Ian Moller — OGILVIE

Ian MollerC Frisco RoughRiders

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION194 act + 129 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.163 / .242 / .249

PA129

HR2

K%36

BB%9

BABIP249

ISO86

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	63	55	7	2	0	2	4	29	4	0	2	127	238	273	511	145	208	46	6	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	63	50	11	4	0	3	9	20	4	0	2	220	381	480	861	260	296	32	14	384	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	235	203	33	5	0	5	28	87	2	18	2	163	270	261	531	99	248	37	12	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	235	184	37	6	0	5	47	63	2	18	2	201	369	315	684	114	271	27	20	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	2 teams	—	431	380	58	12	1	5	46	166	3	8	1	153	249	229	478	76	251	39	11	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	2 teams	—	431	359	69	14	2	6	67	125	3	8	1	192	324	292	616	100	274	29	16	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	321	285	45	10	1	2	34	113	1	16	0	158	250	221	471	63	251	35	11	216	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	321	265	55	13	1	2	54	82	1	16	0	208	344	287	631	79	291	26	17	300	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	289	266	46	8	0	4	20	119	1	7	2	173	233	248	482	75	292	41	7	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	289	251	52	10	0	4	35	87	1	7	2	207	307	295	601	88	298	30	12	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	TEX	—	194	172	30	6	0	7	17	77	3	3	1	174	260	331	592	157	258	40	9	263	59	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
YTD	23	AA	TEX	—	194	164	36	8	0	8	25	60	3	3	1	220	333	415	748	195	289	31	13	333	113	+3	+0	+0	+3	+5	1.2
ROS	23	AA	TEX	2%	129	116	19	4	0	2	11	47	1	2	1	163	242	249	491	86	261	36	9	242	44	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
ROS	23	MLB	TEX	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						263	33	0	237	40	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	AA	TEX	—	197	175	30	6	0	7	17	78	3	3	1	171	256	326	582	154	253	40	9	263	59	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.0
TOT	23	AA	TEX	—	323	288	49	10	0	9	28	124	4	5	2	170	253	298	551	128	254	38	9	255	53	-17	+0	+0	+6	+9	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	TEX	31%	375	336	62	13	1	8	33	131	3	7	1	185	263	301	564	116	269	35	9	255	54	-20	+1	+0	+7	+11	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	TEX	45%	418	374	70	14	1	9	38	141	3	8	1	187	267	302	570	115	271	34	9	263	59	-19	+1	+0	+7	+12	0.1
2029	26	MLB	TEX	51%	444	397	76	15	1	10	40	147	4	8	2	191	272	310	582	118	272	33	9	267	63	-19	+1	+0	+8	+13	0.3
2030	27	MLB	TEX	53%	453	404	79	16	1	11	42	150	4	8	2	196	278	322	600	126	273	33	9	269	64	-19	+1	+0	+8	+13	0.3
2027	24	MLB	TEX	31%	116	104	19	4	0	2	10	40	1	2	0	183	261	279	540	96	270	34	9	251	50	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	TEX	45%	186	165	31	6	0	4	17	63	2	3	1	188	272	297	569	109	273	34	9	258	56	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
2029	26	MLB	TEX	51%	226	202	38	8	0	5	20	75	2	4	1	188	268	302	570	114	274	33	9	262	59	-10	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.0
2030	27	MLB	TEX	53%	238	212	42	8	1	6	22	79	2	4	1	198	280	330	610	132	274	33	9	264	60	-11	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	769	686	130	26	1	17	69	258	7	13	3	190	270	305	575	115	272	34	9	260	57	-37	+1	+0	+14	+22	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	110	22	1	14	58	218	6	11	3	190	270	303	574	114	274	34	9	260	57	-31	+1	+0	+12	+18	-0.0
Career	—			—	3158	2816	495	99	6	58	296	1130	26	82	14	176	260	277	537	101	266	36	9	246	46	-191	+11	+0	+56	+89	-3.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	101	20	1	12	61	233	5	17	3	174	259	274	533	100	263	36	9	246	46	-39	+2	+0	+12	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	63	50	11	4	0	3	9	20	4	0	2	220	381	480	861	260	296	32	14	384	152	+4	-1	—	—	+2	0.5
2022	19	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	235	184	37	6	0	5	47	63	2	18	2	201	369	315	684	114	271	27	20	323	105	+1	+3	—	—	+7	1.1
2023	20	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	394	326	62	12	2	6	63	112	3	8	1	190	327	294	621	104	267	28	16	293	82	-8	+1	—	—	+11	0.4
2023	20	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	37	33	7	2	0	0	4	13	0	0	0	212	297	273	570	61	350	35	11	267	63	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	21	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	321	265	55	13	1	2	54	82	1	16	0	208	344	287	631	79	291	26	17	300	87	-5	+3	—	—	+9	0.8
2025	22	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	289	251	52	10	0	4	35	87	1	7	2	207	307	295	601	88	298	30	12	279	72	-9	+1	—	—	+8	-0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	773	18	14	191	269	312	+14	+8	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	15	12	191	269	312	+11.9	+6.9	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ian Moller (OGILVIE)	23	30	35	50	55	170/253/298	128	254	9	5	38%	9%	53	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Ethan Murray 2023 · AA	23	35→45	41→40	51→50	42	177/250/275	97	266	9	13	35%	8%	43	-2.2	197/270/288	91	301	7	12	34%	8%	55	-1.4	193/271/278	85	293	6	13	33%	8%	49	-1.1
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	34	40→45	53→50	34	176/209/269	93	256	6	9	34%	4%	22	-3.7	215/263/298	83	301	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→50	48→40	39	178/241/285	107	272	11	4	37%	7%	42	-2.3	203/260/325	122	275	13	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	42	-2.3	199/264/283	84	349	5	9	41%	7%	51	-1.7	149/237/238	89	307	4	14	47%	8%	28	-0.6
✕Vicente Conde 2017 · AA	23	40→34	39→45	46→45	44	192/257/281	88	278	6	7	32%	8%	46	-2.0	176/250/262	86	262	7	6	32%	9%	40	-2.4	103/200/175	72	170	6	2	40%	10%	-4	-1.7
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39	40→45	50→45	37	189/243/279	90	293	7	9	36%	6%	40	-2.4	181/265/289	108	254	11	5	31%	9%	54	-1.4	161/255/263	101	223	11	3	31%	10%	40	-1.3
✕Ryan Dent 2012 · AA	23	37→42	39→40	45→50	38	184/237/269	85	274	6	12	34%	6%	35	-2.8	200/254/273	73	282	6	12	29%	6%	43	-2.2	204/255/292	88	287	6	12	30%	5%	46	-1.1
✕Tyler Grimes 2013 · A	23	38	41→40	46→40	41	184/265/285	101	288	8	8	36%	8%	53	-1.5	205/278/297	92	316	7	5	34%	7%	60	-1.0	204/278/288	84	318	5	2	34%	7%	56	-0.7
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2006 · AA	23	38	37→45	45→40	41	181/243/252	71	265	4	7	31%	7%	33	-2.9	190/242/270	80	271	5	4	30%	5%	37	-2.6	208/275/286	79	292	6	0	29%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Alejandro Torres 2012 · A	23	37	37→40	46→40	35	182/219/253	71	267	4	5	33%	4%	22	-3.7	205/260/281	76	311	5	6	33%	6%	48	-1.9	198/265/228	30	313	0	0	34%	8%	37	-0.5
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	41→37	38→40	46→45	45	193/275/270	77	281	5	9	31%	8%	53	-1.5	176/256/248	72	256	5	8	31%	8%	40	-2.4	158/238/217	59	235	4	6	32%	7%	21	-2.5
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2021 · AA	23	38→44	36→40	51→50	45	179/255/247	68	273	4	15	33%	9%	37	-2.6	199/279/294	95	294	8	14	32%	10%	59	-1.1	198/284/290	92	298	8	15	33%	10%	58	-0.7
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	37	38→45	46→30	35	180/230/254	74	285	6	3	38%	6%	28	-3.2	209/261/311	102	295	9	3	31%	6%	56	-1.3	214/272/324	110	288	10	0	28%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Gift Ngoepe 2013 · A	23	40	37→45	47→50	39	192/249/264	71	295	5	14	35%	6%	39	-2.5	194/253/292	98	314	8	14	38%	7%	48	-1.9	171/250/283	112	296	11	5	43%	9%	43	-0.9
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	40	43→45	51→55	40	193/267/298	105	296	11	13	36%	7%	56	-1.3	203/272/299	96	311	8	12	35%	8%	58	-1.2	170/253/239	69	277	4	11	36%	9%	33	-0.6
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→45	54→50	39	192/262/274	82	303	8	14	37%	7%	48	-1.9	206/305/332	126	296	13	13	32%	10%	82	+0.5	214/316/327	113	306	11	14	30%	10%	82	+0.3