Camilo Diaz

SS Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 21 R/R 6'3" / 208 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	17	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	195	.209/.376/.353	4	7	31	—	.114/.242/.181
2024	18	ROKHOU	168	.188/.333/.304	2	16	8	—	.107/.208/.161
2026	20	AHOU	206	.168/.248/.286	6	18	-4	—	.110/.175/.188
2027PROJMLE	21	MLBHOU	316	.182/.246/.281	5	8	48	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBHOU	57	.189/.254/.297	1	2	54	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed75

ISO43

Chase%36

BB%21

wRC+9

wOBA8

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJose Ramos (age 21) · Ryan Spikes (age 21) · Hans Montero (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 119 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .244 / .278

PA119

HR2

K%34

BB%7

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED67

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	153	32	6	2	4	41	64	0	7	2	209	376	353	729	144	326	33	21	338	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Astros	—	168	138	26	2	4	2	28	69	2	16	3	188	333	304	638	116	358	41	17	300	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	206	185	31	2	1	6	18	89	2	18	7	168	248	286	534	119	278	43	9	246	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	166	19	3	1	2	28	78	0	7	2	114	242	181	423	66	202	40	14	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	168	149	16	1	2	1	17	99	2	16	3	107	208	161	369	54	306	59	10	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	206	191	21	1	1	4	13	121	2	18	7	110	175	188	363	79	260	59	6	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	166	19	3	1	2	28	78	0	7	2	114	242	181	423	66	195	40	14	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	153	32	6	2	4	41	64	0	7	2	209	376	353	729	144	326	33	21	338	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	168	149	16	1	2	1	17	99	2	16	3	107	208	161	369	54	306	59	10	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	—	168	138	26	2	4	2	28	69	2	16	3	188	333	304	638	116	358	41	17	300	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	206	191	21	1	1	4	13	121	2	18	7	110	175	188	363	79	258	59	6	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	206	185	31	2	1	6	18	89	2	18	7	168	248	286	534	119	278	43	9	246	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	165	19	3	1	2	28	78	0	7	2	115	242	182	424	67	202	40	14	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	168	147	16	1	2	1	17	99	2	16	3	109	208	163	372	54	306	59	10	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	206	189	21	1	1	4	13	121	2	18	7	111	175	190	365	79	260	59	6	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	168	147	16	1	2	1	17	99	2	16	3	109	208	163	372	54	306	59	10	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	206	189	21	1	1	4	13	121	2	18	7	111	175	190	365	79	260	59	6	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	316	288	52	9	2	5	22	107	3	8	2	182	246	281	526	99	264	34	7	240	48	-19	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	167	151	29	5	1	3	12	55	2	4	1	187	252	294	547	107	266	33	7	248	54	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	57	52	10	2	0	1	4	19	1	2	0	189	254	297	551	108	270	33	7	250	54	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	57	52	10	2	0	1	4	19	1	2	0	192	263	288	552	96	281	33	7	250	25	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	114	23	0	11	46	217	11	23	0	192	263	287	550	94	282	33	7	250	25	-36	+5	+0	+7	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	855	766	105	13	6	12	78	393	7	48	14	137	223	217	440	80	255	46	9	205	25	-16	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	80	10	5	9	59	299	5	36	11	137	223	218	441	81	257	46	9	205	25	-37	+1	+0	+7	+14	-1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 206 PAwOBA .239 → .162 (−77)K% 43.2% → 58.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	43.20%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	58.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.74%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.015	6.12%
HBP% /PA	0.97%	—	×0.780	—	×1.015	0.77%
Singles /BIP	22.92%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.023	×1.015	21.89%
Doubles /BIP	2.08%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.023	×1.015	1.80%
Triples /BIP	1.04%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.023	×1.015	0.98%
Home runs /BIP	6.25%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.015	5.07%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .239 → .162; ISO .119 → .073; BABIP .278 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Astros · 168 PAwOBA .294 → .180 (−114)K% 41.1% → 58.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	41.07%	÷1.006	×1.440	—	—	58.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.67%	÷1.033	×0.620	—	×1.008	10.08%
HBP% /PA	1.19%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.86%
Singles /BIP	26.09%	÷0.984	×0.820	×1.050	×1.008	23.00%
Doubles /BIP	2.90%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.050	×1.008	2.21%
Triples /BIP	5.80%	÷0.936	×0.720	×1.050	×1.008	4.72%
Home runs /BIP	2.90%	÷1.111	×0.780	—	×1.008	2.05%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 97, 2B 100, 3B 87, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .294 → .180; ISO .116 → .066; BABIP .358 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Astros Blue · 195 PAwOBA .331 → .214 (−117)K% 32.8% → 39.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.82%	÷1.005	×1.220	—	—	39.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.51%	÷0.992	×0.700	—	×1.008	14.58%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.00%
Singles /BIP	22.47%	÷1.034	×0.680	×0.998	×1.008	14.85%
Doubles /BIP	6.74%	÷1.077	×0.600	×0.998	×1.008	3.77%
Triples /BIP	2.25%	÷1.030	×0.600	×0.998	×1.008	1.32%
Home runs /BIP	4.49%	÷0.950	×0.470	—	×1.008	2.24%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 107, 2B 115, 3B 106, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.

Result: wOBA .331 → .214; ISO .144 → .076; BABIP .326 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Camilo Diaz (OGILVIE)	21	20→25	40→45	62→67	48	180/244/278	98	264	2	3	34%	7%	48	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Ramos 2024 · A	21	36	38→40	59→55	43	175/251/257	81	256	4	23	31%	7%	46	-2.6	195/280/275	80	288	5	23	31%	9%	61	-1.5	194/290/265	72	282	5	28	30%	11%	60	-0.5
✕Ryan Spikes 2024 · A	21	36→30	42→45	53→55	35	175/239/277	101	299	10	17	42%	7%	45	-2.7	186/234/300	114	292	13	18	39%	5%	49	-2.4	181/223/300	119	274	14	22	38%	4%	42	-1.5
✕Hans Montero 2024 · A	20	36→37	37→45	55	49	172/276/241	69	264	5	18	33%	11%	53	-2.1	182/260/285	103	297	10	17	39%	8%	56	-1.9	173/254/287	113	278	12	22	39%	9%	52	-1.5
✕Kelvin Diaz 2024 · A	21	35	39→45	56→60	43	169/256/252	82	263	6	22	35%	8%	47	-2.5	173/234/260	87	302	7	21	42%	6%	40	-3.1	143/195/226	84	252	8	28	45%	5%	17	-1.6
✕Axel Sanchez 2024 · A	21	37	44→45	52→50	38	185/251/304	119	276	11	15	36%	6%	57	-1.8	181/250/281	100	273	10	14	35%	7%	51	-2.2	166/241/259	93	242	11	16	34%	7%	42	-1.3
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	43→30	38→45	57→50	41	200/268/280	80	315	5	16	36%	8%	57	-1.8	210/268/332	122	313	12	13	35%	6%	69	-0.9	200/258/307	108	293	11	16	34%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Willy Vasquez 2023 · A	21	44→43	42→45	57→50	38	213/262/321	108	308	9	16	33%	6%	63	-1.3	199/242/306	107	289	11	14	33%	5%	53	-2.1	205/253/290	85	311	7	17	34%	5%	50	-1.0
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	38	38→45	53→50	51	181/272/260	79	252	4	15	28%	10%	55	-2.0	185/255/278	93	317	6	13	40%	8%	52	-2.2	140/198/215	76	278	6	16	49%	6%	14	-1.7
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→42	42→50	54→55	35	186/247/286	100	284	10	12	37%	5%	51	-2.2	197/249/316	119	284	14	16	34%	5%	59	-1.7	209/260/343	134	298	14	23	33%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	39→33	37→45	54→55	39	187/245/260	73	279	3	11	32%	6%	43	-2.8	186/260/317	131	336	16	16	46%	8%	63	-1.3	173/250/304	131	303	16	19	45%	8%	53	-1.4
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	177/253/254	77	242	4	12	27%	8%	46	-2.6	204/272/316	112	294	8	11	31%	7%	67	-1.1	189/255/293	104	275	7	15	32%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Max George 2016 · A	20	40→39	40→45	54→55	43	189/275/278	90	295	7	14	35%	8%	61	-1.5	189/271/295	106	262	9	15	30%	8%	63	-1.4	166/254/289	123	223	13	23	31%	8%	53	-1.3
✕Luis Yanel Diaz 2021 · A	21	36→42	41→45	53→55	31	180/215/275	95	291	8	11	40%	4%	34	-3.5	192/241/312	120	343	13	15	45%	5%	54	-2.0	187/241/306	119	310	13	21	42%	5%	50	-1.4
✕Angel Aponte 2021 · A	21	42	39→40	54→55	41	203/261/292	89	279	6	17	28%	6%	57	-1.8	206/263/297	91	296	7	20	31%	5%	59	-1.7	189/245/275	85	274	8	24	32%	5%	45	-1.0
✕Junior Perez 2022 · A	21	39→40	43→50	54→55	37	175/248/285	110	332	10	17	46%	8%	51	-2.2	185/257/295	110	323	11	24	42%	8%	57	-1.8	172/245/318	146	265	16	25	39%	8%	56	-1.4
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	36	39→40	51→50	40	181/244/269	88	257	7	13	31%	6%	46	-2.6	196/262/273	77	311	7	10	36%	7%	53	-2.1	190/263/263	73	291	8	10	35%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Brandon Dailey 2013 · A	21	42	40→45	55	37	203/249/301	98	294	7	12	32%	5%	54	-2.0	195/248/297	102	288	9	6	34%	6%	53	-2.1	144/199/220	76	199	6	0	30%	5%	17	-1.1
✕Miguel Bleis 2024 · A	20	40→32	41→45	55	36	194/241/293	99	292	7	19	35%	5%	49	-2.4	188/242/299	111	259	13	24	31%	6%	51	-2.2	180/234/292	112	238	14	25	30%	5%	44	-1.9
✕Loidel Chapelli 2024 · A	22	39→36	43→45	56→55	46	196/271/312	116	271	10	18	30%	8%	65	-1.2	196/259/284	88	300	7	17	34%	7%	54	-2.0	176/233/238	63	279	4	20	36%	6%	31	-2.0
✕Ian Moller 2024 · A	21	36	40	52→50	48	173/271/262	89	277	8	11	37%	11%	56	-1.9	177/258/258	81	283	7	12	36%	10%	49	-2.4	162/245/238	76	256	7	12	37%	9%	37	-1.6