Kelvin Diaz — OGILVIE

Kelvin Diaz2B Salem Red Sox

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 148 lbs A HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 148 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .247 / .298

PA12

HR0

K%29

BB%6

ISO105

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

EYE44

scouting grade only

SPEED68

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL BOS Red	—	163	141	33	5	2	2	13	39	7	13	6	234	329	340	670	106	304	24	8	305	93	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.2
2022	19	ROK	DSL BOS Blue	—	207	178	43	12	4	6	16	55	10	20	3	242	338	455	793	213	308	27	8	347	121	+5	+3	—	—	+4	1.3
2023	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	178	137	29	4	2	2	34	49	5	21	4	212	386	314	700	102	310	28	19	331	110	+2	+3	—	—	+4	0.9
2024	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	109	103	22	8	1	1	6	41	0	8	2	214	257	340	597	126	344	38	6	266	66	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	21	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	135	114	34	10	0	2	13	39	4	20	2	298	389	439	828	140	416	29	10	362	131	+5	+3	—	—	+3	1.1
2025	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	36	32	2	1	0	0	4	15	0	1	0	62	167	94	260	31	118	42	11	138	-20	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	22	A	Salem Red Sox	—	121	108	19	4	0	4	10	32	1	9	4	176	250	324	574	148	205	26	8	257	60	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Red	—	163	146	24	3	1	1	8	56	7	13	6	164	242	219	461	55	251	34	5	211	29	-14	+0	—	—	+4	-1.0
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	207	184	30	7	3	5	10	78	10	20	3	163	245	315	560	152	222	38	5	233	44	-14	+3	—	—	+4	-0.7
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	178	150	21	2	1	2	21	71	5	21	4	140	267	207	474	67	245	40	12	223	37	-13	+3	—	—	+4	-0.7
2024	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	109	105	13	4	0	1	4	61	0	8	2	124	156	190	346	67	296	56	4	157	-8	-14	+1	—	—	+2	-1.1
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	135	119	24	6	0	2	8	55	4	20	2	202	275	303	577	101	305	41	6	246	53	-8	+3	—	—	+3	-0.2
2025	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	36	33	2	1	0	0	3	21	0	1	0	61	139	91	230	30	99	58	8	83	-58	-7	+0	—	—	+1	-0.6
2025	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	121	113	16	3	0	4	6	47	1	9	4	142	192	274	466	133	182	39	5	196	19	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Red	—	163	146	24	3	1	1	8	56	7	13	6	164	242	219	461	55	253	34	5	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL BOS Red	—	163	141	33	5	2	2	13	39	7	13	6	234	329	340	670	106	304	24	8	305	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	207	184	30	7	3	5	10	78	10	20	3	163	245	315	560	152	240	38	5	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL BOS Blue	—	207	178	43	12	4	6	16	55	10	20	3	242	338	455	793	213	308	27	8	347	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	178	150	21	2	1	2	21	71	5	21	4	140	267	207	474	67	244	40	12	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	178	137	29	4	2	2	34	49	5	21	4	212	386	314	700	102	310	28	19	331	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	244	225	36	10	0	2	11	116	4	28	4	160	212	231	444	71	306	48	5	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	244	217	56	18	1	3	19	80	4	28	4	258	329	392	721	134	384	33	8	319	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	157	146	17	4	0	4	9	68	1	10	4	116	173	226	399	110	173	43	6	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	157	140	21	5	0	4	14	47	1	10	4	150	231	271	502	121	189	30	9	230	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Red	—	163	147	24	3	1	1	8	56	7	13	6	163	242	218	460	54	251	34	5	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	207	185	30	7	3	5	10	78	10	20	3	162	245	314	559	151	222	38	5	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	178	150	21	2	1	2	21	71	5	21	4	140	267	207	474	67	245	40	12	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	244	227	36	10	0	2	11	116	4	28	4	159	212	229	442	70	301	48	5	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	157	146	17	4	0	4	9	68	1	10	4	116	173	226	399	110	163	43	6	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	178	150	21	2	1	2	21	71	5	21	4	140	267	207	474	67	245	40	12	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	244	227	36	10	0	2	11	116	4	28	4	159	212	229	442	70	301	48	5	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	157	146	17	4	0	4	9	68	1	10	4	116	173	226	399	110	163	43	6	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	12	11	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	91	167	91	258		261	25	8	247	54	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BOS	30%	219	202	40	8	1	4	13	62	2	6	2	198	253	307	560	109	265	28	6	259	61	-10	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.4
2028	25	MLB MLE	BOS	44%	305	279	57	12	1	6	20	84	3	8	2	204	265	319	584	115	267	28	7	266	66	-12	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	BOS	51%	363	333	70	14	2	8	24	99	3	10	3	210	269	336	606	126	268	27	7	269	68	-14	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.4
2027	24	MLB CTX	BOS	30%	66	61	12	3	0	1	4	19	1	2	0	197	258	295	553	98	270	29	6	255	61	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	BOS	44%	135	124	26	5	1	3	9	37	1	4	1	210	269	339	607	129	273	27	7	261	66	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	BOS	51%	184	168	36	7	1	4	12	50	2	5	1	214	275	339	614	125	274	27	7	265	68	-7	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	385	353	74	15	2	8	25	106	4	11	2	210	270	331	601	122	274	28	6	262	46	-15	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	125	25	3	14	42	179	7	19	3	210	270	332	602	122	273	28	6	262	46	-26	+2	+0	+2	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	1848	1676	296	60	9	32	117	637	35	116	28	177	245	280	526	104	258	34	6	237	46	-37	+2	+0	+3	+19	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	104	21	3	11	41	224	12	41	10	176	244	278	522	102	258	34	6	237	46	-27	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.8	533	11	14	204	259	321	+2	+2	-0.5	-0.3
/162	664	13	17	+2.4	+2.5	-0.7	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kelvin Diaz (OGILVIE)	23	20→25	39→44	63→68	44	193/247/298	105	261	3	4	29%	6%	54	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	35	40→45	53→50	34	179/213/275	95	257	7	9	33%	4%	34	-3.5	216/264/299	83	296	5	9	27%	6%	59	-1.7	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Mycal Jones 2010 · A	23	40→47	41→45	55	42	196/253/300	105	266	6	14	28%	6%	56	-1.9	207/263/315	108	278	9	15	28%	6%	63	-1.3	224/284/303	79	284	5	24	22%	7%	65	-0.7
✕John Rhodes 2023 · AA	22	43→35	41→45	58→50	48	207/287/310	103	275	7	16	26%	8%	72	-0.7	186/253/287	101	260	10	9	31%	7%	53	-2.1	169/236/259	90	237	10	7	31%	7%	38	-2.3
✕Jordyn Adams 2023 · AA	23	40→41	38→45	58→60	36	191/246/266	75	303	5	24	37%	6%	45	-2.7	199/258/305	106	305	10	29	36%	7%	59	-1.7	188/249/290	102	288	11	26	37%	7%	50	-1.3
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	38→43	43→45	59→60	43	188/270/295	107	285	11	31	36%	8%	62	-1.4	205/277/320	115	284	11	35	30%	8%	70	-0.9	202/274/318	116	272	11	40	28%	8%	66	-0.7
✕Max George 2019 · A	23	35→38	44→45	53→55	44	180/263/295	115	240	11	20	29%	7%	60	-1.6	190/276/300	110	283	11	20	34%	8%	66	-1.1	150/259/288	138	250	17	20	43%	10%	55	-0.8
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	39	42→50	54→45	41	191/254/290	99	287	9	12	35%	8%	54	-2.0	206/269/313	107	301	10	9	33%	8%	65	-1.2	165/225/251	86	232	8	0	31%	7%	32	-0.7
✕Jason Kanzler 2014 · A	23	38→47	40→45	58→55	34	185/234/283	98	302	7	14	40%	5%	45	-2.7	199/252/305	106	327	9	17	40%	5%	57	-1.8	193/248/302	108	317	10	20	40%	4%	52	-1.5
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2022 · A	23	43	41→40	58→60	40	200/268/296	96	321	9	25	38%	8%	61	-1.5	190/273/273	83	305	6	19	36%	9%	58	-1.7	99/228/124	25	174	0	28	37%	12%	10	-1.1
✕David Kandilas 2014 · A	23	45→44	39→45	55	45	215/276/305	90	284	7	19	26%	7%	65	-1.2	211/272/308	97	279	7	16	25%	7%	65	-1.2	197/260/302	106	254	7	17	24%	6%	56	-1.2
✕Jose Torres 2023 · A	23	39→32	44→45	55	37	200/244/312	113	275	13	20	32%	5%	55	-1.9	181/235/275	94	279	10	15	37%	6%	43	-2.8	169/223/267	97	259	12	14	38%	5%	35	-1.7
✕Travis Witherspoon 2012 · A	23	42→47	43→45	56→55	37	207/252/311	104	292	11	22	32%	5%	57	-1.8	214/269/335	121	287	13	23	29%	7%	70	-0.9	209/269/335	126	275	14	25	28%	7%	67	-0.9
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	40→38	47→50	54→55	44	202/275/339	137	273	14	17	30%	8%	74	-0.6	192/271/310	118	266	11	17	30%	8%	66	-1.1	166/252/265	99	226	9	19	29%	8%	47	-1.4
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→40	44→50	55	35	194/253/305	111	300	12	14	38%	6%	57	-1.8	201/254/323	122	287	13	19	34%	5%	61	-1.5	203/254/335	133	288	14	24	34%	5%	62	-0.9
✕Michael O'Neill 2015 · A	23	43	42→45	56→55	37	208/262/309	102	301	10	22	33%	5%	61	-1.5	203/250/300	97	294	8	17	32%	5%	55	-2.0	211/262/319	109	303	10	22	32%	5%	61	-1.1
✕Michael Sandle 2023 · A	24	43→41	42→45	56→50	39	209/265/318	109	293	10	16	31%	5%	64	-1.3	190/248/291	101	281	10	14	34%	6%	52	-2.2	150/209/240	91	222	10	16	36%	5%	24	-2.8
✕Taylor Lewis 2014 · A	24	38	39→45	61→55	35	185/232/279	94	288	5	18	36%	5%	42	-2.9	203/247/293	90	294	6	17	31%	5%	51	-2.3	211/234/280	69	277	5	26	26%	2%	39	-0.8
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	44→29	38→45	57→50	41	201/270/281	80	317	5	16	36%	8%	58	-1.7	210/268/333	123	318	12	13	36%	6%	69	-0.9	199/258/307	108	299	12	16	35%	6%	56	-1.0
✕Billy Cook 2023 · A	24	36→42	47→50	57→55	33	182/239/318	135	298	14	20	42%	5%	55	-1.9	203/262/336	133	286	15	22	33%	6%	68	-1.0	207/271/333	126	286	14	25	31%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Cody Rogers 2012 · A	23	39→41	44→45	56→50	41	195/256/313	117	263	11	16	29%	6%	60	-1.6	203/262/296	93	297	7	16	32%	6%	58	-1.7	193/253/268	75	294	4	19	34%	6%	47	-1.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps