Camilo Diaz — OGILVIE

Camilo DiazSS Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 20 R/R 6'3" / 208 lbs A HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION180 act + 120 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†27

AVG/OBP/SLG.164 / .227 / .264

PA120

HR2

SB5

K%42

BB%7

BABIP276

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED66

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	169	21	3	1	3	25	91	0	7	2	124	237	207	444	83	237	47	13	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	153	32	6	2	4	41	64	0	7	2	209	376	353	729	144	326	33	21	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Astros	—	168	150	17	1	3	1	16	98	2	16	3	113	208	180	388	67	314	58	10	181	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Astros	—	168	138	26	2	4	2	28	69	2	16	3	188	333	304	638	116	358	41	17	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	HOU	—	180	169	18	1	1	4	9	114	2	16	5	107	161	195	356	89	275	63	5	152	-25	-26	+1	+0	+2	+5	-1.8
YTD	20	A	HOU	—	180	163	27	2	1	6	14	80	2	16	5	166	239	301	540	135	273	44	8	246	46	-11	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
ROS	20	A	HOU	0%	120	110	18	3	1	2	8	51	1	5	2	164	227	264	491	100	268	42	7	221	27	-10	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.5
ROS	20	MLB	HOU	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		271	—	—	216	23	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	HOU	—	180	170	18	1	1	4	9	114	2	16	5	106	161	194	355	88	269	63	5	152	-25	-26	+1	+0	+2	+5	-1.8
TOT	20	A	HOU	—	300	279	36	4	2	6	17	165	3	21	7	129	187	222	410	93	275	55	6	180	-4	-35	+1	+0	+3	+8	-2.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	HOU	34%	313	284	49	8	2	6	23	125	3	9	3	173	242	278	520	106	272	40	7	235	38	-22	+1	+0	+3	+9	-0.9
2027	21	MLB	HOU	34%	108	98	17	3	1	2	8	43	1	3	1	173	243	286	529	112	275	40	7	230	34	-8	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	108	99	17	3	1	2	8	43	1	3	1	172	243	283	526	111	273	40	7	230	34	-8	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	102	18	6	12	48	259	6	18	6	171	242	282	524	111	272	40	7	230	34	-48	+1	+0	+7	+18	-2.2
Career	—			—	796	713	105	15	7	12	72	365	6	37	10	147	231	238	470	91	274	46	9	217	24	-68	+3	+0	+9	+23	-3.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	86	12	6	10	59	298	5	30	8	148	232	241	473	93	274	46	9	217	24	-56	+3	+0	+7	+18	-2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	153	32	6	2	4	41	64	0	7	2	209	376	353	729	144	326	33	21	338	117	+4	+1	—	—	+6	1.0
2024	18	ROK	FCL Astros	—	168	138	26	2	4	2	28	69	2	16	3	188	333	304	638	116	358	41	17	300	88	-2	+2	—	—	+5	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	306	5	8	181	249	282	+3	+3	-0.7	-0.4
	/162	664	11	17	181	249	282	+7.1	+6.5	-1.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Camilo Diaz (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	37→42	61→66	52	129/187/222	93	275	6	21	55%	6%	-4	-2.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kelvin Diaz 2023 · A	20	37	43→50	56→60	36	185/253/297	112	281	10	19	36%	6%	50	-1.7	173/244/264	91	301	8	23	42%	7%	38	-2.6	140/212/218	79	253	8	29	45%	7%	12	-1.4
✕Max George 2016 · A	20	39→36	39→45	54→55	42	185/269/272	86	287	7	14	35%	8%	51	-1.7	179/261/271	92	253	8	15	30%	7%	47	-1.9	155/243/267	112	213	11	23	32%	7%	36	-1.6
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/248/282	94	270	8	13	32%	6%	43	-2.2	195/260/276	81	313	7	10	37%	7%	47	-1.9	186/257/265	79	290	10	10	37%	7%	41	-1.1
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	38→37	41→45	56→50	41	186/249/288	102	279	8	15	35%	7%	45	-2.1	184/254/304	120	272	13	13	35%	8%	53	-1.5	166/230/262	96	226	11	13	31%	7%	28	-1.4
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	40→29	37→50	54→55	38	188/244/263	75	289	4	11	34%	6%	37	-2.7	181/253/315	134	327	17	16	46%	7%	56	-1.3	164/239/293	129	288	17	19	46%	7%	40	-1.6
✕Jose Ramos 2023 · A	20	41	41→40	57→60	48	201/274/306	105	261	8	20	25%	8%	61	-1.0	183/262/263	80	276	4	22	32%	8%	45	-2.1	166/252/237	72	256	4	27	33%	9%	33	-1.3
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	39→35	40	52→50	40	193/252/284	91	274	7	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	201/271/278	77	305	4	8	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	38→45	53→50	47	187/270/270	84	274	5	15	31%	9%	51	-1.7	185/255/279	94	336	7	13	43%	8%	46	-2.0	134/194/209	75	291	5	16	52%	6%	-1	-1.8
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	36→29	40→45	51→50	48	177/255/271	94	227	7	13	24%	8%	44	-2.1	175/249/266	91	263	6	10	33%	8%	40	-2.4	157/237/236	79	247	5	10	36%	9%	25	-2.0
✕Ranfy Adon 2018 · A	20	38	39→45	52→50	38	185/244/270	85	282	6	12	35%	6%	38	-2.6	208/252/318	110	358	9	11	42%	5%	53	-1.5	173/231/277	105	327	9	25	47%	5%	33	-0.6
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	35	37→45	55→50	47	170/258/247	77	249	3	11	30%	9%	40	-2.4	192/268/269	77	260	3	14	25%	8%	49	-1.8	163/244/219	56	209	0	27	20%	7%	23	-0.9
✕Brayan Buelvas 2022 · A	20	38→40	44→50	51→55	40	195/255/315	120	270	12	13	32%	6%	55	-1.4	189/251/317	128	263	13	17	32%	6%	54	-1.4	182/244/294	112	275	11	14	36%	7%	42	-1.3
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	36	40→50	54→45	36	177/234/268	91	293	8	13	40%	6%	33	-2.9	180/242/287	107	318	12	11	44%	6%	43	-2.2	173/237/300	127	283	16	9	43%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Leonel Espinoza 2023 · A	20	38→44	40	50→55	41	188/259/274	86	266	7	11	31%	6%	46	-2.0	209/272/298	89	302	7	14	31%	6%	58	-1.2	202/259/293	90	292	8	18	32%	5%	47	-1.0
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	36→34	45→50	54→50	37	187/249/310	124	268	12	13	34%	6%	52	-1.6	201/258/355	154	293	19	14	37%	6%	68	-0.5	192/251/359	168	278	23	15	39%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Arturo Guerrero 2021 · A	20	40	41→40	52→50	37	187/279/281	94	311	8	9	39%	6%	59	-1.1	180/257/274	94	330	7	11	44%	6%	46	-2.0	140/222/234	94	277	7	13	48%	6%	21	-0.8
✕Angel Aponte 2019 · A	19	41	41→45	56→55	40	203/267/304	101	272	9	20	28%	6%	58	-1.2	209/266/303	94	295	7	19	30%	6%	56	-1.3	202/262/292	90	286	7	25	30%	6%	50	-0.7
✕Brent Brewer 2008 · A	20	41→40	41→40	58→55	34	196/242/295	99	314	8	20	39%	5%	43	-2.2	194/243/270	76	307	4	18	35%	6%	37	-2.6	186/239/252	66	288	2	21	34%	6%	28	-2.4