Grant Kipp — OGILVIE

Grant Kipp P Knoxville Smokies

Age 26 RHP 6'6" / 220 lbs AA peak 0.4 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION89 act + 11 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.14

FIP5.14

K%19.1%

BB%13.2%

K-BB%5.9%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5050

CMD4545

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	6	21	96	19	7	3	100%	3.6	14.3%	9.4%	4.9%	4.7%	5.48	5.66	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	6	21	96	19	7	3	100%	3.6	19.8%	7.3%	12.5%	3.1%	5.48	4.13	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	22	99	424	105	35	10	96%	4.3	18.5%	9.7%	8.8%	2.8%	4.29	4.32	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	22	99	424	105	35	10	96%	4.3	18.5%	9.7%	8.8%	2.8%	4.29	4.32	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	22	99	424	105	35	10	96%	4.3	24.8%	8.3%	16.5%	2.4%	4.29	3.35	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	10	41	181	47	20	3	77%	3.2	18.9%	14.1%	4.8%	2.7%	6.15	4.75	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	10	41	181	47	20	3	77%	3.2	18.9%	14.1%	4.8%	2.7%	6.15	4.75	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	10	41	181	47	20	3	77%	3.2	26.0%	11.0%	14.9%	1.7%	6.15	3.22	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	26	23	109	469	110	57	10	88%	4.2	19.0%	13.4%	5.6%	2.8%	4.22	4.73	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	26	23	109	469	110	57	10	88%	4.2	19.0%	13.4%	5.6%	2.8%	4.22	4.73	—
2025	25	AA RAW	Knoxville Smokies	26	23	109	469	110	57	10	88%	4.2	23.5%	12.2%	11.3%	2.1%	4.22	3.85	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	24	17	89	381	106	39	12	71%	3.7	22.8%	10.1%	12.7%	3.6%	4.55	4.42	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	24	17	89	381	106	39	12	71%	3.7	22.8%	10.1%	12.7%	3.6%	4.55	4.42	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AA RAW	CHC	12	11	51	215	60	16	5	92%	4.3	27.9%	7.4%	20.5%	2.3%	4.03	2.96	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	CHC	12	6	38	166	46	23	7	50%	3.1	27.7%	13.9%	13.9%	4.2%	5.26	4.83	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	CHC	2	2	11	46	9	6	1	100%	5.4	19.1%	13.2%	5.9%	2.9%	5.14	5.14	-0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	CHC	—	—	100	427	115	45	13	—	—	26.9%	10.6%	16.3%	3.1%	4.61	4.50	+0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CHC	21	21	127	535	104	68	16	100%	6.0	19.4%	12.8%	6.7%	3.0%	5.08	5.09	-0.3
2028	28	MLB MLE	CHC	20	20	123	519	101	65	16	100%	6.2	19.5%	12.5%	7.0%	3.1%	5.07	5.11	-0.3
2029	29	MLB MLE	CHC	20	20	118	496	96	62	16	100%	5.9	19.4%	12.5%	6.9%	3.2%	5.13	5.20	-0.4
2030	30	MLB MLE	CHC	18	18	110	466	89	59	16	100%	6.1	19.1%	12.7%	6.4%	3.4%	5.25	5.35	-0.6
2027	27	MLB CTX	CHC	8	8	48	203	39	26	6	100%	6.0	19.4%	12.8%	6.7%	3.0%	5.08	5.09	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	CHC	12	12	73	308	60	39	9	100%	6.1	19.5%	12.5%	7.0%	3.1%	5.07	5.11	-0.2
2029	29	MLB CTX	CHC	14	14	83	350	68	44	11	100%	5.9	19.4%	12.5%	6.9%	3.2%	5.13	5.20	-0.3
2030	30	MLB CTX	CHC	14	14	87	367	70	47	13	100%	6.2	19.1%	12.7%	6.4%	3.4%	5.25	5.35	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		48	48	291	1227	237	155	39	100%	6.1	19.3%	12.6%	6.7%	3.2%	5.14	4.82	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	163	107	27	100%	6.0	19.3%	12.6%	6.7%	3.2%	5.14	4.82	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		92	78	359	1551	302	177	48	85%	3.9	19.5%	11.4%	8.1%	3.1%	4.62	4.60	-1.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	43	200	865	169	98	27	85%	3.9	19.5%	11.4%	8.1%	3.1%	4.62	4.60	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Grant Kipp (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.14	19.1%	13.2%	2.9%	—	5.13	19.4%	6.8%	367	-0.01	—	—	—
Nick Pasquale R 2017 · 4.74 FIP	26	SP-	4.74	16.8%	12.7%	2.6%	.306	3.80	17.9%	6.3%	50	-0.94	3.19	308	84
Paxton Schultz R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	25	SP-	4.90	19.1%	11.9%	3.5%	.319	4.05	22.7%	14.3%	222	-0.85	3.90	538	81
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	81
Tyler Cravy R 2015 · 3.94 FIP	26	SP-	3.94	17.0%	9.0%	2.1%	.305	4.61	18.6%	7.8%	138	+0.67	3.94	276	79
Nick Hull R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP-	4.26	17.2%	12.1%	2.0%	.251	4.84	17.7%	6.3%	200	+0.58	4.26	292	78
M.D. Johnson R 2023 · 5.64 FIP	26	SP	5.64	16.4%	12.7%	4.2%	.254	3.52	14.6%	4.7%	67	-2.12	3.52	395	77
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.32	22.2%	14.8%	121	+0.13	3.16	258	77
Luis Santos R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	26	SP-	4.76	19.7%	9.7%	3.8%	.262	3.93	22.1%	13.0%	127	-0.83	3.53	472	77
Forrest Snow R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	26	SP-	5.03	16.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.263	4.14	21.8%	14.2%	256	-0.89	3.02	406	77
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	77
Cameron Foster R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	24	SP	4.31	18.9%	10.3%	2.7%	.329	4.05	20.9%	10.9%	132	-0.26	2.54	213	76
Justin Armbruester R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SP	4.44	17.3%	9.6%	2.9%	.271	5.30	20.4%	9.9%	135	+0.86	1.49	373	76
Andrew Quezada R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	26	SP-	5.33	14.4%	9.5%	4.1%	.344	4.92	12.5%	5.0%	173	-0.41	4.40	412	76
J.P. Massey R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	23	SP	4.95	18.2%	16.0%	2.5%	.259	5.12	15.9%	0.6%	115	+0.17	4.72	195	75
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	75
Jared Mortensen R 2015 · 4.42 FIP	27	SP-	4.42	16.9%	7.8%	3.2%	.287	4.99	20.9%	2.1%	72	+0.57	4.42	200	75
Chase Solesky R 2023 · 4.80 FIP	25	SP	4.80	14.6%	10.0%	3.0%	.322	4.49	15.4%	8.2%	268	-0.31	4.07	563	75
Carson Seymour R 2023 · 3.96 FIP	24	SP-	3.96	19.8%	10.2%	2.3%	.292	4.55	18.9%	9.6%	348	+0.59	3.39	572	75
Cody Sedlock R 2021 · 5.05 FIP	26	SP-	5.05	19.9%	10.9%	4.1%	.301	4.21	20.1%	7.1%	80	-0.84	4.21	378	74
Jamison Hill R 2023 · 4.72 FIP	24	SP	4.72	16.2%	15.6%	1.8%	.248	5.44	16.0%	6.4%	84	+0.72	4.72	326	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.0	121	19.3%	12.7%	1.21	5.13
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Brandon Finnegan ('18)	1.2	80	19.7%	11.6%	1.57	4.19
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98