Joe Donovan — OGILVIE

Joe DonovanC Akron RubberDucks

Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .273 / .321

PA11

HR0

K%29

BB%7

ISO113

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A+	Lake County Captains	—	135	115	19	3	1	4	13	46	7	3	0	165	289	313	602	148	231	34	10	281	76	-4	+1	—	—	+3	-0.0
2022	23	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	211	185	37	10	1	6	18	59	6	2	0	200	292	362	654	162	254	28	9	294	85	-4	+0	—	—	+5	0.1
2023	24	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	46	45	13	3	1	0	1	13	0	0	0	289	304	400	704	111	406	28	2	311	97	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	24	A+	Lake County Captains	—	178	158	38	10	1	5	12	49	7	0	0	241	322	411	733	171	314	28	7	327	108	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2024	25	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	27	26	3	1	0	0	1	13	0	0	0	115	148	154	302	38	231	48	4	140	-19	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	135	119	13	2	1	2	9	60	7	3	0	109	215	193	408	84	202	44	7	198	20	-13	+1	—	—	+3	-0.9
2022	23	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	211	191	29	7	1	5	12	85	6	2	0	152	225	277	502	126	221	40	6	214	31	-17	+0	—	—	+5	-1.3
2023	24	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	46	45	12	3	1	0	1	16	0	0	0	267	283	378	660	111	380	35	2	254	58	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	24	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	178	161	30	8	1	4	9	64	7	0	0	186	260	323	583	137	266	36	5	244	51	-10	+0	—	—	+4	-0.7
2024	25	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	27	26	2	1	0	0	1	16	0	0	0	77	111	115	226	38	216	59	4	99	-47	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2021	22	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	135	119	13	2	1	2	9	60	7	3	0	109	215	193	408	84	193	44	7	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	—	135	115	19	3	1	4	13	46	7	3	0	165	289	313	602	148	231	34	10	281	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	211	191	29	7	1	5	12	85	6	2	0	152	225	277	502	126	233	40	6	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	211	185	37	10	1	6	18	59	6	2	0	200	292	362	654	162	254	28	9	294	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	224	207	41	11	1	4	9	81	7	0	0	198	256	319	574	121	301	36	4	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	224	203	51	13	2	5	13	62	7	0	0	251	318	409	727	158	336	28	6	324	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	27	26	2	1	0	0	1	16	0	0	0	77	111	115	226	38	200	59	4	99	-47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	—	27	26	3	1	0	0	1	13	0	0	0	115	148	154	302	38	231	48	4	140	-47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	135	118	13	2	1	2	9	60	7	3	0	110	215	195	410	85	202	44	7	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	211	191	29	7	1	5	12	85	6	2	0	152	225	277	502	126	221	40	6	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	224	206	41	11	1	4	9	81	7	0	0	199	256	320	576	121	289	36	4	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	27	26	2	1	0	0	1	16	0	0	0	77	111	115	226	38	216	59	4	99	-47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	224	206	41	11	1	4	9	81	7	0	0	199	256	320	576	121	289	36	4	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	27	26	2	1	0	0	1	16	0	0	0	77	111	115	226	38	216	59	4	99	-47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	27	MLB MLE	CLE	2%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		284	27	9	270	69	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CLE	27%	207	188	40	8	1	4	15	58	2	3	1	213	278	330	608	117	284	28	7	275	72	-7	+0	-1	+4	+4	0.1
2028	29	MLB MLE	CLE	37%	262	238	51	10	1	5	19	73	3	4	1	214	281	328	609	113	284	28	7	276	73	-8	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2029	30	MLB MLE	CLE	43%	300	272	59	11	2	6	22	83	3	4	1	217	283	338	621	121	283	28	7	276	73	-10	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	CLE	27%	56	51	10	2	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	196	268	294	562	98	283	29	7	265	72	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	CLE	37%	97	89	19	4	0	2	7	27	1	1	0	213	278	326	604	112	283	28	7	267	73	-3	+0	-1	+2	+2	0.0
2029	30	MLB CTX	CLE	43%	129	118	25	5	1	2	9	36	1	2	0	212	273	322	595	110	282	28	7	266	73	-4	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	282	258	54	11	1	5	20	79	3	4	0	209	274	318	592	109	280	28	7	266	56	-9	+1	-2	+5	+6	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	124	25	2	12	46	182	7	9	0	208	273	318	591	109	278	28	7	266	56	-21	+2	-4	+12	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	1377	1251	236	50	7	26	88	459	28	16	3	189	257	302	560	114	272	33	6	250	56	-25	+1	-4	+14	+17	0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	111	24	3	12	42	217	13	8	1	188	257	299	556	112	271	33	6	250	56	-21	+1	-3	+12	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	285	5	4	215	279	332	+5	+4	0.4	0.4
/162	664	13	9	+11.9	+9.3	0.9	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joe Donovan (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	209/273/321	112	284	2	2	29%	7%	69	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA	27	42	44→45	43→40	43	210/274/328	118	283	11	5	29%	7%	70	-0.8	219/287/362	143	261	15	6	21%	8%	83	+0.1	203/270/374	171	212	20	2	16%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Stevie Berman 2022 · AA	27	42	42→45	49→40	49	204/282/305	101	251	9	6	22%	8%	69	-0.9	205/291/317	112	272	11	5	27%	9%	76	-0.4	186/284/295	109	248	12	1	28%	10%	67	-0.4
✕David Sheaffer 2022 · AAA	27	44	42→50	49→40	39	216/260/323	108	296	10	6	30%	5%	63	-1.3	199/252/297	98	292	8	7	33%	6%	55	-2.0	141/196/220	79	214	6	0	36%	5%	15	-1.2
✕Alex De Goti 2022 · AAA	27	43→48	42→45	51→50	44	208/272/316	108	281	8	8	28%	7%	67	-1.1	202/279/294	92	275	7	10	27%	9%	65	-1.2	192/275/269	77	260	6	10	26%	9%	55	-1.1
✕JJ Schwarz 2022 · AA	26	40	43→45	47→30	45	202/266/307	106	274	11	4	30%	8%	63	-1.4	220/287/341	121	307	13	4	31%	8%	78	-0.3	213/285/332	119	296	14	1	31%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Gavin Collins 2022 · AAA	27	40	43→45	44→40	44	202/271/309	107	256	12	6	25%	7%	65	-1.2	215/285/332	117	272	13	6	25%	7%	76	-0.4	204/266/298	94	236	10	3	18%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Brad Cresse 2006 · AAA	28	41	43→45	47→30	44	203/271/323	120	265	10	6	26%	7%	68	-1.0	218/281/348	130	303	14	6	31%	7%	78	-0.3	206/269/329	123	290	16	0	33%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA	27	41→38	42→50	47→30	40	199/266/299	100	293	9	5	34%	7%	61	-1.5	202/262/294	92	302	9	7	34%	7%	57	-1.8	164/225/218	54	247	7	0	35%	7%	24	-1.3
✕Chuckie Robinson 2022 · AA	27	43→53	44→45	46→45	44	213/279/326	113	278	13	8	28%	7%	72	-0.7	227/275/338	111	291	12	7	25%	5%	72	-0.7	225/274/315	90	300	10	4	27%	5%	65	-0.7
✕Jason Delay 2021 · AA	26	41	44→45	49→40	38	208/259/323	115	283	13	6	31%	5%	63	-1.3	205/253/298	93	291	7	5	30%	5%	55	-2.0	228/287/304	76	299	3	2	23%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	39	44→40	50	44	196/280/314	118	270	12	12	31%	8%	70	-0.8	201/290/289	88	281	7	11	29%	9%	68	-1.0	190/279/259	68	265	4	8	27%	9%	56	-0.7
✕Aaron Schunk 2023 · AA	26	40→44	43→45	48→50	37	203/250/316	113	283	11	9	32%	5%	58	-1.7	218/263/335	117	297	11	10	29%	5%	68	-1.0	218/263/335	116	292	11	10	28%	5%	65	-0.9
✕Ryan Ortiz 2014 · AAA	26	40	43→45	45→40	47	199/279/309	110	267	11	4	28%	9%	69	-0.9	206/297/296	90	292	7	5	29%	10%	73	-0.6	185/301/243	58	270	3	0	28%	13%	59	-0.8
✕Angelo Castellano 2022 · AAA	27	39→44	42→45	49→50	41	198/251/294	96	258	11	12	28%	6%	53	-2.1	207/272/315	108	259	12	13	24%	7%	67	-1.1	201/270/309	108	245	12	14	23%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Devin Ivany 2009 · AA	27	45→48	44→50	46→45	40	224/266/336	113	280	12	9	24%	5%	69	-0.9	220/275/345	125	284	13	9	26%	6%	74	-0.5	211/268/330	119	271	12	8	26%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Zack Short 2021 · AAA	26	41→39	46→50	47→45	47	202/290/335	132	294	13	8	33%	10%	78	-0.3	190/285/318	128	262	14	9	31%	11%	74	-0.6	177/277/301	125	240	14	9	31%	11%	65	-0.9
✕Erick Monzon 2009 · AA	27	38→44	41→45	51→50	43	192/246/287	95	253	9	12	27%	7%	50	-2.3	201/251/302	101	282	11	12	31%	6%	55	-1.9	176/217/260	84	242	13	13	32%	5%	31	-1.1
✕Steve Holm 2006 · AA	26	42	42→50	47→40	43	209/269/311	102	266	11	6	25%	6%	65	-1.2	226/294/371	145	273	17	4	23%	7%	88	+0.5	229/305/377	149	268	17	2	21%	8%	90	+0.3
✕Jimmy Govern 2023 · AAA	26	40	45→50	49→45	39	205/249/331	126	254	13	8	25%	4%	61	-1.5	209/262/319	110	263	11	9	24%	5%	63	-1.3	191/247/278	87	234	9	6	22%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Brett Cumberland 2022 · AAA	27	38→40	44→45	47→30	41	184/302/296	112	290	12	5	36%	8%	77	-0.3	211/300/324	113	312	12	7	34%	7%	80	-0.1	205/288/288	83	300	11	0	32%	7%	64	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps