152	254	224	478	72	200	24	10	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	143	116	25	9	0	1	24	24	2	2	2	216	359	319	678	103	261	17	17	318	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	54	41	6	2	0	1	6	16	3	0	0	146	300	268	568	122	185	30	11	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	54	37	6	2	0	1	10	11	3	0	0	162	380	297	677	135	179	20	19	306	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	134	118	16	4	0	1	11	40	4	3	0	136	231	195	426	59	195	30	8	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	143	125	19	6	0	1	15	35	2	2	2	152	254	224	478	72	198	24	10	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	54	45	6	2	0	1	6	16	3	0	0	133	300	244	544	111	139	30	11	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	134	118	16	4	0	1	11	40	4	3	0	136	231	195	426	59	195	30	8	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	143	125	19	6	0	1	15	35	2	2	2	152	254	224	478	72	198	24	10	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	54	45	6	2	0	1	6	16	3	0	0	133	300	244	544	111	139	30	11	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		284	20	0	269	68	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	146	131	29	6	1	2	12	38	2	2	1	221	297	328	625	107	286	26	8	281	76	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	284	255	57	11	2	5	23	72	4	3	1	224	298	341	639	118	288	25	8	289	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2029	23	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	381	342	77	15	2	8	31	96	5	5	1	225	299	351	650	126	289	25	8	295	86	-7	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.9
2030	24	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	446	401	92	18	3	10	36	111	6	5	2	229	302	364	667	135	290	25	8	298	88	-6	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	485	436	101	20	3	11	40	121	6	6	2	232	305	367	672	135	290	25	8	300	89	-6	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2032	26	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	507	454	106	21	3	12	41	126	7	6	2	233	307	372	679	139	290	25	8	302	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2033	27	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	516	461	107	21	3	12	43	129	7	6	2	232	307	369	676	137	290	25	8	302	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2034	28	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	518	463	107	21	3	12	43	130	7	6	2	231	306	367	673	136	289	25	8	301	90	-6	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.4
2035	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	512	457	104	20	3	12	43	130	7	6	2	228	304	363	667	136	288	25	8	299	88	-7	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	504	450	102	20	3	11	43	129	6	5	2	227	303	358	660	131	287	26	9	296	87	-8	+0	-2	+9	+11	1.0
2037	31	MLB MLE	MIN	52%	477	428	94	18	2	10	40	124	6	4	1	220	295	341	636	121	285	26	8	292	84	-9	+0	-3	+9	+10	0.7
2038	32	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	446	400	87	17	2	9	37	117	6	3	1	217	293	338	631	120	281	26	8	286	80	-11	+0	-4	+8	+10	0.4
2039	33	MLB MLE	MIN	59%	405	363	77	14	2	8	34	109	5	2	1	212	289	328	616	116	277	27	8	280	75	-12	+0	-4	+7	+9	-0.0
2040	34	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	352	316	66	12	2	7	29	97	4	1	0	209	284	326	610	117	271	28	8	271	69	-13	+0	-5	+6	+8	-0.4
2027	21	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	50	45	10	2	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	222	300	333	633	111	286	26	8	272	76	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	138	124	29	6	1	3	11	35	2	2	1	234	307	371	678	137	288	25	8	280	82	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2029	23	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	207	185	41	8	1	4	17	52	3	3	1	222	298	341	638	119	289	25	8	285	86	-4	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.5
2030	24	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	247	222	51	10	1	6	20	62	3	3	1	230	302	365	667	135	290	25	8	289	88	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.7
2031	25	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	272	244	56	11	2	6	22	68	4	3	1	230	304	365	668	135	290	25	8	291	89	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2032	26	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	285	256	60	12	2	7	23	71	4	3	1	234	307	379	686	145	290	25	8	293	90	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2033	27	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	285	255	60	12	2	7	24	71	4	3	1	235	311	380	691	145	290	25	8	293	90	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2034	28	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	284	254	59	11	2	7	24	71	4	3	1	232	309	374	683	142	289	25	8	292	90	-3	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.8
2035	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	274	245	55	11	1	6	23	69	4	3	1	224	301	351	652	127	289	25	8	290	88	-4	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.7
2036	30	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	265	238	53	10	1	6	22	68	3	3	1	223	297	349	645	126	287	26	8	287	87	-4	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2037	31	MLB CTX	MIN	52%	249	223	49	10	1	5	21	64	3	2	1	220	296	341	636	121	285	26	8	283	84	-5	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2038	32	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	251	225	48	9	1	5	21	66	3	2	1	213	289	329	618	116	281	26	8	278	80	-6	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.2
2039	33	MLB CTX	MIN	59%	239	214	45	8	1	5	20	64	3	1	0	210	287	327	614	117	277	27	8	271	75	-7	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.0
2040	34	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	192	172	36	6	1	4	16	53	2	1	0	209	284	326	610	116	271	28	8	262	69	-7	+0	-3	+3	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3238	2902	652	126	17	72	268	827	43	33	11	225	300	354	654	130	288	26	8	285	82	-58	+2	-11	+58	+70	6.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	130	25	3	14	54	166	9	7	2	223	299	348	647	125	286	26	8	285	82	-12	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	6315	5647	1248	246	34	132	527	1621	87	65	22	221	297	347	644	126	284	26	8	290	82	-107	+4	-20	+107	+130	11.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	128	25	3	14	54	167	9	7	2	220	297	346	643	126	282	26	8	290	82	-12	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.0	3,294	72	34	225	297	355	+59	+32	9.0	7.7
/162	664	15	7	+11.9	+6.5	1.8	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Silva (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	210/281/305	94	284	1	1	27%	8%	68	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→48	38→50	49→40	44	204/275/284	80	281	6	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/293	83	267	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43→41	43→50	48→40	44	212/277/322	110	267	11	4	25%	6%	70	-0.8	210/288/334	124	267	13	4	25%	8%	78	-0.3	212/319/354	142	290	16	3	30%	10%	93	+0.3
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	63	-1.3	225/292/371	146	302	16	5	30%	7%	87	+0.4	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Edgardo Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	48	41→45	48→30	43	233/283/334	102	283	8	5	21%	5%	75	-0.5	202/244/277	75	298	6	5	33%	5%	47	-2.6	180/204/231	51	260	9	0	34%	2%	21	-0.8
✕Arturo De Freitas 2021 · A	20	45	40→45	49→40	45	213/288/309	96	295	6	7	28%	8%	72	-0.7	180/233/251	71	285	5	4	36%	5%	37	-3.3	143/191/216	73	246	8	0	44%	5%	11	-1.5
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→45	51→45	39	201/262/293	92	296	7	7	33%	6%	57	-1.8	195/269/306	111	299	13	8	37%	7%	65	-1.2	180/257/292	111	259	15	7	35%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Oswaldo Linares 2023 · A	20	42	41→40	48→40	52	203/299/295	93	261	9	6	24%	10%	74	-0.6	189/286/270	81	279	7	4	31%	11%	63	-1.4	163/267/230	67	248	6	2	33%	11%	45	-1.0
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	76	-0.4	235/301/339	104	297	6	12	21%	8%	82	+0.0	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
●Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	37→47	43→55	45→50	46	184/266/293	108	267	10	7	33%	10%	60	-1.6	197/285/328	131	277	13	9	31%	11%	75	-0.5	225/304/406	181	290	21	8	29%	10%	98	+1.1
✕Blake Ochoa 2007 · A	21	45	40→45	46→40	44	215/280/308	92	280	6	5	24%	6%	68	-1.0	216/268/311	95	281	7	4	24%	6%	63	-1.3	233/296/372	139	280	15	2	22%	7%	88	+0.1
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	46	182/270/274	91	279	8	6	35%	10%	57	-1.8	191/265/269	78	298	5	6	34%	9%	53	-2.1	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Geoandry Montilla 2016 · A	20	44	41→45	48→50	41	213/265/307	95	298	8	7	30%	7%	61	-1.5	201/269/302	101	296	8	8	32%	8%	63	-1.4	174/253/276	102	257	8	9	33%	8%	49	-0.7
✕Leo Jiménez 2021 · A	20	44→49	37→45	50→45	46	209/267/287	78	267	4	6	23%	7%	57	-1.8	232/342/321	89	299	6	8	22%	10%	96	+1.0	228/319/335	107	286	10	5	22%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Rodolfo Durán 2018 · A	20	43	41→50	46→45	39	210/252/306	96	282	8	6	28%	5%	56	-1.9	208/243/347	139	278	17	3	31%	4%	63	-1.4	225/268/375	150	277	17	3	25%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→48	42→50	47→45	46	221/286/323	102	285	10	12	26%	8%	74	-0.6	228/311/363	135	276	12	9	21%	10%	93	+0.8	222/308/359	137	264	13	9	20%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Seth Conner 2012 · A	20	44	41→40	47→45	47	211/285/309	98	278	8	6	26%	8%	70	-0.8	203/274/278	75	282	5	4	27%	7%	59	-1.6	185/263/242	57	258	3	0	27%	7%	48	-0.7
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48	42→45	52→50	43	226/288/345	119	321	8	10	30%	7%	79	-0.2	202/270/304	102	302	9	11	34%	7%	63	-1.3	239/319/362	123	339	12	15	30%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Wilmer Dominguez 2011 · A	20	43	40→45	49→45	42	209/255/300	91	272	7	5	26%	6%	56	-1.9	218/253/304	86	275	8	5	23%	4%	56	-1.9	247/278/359	111	273	14	5	15%	4%	75	-0.2
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	46→45	44→50	49→45	41	225/274/342	117	290	12	9	26%	6%	73	-0.6	226/282/358	132	276	15	7	23%	7%	80	-0.1	215/277/344	129	257	16	4	23%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Jeter Downs 2018 · A	20	42→40	43→50	47→55	47	208/276/316	107	257	11	9	23%	7%	68	-1.0	211/277/351	140	270	15	17	27%	7%	78	-0.3	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps