Welbyn Francisca

SS Lake County Captains

Age 21 S/R 5'8" / 148 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP44ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ALynchburg Hil…	428	.229/.324/.302	3	45	47	—	.195/.270/.255
2026	20	A+CLE	289	.277/.360/.538	17	11	101	—	.238/.304/.448
2026	20	INTLSurprise Sagu…	42	.471/.561/.735	1	3	253	—
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBCLE	2	.222/.293/.349	0	0	81	0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	22	MLBCLE	186	.227/.299/.363	5	6	87	0.4
2029PROJ61% MLB	23	MLBCLE	296	.230/.303/.373	8	9	91	0.7

Next 3 projected WAR 1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$4M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

ISO92

wOBA79

wRC+76

K%60

Speed59

Whiff%48

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 24, comp-based) · star 8% · didn't stick 71%

CompsBrayan Rocchio (age 21) · Nick Franklin (age 21) · Alen Hanson (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .293 / .349

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%9

BABIP280

ISO128

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$46M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 52 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT52

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$7M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+1.0	$5M	+$3M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$27M	+$21M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	179	152	48	7	6	3	24	35	3	11	7	316	419	500	919	184	395	20	13	407	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	132	117	38	6	0	1	14	27	1	8	2	325	402	402	803	77	416	20	11	366	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	201	174	57	12	2	6	25	25	2	11	1	328	418	523	941	195	357	12	12	416	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	428	371	85	14	2	3	51	73	1	45	12	229	324	302	626	73	273	17	12	289	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	21	20	6	0	0	1	1	8	0	2	0	300	333	450	783	150	455	38	5	348	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	289	253	70	13	1	17	32	64	1	11	2	277	360	538	898	261	303	22	11	388	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	37	25	5	0	0	1	11	10	1	3	1	200	459	320	779	120	286	27	30	381	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	42	34	16	4	1	1	7	5	0	3	2	471	561	735	1.296	265	517	12	17	542	253	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	179	159	32	5	4	1	17	43	3	11	7	201	291	302	592	101	258	24	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	132	121	34	5	0	1	10	37	1	8	2	281	341	347	688	66	400	28	8	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	201	183	49	9	2	5	16	36	2	11	1	268	333	421	754	153	303	18	8	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	428	384	75	13	2	2	38	100	1	45	12	195	270	255	525	60	249	23	9	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	21	20	5	0	0	1	1	10	0	2	0	250	286	400	686	150	455	48	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	289	261	62	11	1	14	24	81	1	11	2	238	304	448	752	211	274	28	8	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	37	29	4	0	0	1	7	14	1	3	1	138	324	241	566	103	229	38	19	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	179	159	32	5	4	1	17	43	3	11	7	201	291	302	592	101	270	24	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Guardians Blue	—	179	152	48	7	6	3	24	35	3	11	7	316	419	500	919	184	395	20	13	407	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	333	304	83	14	2	6	26	74	3	19	3	273	336	391	728	118	344	22	8	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	333	291	95	18	2	7	39	52	3	19	3	326	411	474	886	148	379	16	12	396	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	428	384	75	13	2	2	38	100	1	45	12	195	270	255	525	60	254	23	9	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	428	371	85	14	2	3	51	73	1	45	12	229	324	302	626	73	273	17	12	289	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	389	348	79	12	1	17	35	118	2	19	5	227	301	414	715	187	286	30	9	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ RAW	4 teams	—	389	332	97	17	2	20	51	87	2	19	5	292	390	536	926	244	336	22	13	402	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	179	157	32	5	4	1	17	43	3	11	7	204	291	306	596	102	258	24	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	333	301	83	14	2	6	26	74	3	19	3	276	336	395	732	120	341	22	8	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	428	386	75	13	2	2	38	100	1	45	12	194	270	254	523	60	249	23	9	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	389	349	79	12	1	17	35	118	2	19	5	226	301	413	714	186	280	30	9	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	333	301	83	14	2	6	26	74	3	19	3	276	336	395	732	120	341	22	8	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	428	386	75	13	2	2	38	100	1	45	12	194	270	254	523	60	249	23	9	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	389	349	79	12	1	17	35	118	2	19	5	226	301	413	714	186	280	30	9	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CLE	0%	457	412	91	15	2	11	40	119	2	16	4	221	293	350	642	128	280	26	9	289	81	-10	+2	-1	+5	+10	0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	21	MLB CTX	CLE	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	222	293	349	642	127	280	50	0	289	81	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	CLE	43%	430	387	88	15	2	12	38	108	2	14	3	226	299	364	663	137	281	25	9	297	87	-7	+2	-1	+5	+9	0.8
2029	23	MLB MLE	CLE	61%	486	438	100	17	2	14	43	120	2	16	3	230	303	374	677	144	282	25	9	303	91	-5	+2	-0	+5	+11	1.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	CLE	66%	522	467	110	19	2	16	47	127	3	16	4	233	306	381	687	148	283	24	9	307	94	-4	+2	+0	+6	+11	1.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	CLE	69%	540	483	112	19	2	16	49	130	3	15	3	234	308	384	692	150	284	24	9	309	95	-3	+2	+1	+6	+12	1.7
2032	26	MLB MLE	CLE	70%	549	491	116	20	2	17	50	132	3	15	3	235	309	385	694	151	284	24	9	310	96	-3	+2	+1	+6	+12	1.8
2033	27	MLB MLE	CLE	69%	550	492	115	20	2	16	50	133	3	14	3	233	308	383	691	149	283	24	9	308	95	-3	+2	+1	+6	+12	1.7
2034	28	MLB MLE	CLE	68%	546	489	114	20	2	16	49	133	3	12	3	232	306	378	684	147	283	24	9	306	93	-4	+1	-0	+6	+12	1.5
2035	29	MLB MLE	CLE	67%	537	481	110	19	2	15	48	132	3	10	3	230	303	372	676	143	281	25	9	302	91	-6	+1	-1	+6	+12	1.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	CLE	72%	526	472	108	18	2	15	47	131	2	8	2	227	300	365	665	138	280	25	9	298	88	-8	+1	-2	+6	+11	0.9
2037	31	MLB MLE	CLE	75%	512	460	103	17	2	14	45	130	2	6	2	223	295	356	651	133	277	25	9	292	84	-10	+0	-2	+5	+11	0.5
2038	32	MLB MLE	CLE	77%	494	446	96	16	1	12	43	128	2	4	3	218	289	344	633	126	274	26	9	285	79	-12	-0	-3	+5	+11	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	CLE	43%	186	167	39	7	1	5	16	47	1	6	1	227	299	363	662	137	281	25	9	297	87	-3	+1	-0	+2	+4	0.4
2029	23	MLB CTX	CLE	61%	296	267	61	11	1	8	26	73	1	9	2	230	303	373	677	143	282	25	9	303	91	-3	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.7
2030	24	MLB CTX	CLE	66%	346	310	72	13	1	10	31	84	2	10	2	233	307	380	687	147	283	24	9	307	94	-3	+1	+0	+4	+7	1.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	CLE	69%	371	332	78	14	1	11	34	89	2	11	2	234	308	384	692	149	284	24	9	309	95	-2	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.2
2032	26	MLB CTX	CLE	70%	383	343	81	14	1	12	35	92	2	10	2	235	309	385	694	150	284	24	9	310	96	-2	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.2
2033	27	MLB CTX	CLE	69%	379	340	79	14	1	11	34	92	2	10	2	234	308	382	690	148	284	24	9	308	95	-2	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.2
2034	28	MLB CTX	CLE	68%	374	335	78	14	1	11	34	91	2	8	2	232	306	378	684	146	283	24	9	306	93	-3	+1	-0	+4	+8	1.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	CLE	67%	358	321	74	13	1	10	32	88	2	7	2	230	304	372	676	142	282	25	9	302	91	-4	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.8
2036	30	MLB CTX	CLE	72%	376	337	76	13	1	10	34	94	2	6	2	227	300	365	665	138	281	25	9	298	88	-5	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.6
2037	31	MLB CTX	CLE	75%	383	344	77	13	1	10	34	97	2	4	2	223	296	355	651	132	278	25	9	292	84	-7	+0	-2	+4	+8	0.3
2038	32	MLB CTX	CLE	77%	381	344	75	13	1	9	33	98	1	3	3	218	290	343	633	125	274	26	9	285	79	-10	-1	-2	+4	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3833	3440	790	139	11	107	343	945	19	84	22	230	303	370	673	140	284	25	9	302	87	-44	+8	-5	+41	+83	8.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	134	24	2	18	58	160	3	14	4	230	302	370	673	141	284	25	9	302	87	-8	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	7341	6589	1505	255	31	197	653	1822	38	235	62	228	302	366	668	138	284	25	9	297	87	-72	+14	-7	+64	+130	13.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	133	23	3	17	58	161	3	21	5	228	301	365	667	137	284	25	9	297	87	-8	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#2Frankie Crosetti'32-'48 * career totals — 15 seasons, 7,273 PA	11.0	7,273	98	113	226*	314*	363*	+73	-6	16.5	16.3
/162	664	9	10	+6.7	-0.5	1.5	pk7: 16
#3Zoilo Versalles'59-'71 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,578 PA	8.4	5,578	95	97	247*	294*	397*	+56	+13	12.5	13.7
/162	664	11	12	+6.7	+1.6	1.5	pk7: 15
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.8	3,836	109	85	230	300	373	+41	+3	11.0	9.8
/162	664	19	15	+7.1	+0.5	1.9	pk7: 9
#6Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Welbyn Francisca (OGILVIE)	21	50→52	30→35	55→56	50	219/290/346	127	280	8	11	26%	9%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brayan Rocchio 2022 · AA	21	47→56	46→45	50	40	230/288/366	136	303	13	16	28%	5%	84	+0.2	237/302/360	123	291	11	15	21%	7%	88	+0.4	235/306/352	117	282	10	15	20%	8%	86	+0.3
✕Nick Franklin 2012 · AA	21	47→51	47→50	53→50	42	234/284/366	132	302	14	15	27%	6%	82	+0.0	241/302/376	135	310	13	12	25%	8%	91	+0.7	240/308/375	135	306	13	12	25%	9%	92	+0.7
✕Alen Hanson 2014 · AA	21	49→53	45→50	56→60	43	240/288/379	139	304	9	20	24%	6%	86	+0.3	247/283/373	126	306	10	25	22%	5%	83	+0.1	253/288/390	138	302	12	30	20%	4%	87	+0.3
✕Pedro Ramírez 2024 · A	20	48→57	42→45	51→55	48	234/298/345	111	291	9	14	22%	7%	82	+0.0	255/308/360	105	318	8	17	21%	6%	90	+0.6	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Darell Hernaiz 2023 · AA	21	47→57	42→45	55→50	42	232/279/335	104	289	10	21	23%	5%	73	-0.6	259/311/362	103	308	8	14	18%	6%	91	+0.7	268/325/364	96	311	7	12	15%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Fernando Flores 2012 · AAA	20	51	42→40	57→40	46	247/304/354	107	301	9	20	21%	6%	86	+0.3	241/273/328	87	294	6	8	19%	4%	68	-1.0	261/290/349	89	310	6	2	18%	3%	78	-0.2
✕Angel Martínez 2023 · AA	21	46→50	45→50	48→50	47	228/296/358	131	289	11	11	25%	8%	86	+0.3	231/289/358	127	289	12	10	23%	7%	82	+0.0	236/284/389	154	280	16	12	22%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Ramon Soto 2009 · AAA	21	46	42→30	51→45	46	223/286/326	103	285	10	12	25%	7%	74	-0.5	241/289/307	66	295	5	8	19%	5%	70	-0.8	280/326/334	54	343	1	7	18%	5%	86	+0.1
✕Juan Brito 2023 · A	21	48→50	45→50	48→45	53	234/319/371	136	287	12	11	22%	10%	97	+1.1	231/311/367	136	281	13	9	21%	10%	93	+0.8	225/308/360	135	270	13	9	21%	10%	89	+0.4
●Bryan Rincon 2024 · A	20	43→47	43→45	49→55	54	210/307/319	109	268	10	19	24%	11%	82	-0.0	196/286/316	120	277	12	25	31%	10%	73	-0.6	192/290/337	145	263	17	31	32%	11%	77	-0.2
✕Roman Quinn 2014 · A	21	44→54	42→45	56→65	41	216/274/320	104	292	10	26	29%	6%	68	-1.0	246/305/348	102	331	8	33	26%	7%	86	+0.3	262/322/362	100	352	7	42	26%	7%	92	+0.4
✕Dalton Pompey 2014 · A	21	45→55	40→45	57→55	45	215/282/314	100	299	6	21	29%	8%	70	-0.9	257/316/365	108	333	7	26	23%	8%	93	+0.8	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Jorge Barrosa 2023 · AA	22	49→52	44→45	50→55	47	237/300/356	119	289	10	20	21%	7%	86	+0.3	235/304/357	122	293	10	16	22%	8%	88	+0.4	235/305/352	118	296	10	14	23%	9%	84	+0.2
✕Robert Hassell III 2023 · AA	21	51→55	44→45	54→55	45	244/305/361	117	329	11	18	28%	8%	88	+0.5	229/289/322	93	324	9	16	30%	7%	74	-0.5	239/292/323	84	319	8	19	26%	7%	72	-0.5
✕Masyn Winn 2023 · AA	21	48→53	44→50	61→55	46	231/292/359	128	308	9	28	27%	8%	84	+0.1	243/298/376	133	291	13	16	20%	7%	90	+0.6	248/309/365	117	296	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
●Jemile Weeks 2009 · A	22	50→60	41→45	52→55	50	240/317/344	103	300	8	14	22%	8%	90	+0.6	249/308/364	115	298	9	16	19%	7%	91	+0.6	264/320/378	114	312	7	21	17%	7%	97	+0.8
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Geraldo Quintero 2023 · A	21	45→47	41→40	56→60	47	216/284/325	109	278	7	20	24%	8%	73	-0.6	213/279/301	88	280	6	26	25%	7%	66	-1.1	202/273/285	83	265	7	32	25%	7%	57	-1.2
✕Harry Ford 2024 · A	21	46→53	46→45	52→55	56	220/336/355	135	298	13	15	28%	13%	101	+1.4	227/331/344	117	301	11	16	25%	12%	97	+1.1	223/330/334	111	296	10	16	25%	12%	91	+0.5
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2024 · A	21	51→54	40	50	50	241/318/332	91	306	7	13	22%	9%	88	+0.4	240/315/330	90	307	8	14	22%	8%	86	+0.3	238/317/323	85	303	7	15	22%	8%	83	+0.1

Welbyn Francisca

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps