Camilo Diaz — OGILVIE

Camilo DiazSS Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 20 R/R 6'3" / 208 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION206 act + 19 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†36

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .158 / .111

PA19

HR0

K%42

BB%5

BABIP270

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED66

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	153	32	6	2	4	41	64	0	7	2	209	376	353	729	144	326	33	21	338	115	+3	+1	—	—	+4	0.8
2024	18	ROK	FCL Astros	—	168	138	26	2	4	2	28	69	2	16	3	188	333	304	638	116	358	41	17	300	90	-2	+2	—	—	+4	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	169	22	4	1	3	25	92	0	7	2	130	242	219	461	89	244	47	13	216	32	-16	+1	—	—	+4	-1.1
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	168	149	16	1	2	1	17	99	2	16	3	107	208	161	369	54	303	59	10	179	7	-19	+2	—	—	+4	-1.3
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	169	22	4	1	3	25	92	0	7	2	130	242	219	461	89	253	47	13	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	153	32	6	2	4	41	64	0	7	2	209	376	353	729	144	326	33	21	338	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	168	149	16	1	2	1	17	99	2	16	3	107	208	161	369	54	306	59	10	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	—	168	138	26	2	4	2	28	69	2	16	3	188	333	304	638	116	358	41	17	300	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	168	22	4	1	3	25	92	0	7	2	131	242	220	463	89	244	47	13	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	168	147	16	1	2	1	17	99	2	16	3	109	208	163	372	54	303	59	10	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	168	22	4	1	3	25	92	0	7	2	131	242	220	463	89	244	47	13	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	168	147	16	1	2	1	17	99	2	16	3	109	208	163	372	54	303	59	10	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	HOU	—	206	193	21	1	1	4	11	126	2	18	7	109	165	187	352	78	270	61	5	155	-9	-27	+1	+0	+2	+4	-2.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A RAW	HOU	—	206	185	31	2	1	6	18	89	2	18	7	168	248	286	534	119	278	43	9	246	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	HOU	0%	19	18	2	0	0	0	1	8	0	1	0	111	158	111	269		268	42	5	221	36	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
TOT	20	A MLE	HOU	—	225	211	23	1	1	4	12	134	2	19	7	109	164	180	345	71	260	60	5	161	-5	-28	+1	+0	+2	+5	-2.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	276	251	42	7	1	5	20	109	3	8	3	167	237	263	500	96	273	39	7	236	46	-18	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.9
2027	21	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	95	87	15	3	0	2	7	38	1	3	1	172	242	276	518	103	275	40	7	229	46	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	95	87	15	3	0	2	7	38	1	3	1	172	242	276	518	103	277	40	7	229	32	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	103	21	0	14	48	260	7	21	7	173	243	279	522	106	277	40	7	229	32	-42	+1	+0	+7	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	658	587	82	12	4	9	63	308	5	32	8	140	229	220	449	80	268	47	10	215	32	-19	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	81	12	4	9	62	304	5	32	8	140	229	221	449	81	268	47	10	215	32	-42	+1	+0	+7	+14	-2.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	270	5	7	183	252	284	+3	+3	-0.4	-0.2
/162	664	11	17	+7.1	+7.4	-1.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Camilo Diaz (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	37→42	61→66	53	159/226/250	90	268	3	8	42%	7%	36	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Max George 2016 · A	20	39→38	39→45	54→55	42	186/270/274	88	290	7	14	35%	8%	57	-1.8	186/268/290	104	258	9	15	30%	8%	60	-1.6	164/253/286	122	221	13	23	31%	8%	52	-1.3
✕Jose Ramos 2023 · A	20	41	41→40	57→55	48	202/276/307	105	263	8	20	26%	8%	66	-1.1	187/267/266	79	277	4	22	31%	8%	54	-2.0	193/287/265	72	281	6	28	30%	11%	59	-0.6
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/249/281	94	269	8	13	32%	6%	51	-2.3	196/261/274	78	315	7	10	37%	7%	53	-2.1	188/258/263	75	295	9	10	37%	7%	47	-1.2
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→29	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	210/275/314	104	329	8	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	190/253/306	116	287	12	16	36%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Kelvin Diaz 2023 · A	20	37	42→50	55→60	36	183/250/290	107	281	9	19	36%	5%	53	-2.1	173/244/263	90	299	8	23	41%	7%	45	-2.7	142/213/220	78	253	8	29	44%	7%	23	-1.4
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→37	40	52→50	40	195/254/288	93	274	7	14	31%	6%	53	-2.1	201/272/277	76	304	4	8	32%	8%	58	-1.7	190/273/260	70	294	3	7	33%	10%	51	-1.4
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	40→31	37→45	54→55	38	188/244/263	75	289	4	11	34%	6%	44	-2.8	180/251/307	127	326	15	16	46%	7%	58	-1.7	166/238/291	125	290	16	19	46%	7%	47	-1.7
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	36→30	39→45	51→50	48	178/255/268	89	228	6	13	24%	8%	50	-2.3	175/249/266	91	260	6	10	32%	8%	47	-2.5	158/245/237	79	236	5	8	32%	9%	37	-1.9
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	40	38→45	53→50	48	189/275/275	85	275	5	15	31%	10%	59	-1.6	188/260/285	97	334	7	13	42%	8%	55	-1.9	138/202/215	77	286	6	16	50%	7%	15	-1.7
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	35	37→45	55→50	47	170/258/247	77	249	3	11	30%	9%	47	-2.6	192/268/269	77	260	3	14	25%	8%	55	-2.0	163/244/219	56	209	0	27	20%	7%	32	-0.9
✕Ranfy Adon 2018 · A	20	38	39→45	52→50	38	185/244/270	85	282	6	12	35%	6%	45	-2.7	208/252/318	110	358	9	11	42%	5%	59	-1.7	176/236/282	105	327	9	25	46%	5%	44	-0.6
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	178/254/255	77	243	4	12	27%	8%	47	-2.5	205/274/318	113	295	9	11	31%	7%	68	-1.0	191/257/296	105	277	7	15	32%	6%	55	-0.9
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	39	41→45	56→50	41	189/251/288	99	284	8	15	35%	7%	53	-2.1	182/253/293	111	267	12	13	34%	8%	55	-1.9	182/240/283	101	235	12	16	28%	7%	44	-1.3
✕Angel Aponte 2019 · A	19	41	41→45	56→55	40	203/267/304	101	272	9	20	28%	6%	63	-1.4	209/267/303	94	296	7	19	30%	6%	61	-1.5	204/264/295	91	289	8	25	30%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	43→33	42→55	60→50	42	208/261/317	109	274	8	22	26%	6%	62	-1.4	194/241/346	152	272	18	8	35%	5%	63	-1.4	191/265/355	164	235	23	7	30%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Leonel Espinoza 2023 · A	20	39→44	41→40	50→55	41	191/263/288	96	267	9	11	31%	7%	57	-1.8	210/273/299	89	302	7	14	31%	6%	63	-1.3	208/265/289	81	298	7	18	31%	5%	55	-1.1
✕Fabian Pertuz 2021 · A	20	46→34	38→40	52→55	41	218/270/299	81	295	4	15	26%	5%	61	-1.5	186/232/269	83	289	7	9	36%	5%	40	-3.0	164/212/245	80	249	7	12	36%	4%	25	-2.3
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→40	42→50	54→55	35	184/245/283	99	282	10	12	37%	5%	50	-2.3	197/252/315	118	289	14	16	35%	5%	59	-1.6	203/254/335	133	288	14	24	34%	5%	62	-0.9
✕Brayan Buelvas 2022 · A	20	37→43	45	51→55	40	193/254/318	125	267	13	13	32%	6%	61	-1.5	189/251/316	127	262	13	17	32%	6%	59	-1.6	197/258/324	127	284	12	14	34%	7%	60	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps