Grant Kipp
P
Knoxville Smokies
Age 26
RHP
6'6" / 220 lbs
AA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION62 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 118
ERA5.21
FIP5.21
K%19.1%
BB%13.2%
K-BB%5.9%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 127 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 6 | 21 | 96 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 100% | 3.6 | 14.3% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.48 | 5.83 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 6 | 21 | 96 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 100% | 3.6 | 19.8% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 3.1% | 5.48 | 4.13 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 22 | 99 | 424 | 105 | 35 | 10 | 96% | 4.3 | 18.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 4.29 | 4.26 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 22 | 99 | 424 | 105 | 35 | 10 | 96% | 4.3 | 24.8% | 8.3% | 16.5% | 2.4% | 4.29 | 3.35 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 10 | 41 | 181 | 47 | 20 | 3 | 77% | 3.2 | 18.9% | 14.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 6.15 | 4.91 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 10 | 41 | 181 | 47 | 20 | 3 | 77% | 3.2 | 26.0% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 1.7% | 6.15 | 3.22 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 26 | 23 | 109 | 469 | 110 | 57 | 10 | 88% | 4.2 | 19.0% | 13.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 4.22 | 4.90 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 26 | 23 | 109 | 469 | 110 | 57 | 10 | 88% | 4.2 | 23.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 2.1% | 4.22 | 3.85 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 15 | 13 | 62 | 265 | 75 | 21 | 10 | 87% | 4.1 | 23.3% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 4.3% | 4.65 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CHC | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 52 | 36 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.1% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 5.21 | 5.21 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CHC | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 5.21 | 5.21 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 127 | 539 | 127 | 57 | 18 | — | — | 23.7% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 3.4% | 4.93 | 4.91 | +0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 19.1% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 5.21 | 4.83 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 21 | 21 | 127 | 535 | 104 | 68 | 17 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.4% | 12.8% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 5.13 | 5.15 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 20 | 20 | 123 | 519 | 101 | 65 | 16 | 100% | 6.2 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 5.12 | 5.16 | +0.3 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 8 | 8 | 48 | 203 | 39 | 26 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.4% | 12.8% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 5.13 | 5.15 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 73 | 308 | 60 | 39 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 5.12 | 5.16 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 20 | 20 | 122 | 516 | 100 | 65 | 16 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 5.12 | 4.78 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 164 | 106 | 26 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 5.12 | 4.78 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 83 | 74 | 332 | 1435 | 277 | 161 | 48 | 89% | 4.0 | 19.3% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 4.64 | 4.72 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 45 | 200 | 865 | 167 | 97 | 29 | 89% | 4.0 | 19.3% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 4.64 | 4.72 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Grant Kipp (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.21 | 19.1% | 13.2% | 3.0% | — | 5.15 | 19.5% | 6.8% | 250 | -0.06 | — | — | — |
| Kevin Abel R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.47 | 17.8% | 12.0% | 2.5% | .264 | 5.41 | 17.8% | 2.5% | 82 | +0.94 | 4.41 | 421 | 82 |
| M.D. Johnson R 2026 · 5.46 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.46 | 16.4% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .254 | 3.50 | 14.6% | 4.7% | 67 | -1.96 | 3.50 | 395 | 82 |
| Nick Pasquale R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.73 | 16.8% | 12.7% | 2.6% | .306 | 3.97 | 17.9% | 6.3% | 50 | -0.76 | 3.16 | 308 | 81 |
| David Lebron R 2025 · 4.18 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.18 | 18.6% | 14.2% | 1.6% | .336 | 5.07 | 26.7% | 12.0% | 62 | +0.89 | 4.18 | 144 | 79 |
| Tyler Cravy R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.08 | 17.0% | 9.0% | 2.3% | .305 | 4.72 | 18.6% | 7.8% | 138 | +0.64 | 4.01 | 276 | 79 |
| Aaron Davenport R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.99 | 17.4% | 11.4% | 3.5% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.09 | 498 | 77 |
| Justin Armbruester R 2025 · 5.94 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.94 | 20.6% | 13.0% | 5.3% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.43 | 358 | 77 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.25 | 14.4% | 9.5% | 4.0% | .344 | 5.06 | 12.9% | 4.7% | 173 | -0.19 | 4.25 | 412 | 77 |
| Forrest Snow R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.80 | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.7% | .263 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 14.2% | 256 | -0.61 | 3.14 | 406 | 76 |
| Scarlyn Reyes R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.59 | 13.9% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .321 | 4.87 | 13.7% | 5.3% | 70 | +0.28 | 4.39 | 317 | 76 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 76 |
| Chi Chi González R 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.76 | 16.7% | 10.5% | 3.2% | .302 | 4.41 | 15.3% | 7.8% | 225 | -0.35 | 4.00 | 800 | 75 |
| Allen Webster R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.99 | 14.0% | 9.1% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.50 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 58 | +0.51 | 4.43 | 177 | 75 |
| Jared Mortensen R 2027 · 4.44 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.44 | 16.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .287 | 4.90 | 20.9% | 2.1% | 72 | +0.46 | 4.44 | 200 | 75 |
| Luke Irvine R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.17 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 104 | 74 |
| Nestor Molina R 2027 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.13 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | .304 | 3.57 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 289 | -1.56 | 3.07 | 401 | 74 |
| Jarrod Cande R 2024 · 5.66 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.66 | 16.7% | 11.0% | 4.7% | .256 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.37 | 292 | 74 |
| Cody Sedlock R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.83 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .301 | 4.18 | 20.1% | 7.1% | 80 | -0.65 | 4.16 | 378 | 73 |
| Carlos Pimentel R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.14 | 16.1% | 9.7% | 2.1% | .339 | 4.53 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 13 | +0.39 | 4.14 | 301 | 73 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.96 | 19.7% | 9.7% | 4.2% | .262 | 3.81 | 22.1% | 13.0% | 127 | -1.15 | 3.50 | 472 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 126 | 19.4% | 12.8% | 1.20 | 5.15 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |