Easton Shelton1B Ontario Tower Buzzers
Age 20 R/R 6'4" / 225 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION346 act + 230 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†99
AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .289 / .421
PA230
HR11
K%37
BB%9
BABIP296
ISO208
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +2.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+3BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -10.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-10POSREP: +16.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+16REPTotal WAR: +0.90+0.9WAR
0.01.12.10.91.11.31.51.61.61.61.41.20.9+$92M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 61
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER61
scouting grade only
EYE54
scouting grade only
SPEED49
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.6$9M+$8M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.6$8M+$8M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.6$8M+$7M
2034Arb-1$3M+1.4$6M+$5M
2035Arb-2$4M+1.2$5M+$3M
2036Arb-3$4M+0.9$2M+$0.3M
Totals $13M $37M +$32M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202418 ROKACL Dodgers 8478 13121 5451 00 167226269495 103375 546 199 11
202418 ROKACL Dodgers 8473 19131 10301 00 260357397754 137429 3612 340 119
202519 ROK2 teams 152141 16403 6873 01 113167206372 92245 574 166 -15
202519 ROK2 teams 152138 32907 9603 01 232293449743 217342 396 323 105
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 ALAD 346306 6613121 341573 41 216300471771 255344 4510 325 107 +3 +0 +0 -6 +10 0.7
YTD20 ALAD 346292 8719126 481173 41 2984026371.039 339401 3414 442 196 +38 +0 +0 -6 +10 4.3
ROS20 ALAD 0% 230206 448111 20852 31 213289421710 208295 379 315 99 -0 +0 +0 -4 +7 0.3
ROS20 MLBLAD 0% 01 0000 000 00 291 304 91 +0 -0
FULL20 ALAD 346307 6613121 341573 41 215300469769 254341 4510 325 107 +3 +0 +0 -6 +10 0.7
TOT20 ALAD 576512 11021232 542425 72 215296451746 236321 429 321 104 +3 +1 +0 -10 +16 0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBLAD 34% 581520 11321228 512075 82 217293427720 210297 369 319 103 +2 +1 +0 -10 +16 0.9
202822 MLBLAD 48% 609544 12123229 542096 103 222300432732 210297 349 324 106 +4 +1 +0 -11 +17 1.1
202923 MLBLAD 54% 627560 12624230 562106 103 225302436738 211298 339 327 108 +6 +1 +0 -11 +18 1.3
203024 MLBLAD 55% 638570 12924231 572116 113 226303439742 212298 339 329 110 +7 +1 +0 -11 +18 1.5
203125 MLBLAD 56% 637568 12924231 582106 113 227305440746 213299 339 330 111 +8 +1 +0 -11 +18 1.6
203226 MLBLAD 56% 629561 12824231 572086 113 228306444750 216298 339 331 111 +8 +1 +0 -11 +18 1.6
203327 MLBLAD 55% 619551 12624230 572056 113 229308443751 214298 339 330 111 +8 +1 +0 -11 +18 1.6
203428 MLBLAD 55% 609541 12323230 572026 113 227308444752 216297 339 329 110 +7 +1 -1 -11 +17 1.4
203529 MLBLAD 53% 598531 12022229 562006 103 226307439746 213295 339 327 108 +6 +1 -1 -11 +17 1.2
203630 MLBLAD 53% 587521 11722228 551986 103 225306436742 211293 349 324 106 +4 +1 -2 -10 +17 0.9
202721 MLBLAD 34% 200178 38719 18712 31 213293416709 202292 369 308 94 -1 +0 +0 -4 +6 0.1
202822 MLBLAD 48% 295264 5811114 261013 51 220297428725 208293 349 312 97 -1 +1 +0 -5 +8 0.3
202923 MLBLAD 54% 340304 6813116 301143 61 224300431731 207293 349 315 99 -0 +1 +0 -6 +10 0.4
203024 MLBLAD 55% 354316 7113117 321173 62 225302434736 209294 339 317 101 +0 +0 +0 -6 +10 0.4
203125 MLBLAD 56% 357318 7113117 321184 62 223302431733 208294 339 318 101 +1 +0 +0 -6 +10 0.5
203226 MLBLAD 56% 354315 7113117 321174 62 225305435740 210294 339 318 102 +1 +0 +0 -6 +10 0.5
203327 MLBLAD 55% 342304 6813116 321133 62 224304431735 207293 339 318 102 +1 +0 +0 -6 +10 0.5
203428 MLBLAD 55% 334297 6612116 311113 62 222302431733 209292 339 317 101 +0 +0 -0 -6 +9 0.4
203529 MLBLAD 53% 319283 6312115 301073 51 223304431735 208291 349 315 99 -0 +1 -1 -6 +9 0.3
203630 MLBLAD 53% 309274 6011114 291043 51 219301420720 201289 349 312 97 -1 +1 -1 -6 +9 0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 32042854 63411810151 292107331 5415 222301429731 207293 339 315 99 -2 +5 -2 -57 +91 3.5
/ 162G 650579 12924231 592186 113 223301432733 209293 349 315 99 -0 +1 -0 -12 +18 0.7
Career 66005892 130524423312 589227765 10631 221299430729 208298 349 321 104 +30 +9 -4 -118 +187 10.6
/ 162G 650580 12824231 582246 103 221298429727 209296 349 321 104 +3 +1 -0 -12 +18 1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202418 ROKACL Dodgers 8473 19131 10301 00 260357397754 137429 3612 340 119 +2 +0 +2 0.4
202519 A+Great Lakes Loons 1514 3101 140 00 214267500767 286222 277 331 112 +0 +0 +0 0.1
202519 ROKACL Dodgers 137124 29806 8563 01 234296444740 210359 416 322 105 +1 -0 +4 0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jay Brucelast yr '20
career totals — 13 seasons, 6,603 PA
136,60331865245314469-71-5419.619.5
/162664327-7.1-5.42.0pk7: 19
#2Jeromy Burnitzlast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 4,012 PA
74,01219232246330464-34-2415.515.5
/162664325-5.6-4.02.6pk7: 15
#3Khris Davislast yr '21
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,804 PA
93,80422118242314491-40-3913.313.4
/162664393-7.0-6.92.3pk7: 13
#4Mark Trumbolast yr '18
career totals — 8 seasons, 4,372 PA
84,37221823250303462-58-636.26.6
/162664333-8.9-9.60.9pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons
63,43416558227301440-61-97.06.4
/1626643211-11.9-1.71.4pk7: 6
#5Brandon Mosslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA
83,45916011238315455-53-415.95.9
/162664312-10.2-7.91.1pk7: 6
#6Chris Carterlast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA
72,80715812219314462-50-503.33.3
/162664373-11.7-11.90.8pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Easton Shelton (OGILVIE) 20 20→25 56→61 44→49 54 215/296/451 236321 327 42% 9% 104 +0.9
Abimelec Ortiz
2022 · A
20 37→40 53→60 50→40 51 201/305/377 176247 218 28% 10% 95 +1.4 204/268/376 172283 235 35% 7% 77 +0.1 210/275/40319226726231%7%85+0.6
Eric Arce
2012 · A
20 41 55→60 47→30 47 215/313/403 188288 234 32% 10% 104 +2.0 199/289/354 155336 184 42% 10% 81 +0.4 142/252/28914625920049%11%47-0.5
Alexander Canario
2021 · A
21 44→34 50→60 48→50 40 223/281/376 154307 188 33% 7% 82 +0.5 201/256/378 177290 2314 38% 6% 72 -0.2 205/276/414209281281337%8%87+0.5
Jerry Sands
2009 · A
21 35→45 50→60 51→45 45 191/275/338 147260 198 33% 9% 71 -0.3 228/294/419 191283 246 28% 8% 99 +1.7 225/292/42019527325727%8%97+1.3
Orelvis Martinez
2022 · A
20 40→36 58→60 47→40 42 219/285/423 204276 265 31% 7% 97 +1.5 200/266/399 199251 284 33% 7% 83 +0.6 189/257/39120222829332%7%75+0.0
Coby Mayo
2023 · AA
21 42→45 50→60 51→45 41 217/278/367 150295 188 32% 7% 79 +0.3 225/302/408 183301 215 31% 9% 100 +1.7 221/303/41419329023431%9%99+1.4
Drew Lugbauer
2018 · A
21 40→33 54→65 48→30 36 208/265/382 174308 234 39% 6% 78 +0.2 173/226/299 126302 163 46% 6% 40 -2.4 193/269/44224930638148%8%92+0.8
Rece Hinds
2022 · A
21 41 53→60 51→55 35 213/267/390 178306 2110 37% 5% 80 +0.4 191/243/346 155325 1817 45% 5% 59 -1.1 203/259/391188291252038%6%75-0.0
Tommy Joseph
2011 · A
20 40→47 50→60 47→30 36 212/248/360 149265 193 29% 4% 64 -0.8 216/260/353 137278 162 28% 5% 67 -0.5 243/294/44620327428123%6%105+1.6
Chris Carter
2009 · A
22 38→48 58→65 47→45 44 214/284/418 204274 273 32% 8% 95 +1.4 235/307/438 203301 266 30% 8% 109 +2.4 213/311/46425225636332%11%114+2.5
Joey Gallo
2014 · A
20 31→34 61→70 55→45 34 181/247/400 218289 3010 47% 7% 76 +0.0 191/269/402 211319 297 46% 9% 85 +0.7 213/333/52331026543637%14%136+3.4
Jo Adell
2019 · AA
20 45→44 52→65 54→50 37 231/278/405 174313 1912 32% 5% 89 +0.9 220/270/384 164314 1910 35% 5% 79 +0.3 218/285/448231251341229%7%102+1.5
Oliver Carrillo
2023 · A
21 47→27 52→50 52→45 45 231/309/400 169325 207 33% 9% 100 +1.7 199/304/338 139308 164 37% 11% 84 +0.6 167/276/28712026615340%11%58-0.5
Miguel Sanó
2013 · A
20 39→49 53→70 46→45 44 207/282/382 175291 215 35% 9% 85 +0.7 227/308/454 227315 297 35% 9% 115 +2.7 242/333/46822634030235%11%124+3.1
Mike Carp
2006 · A
20 39→49 52→55 44→40 38 209/283/371 162286 224 34% 6% 83 +0.6 233/304/371 138296 163 26% 7% 91 +1.1 264/327/44918632523425%8%118+2.0
Jhonkensy Noel
2022 · A
21 46→40 54→55 46→45 36 243/280/413 170303 237 28% 4% 92 +1.2 205/262/381 176266 243 32% 6% 76 +0.1 194/257/37818324425132%6%70-0.3
Bobby Bradley
2017 · A
21 38→40 53→65 50→40 36 196/260/361 166316 223 43% 7% 70 -0.3 212/270/413 201292 273 36% 7% 88 +0.9 208/272/45024227035037%7%96+1.2
Dérmis Garcia
2018 · A
20 33→38 53→60 48→45 38 177/250/341 164289 225 45% 8% 61 -1.0 193/243/373 180316 255 45% 6% 66 -0.6 184/252/36718427927843%7%66-0.3
Tyler O'Neill
2016 · A
21 38→48 54→65 49→50 32 202/248/376 174303 2411 41% 5% 69 -0.4 224/280/420 196311 2611 35% 6% 94 +1.3 252/328/462210318281629%9%123+2.3
Aderlin Rodríguez
2012 · A
20 39→47 51→60 45→30 38 212/244/366 154247 213 25% 4% 64 -0.8 210/245/350 140262 163 26% 4% 60 -1.0 238/283/42718828825127%4%94+0.9