Camilo Diaz — OGILVIE

Camilo DiazSS Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 20 R/R 6'3" / 208 lbs A H +4%HR -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.4 · 2033

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .267 / .304

PA106

HR2

SB11

K%35

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20↗25

PWR

39↗44

SPD

65↗70

EYE

52↗57

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.4peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.1	$19M	+$19M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.3	$22M	+$21M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.4	$24M	+$23M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+2.3	$23M	+$19M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+2.0	$21M	+$14M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+1.8	$19M	+$10M
Totals		$24M		$129M	+$105M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	195	169	21	3	1	3	25	91	0	7	2	.124	.237	.207	.444	.083	.237	47	13	.215	23	-17	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.9
2024	18	ROK	FCL Astros	168	150	17	1	3	1	16	98	2	16	3	.113	.208	.180	.388	.067	.314	58	10	.180	-4	-20	+2	+0	+2	+5	-1.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	50	48	9	0	1	3	2	28	0	9	1	.188	.220	.417	.637	.229	.353	56	4	.244	45	-3	+1	+0	+1	+1	0.0
ROS	20	MLB	HOU	56	51	9	2	0	1	5	21	0	2	0	.176	.250	.275	.525	.098	.289	38	9	.262	59	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
TOT	20	MLB	HOU	106	99	18	2	1	4	7	49	0	11	1	.182	.236	.343	.579	.162	.304	46	7	.254	52	-6	+2	+0	+1	+3	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	HOU	167	147	31	5	1	5	16	50	2	6	1	.211	.297	.361	.658	.150	.272	30	10	.290	80	-4	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.4
2028	22	MLB 28%	HOU	301	266	57	9	2	10	29	86	3	11	2	.214	.299	.376	.675	.162	.275	29	10	.300	88	-4	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.9
2029	23	MLB 48%	HOU	396	349	77	13	3	13	40	110	4	14	2	.221	.308	.387	.695	.166	.276	28	10	.307	93	-3	+2	+0	+4	+11	1.5
2030	24	MLB 62%	HOU	459	405	90	15	3	16	47	125	4	15	2	.222	.309	.393	.702	.170	.277	27	10	.312	97	-2	+2	+0	+5	+13	1.9
2031	25	MLB 80%	HOU	496	436	97	16	3	17	52	135	5	16	3	.222	.312	.390	.702	.167	.277	27	10	.315	99	-0	+2	+0	+5	+14	2.1
2032	26	MLB 94%	HOU	518	453	101	17	3	18	55	141	5	16	2	.223	.314	.393	.707	.170	.278	27	11	.317	101	+0	+2	+0	+6	+15	2.3
2033	27	MLB	HOU	527	460	103	17	3	19	57	143	5	16	2	.224	.316	.398	.714	.174	.278	27	11	.317	101	+0	+2	+0	+6	+15	2.4
2034	28	MLB	HOU	528	461	102	17	3	18	57	145	5	16	2	.221	.314	.388	.702	.167	.277	27	11	.316	100	-0	+2	-1	+6	+15	2.3
2035	29	MLB	HOU	522	455	100	16	3	18	57	145	5	15	2	.220	.313	.387	.700	.167	.276	28	11	.314	98	-1	+2	-1	+6	+15	2.0
2036	30	MLB	HOU	514	448	97	16	3	17	56	144	5	14	1	.217	.310	.379	.690	.163	.275	28	11	.310	96	-2	+2	-2	+6	+15	1.8
2037	31	MLB	HOU	502	437	94	15	3	17	55	143	5	13	0	.215	.310	.380	.690	.165	.273	28	11	.307	93	-4	+3	-3	+5	+14	1.6
2038	32	MLB	HOU	484	424	90	14	3	16	53	140	4	12	0	.212	.306	.373	.678	.160	.271	29	11	.302	89	-6	+2	-4	+5	+14	1.2
2039	33	MLB	HOU	455	399	82	13	2	14	49	135	4	11	0	.206	.299	.353	.652	.148	.270	30	11	.296	85	-8	+2	-4	+5	+13	0.8
2040	34	MLB	HOU	410	359	72	11	2	12	44	125	4	10	0	.201	.295	.343	.637	.142	.268	30	11	.290	80	-9	+2	-5	+4	+12	0.4
2041	35	MLB	HOU	355	311	61	9	2	10	38	112	3	9	0	.196	.290	.334	.624	.138	.265	32	11	.282	74	-10	+2	-6	+4	+10	-0.0
2042	36	MLB	HOU	297	262	50	7	2	8	31	97	2	8	0	.191	.281	.324	.606	.134	.262	33	10	.273	67	-11	+2	-6	+3	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7350	6442	1351	216	45	233	782	2186	67	227	24	.210	.302	.366	.667	.156	.275	30	11	.300	88	-104	+36	-31	+79	+208	19.1
/ 162G	—			650	570	120	19	4	21	69	193	6	20	2	.211	.302	.368	.671	.158	.276	30	11	.300	88	-9	+3	-3	+7	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	195	153	32	6	2	4	41	64	0	7	2	.209	.376	.353	.729	.144	.326	33	21	.338	117	+4	+1	—	—	+6	1.0
2024	18	ROK	FCL Astros	168	138	26	2	4	2	28	69	2	16	3	.188	.333	.304	.638	.116	.358	41	17	.300	88	-2	+2	—	—	+5	0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Camilo Diaz (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	39→44	65→70	57	.189/.267/.304	.115	.284	2	2	35%	9%	59	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	43→32	41→55	59→50	42	.208/.262/.314	.106	.276	8	21	27%	6%	57	-1.2	.196/.243/.346	.150	.273	17	9	34%	5%	59	-1.1	.194/.269/.375	.181	.237	26	7	31%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	46→50	53→55	45	.189/.278/.319	.129	.289	14	15	37%	10%	67	-0.5	.210/.289/.331	.121	.326	12	16	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	41	40→45	54→60	47	.189/.291/.289	.100	.303	7	8	36%	10%	66	-0.6	.201/.301/.282	.081	.273	6	17	26%	10%	68	-0.5	.180/.308/.228	.048	.225	5	30	19%	12%	56	-0.5
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	41→51	40→50	56→55	42	.202/.257/.295	.093	.281	7	21	30%	7%	50	-1.7	.228/.284/.359	.131	.288	12	22	24%	7%	78	+0.2	.239/.295/.382	.143	.285	14	19	21%	7%	86	+0.8
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45	41→55	55	43	.216/.285/.315	.099	.290	7	13	27%	7%	68	-0.5	.204/.313/.323	.119	.295	10	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	.202/.308/.336	.135	.284	11	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	37→36	45→50	54→50	38	.192/.253/.319	.127	.271	12	13	33%	6%	56	-1.3	.204/.262/.355	.151	.295	18	14	36%	6%	69	-0.4	.197/.258/.362	.165	.284	22	15	38%	7%	67	-0.3
●Lewis Brinson 2014 · A	20	36→46	47→55	52→50	31	.178/.230/.308	.130	.314	15	14	46%	5%	43	-2.2	.220/.268/.368	.148	.324	17	14	36%	6%	75	-0.0	.237/.289/.413	.176	.298	20	17	27%	6%	92	+0.8
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A	21	42→50	47→55	58→55	39	.214/.256/.353	.139	.265	14	15	25%	4%	65	-0.7	.239/.275/.401	.162	.303	18	22	27%	4%	85	+0.7	.244/.283/.399	.155	.300	17	24	24%	4%	86	+0.7
✕Sean Henry 2006 · A	20	42→52	43→50	55	42	.206/.271/.314	.108	.302	10	15	34%	8%	62	-0.9	.225/.279/.352	.127	.288	12	19	25%	6%	75	-0.0	.247/.300/.379	.132	.296	12	17	20%	6%	87	+0.7
✕Kyren Paris 2022 · A	20	47→46	43→45	59→60	41	.209/.288/.325	.115	.356	9	23	40%	9%	72	-0.2	.195/.278/.319	.124	.316	13	29	39%	9%	67	-0.5	.179/.270/.309	.131	.284	15	35	39%	10%	59	-0.7
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	49→37	40→45	54→55	45	.229/.303/.328	.098	.328	7	17	30%	8%	79	+0.3	.197/.323/.323	.126	.275	12	20	30%	11%	89	+1.0	.179/.324/.312	.133	.244	14	22	29%	12%	86	+0.5
✕Keon Broxton 2010 · A	20	38→48	45→55	54→60	30	.188/.230/.311	.124	.318	12	6	44%	5%	43	-2.2	.190/.248/.290	.100	.310	8	13	38%	7%	45	-2.1	.225/.301/.390	.165	.341	17	38	36%	9%	92	+1.0
●Esteury Ruiz 2019 · A	20	44→54	43→50	58→70	37	.212/.260/.329	.117	.307	9	25	33%	5%	60	-1.0	.203/.254/.314	.111	.301	11	30	34%	5%	54	-1.4	.264/.338/.396	.132	.327	13	74	22%	6%	108	+1.6
✕Kelvin Diaz 2023 · A	20	38	42→50	55→60	36	.186/.253/.291	.105	.285	9	18	36%	6%	49	-1.8	.175/.246/.265	.090	.299	8	23	41%	7%	39	-2.5	.142/.213/.221	.079	.252	8	29	44%	7%	13	-1.4
✕Narciso Crook 2015 · A	20	42→43	41→55	54→50	35	.201/.248/.304	.102	.316	9	13	38%	5%	48	-1.9	.193/.230/.296	.103	.285	9	10	35%	4%	39	-2.5	.199/.278/.357	.158	.302	19	15	38%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	37	38→40	54→60	42	.177/.252/.256	.078	.282	5	19	36%	8%	39	-2.5	.189/.255/.265	.076	.277	5	11	31%	7%	42	-2.3	.172/.238/.215	.043	.239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	.197/.264/.289	.093	.275	8	16	30%	8%	53	-1.5	.236/.299/.340	.104	.314	7	24	25%	8%	79	+0.3	.253/.315/.362	.109	.325	7	28	23%	8%	88	+0.8
✕Monte Harrison 2016 · A	20	40→43	38→50	56→60	38	.185/.265/.264	.079	.307	5	21	38%	7%	47	-1.9	.195/.257/.304	.109	.315	11	16	39%	6%	53	-1.5	.194/.262/.320	.126	.338	17	41	45%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Jorge Mateo 2015 · A	20	43→46	41→50	60→65	44	.207/.271/.306	.098	.280	8	29	28%	7%	59	-1.1	.207/.252/.306	.099	.292	6	37	30%	5%	50	-1.7	.217/.264/.366	.149	.272	14	44	25%	5%	70	-0.2
●Jo Adell 2018 · A	19	46→44	42→65	54→50	36	.223/.265/.336	.114	.318	8	9	32%	5%	63	-0.8	.223/.273/.380	.157	.319	17	10	34%	5%	79	+0.3	.218/.285/.446	.228	.252	34	12	29%	7%	101	+1.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)