Kelvin Diaz — OGILVIE

Kelvin Diaz2B Salem Red Sox

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 148 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .253 / .301

PA148

HR3

K%37

BB%7

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20↗25

PWR

39↗44

SPD

63↗68

EYE

39↗44

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.0peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$-16M	-$19M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL BOS Red	163	146	25	3	1	1	8	56	7	13	6	.171	.248	.226	.474	.055	.264	34	5	.210	19	-15	+0	+0	+1	+5	-1.0
2022	19	ROK	DSL BOS Blue	207	183	29	6	3	5	11	78	10	20	3	.158	.245	.306	.551	.148	.233	38	5	.236	39	-14	+3	+0	+1	+6	-0.5
2023	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	178	150	21	2	1	2	21	71	5	21	4	.140	.267	.207	.474	.067	.244	40	12	.223	29	-14	+3	+0	+1	+5	-0.6
2024	21	ROK	2 teams	244	225	37	10	1	2	11	115	4	28	4	.164	.217	.244	.461	.080	.312	47	5	.208	17	-23	+4	+0	+1	+7	-1.1
2025	22	A	2 teams	157	147	17	4	0	4	8	67	1	10	4	.116	.167	.224	.391	.109	.169	43	5	.170	-12	-20	+0	+0	+1	+4	-1.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	BOS	148	135	26	5	1	3	11	54	1	4	1	.193	.259	.311	.570	.119	.284	36	7	.253	51	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB 10%	BOS	219	198	39	8	1	5	17	76	2	6	1	.197	.267	.323	.591	.126	.285	35	8	.264	60	-10	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
2028	25	MLB 25%	BOS	305	275	55	11	1	7	24	103	3	8	2	.200	.272	.324	.595	.124	.287	34	8	.272	66	-12	+1	+0	+1	+9	-0.1
2029	26	MLB 42%	BOS	363	327	67	13	2	9	30	121	3	10	2	.205	.278	.339	.617	.135	.288	33	8	.276	69	-13	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.0
2030	27	MLB 58%	BOS	392	353	72	14	2	10	32	130	4	11	3	.204	.278	.340	.618	.136	.288	33	8	.277	70	-13	+1	+0	+1	+11	0.0
2031	28	MLB 75%	BOS	409	368	75	15	2	10	34	136	4	11	3	.204	.278	.337	.615	.133	.287	33	8	.276	69	-14	+1	-1	+1	+12	-0.1
2032	29	MLB 93%	BOS	412	370	75	15	2	10	35	138	4	11	2	.203	.279	.335	.614	.132	.286	33	8	.274	68	-15	+1	-1	+1	+12	-0.2
2033	30	MLB	BOS	411	369	74	14	2	10	35	139	4	10	2	.201	.277	.331	.608	.130	.285	34	9	.271	65	-16	+1	-2	+1	+12	-0.4
2034	31	MLB	BOS	401	360	70	14	1	9	34	137	4	9	2	.194	.271	.314	.585	.119	.283	34	8	.267	63	-17	+1	-3	+1	+11	-0.6
2035	32	MLB	BOS	385	347	66	13	1	8	32	134	3	8	1	.190	.264	.303	.567	.112	.281	35	8	.262	59	-18	+1	-4	+1	+11	-0.8
2036	33	MLB	BOS	358	322	60	12	1	7	30	127	3	7	1	.186	.262	.295	.557	.109	.280	35	8	.257	55	-18	+1	-4	+1	+10	-1.0
2037	34	MLB	BOS	315	283	52	10	1	6	26	114	3	7	0	.184	.260	.290	.549	.106	.278	36	8	.251	50	-18	+1	-5	+1	+9	-1.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5067	4558	860	169	23	108	399	1796	65	194	41	.189	.264	.307	.571	.118	.280	35	8	.257	55	-258	+22	-20	+18	+144	-9.5
/ 162G	—			650	585	111	22	3	14	51	230	8	25	5	.190	.264	.309	.573	.120	.281	35	8	.257	55	-33	+3	-3	+2	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL BOS Red	163	141	33	5	2	2	13	39	7	13	6	.234	.329	.340	.670	.106	.304	24	8	.305	92	-2	+0	—	—	+5	0.3
2022	19	ROK	DSL BOS Blue	207	178	43	12	4	6	16	55	10	20	3	.242	.338	.455	.793	.213	.308	27	8	.347	124	+6	+3	—	—	+6	1.5
2023	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	178	137	29	4	2	2	34	49	5	21	4	.212	.386	.314	.700	.102	.310	28	19	.331	112	+2	+3	—	—	+5	1.0
2024	21	A	Salem Red Sox	109	103	22	8	1	1	6	41	0	8	2	.214	.257	.340	.597	.126	.344	38	6	.266	62	-5	+1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2024	21	ROK	FCL Red Sox	135	114	34	10	0	2	13	39	4	20	2	.298	.389	.439	.828	.140	.416	29	10	.362	135	+5	+3	—	—	+4	1.3
2025	22	A+	Greenville Drive	36	32	2	1	0	0	4	15	0	1	0	.062	.167	.094	.260	.031	.118	42	11	.138	-36	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	22	A	Salem Red Sox	121	108	19	4	0	4	10	32	1	9	4	.176	.250	.324	.574	.148	.205	26	8	.257	55	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kelvin Diaz (OGILVIE)	23	20→25	39→44	63→68	44	.187/.253/.301	.114	.284	3	4	37%	7%	51	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2022 · A	23	43	41→40	57→60	40	.203/.269/.298	.096	.321	9	24	38%	7%	56	-1.3	.188/.271/.269	.081	.305	6	20	37%	9%	51	-1.7	.098/.228/.122	.024	.176	0	28	38%	12%	-2	-1.2
✕Joe Gray Jr. 2023 · A	23	32→34	48→45	56→50	38	.172/.245/.314	.141	.270	16	14	40%	7%	52	-1.6	.176/.233/.278	.102	.269	11	14	37%	6%	37	-2.7	.175/.218/.259	.084	.253	10	14	34%	4%	22	-2.9
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	39→42	43→45	58→60	44	.194/.275/.303	.109	.285	11	30	34%	8%	61	-1.0	.204/.277/.322	.118	.283	12	35	30%	8%	67	-0.5	.200/.273/.320	.120	.271	12	40	29%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Billy Cook 2023 · A	24	36→42	48→50	56→55	32	.184/.238/.325	.140	.293	16	19	41%	5%	51	-1.7	.204/.262/.347	.143	.288	18	22	34%	6%	67	-0.5	.205/.267/.345	.140	.279	18	23	32%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	42→30	38→45	56→50	41	.197/.266/.279	.082	.311	5	16	36%	8%	50	-1.7	.214/.271/.343	.129	.318	13	13	35%	6%	69	-0.4	.203/.261/.318	.115	.298	12	16	35%	6%	54	-0.8
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	40→38	47→50	54→55	43	.202/.274/.341	.139	.273	14	17	31%	7%	71	-0.3	.192/.270/.316	.124	.268	13	17	31%	8%	63	-0.9	.166/.251/.266	.100	.225	10	19	29%	8%	40	-1.3
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A	22	36	48→50	54→50	37	.191/.251/.335	.144	.272	16	14	35%	6%	59	-1.1	.202/.261/.344	.142	.302	17	13	37%	7%	66	-0.6	.180/.244/.304	.124	.276	15	12	39%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Jordyn Adams 2023 · AA	23	40→41	38→45	57→60	36	.188/.243/.264	.076	.303	6	23	38%	6%	36	-2.7	.199/.258/.305	.106	.306	10	30	36%	7%	53	-1.5	.194/.256/.310	.116	.294	12	32	36%	7%	52	-1.3
✕Jason Kanzler 2014 · A	23	39→49	40→45	57→55	34	.188/.238/.285	.097	.307	7	13	39%	6%	40	-2.4	.204/.256/.312	.108	.330	9	17	39%	5%	54	-1.4	.199/.254/.311	.112	.319	10	20	39%	4%	51	-1.2
✕Travis Witherspoon 2012 · A	23	41→47	43→45	56→55	37	.207/.252/.311	.104	.290	11	21	32%	5%	52	-1.6	.213/.268/.332	.119	.287	13	23	29%	7%	65	-0.7	.206/.266/.332	.126	.273	14	25	29%	7%	60	-0.8
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	41	39→45	53→50	39	.193/.262/.274	.080	.300	7	13	36%	7%	48	-1.9	.208/.307/.328	.120	.294	12	12	31%	10%	82	+0.5	.212/.315/.318	.105	.301	9	14	29%	10%	80	+0.2
✕Braulio Vasquez 2022 · A	23	40	40	54→65	40	.192/.269/.282	.090	.299	8	28	36%	7%	53	-1.5	.216/.284/.315	.099	.302	7	27	29%	7%	67	-0.5	.225/.290/.320	.095	.304	4	32	25%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Bradlee Beesley 2022 · AA	24	41	44→50	54→60	37	.199/.259/.318	.119	.313	12	19	38%	6%	58	-1.2	.202/.269/.329	.127	.302	12	25	35%	7%	66	-0.6	.193/.269/.328	.135	.286	12	34	35%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→40	44→45	54→55	35	.194/.253/.305	.111	.299	13	14	38%	6%	52	-1.6	.200/.252/.326	.126	.285	15	18	34%	5%	57	-1.2	.198/.249/.325	.127	.276	15	22	33%	5%	52	-1.2
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	38→43	48→50	57→55	45	.200/.272/.345	.145	.264	16	19	30%	8%	71	-0.3	.213/.284/.353	.140	.278	16	18	28%	8%	78	+0.2	.213/.283/.350	.137	.276	16	17	28%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Alerick Soularie 2022 · A	23	44	42→45	54→60	45	.209/.287/.315	.106	.311	10	14	34%	9%	69	-0.4	.196/.278/.313	.117	.292	12	21	34%	9%	66	-0.6	.179/.268/.293	.114	.262	13	29	34%	9%	54	-0.6
✕Brewer Hicklen 2019 · A	23	43→41	48→55	57→60	33	.213/.266/.356	.144	.321	16	22	38%	5%	71	-0.3	.210/.273/.352	.142	.325	17	27	39%	6%	72	-0.2	.193/.279/.373	.180	.281	22	38	37%	8%	79	+0.2
✕Clay Fuller 2010 · A	23	44→46	42→45	56→55	46	.208/.289/.317	.109	.297	9	20	31%	9%	70	-0.3	.210/.272/.325	.115	.292	12	17	31%	7%	65	-0.7	.206/.260/.324	.118	.278	15	16	31%	5%	56	-0.8
✕Kenedy Corona 2023 · A	23	42→40	47→50	53→55	39	.213/.268/.348	.136	.294	15	21	32%	6%	69	-0.4	.201/.263/.323	.122	.283	13	24	32%	7%	61	-1.0	.187/.253/.290	.103	.264	10	27	32%	7%	45	-1.5
✕Jorge Mateo 2019 · AAA	24	39→46	42→50	60→65	36	.194/.237/.305	.111	.282	8	28	33%	5%	43	-2.2	.207/.246/.327	.120	.299	10	22	33%	4%	53	-1.5	.217/.264/.366	.149	.272	14	44	25%	5%	70	-0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)