Easton Shelton

1B Ontario Tower Buzzers
Age 21 R/R 6'4" / 225 lbs A HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
ETA2030MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKLAD84.260/.357/.3971024—.169/.238/.273
202519A+/ROKLAD152.232/.293/.449705—.128/.180/.248
202620ALAD486.297/.407/.644374100—.208/.297/.442
2027PROJMLE21MLBLAD546.187/.267/.38325481-0.4
2028PROJ25% MLB22MLBLAD108.191/.272/.3965186-0.2
2029PROJ38% MLB23MLBLAD186.196/.276/.4029289-0.3
Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
ISO99
wOBA95
wRC+94
BB%70
Chase%53
Speed28
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 11, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 81%
CompsOrelvis Martinez (age 21) · Abimelec Ortiz (age 22) · Allan Cerda (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†81
AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .265 / .380
PA210
HR10
K%41
BB%9
ISO196
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -1.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: -3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.40-0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202418 ROKACL Dodgers — 8473 19131 10301 00 260357397754 137429 3612 340 24 — — — — — —
202519 A+Great Lakes Loons — 1514 3101 140 00 214267500767 286222 277 331 59 — — — — — —
202519 ROKACL Dodgers — 137124 29806 8563 01 234296444740 210359 416 322 -1 — — — — — —
202620 AOntario Tower Buzzers — 486407 12126237 711634 42 2974076441.050 346398 3415 446 100 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202418 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 8477 13121 6441 00 169238273511 104342 527 204 24 — — — — — —
202519 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 1514 3101 150 00 214267500767 286204 337 255 59 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 137127 15403 5813 01 118170220391 102249 594 166 -1 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEOntario Tower Buzzers — 486428 8918226 502224 42 208297442738 234334 4610 316 100 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 8477 13121 6441 00 169238273511 104375 527 204 24 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWACL Dodgers — 8473 19131 10301 00 260357397754 137429 3612 340 24 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 152141 17404 6863 01 121173234407 113245 574 175 4 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAW2 teams — 152138 32907 9603 01 232293449743 217342 396 323 4 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEOntario Tower Buzzers — 486428 8918226 502224 42 208297442738 234342 4610 316 100 — — — — — —
202620 A RAWOntario Tower Buzzers — 486407 12126237 711634 42 2974076441.050 346398 3415 446 100 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 8477 13121 6441 00 169238273511 104342 527 204 24 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 152142 17404 6863 01 120173232406 113245 574 175 4 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEOntario Tower Buzzers — 486429 8918226 502224 42 207297441737 233334 4610 316 100 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 8477 13121 6441 00 169238273511 104342 527 204 24 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 152142 17404 6863 01 120173232406 113245 574 175 4 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEOntario Tower Buzzers — 486429 8918226 502224 42 207297441737 233334 4610 316 100 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLELAD 0% 546487 9117225 492265 42 187267383650 196275 419 288 81 -12 +0 -3 -10 +12 -0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLELAD 25% 436390 7514220 391754 42 193273394667 201277 409 295 86 -7 +0 -2 -8 +9 -0.8
202923 MLB MLELAD 38% 487436 8616223 441904 52 198278401678 203279 399 300 89 -6 +0 -2 -9 +11 -0.6
203024 MLB MLELAD 44% 521464 9418224 471985 52 201282405687 204280 389 303 91 -5 +0 -2 -9 +11 -0.5
203125 MLB MLELAD 47% 541482 9919225 492015 52 204284407692 203281 379 305 93 -5 +0 -2 -10 +12 -0.4
203226 MLB MLELAD 49% 550490 10119225 502005 52 206286408694 202282 369 306 93 -4 +0 -2 -10 +12 -0.4
203327 MLB MLELAD 49% 548488 10019225 502005 52 205285405690 200280 369 305 92 -5 +0 -2 -10 +12 -0.5
202822 MLB CTXLAD 25% 10896 18305 10431 10 191272396667 204271 409 295 86 -2 +0 -0 -2 +2 -0.2
202923 MLB CTXLAD 38% 186165 33619 17722 21 196276402679 206273 399 300 89 -2 +0 -1 -3 +4 -0.3
203024 MLB CTXLAD 44% 229204 417111 21872 21 200280407687 207274 389 303 91 -2 +0 -1 -4 +5 -0.2
203125 MLB CTXLAD 47% 255228 468112 23952 21 203283409692 206275 379 305 93 -2 +0 -1 -5 +6 -0.2
203226 MLB CTXLAD 49% 270241 509113 25982 31 204285409694 205275 369 306 93 -2 +0 -1 -5 +6 -0.2
203327 MLB CTXLAD 49% 269240 499113 25982 21 203283406690 203274 369 304 92 -2 +0 -1 -5 +6 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 13171174 23742563 12149311 125 202283407690 205279 379 303 87 -14 +0 -5 -24 +29 -1.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650579 11721231 602435 62 202282406688 204279 379 303 87 -7 +0 -2 -12 +14 -0.6
Career— MLE — 40153583 71013517183 360160338 3516 198278399677 200290 409 297 87 -38 +1 -12 -59 +71 -3.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650580 11622330 582606 63 200280403683 203293 409 297 87 -8 +0 -2 -12 +14 -0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AOntario Tower Buzzers · 486 PAwOBA .437 → .316 (−122)K% 33.5% → 45.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.54%÷1.000×1.360——45.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.61%÷1.000×0.690—×1.01510.23%
HBP% /PA0.82%—×0.780—×1.0150.65%
Singles /BIP22.95%÷1.000×0.920×0.960×1.01520.57%
Doubles /BIP10.66%÷1.000×0.830×0.960×1.0158.61%
Triples /BIP0.82%÷1.000×0.910×0.960×1.0150.73%
Home runs /BIP15.16%÷1.000×0.800—×1.01512.31%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .437 → .316; ISO .346 → .244; BABIP .398 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Dodgers · 137 PAwOBA .318 → .166 (−152)K% 40.9% → 59.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA40.88%÷0.993×1.440——59.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.84%÷0.997×0.620—×0.9953.61%
HBP% /PA2.19%—×0.720—×0.9951.57%
Singles /BIP22.06%÷0.996×0.820×0.953×0.99517.22%
Doubles /BIP11.76%÷1.102×0.720×0.953×0.9957.29%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.060×0.720×0.953×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP8.82%÷1.187×0.780—×0.9955.77%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 99, 2B 120, 3B 112, K 99, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.

Result: wOBA .318 → .166; ISO .210 → .097; BABIP .359 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Great Lakes Loons · 15 PAwOBA .321 → .255 (−66)K% 26.7% → 34.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.67%÷0.980×1.270——34.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.67%÷1.023×0.710—×1.0424.82%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×1.0420.00%
Singles /BIP10.00%÷1.000×0.920—×1.0429.59%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷0.927×0.810—×1.0429.11%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.850—×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP10.00%÷0.992×0.800—×1.0428.40%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .321 → .255; ISO .286 → .223; BABIP .222 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Dodgers · 84 PAwOBA .332 → .204 (−128)K% 35.7% → 52.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.71%÷0.984×1.440——52.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.90%÷1.070×0.620—×1.0086.95%
HBP% /PA1.19%—×0.720—×1.0080.86%
Singles /BIP32.56%÷1.011×0.820—×1.00826.59%
Doubles /BIP2.33%÷1.010×0.720—×1.0081.67%
Triples /BIP6.98%÷0.967×0.720—×1.0085.23%
Home runs /BIP2.33%÷0.942×0.780—×1.0081.94%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 102, 3B 93, K 97, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .332 → .204; ISO .137 → .083; BABIP .429 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).