Easton Shelton — OGILVIE

Easton Shelton1B Ontario Tower Buzzers

Age 21 R/R 6'4" / 225 lbs A HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .265 / .379

PA320

HR15

K%41

BB%9

ISO196

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 64

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER64

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	84	73	19	1	3	1	10	30	1	0	0	260	357	397	754	137	429	36	12	340	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	15	14	3	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	214	267	500	767	286	222	27	7	331	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	137	124	29	8	0	6	8	56	3	0	1	234	296	444	740	210	359	41	6	322	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	486	407	121	26	2	37	71	163	4	4	2	297	407	644	1.050	346	398	34	15	446	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	84	77	13	1	2	1	6	44	1	0	0	169	238	273	511	104	342	52	7	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	15	14	3	1	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	214	267	500	767	286	204	33	7	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	137	127	15	4	0	3	5	81	3	0	1	118	170	220	391	102	249	59	4	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	486	428	89	18	2	26	50	222	4	4	2	208	297	442	738	234	334	46	10	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	84	77	13	1	2	1	6	44	1	0	0	169	238	273	511	104	375	52	7	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	—	84	73	19	1	3	1	10	30	1	0	0	260	357	397	754	137	429	36	12	340	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	152	141	17	4	0	4	6	86	3	0	1	121	173	234	407	113	245	57	4	175	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	152	138	32	9	0	7	9	60	3	0	1	232	293	449	743	217	342	39	6	323	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	486	428	89	18	2	26	50	222	4	4	2	208	297	442	738	234	342	46	10	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	486	407	121	26	2	37	71	163	4	4	2	297	407	644	1.050	346	398	34	15	446	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	84	77	13	1	2	1	6	44	1	0	0	169	238	273	511	104	342	52	7	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	152	142	17	4	0	4	6	86	3	0	1	120	173	232	406	113	245	57	4	175	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	486	429	89	18	2	26	50	222	4	4	2	207	297	441	737	233	334	46	10	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	84	77	13	1	2	1	6	44	1	0	0	169	238	273	511	104	342	52	7	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	152	142	17	4	0	4	6	86	3	0	1	120	173	232	406	113	245	57	4	175	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	486	429	89	18	2	26	50	222	4	4	2	207	297	441	737	233	334	46	10	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	546	487	91	17	2	25	49	226	5	6	2	187	267	383	649	196	274	41	9	288	81	-12	+0	+0	-10	+12	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	LAD	34%	512	456	90	17	2	24	46	200	5	7	3	196	276	397	673	201	277	39	9	297	87	-8	+0	+0	-9	+11	-0.6
2029	23	MLB MLE	LAD	48%	556	496	100	19	2	26	50	209	5	9	3	202	282	406	688	204	280	38	9	303	92	-6	+1	+0	-10	+12	-0.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	LAD	53%	584	521	107	20	2	27	53	214	5	10	4	206	286	411	697	205	281	37	9	307	94	-4	+0	+0	-10	+13	-0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	600	535	111	21	2	28	55	218	5	10	4	208	288	414	702	206	282	36	9	309	95	-3	+0	+0	-11	+13	-0.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	LAD	56%	607	542	112	21	2	29	55	220	5	10	4	208	288	414	702	207	281	36	9	309	96	-3	+0	+0	-11	+13	-0.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	606	541	112	21	2	29	55	221	5	10	4	206	287	411	698	205	280	36	9	308	94	-4	+0	+0	-11	+13	-0.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	602	537	109	20	2	28	55	221	5	9	4	204	284	406	690	202	278	37	9	305	92	-5	+0	-1	-11	+13	-0.4
2035	29	MLB MLE	LAD	53%	591	527	107	20	2	27	54	218	5	8	4	201	281	399	680	198	276	37	9	301	90	-7	+0	-1	-11	+13	-0.7
2028	22	MLB CTX	LAD	34%	176	156	31	5	1	9	16	69	2	2	1	194	275	399	673	204	271	39	9	297	87	-3	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	LAD	48%	269	241	49	9	1	13	24	101	2	4	2	201	281	407	688	207	274	38	9	303	92	-3	+0	+0	-5	+6	-0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	LAD	53%	308	274	56	10	1	15	28	113	3	5	2	204	284	413	697	208	275	37	9	307	94	-2	+0	+0	-6	+7	-0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	328	292	60	11	1	16	30	119	3	6	2	206	286	416	702	209	276	36	9	309	95	-2	+0	+0	-6	+7	-0.0
2032	26	MLB CTX	LAD	56%	338	301	62	11	1	17	31	123	3	6	2	206	286	416	702	210	275	36	9	309	96	-2	+0	+0	-6	+7	-0.0
2033	27	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	333	297	61	11	1	16	30	121	3	6	2	205	285	413	698	208	274	36	9	308	94	-2	+0	+0	-6	+7	-0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	329	293	60	11	1	16	30	121	3	5	2	203	283	408	691	205	273	37	9	305	92	-3	+0	-0	-6	+7	-0.2
2035	29	MLB CTX	LAD	53%	315	280	56	10	1	15	29	116	3	4	2	200	280	401	680	201	270	37	9	301	90	-4	+0	-1	-6	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2396	2134	435	78	8	117	218	883	22	38	15	204	284	412	697	209	277	37	9	305	89	-20	+2	-1	-43	+52	-1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	118	21	2	32	59	240	6	10	4	204	284	413	697	209	277	37	9	305	89	-5	+0	-0	-12	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5700	5086	1021	192	21	264	514	2206	51	80	34	201	281	402	683	202	286	39	9	300	89	-48	+3	-2	-89	+108	-2.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	116	22	2	30	59	252	6	9	4	200	281	400	681	200	285	39	9	300	89	-6	+0	-0	-12	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Hunter Renfroelast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,727 PA	5.6	3,727	188	15	235	297	458	-40	-32	7.3	8.0
/162	664	33	3	-7.1	-5.7	1.3	pk7: 9
#2Mark Trumbolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,372 PA	6.6	4,372	218	23	250	303	462	-58	-63	6.2	6.6
/162	664	33	3	-8.9	-9.6	0.9	pk7: 7
#3Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	5.2	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
/162	664	31	2	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	7.2	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.9
/162	664	27	0	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#5Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	4.2	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
/162	664	37	3	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	4.1	2,717	127	41	203	280	407	-49	-8	0.2	0.5
/162	664	31	10	-11.9	-1.8	0.0	pk7: 1
#6Rowdy Tellezlast yr '25 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,617 PA	3.9	2,617	122	5	234	300	437	-47	-55	-1.6	-1.1
/162	664	31	1	-11.9	-14.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Easton Shelton (OGILVIE)	21	20→25	59→64	44→49	57	185/265/379	194	274	15	3	41%	9%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Orelvis Martinez 2023 · AA	21	33→36	57→60	44→40	40	196/265/388	192	249	27	6	34%	7%	82	+0.0	202/272/382	180	258	23	4	31%	7%	83	+0.1	188/264/363	174	237	22	2	31%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Abimelec Ortiz 2024 · A	22	39→42	58→60	43→40	40	213/276/412	199	288	28	4	36%	7%	91	+0.7	216/281/389	173	272	22	3	28%	7%	88	+0.4	206/277/374	167	248	21	2	26%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Bobby Bradley 2017 · A	21	40→44	54→65	50→40	37	203/270/376	173	320	23	3	42%	8%	80	-0.1	215/276/405	190	296	25	3	35%	7%	90	+0.6	215/275/420	206	282	27	1	34%	7%	91	+0.6
✕Jhonkensy Noel 2023 · AAA	22	39→42	56→55	48→45	38	216/269/403	187	280	25	5	33%	6%	86	+0.3	210/269/381	171	269	23	3	31%	6%	82	-0.0	201/256/375	174	256	24	1	32%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Carlos Rincon 2019 · A	21	36→40	52→55	47→45	37	191/255/351	160	292	21	5	41%	7%	70	-0.9	200/262/353	153	292	19	5	37%	7%	72	-0.7	189/245/340	150	268	20	3	36%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Dérmis Garcia 2019 · A	21	35→42	54→55	46→45	37	191/252/363	171	296	23	5	42%	7%	71	-0.8	193/246/367	174	324	24	7	45%	6%	70	-0.9	193/263/377	183	290	26	8	41%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Chris Iriart 2017 · A	22	37	54→55	46→30	37	202/264/374	172	281	23	3	36%	6%	78	-0.3	186/245/311	125	324	15	4	45%	6%	56	-1.9	130/189/217	88	257	12	0	52%	5%	13	-2.2
●Joey Gallo 2015 · AA	21	36	63→70	50→45	39	199/276/430	231	313	33	8	45%	9%	96	+1.0	198/286/422	224	314	31	6	44%	10%	97	+1.1	208/323/509	301	256	43	6	37%	14%	126	+2.6
✕Alexander Canario 2021 · A	21	44→36	50→60	48→50	40	224/283/379	155	309	19	8	33%	7%	86	+0.3	205/262/380	175	292	22	14	36%	7%	78	-0.3	210/280/412	202	285	27	13	35%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Ryan Clifford 2024 · A	21	43→40	51→55	46→45	43	216/302/371	155	318	20	5	36%	9%	92	+0.7	203/293/366	163	294	20	6	35%	10%	87	+0.4	184/277/344	160	265	20	6	37%	10%	74	-0.5
✕Drew Lugbauer 2018 · A	21	40→34	52→60	48→30	37	210/267/375	165	306	20	4	38%	6%	79	-0.2	174/227/294	120	305	14	3	45%	6%	45	-2.7	181/256/378	197	290	28	1	46%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Rece Hinds 2022 · A	21	41→44	53→55	50→55	35	211/265/385	174	309	20	10	38%	5%	80	-0.1	199/251/357	158	331	18	17	43%	5%	69	-0.9	207/257/386	179	313	22	22	40%	5%	77	-0.3
●Jerry Sands 2009 · A	21	35→45	50→60	51→45	45	190/273/335	145	258	19	8	33%	9%	73	-0.6	230/295/421	191	285	24	6	28%	8%	100	+1.3	232/298/432	200	280	25	7	26%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Mason Martin 2021 · A	22	37→36	54→55	46→45	39	193/268/371	177	308	22	5	42%	8%	79	-0.2	190/254/354	164	308	19	6	42%	7%	70	-0.9	173/243/331	159	278	19	7	43%	7%	59	-1.3
●Chris Carter 2009 · A	22	39→49	59→65	47→45	44	216/286/422	207	277	27	3	32%	8%	97	+1.1	235/310/433	198	303	25	6	30%	9%	108	+1.9	225/312/459	235	286	33	4	33%	11%	116	+2.4
✕Alex Binelas 2023 · AA	23	35→44	55→50	51→50	42	196/262/374	178	265	24	7	35%	8%	78	-0.3	206/272/354	148	304	17	12	36%	8%	76	-0.4	223/304/366	143	320	18	8	34%	10%	88	+0.3
●Coby Mayo 2023 · AA	21	43→48	51→60	51→45	41	221/282/380	159	294	19	8	31%	7%	86	+0.3	230/307/410	180	308	20	5	30%	9%	102	+1.5	225/308/413	188	297	21	4	30%	9%	101	+1.2
✕Seuly Matias 2019 · A	20	31→34	54→55	49→45	29	177/229/345	168	284	23	5	46%	5%	59	-1.7	168/231/322	154	317	19	6	50%	6%	54	-2.0	149/230/307	158	260	20	6	48%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Johan Mieses 2017 · A	22	36→33	53→55	44→50	36	199/248/370	171	271	21	8	35%	5%	71	-0.8	186/238/339	153	256	20	4	35%	5%	60	-1.6	192/268/358	166	237	23	7	30%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Chad Spanberger 2018 · A	22	39→42	54→55	50→45	37	207/260/383	176	294	23	4	37%	6%	78	-0.3	214/262/365	151	281	19	7	30%	5%	75	-0.5	196/248/341	145	263	18	6	32%	5%	62	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps