Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026
19
MIXMLE
2 levels
16
11
52
225
65
24
11
69%
3.3
20.6%
12.8%
7.7%
6.4%
5.16
6.52
—
2026
19
MIXMLE
2 levels
16
11
52
225
65
24
11
69%
3.3
20.6%
12.8%
7.7%
6.4%
5.16
6.52
—
2026
19
MIXRAW
2 levels
16
11
52
225
65
24
11
69%
3.3
28.9%
10.7%
18.2%
4.9%
5.16
4.72
—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
20
MLB
TOR
8
8
37
156
33
19
5
100%
4.6
21.3%
12.2%
9.1%
3.4%
5.09
5.09
-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
21
MLBMLE
TOR
10
10
50
209
46
23
7
100%
5.0
21.9%
11.1%
10.8%
3.3%
4.91
4.84
+0.0
2029
22
MLBMLE
TOR
10
10
52
220
50
22
7
100%
5.2
22.9%
10.1%
12.8%
3.2%
4.70
4.59
+0.2
2030
23
MLBMLE
TOR
10
10
54
228
54
22
7
100%
5.4
23.6%
9.5%
14.2%
3.2%
4.53
4.42
+0.3
2031
24
MLBMLE
TOR
10
10
55
233
56
21
7
100%
5.5
24.2%
9.1%
15.1%
3.1%
4.39
4.30
+0.4
2032
25
MLBMLE
TOR
10
10
56
236
58
21
7
100%
5.6
24.6%
8.8%
15.7%
3.1%
4.30
4.23
+0.4
2033
26
MLBMLE
TOR
9
9
56
236
59
21
7
100%
6.2
24.8%
8.8%
16.0%
3.1%
4.25
4.21
+0.5
2034
27
MLBMLE
TOR
9
9
55
233
58
21
7
100%
6.1
24.7%
8.9%
15.9%
3.2%
4.25
4.25
+0.4
2028
21
MLBCTX
TOR
5
5
24
101
22
11
3
100%
4.8
21.9%
11.1%
10.8%
3.3%
4.91
4.84
+0.0
2029
22
MLBCTX
TOR
7
7
38
160
37
16
5
100%
5.4
22.9%
10.1%
12.8%
3.2%
4.70
4.59
+0.1
2030
23
MLBCTX
TOR
9
9
46
194
46
18
6
100%
5.1
23.6%
9.5%
14.2%
3.2%
4.53
4.42
+0.3
2031
24
MLBCTX
TOR
9
9
49
207
50
19
6
100%
5.4
24.2%
9.1%
15.1%
3.1%
4.39
4.30
+0.3
2032
25
MLBCTX
TOR
9
9
51
215
53
19
7
100%
5.7
24.6%
8.8%
15.7%
3.1%
4.30
4.23
+0.4
2033
26
MLBCTX
TOR
9
9
52
220
54
19
7
100%
5.8
24.8%
8.8%
16.0%
3.1%
4.25
4.21
+0.4
2034
27
MLBCTX
TOR
9
9
52
220
54
19
7
100%
5.8
24.7%
8.9%
15.9%
3.2%
4.25
4.25
+0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
56
56
313
1322
317
123
42
100%
5.6
24.0%
9.3%
14.7%
3.2%
4.43
3.98
+3.4
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
36
36
200
844
202
79
27
100%
5.6
24.0%
9.3%
14.7%
3.2%
4.43
3.98
+2.2
Career
—
MLE
16
11
52
225
46
29
14
69%
3.3
20.6%
12.8%
7.7%
6.4%
5.16
6.52
+2.2
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
61
42
200
860
177
110
55
69%
3.3
20.6%
12.8%
7.7%
6.4%
5.16
6.52
+1.2
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.