Joe Donovan — OGILVIE

Joe DonovanC Akron RubberDucks

Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .272 / .320

PA136

HR2

K%29

BB%7

ISO112

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	Lake County Captains	—	135	119	14	3	1	2	9	59	7	3	0	118	222	210	432	92	207	44	7	195	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	Lake County Captains	—	135	115	19	3	1	4	13	46	7	3	0	165	289	313	602	148	231	34	10	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	211	191	27	7	0	4	12	87	6	2	0	141	215	241	456	99	225	41	6	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	211	185	37	10	1	6	18	59	6	2	0	200	292	362	654	162	254	28	9	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	2 teams	—	224	206	41	12	1	3	10	80	7	0	0	199	260	311	571	112	306	36	4	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	2 teams	—	224	203	51	13	2	5	13	62	7	0	0	251	318	409	727	158	336	28	6	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	27	26	2	1	0	0	1	17	0	0	0	77	111	115	226	38	222	63	4	91	-72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	27	26	3	1	0	0	1	13	0	0	0	115	148	154	302	38	231	48	4	140	-34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	CLE	—	136	124	26	5	1	2	9	39	2	2	1	210	274	315	589	105	284	29	7	269	64	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	CLE	27%	207	188	40	8	1	4	15	59	2	3	1	213	278	330	608	117	284	29	7	274	68	-8	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.2
2028	29	MLB	CLE	37%	262	238	50	10	1	5	19	74	3	4	1	210	277	324	600	113	284	28	7	276	69	-9	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.2
2029	30	MLB	CLE	43%	300	272	57	11	1	6	22	84	3	4	1	210	276	324	600	114	284	28	7	275	69	-11	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.2
2030	31	MLB	CLE	47%	294	267	55	11	1	5	22	83	3	3	1	206	274	311	585	105	281	28	7	273	67	-11	+0	-3	+5	+8	-0.0
2027	28	MLB	CLE	27%	56	51	10	2	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	196	268	294	562	98	285	29	7	265	61	-2	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	29	MLB	CLE	37%	97	89	20	4	1	2	7	27	1	1	0	225	289	360	648	135	285	28	7	267	63	-4	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.0
2029	30	MLB	CLE	43%	129	118	25	5	1	2	9	36	1	2	0	212	273	322	595	110	284	28	7	267	63	-5	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.0
2030	31	MLB	CLE	47%	137	124	27	5	1	3	10	39	2	2	0	218	287	347	634	129	282	28	7	264	61	-6	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	419	382	82	16	3	8	30	118	5	6	0	215	281	335	616	120	287	28	7	266	62	-18	+1	-3	+7	+12	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	127	25	5	12	47	183	8	9	0	214	281	334	615	120	287	28	7	266	62	-28	+2	-5	+12	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	1796	1631	312	68	7	31	119	582	33	21	5	191	260	299	559	107	274	32	7	255	53	-94	+2	-7	+32	+51	-1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	114	25	3	11	43	211	12	8	2	193	262	302	563	108	278	32	7	255	53	-34	+1	-3	+12	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	Lake County Captains	—	135	115	19	3	1	4	13	46	7	3	165	289	313	602	148	231	34	10	281	73	-4	+1	—	—	+4	0.0
2022	23	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	211	185	37	10	1	6	18	59	6	2	200	292	362	654	162	254	28	9	294	83	-4	+0	—	—	+6	0.2
2023	24	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	46	45	13	3	1	0	1	13	0	0	289	304	400	704	111	406	28	2	311	96	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	24	A+	Lake County Captains	—	178	158	38	10	1	5	12	49	7	0	241	322	411	733	171	314	28	7	327	109	+2	+0	—	—	+5	0.7
2024	25	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	27	26	3	1	0	0	1	13	0	0	115	148	154	302	38	231	48	4	140	-34	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	422	8	6	214	278	330	+8	+8	0.4	0.4
	/162	664	13	9	214	278	330	+11.9	+12.6	0.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joe Donovan (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	209/272/320	111	284	2	2	29%	7%	64	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alex De Goti 2022 · AAA	27	43→47	43→45	51→50	44	212/275/327	115	284	10	8	28%	7%	66	-0.6	204/281/300	96	277	8	10	27%	9%	63	-0.9	195/278/275	80	264	6	10	26%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA	27	40	43→45	43→40	42	200/265/312	112	284	10	5	32%	7%	59	-1.1	218/285/362	144	262	15	6	22%	8%	81	+0.4	201/267/376	175	208	21	2	16%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Stevie Berman 2022 · AA	27	41	42→50	49→40	49	203/284/306	102	254	10	6	23%	8%	66	-0.6	210/295/336	126	275	13	5	27%	9%	79	+0.3	195/291/323	129	254	15	1	28%	10%	72	-0.1
✕Gavin Collins 2022 · AAA	27	41	45→50	44→40	44	208/276/324	116	260	13	6	25%	7%	67	-0.5	222/290/349	127	278	15	6	25%	7%	79	+0.3	211/275/318	107	244	12	3	18%	6%	62	-0.3
✕Joe Dunand 2023 · AAA	27	38→48	45→50	49→45	38	191/257/314	123	290	13	8	37%	7%	56	-1.3	228/296/385	157	320	18	8	33%	7%	91	+1.1	238/312/416	178	325	22	4	32%	8%	102	+1.2
✕Justin Knoedler 2007 · AAA	27	44	41→45	47→45	40	213/265/315	102	291	7	9	28%	6%	59	-1.1	201/248/329	128	273	12	9	30%	5%	56	-1.3	183/233/321	137	245	13	8	30%	5%	46	-1.0
✕Grayson Greiner 2020 · MLB	27	42	45	45→30	45	212/276/331	119	282	13	3	29%	8%	68	-0.5	203/266/324	121	314	14	4	37%	7%	63	-0.9	179/245/267	88	331	10	1	45%	7%	36	-0.9
✕JJ Schwarz 2022 · AA	26	38	46→50	47→30	44	198/261/319	121	270	14	4	32%	8%	59	-1.1	219/286/363	144	306	18	4	32%	8%	81	+0.4	211/283/356	145	291	19	1	33%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→38	46→50	46→45	51	190/285/315	126	261	13	9	31%	11%	69	-0.4	190/284/317	127	263	14	10	31%	11%	69	-0.4	173/272/299	126	234	15	8	31%	11%	58	-0.7
✕Andrew Susac 2017 · MLB	27	41→40	47→50	47→30	43	210/272/345	135	276	15	3	29%	7%	70	-0.3	196/269/337	141	275	17	5	33%	9%	68	-0.5	165/254/305	140	229	19	0	35%	10%	53	-0.5
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	39	43→45	44→45	46	197/280/304	107	271	12	5	30%	8%	64	-0.8	229/320/373	144	297	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	224/323/376	152	290	16	11	26%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Coco Montes 2023 · AAA	26	39→43	47→50	51→50	41	200/265/338	138	281	14	10	33%	7%	66	-0.6	219/284/347	128	316	13	10	33%	8%	76	+0.0	220/284/337	117	317	11	9	32%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Brad Cresse 2006 · AAA	28	41	43→50	47→30	43	202/267/321	119	264	10	6	27%	7%	63	-0.9	218/278/353	135	306	15	6	32%	7%	75	-0.0	206/269/340	134	293	18	0	35%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Angelo Castellano 2022 · AAA	27	38→47	44→45	49→50	40	196/248/301	105	255	13	12	28%	6%	48	-1.9	209/272/329	120	259	14	13	24%	7%	66	-0.6	205/273/329	124	247	15	14	23%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA	27	42→37	44→55	47→30	39	204/270/318	113	301	11	5	34%	7%	63	-0.9	201/258/295	94	304	9	7	35%	7%	51	-1.7	159/216/216	58	242	7	0	36%	6%	10	-1.4
✕Erick Monzon 2009 · AA	27	38→43	41→45	51→50	43	191/245/290	98	255	9	12	28%	7%	43	-2.2	201/251/308	107	284	12	12	32%	6%	51	-1.7	178/220/273	94	244	15	13	33%	5%	26	-1.0
✕Adam Fox 2009 · AAA	27	43→44	44→50	50→45	43	216/267/332	116	267	12	8	24%	6%	64	-0.8	207/254/344	137	259	16	9	26%	5%	62	-0.9	194/237/339	145	237	18	7	27%	4%	50	-0.8
✕Eric Stamets 2019 · AAA	27	40→50	44→45	52→50	39	201/255/315	114	269	11	11	29%	5%	55	-1.4	196/250/303	107	274	10	14	31%	6%	50	-1.8	165/229/265	100	235	10	16	33%	6%	28	-1.3
✕Devin Ivany 2009 · AA	27	45→48	44→50	46→45	40	224/266/340	117	281	13	9	25%	5%	66	-0.6	220/274/349	129	286	14	9	27%	6%	72	-0.2	211/267/335	124	273	13	8	27%	6%	63	-0.3
✕Jake Kahaulelio 2012 · AA	27	42→43	44→45	45	45	209/272/323	114	256	11	6	23%	6%	65	-0.7	213/288/314	101	260	8	11	20%	7%	69	-0.4	192/299/242	50	227	0	23	13%	9%	56	-0.2