Brandon Winokur

OF Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 22 R/R 6'5" / 210 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP50ETA2029MLB%4%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	A+MIN	529	.226/.305/.388	17	26	51	—	.185/.250/.313
2025	20	INTLPeoria Javeli…	83	.192/.280/.315	2	2	69	—
2026	21	AAMIN	244	.251/.310/.434	11	11	72	—	.223/.272/.375
2026	21	A+MIN	331	.252/.362/.421	10	19	73	—	.205/.295/.336
2027PROJ4% MLB	22	MLBMIN	14	.197/.263/.329	0	0	66	-0.0
2028PROJ36% MLB	23	MLBMIN	206	.204/.271/.352	7	7	74	-0.2
2029PROJ47% MLB	24	MLBMIN	281	.210/.278/.369	10	9	81	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$1M2034Arb-2$1M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed78

ISO68

wOBA42

K%38

wRC+32

Whiff%22

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 88%

CompsAlexander Canario (age 22) · Brayan Buelvas (age 22) · Trayce Thompson (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .263 / .329

PA14

HR0

K%29

BB%7

BABIP263

ISO134

MLB%4%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT32

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

DEFENSE54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	71	66	19	5	0	4	4	23	1	0	1	288	338	545	883	258	385	32	6	385	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	411	362	90	19	3	14	34	115	10	23	6	249	329	434	763	185	321	28	8	337	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	529	474	107	20	3	17	44	131	10	26	4	226	305	388	693	162	275	25	8	311	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	83	73	14	3	0	2	9	19	0	2	0	192	280	315	596	123	226	23	11	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	244	219	55	3	2	11	15	65	4	11	3	251	310	434	743	183	297	27	6	322	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	331	278	70	13	2	10	43	97	6	19	6	252	362	421	783	169	347	29	13	350	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	71	67	13	3	0	3	3	32	1	0	1	194	239	373	613	179	296	45	4	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	411	372	69	14	3	11	25	157	10	23	6	185	256	328	583	142	268	38	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	529	486	90	14	3	14	32	170	10	26	4	185	250	313	563	128	248	32	6	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	244	224	50	3	2	9	11	79	4	11	3	223	272	375	647	152	276	32	5	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	331	292	60	10	2	8	31	123	6	19	6	205	295	336	630	130	313	37	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	71	67	13	3	0	3	3	32	1	0	1	194	239	373	613	179	312	45	4	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	71	66	19	5	0	4	4	23	1	0	1	288	338	545	883	258	385	32	6	385	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	411	372	69	14	3	11	25	157	10	23	6	185	256	328	583	142	279	38	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	411	362	90	19	3	14	34	115	10	23	6	249	329	434	763	185	321	28	8	337	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	612	563	104	16	3	16	37	196	10	28	4	185	248	309	557	124	249	32	6	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	612	547	121	23	3	19	53	150	10	28	4	221	302	378	680	157	268	25	9	306	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	575	516	110	13	4	17	42	202	10	30	9	213	285	353	638	140	306	35	7	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	575	497	125	16	4	21	58	162	10	30	9	252	340	427	766	175	324	28	10	338	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	71	67	13	3	0	3	3	32	1	0	1	194	239	373	613	179	296	45	4	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	411	373	69	14	3	11	25	157	10	23	6	185	256	327	583	142	268	38	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	612	560	104	16	3	16	37	196	10	28	4	186	248	311	558	125	248	32	6	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	575	518	110	13	4	17	42	202	10	30	9	212	285	351	637	139	297	35	7	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	411	373	69	14	3	11	25	157	10	23	6	185	256	327	583	142	268	38	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	612	560	104	16	3	16	37	196	10	28	4	186	248	311	558	125	248	32	6	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	575	518	110	13	4	17	42	202	10	30	9	212	285	351	637	139	297	35	7	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIN	4%	648	590	116	17	3	18	43	204	10	21	5	197	263	329	591	132	263	31	7	266	66	-26	+2	+1	-4	+14	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIN	4%	14	13	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	197	263	329	592	132	263	29	7	266	66	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIN	36%	570	518	105	15	3	18	39	175	8	18	5	204	271	351	622	147	266	31	7	278	74	-17	+2	+1	-3	+12	-0.6
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIN	47%	597	541	114	17	3	21	42	179	9	19	5	210	278	368	646	158	268	30	7	288	81	-14	+2	+1	-4	+13	-0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIN	52%	615	557	120	18	3	23	44	182	9	20	5	214	282	379	661	165	270	30	7	294	85	-11	+2	+1	-4	+13	0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	627	567	123	18	3	24	46	183	9	20	5	217	285	385	670	169	271	29	7	298	88	-9	+2	+1	-4	+14	0.4
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	629	569	123	19	3	23	47	182	8	19	5	217	286	384	670	167	272	29	7	297	87	-9	+2	+1	-4	+14	0.4
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	626	567	122	18	3	23	46	183	8	17	4	215	284	379	663	164	271	29	7	295	86	-11	+2	+1	-4	+14	0.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	617	559	119	18	3	22	45	182	8	14	4	213	281	373	654	160	269	29	7	291	83	-12	+1	+0	-4	+13	-0.2
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	607	550	116	17	3	21	44	181	8	10	3	209	277	365	642	155	267	30	7	286	80	-15	+1	-1	-4	+13	-0.5
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIN	36%	206	187	39	6	1	7	14	63	3	7	2	204	271	352	623	147	266	31	7	279	74	-6	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIN	47%	281	255	53	8	1	10	20	84	4	9	2	210	278	369	647	159	268	30	7	288	81	-6	+1	+1	-2	+6	-0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIN	52%	320	290	62	9	2	12	23	95	4	10	3	214	283	380	662	166	270	30	7	294	85	-6	+1	+1	-2	+7	0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	341	308	67	10	2	13	25	100	5	11	3	217	285	386	671	169	271	29	7	298	88	-5	+1	+1	-2	+7	0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	342	309	68	10	2	13	25	99	5	10	3	217	286	385	671	167	272	29	7	298	87	-5	+1	+1	-2	+7	0.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	340	308	66	10	2	12	25	99	4	9	2	215	284	380	664	164	271	29	7	295	86	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	328	297	63	9	2	12	24	97	4	7	2	213	281	373	655	161	269	30	7	291	83	-7	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	345	313	65	10	1	12	25	103	4	6	2	210	278	365	643	156	267	30	7	287	80	-8	+0	-0	-2	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2503	2267	483	72	13	91	181	740	33	69	19	213	281	377	658	164	270	30	7	292	77	-49	+6	+3	-15	+54	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	126	19	3	24	47	192	9	18	5	214	283	379	661	165	271	30	7	292	77	-13	+2	+1	-4	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6877	6237	1295	194	36	231	481	2135	103	228	59	208	275	361	637	154	272	31	7	281	77	-111	+14	+7	-31	+113	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	122	18	3	22	45	202	10	22	6	207	275	359	634	153	270	31	7	281	77	-14	+2	+1	-4	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Frank Isbell'01-'09 * career totals — 9 seasons, 4,483 PA	6.8	4,483	13	250	248*	300*	403*	-42	+24	9.5	10.1
/162	664	2	37	-6.2	+3.6	1.4	pk7: 11
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Willie Kirkland'58-'66 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,882 PA	5.8	3,882	148	52	237*	302*	437*	-37	-0	8.1	8.5
/162	664	25	9	-6.3	-0.1	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Danny Moeller'07-'16 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,912 PA	4.4	2,912	15	171	242*	323*	402*	-31	-13	2.8	2.8
/162	664	3	39	-7.0	-3.0	0.6	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	3.8	2,517	90	70	214	279	376	-15	+6	1.1	1.3
/162	664	24	18	-4.0	+1.7	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brandon Winokur (OGILVIE)	22	20→32	45→60	55→56	40	195/261/326	131	263	9	10	31%	7%	66	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alexander Canario 2022 · A	22	37→36	50→60	50	36	195/243/346	150	282	18	14	37%	6%	63	-1.4	213/276/401	188	298	24	14	35%	7%	89	+0.5	210/280/412	202	285	27	13	35%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Brayan Buelvas 2024 · AA	22	37→45	46→50	55	41	190/252/319	129	260	13	18	32%	7%	61	-1.5	204/265/326	122	293	11	16	32%	7%	66	-1.1	205/266/334	130	290	12	14	32%	7%	66	-0.8
●Trayce Thompson 2014 · AAA	23	37→47	48→60	52→50	39	195/259/338	144	277	16	15	35%	7%	68	-1.0	216/274/366	150	286	15	14	29%	7%	79	-0.2	203/291/407	204	286	27	7	37%	10%	95	+0.6
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2018 · AA	22	43→40	46→50	53→55	45	213/280/344	131	271	13	20	26%	7%	76	-0.4	203/282/338	135	283	13	16	31%	8%	76	-0.4	182/270/306	124	256	12	18	32%	9%	63	-0.9
✕Max Wagner 2024 · AA	22	41→38	46→50	55→50	42	204/275/332	128	291	13	18	33%	8%	72	-0.7	195/261/317	122	302	13	12	37%	7%	63	-1.3	190/255/330	140	291	17	7	39%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Jase Bowen 2024 · AA	23	37→42	47→50	55	36	194/247/321	127	273	15	17	34%	5%	59	-1.7	209/260/339	130	297	14	20	33%	5%	68	-1.0	209/260/343	134	298	14	23	33%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A	22	38	49→50	54→50	37	197/258/345	148	285	17	14	36%	6%	69	-0.9	206/268/346	140	308	16	13	36%	7%	73	-0.6	188/254/312	124	285	15	12	37%	7%	57	-1.0
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	37→47	44→50	52→60	40	191/253/303	112	263	12	21	31%	6%	57	-1.8	231/299/365	134	305	12	39	26%	8%	88	+0.4	232/299/362	129	300	10	41	25%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Rece Hinds 2023 · AA	22	38→44	49→55	50→55	33	191/247/337	146	319	17	14	44%	6%	63	-1.4	207/257/374	167	330	19	19	41%	5%	75	-0.5	207/257/386	179	313	22	22	40%	5%	77	-0.3
●Christopher Morel 2022 · AAA	23	39→46	48→60	54→50	38	203/256/347	144	289	16	16	35%	6%	68	-1.0	228/297/425	197	301	25	12	32%	8%	102	+1.5	225/302/430	205	283	27	10	30%	9%	105	+1.6
✕Eliseo Aldazaba 2013 · AAA	22	44→47	46→55	50	36	222/262/350	128	303	14	15	31%	4%	70	-0.8	227/274/376	149	294	17	13	28%	5%	82	-0.0	222/275/379	157	277	20	12	27%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	38→48	49→55	48→55	42	201/265/351	150	272	17	12	32%	7%	73	-0.6	221/268/376	155	290	20	15	30%	6%	80	-0.2	231/272/390	159	293	20	15	28%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Yu Chang 2018 · AA	22	38→47	50	49→45	40	199/259/356	156	271	17	9	33%	6%	72	-0.7	217/277/354	137	301	14	7	31%	7%	78	-0.3	217/278/367	150	284	17	4	29%	7%	81	-0.0
●Aristides Aquino 2016 · A	22	39→41	46→65	52→50	34	200/236/331	131	267	13	10	30%	3%	56	-1.9	202/244/351	149	270	16	8	31%	4%	64	-1.3	218/281/448	230	271	34	9	33%	7%	100	+0.8
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	36→41	46→50	53→55	41	190/255/315	125	268	15	19	34%	7%	61	-1.5	185/268/313	128	266	15	22	34%	8%	66	-1.1	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	40→33	45→55	52→50	40	204/250/330	126	265	12	14	28%	5%	61	-1.5	189/238/351	162	266	20	4	37%	5%	63	-1.4	192/268/358	166	237	23	7	30%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Brian McFall 2006 · A	22	39→44	46→55	51→50	36	195/262/318	123	289	14	12	36%	5%	65	-1.2	203/263/356	153	280	18	9	33%	6%	74	-0.6	207/271/356	148	277	17	8	30%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Daz Cameron 2020 · AAA	23	42→48	45→50	52→55	42	207/282/341	133	297	12	17	33%	8%	77	-0.3	213/280/343	130	302	12	18	32%	7%	76	-0.4	227/297/394	166	289	18	26	27%	8%	92	+0.3
✕Nelson Velázquez 2022 · AA	23	43→39	49→60	53→50	33	213/257/360	147	326	18	13	39%	5%	72	-0.7	211/274/393	182	292	24	14	35%	7%	86	+0.3	203/275/390	187	263	25	12	32%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Niko Hulsizer 2019 · A	22	43→30	47→60	51→50	42	207/297/346	139	317	15	12	36%	8%	84	+0.2	204/282/377	173	332	21	8	42%	8%	86	+0.3	194/269/385	191	316	25	12	44%	8%	80	-0.1

Brandon Winokur

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps