Jack Goodman — OGILVIE

Jack GoodmanSS Lakeland Flying Tigers

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 185 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION255 act + 170 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†36

AVG/OBP/SLG.171 / .250 / .250

PA170

HR2

K%35

BB%8

BABIP264

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	52	43	12	3	1	1	8	11	1	4	1	279	404	465	869	186	355	21	15	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	52	42	14	3	1	1	9	8	1	4	1	333	462	524	985	190	394	15	17	437	192	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	DET	—	255	228	33	5	0	2	20	104	3	8	3	145	223	193	416	48	246	41	8	193	6	-27	+0	+0	+3	+7	-1.7
YTD	22	A	DET	—	255	220	41	6	0	2	27	73	3	8	3	186	283	241	524	55	262	29	11	246	47	-15	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.5
ROS	22	A	DET	0%	170	152	26	4	1	2	14	60	2	4	1	171	250	250	500	79	260	35	8	232	36	-12	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.5
ROS	22	MLB	DET	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		256	—	—	221	27	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	DET	—	255	229	33	5	0	2	20	104	3	8	3	144	223	192	415	48	244	41	8	193	6	-27	+0	+0	+3	+7	-1.7
TOT	22	A	DET	—	425	380	59	9	1	4	34	164	5	12	4	155	234	216	450	61	253	39	8	209	18	-39	+1	+0	+5	+12	-2.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	DET	34%	323	290	52	9	1	5	27	109	3	6	2	179	256	269	525	90	267	34	8	245	46	-20	+0	+0	+3	+9	-0.7
2027	23	MLB	DET	34%	111	100	18	3	0	2	9	38	1	2	1	180	255	270	525	90	263	34	8	234	37	-8	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	111	101	18	3	0	2	9	38	1	2	1	178	255	267	522	89	258	34	8	234	37	-8	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	106	18	0	12	53	223	6	12	6	179	256	271	527	91	260	34	8	234	37	-46	+0	+0	+7	+18	-2.1
Career	—			—	545	485	90	16	3	8	49	180	6	14	4	186	269	280	549	95	273	33	9	253	52	-30	+1	+0	+6	+15	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	108	19	4	10	58	215	7	17	5	187	269	285	554	99	275	33	9	253	52	-36	+1	+0	+7	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	52	42	14	3	1	1	9	8	1	4	1	333	462	524	985	190	394	15	17	437	192	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	249	4	5	185	262	281	+3	+3	-0.4	-0.2
	/162	664	10	12	185	262	281	+7.1	+8.0	-1.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Goodman (OGILVIE)	22	20→25	34→39	51→56	58	155/234/216	61	253	4	12	39%	8%	18	-2.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Pavolony 2022 · A	22	41	40	52→40	47	195/280/291	95	299	8	10	34%	10%	59	-1.1	174/265/262	88	297	8	6	40%	10%	47	-1.9	140/237/215	74	241	7	2	40%	10%	21	-1.5
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→29	42→45	49→50	44	189/258/299	110	261	8	12	30%	8%	53	-1.5	172/250/256	84	262	6	9	34%	9%	38	-2.6	154/242/228	74	235	5	8	33%	9%	26	-2.0
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	40	41→50	51→55	42	193/268/296	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	56	-1.3	205/269/314	109	292	8	12	30%	6%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Osiris Johnson 2023 · A	22	36	41→45	51→50	39	186/239/277	91	257	10	9	31%	6%	38	-2.6	194/242/295	101	272	11	14	32%	5%	44	-2.1	178/225/278	100	246	13	18	33%	5%	29	-1.2
✕Max George 2018 · A	22	37→36	41→45	50→55	44	184/260/281	97	244	8	15	27%	7%	50	-1.8	178/258/271	93	255	8	20	32%	7%	46	-2.0	135/238/252	117	208	13	25	39%	8%	32	-1.5
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	38→45	53→50	47	187/270/270	84	274	5	15	31%	9%	51	-1.7	185/255/279	94	336	7	13	43%	8%	46	-2.0	134/194/209	75	291	5	16	52%	6%	-1	-1.8
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A	22	40→24	40	51→55	42	188/270/283	95	293	7	14	35%	8%	54	-1.4	158/251/236	78	308	5	19	45%	9%	35	-2.8	116/220/180	64	246	5	26	49%	10%	6	-2.4
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→33	41→40	49→55	33	185/229/278	92	285	8	9	37%	4%	33	-2.9	172/223/263	91	273	9	12	38%	5%	28	-3.2	143/198/223	80	227	9	13	40%	5%	4	-2.5
✕Nate Easley 2018 · A	22	42	39→45	52→50	43	203/263/292	90	285	6	13	30%	7%	52	-1.6	195/246/293	98	305	8	11	36%	6%	45	-2.1	199/245/313	114	286	9	10	33%	6%	46	-1.3
✕Caleb Hamilton 2017 · A	22	39	39→45	48→45	45	184/268/268	85	290	5	5	36%	9%	50	-1.8	175/256/274	99	265	8	5	34%	9%	46	-2.0	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Walking Cabrera 2023 · A	22	37→34	42→45	47→45	40	188/245/295	107	268	10	8	33%	7%	46	-2.0	203/253/315	112	302	12	9	35%	6%	54	-1.4	191/237/303	112	281	15	10	37%	5%	43	-1.2
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→28	39→45	50	47	209/276/293	84	265	7	12	23%	8%	58	-1.2	188/256/297	109	262	13	15	32%	7%	51	-1.7	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	44→28	38→45	57→50	41	201/270/281	80	317	5	16	36%	8%	53	-1.5	213/271/338	125	320	13	13	35%	6%	68	-0.5	202/261/313	111	301	12	16	35%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	42	-2.3	199/264/283	84	349	5	9	41%	7%	51	-1.7	149/237/238	89	307	4	14	47%	8%	28	-0.6
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	41→31	40→45	50	44	197/272/291	94	298	8	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	201/266/318	117	303	13	11	35%	7%	61	-1.0	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Tanner Schobel 2023 · A	22	45→42	39→45	52→50	47	213/289/296	83	296	6	13	28%	9%	65	-0.7	199/271/311	112	267	12	10	28%	8%	61	-1.0	182/255/295	113	247	12	11	30%	8%	48	-1.1
✕David Narodowski 2011 · A	22	36	40	42→45	46	181/257/264	83	246	8	7	29%	8%	43	-2.2	200/260/286	86	282	7	8	29%	7%	50	-1.8	185/240/258	73	257	4	7	28%	7%	30	-0.7
✕Brandon Lewis 2021 · A	22	42→36	39→55	49→30	41	203/264/290	86	289	7	6	30%	6%	52	-1.6	200/253/377	177	299	25	3	40%	6%	72	-0.2	180/234/343	163	262	24	1	40%	5%	52	-1.1
✕Malvin Matos 2019 · A	22	43→38	39→45	48→50	44	207/272/295	88	279	6	10	26%	7%	57	-1.2	211/277/333	122	296	14	11	32%	7%	69	-0.4	196/266/321	125	267	17	13	32%	7%	58	-0.9
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	40→34	42→45	49→50	38	201/251/299	98	265	10	15	28%	5%	49	-1.8	209/254/332	123	305	13	11	34%	5%	59	-1.1	181/215/331	150	258	17	11	37%	3%	42	-0.5