Joe Donovan — OGILVIE

Joe DonovanC Akron RubberDucks

Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs AA K +5%HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .265 / .310

PA136

HR2

K%32

BB%7

MLB%2%

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.1peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$-9M		$-9M	+$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	Lake County Captains	135	119	14	2	1	3	9	61	7	3	0	.118	.222	.227	.449	.109	.200	45	7	.200	11	-14	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.7
2022	23	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	211	191	29	7	1	5	12	86	6	2	0	.152	.225	.277	.502	.126	.235	41	6	.213	21	-19	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.9
2023	24	A+	2 teams	224	207	41	10	1	4	9	78	7	0	0	.198	.256	.314	.570	.116	.294	35	4	.249	49	-13	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.3
2024	25	AA	Akron RubberDucks	27	26	2	1	0	0	1	17	0	0	0	.077	.111	.115	.226	.038	.222	63	4	.094	-70	-5	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.4
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	CLE	136	124	25	5	1	2	9	43	2	2	1	.202	.267	.306	.573	.105	.285	32	7	.262	59	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB 9%	CLE	207	187	39	8	1	4	15	64	3	3	1	.209	.278	.326	.604	.118	.285	31	7	.267	63	-9	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.0
2028	29	MLB 19%	CLE	262	238	49	10	1	5	19	80	3	3	1	.206	.273	.319	.592	.113	.285	31	7	.269	64	-11	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.0
2029	30	MLB 29%	CLE	300	271	56	11	1	6	22	92	4	3	1	.207	.276	.321	.597	.114	.284	31	7	.269	64	-12	+0	-2	+5	+8	-0.0
2030	31	MLB 40%	CLE	294	268	55	11	1	6	21	90	3	2	0	.205	.271	.321	.591	.116	.283	31	7	.266	62	-13	+0	-3	+5	+8	-0.1
2031	32	MLB 49%	CLE	277	252	51	10	1	5	20	87	3	1	0	.202	.269	.310	.579	.107	.281	31	7	.262	59	-13	+0	-4	+5	+8	-0.4
2032	33	MLB 63%	CLE	248	225	44	8	1	4	18	79	3	0	0	.196	.264	.293	.558	.098	.280	32	7	.256	54	-13	+0	-4	+4	+7	-0.6
2033	34	MLB 81%	CLE	206	187	36	7	1	3	15	68	2	0	0	.193	.260	.289	.549	.096	.278	33	7	.250	50	-12	+0	-5	+4	+6	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			2527	2295	441	90	11	47	170	845	43	19	4	.192	.261	.302	.563	.110	.278	33	7	.253	51	-139	+2	-20	+45	+72	-4.0
/ 162G	—			650	590	113	23	3	12	44	217	11	5	1	.192	.260	.302	.562	.110	.277	33	7	.253	51	-36	+1	-5	+12	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	Lake County Captains	135	115	19	3	1	4	13	46	7	3	.165	.289	.313	.602	.148	.231	34	10	.281	73	-4	+1	—	—	+4	0.0
2022	23	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	211	185	37	10	1	6	18	59	6	2	.200	.292	.362	.654	.162	.254	28	9	.294	83	-4	+0	—	—	+6	0.2
2023	24	AA	Akron RubberDucks	46	45	13	3	1	0	1	13	0	0	.289	.304	.400	.704	.111	.406	28	2	.311	96	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	24	A+	Lake County Captains	178	158	38	10	1	5	12	49	7	0	.241	.322	.411	.733	.171	.314	28	7	.327	109	+2	+0	—	—	+5	0.7
2024	25	AA	Akron RubberDucks	27	26	3	1	0	0	1	13	0	0	.115	.148	.154	.302	.038	.231	48	4	.140	-34	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joe Donovan (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	.201/.265/.310	.109	.285	2	2	32%	7%	59	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕JJ Schwarz 2022 · AA	26	38	44→45	47→30	44	.195/.260/.302	.108	.268	12	4	31%	8%	54	-1.4	.216/.284/.346	.130	.306	15	4	32%	9%	76	+0.0	.206/.279/.334	.128	.290	16	1	33%	9%	68	-0.3
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA	27	40→38	43→50	47→30	40	.197/.265/.308	.111	.291	11	5	34%	7%	58	-1.2	.199/.260/.292	.093	.305	9	6	35%	7%	51	-1.7	.163/.224/.224	.061	.249	8	0	36%	7%	16	-1.3
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→25	45→55	48→50	35	.184/.240/.304	.120	.279	13	9	38%	5%	46	-2.0	.211/.271/.326	.115	.298	10	10	31%	5%	66	-0.6	.215/.285/.308	.094	.297	6	9	28%	4%	64	-0.2
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→37	45→50	47→50	39	.184/.244/.304	.120	.244	14	10	30%	6%	48	-1.9	.203/.249/.336	.133	.277	16	10	32%	5%	59	-1.1	.205/.254/.334	.129	.270	15	10	29%	5%	57	-0.6
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA	27	41	44→45	44→40	43	.205/.269/.321	.117	.279	11	5	30%	7%	63	-0.9	.216/.284/.361	.145	.260	15	5	23%	8%	80	+0.4	.203/.270/.374	.171	.212	20	2	16%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Jake Lowery 2017 · AA	27	36	43→45	48→30	43	.183/.252/.292	.109	.264	10	5	33%	8%	48	-1.9	.194/.265/.297	.103	.312	9	6	37%	9%	55	-1.4	.125/.205/.184	.059	.260	4	0	49%	9%	0	-1.2
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	36	44→45	46→45	43	.181/.257/.295	.114	.275	12	9	37%	9%	52	-1.6	.181/.267/.319	.138	.277	18	6	38%	10%	63	-0.9	.145/.237/.274	.129	.209	19	3	39%	10%	37	-0.8
✕Angelo Castellano 2022 · AAA	27	38→42	43→45	49→50	40	.196/.249/.299	.103	.256	12	13	28%	6%	49	-1.8	.207/.271/.322	.115	.258	13	13	24%	7%	64	-0.8	.204/.274/.324	.120	.246	14	14	23%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA	27	35→30	47→45	50→45	43	.183/.260/.318	.135	.266	15	9	36%	9%	59	-1.1	.181/.252/.301	.120	.260	14	10	34%	8%	51	-1.7	.130/.207/.227	.097	.172	15	8	34%	8%	11	-2.0
✕Jason Delay 2022 · AAA	27	38	47→45	48→40	33	.198/.238/.325	.127	.287	15	6	36%	4%	50	-1.7	.216/.269/.301	.085	.295	5	5	27%	6%	56	-1.3	.226/.285/.301	.075	.297	3	2	23%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→30	47→50	50	44	.181/.258/.318	.137	.259	15	13	35%	9%	58	-1.2	.189/.267/.321	.132	.273	16	12	35%	9%	63	-0.9	.160/.249/.296	.136	.218	19	12	36%	9%	46	-1.0
✕Alvin Colina 2009 · AAA	27	39	45	45→40	37	.202/.247/.322	.121	.269	14	5	30%	4%	53	-1.5	.213/.264/.338	.125	.283	14	5	29%	5%	65	-0.7	.203/.256/.323	.120	.264	15	2	28%	5%	55	-0.5
✕Hamlet Marte 2021 · AA	27	40	43→45	44→45	39	.198/.255/.304	.106	.297	11	5	36%	7%	52	-1.6	.193/.251/.287	.094	.336	9	7	42%	7%	46	-2.0	.147/.210/.229	.082	.244	10	4	42%	7%	11	-0.9
✕Aaron Schunk 2023 · AA	26	40→43	44→45	48→50	36	.203/.250/.319	.116	.288	12	9	33%	5%	53	-1.5	.216/.261/.332	.116	.297	11	10	30%	5%	62	-0.9	.216/.262/.331	.115	.289	11	10	28%	5%	58	-0.8
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→55	36	.179/.243/.270	.091	.285	8	11	38%	6%	39	-2.5	.186/.268/.305	.119	.285	12	20	36%	9%	59	-1.1	.181/.273/.314	.132	.266	14	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2007 · AAA	28	38	44→45	48→30	43	.197/.260/.308	.111	.260	13	6	29%	7%	56	-1.3	.211/.260/.328	.117	.271	13	5	26%	6%	60	-1.0	.210/.254/.324	.114	.266	12	1	25%	5%	54	-0.6
✕Erick Monzon 2009 · AA	27	38→42	41→45	52→50	43	.193/.246/.292	.100	.253	9	12	27%	7%	45	-2.1	.198/.248/.305	.107	.279	12	12	32%	6%	50	-1.8	.178/.219/.275	.097	.243	15	13	33%	5%	27	-1.0
✕Alex De Goti 2022 · AAA	27	42→46	43→45	49→50	43	.206/.269/.317	.110	.278	10	8	28%	7%	61	-1.0	.201/.276/.293	.092	.275	7	9	27%	9%	59	-1.1	.191/.273/.268	.077	.259	6	10	26%	9%	48	-1.1
✕Dan Conway 2007 · AAA	27	40	42→45	46→30	42	.200/.263/.303	.103	.271	9	5	29%	6%	56	-1.3	.201/.257/.301	.100	.279	10	7	30%	6%	53	-1.5	.154/.214/.214	.061	.218	8	0	32%	5%	10	-1.0
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	38	42→45	43→45	44	.190/.273/.285	.095	.272	10	5	32%	8%	56	-1.3	.226/.321/.370	.144	.293	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	.221/.324/.370	.149	.286	16	11	27%	12%	97	+0.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)