Zion Rose

CF Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 22 R/R A+ HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1406ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	21	A+/INTL2 orgs	137	.280/.425/.374	2	19	115	—	.253/.356/.320
2027PROJMLE	22	MLBKC	200	.228/.304/.330	3	7	81	0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB	23	MLBKC	33	.228/.304/.332	1	1	84	0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBKC	78	.230/.306/.338	1	2	86	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.8M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed84

K%83

BB%81

Whiff%79

Chase%74

Z-Con%54

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 18, comp-based) · star 13% · didn't stick 73%

CompsMatt McLain (age 22) · Taylor Motter (age 22) · Cayden Wallace (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 50 proj PA

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .302 / .327

PA50

HR1

K%25

BB%9

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	90	71	19	2	0	1	14	16	2	14	1	268	402	338	740	70	316	18	16	337	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	47	36	11	0	1	1	8	11	3	5	1	306	468	444	913	139	417	23	17	418	169	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	90	75	19	2	0	1	10	20	2	14	1	253	356	320	676	67	289	22	11	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	137	114	28	3	0	1	15	31	5	19	2	246	358	298	656	53	318	23	11	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	137	107	30	2	1	2	22	27	5	19	2	280	425	374	799	93	346	20	16	365	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	137	116	28	3	0	1	15	31	5	19	2	241	358	293	651	52	289	23	11	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	137	116	28	3	0	1	15	31	5	19	2	241	358	293	651	52	289	23	11	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	KC	0%	200	178	40	6	1	3	17	51	3	7	1	228	304	330	634	102	295	26	8	288	81	-4	+1	-2	+1	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	KC	35%	95	86	19	3	0	2	8	24	1	3	0	230	306	338	645	108	296	25	8	292	84	-2	+1	-1	+0	+2	0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	KC	46%	169	150	35	5	1	3	15	42	2	4	1	232	308	345	654	113	296	25	9	296	86	-3	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	KC	52%	236	211	49	8	1	5	20	58	3	6	1	234	310	351	660	117	296	25	8	298	88	-3	+1	-1	+1	+5	0.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	KC	54%	292	261	61	10	1	6	25	72	4	7	1	234	310	355	665	120	296	25	9	300	89	-4	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.4
2032	27	MLB MLE	KC	54%	323	288	67	11	1	7	28	79	4	7	1	234	310	355	665	121	295	24	9	300	89	-4	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.4
2033	28	MLB MLE	KC	54%	338	302	69	11	1	7	29	84	4	7	1	232	308	350	658	118	295	25	9	297	87	-5	+1	-2	+1	+7	0.3
2034	29	MLB MLE	KC	53%	338	302	69	11	1	7	29	85	4	7	1	230	305	345	650	114	294	25	9	294	85	-6	+1	-2	+1	+7	0.1
2035	30	MLB MLE	KC	52%	333	298	67	11	1	6	28	85	4	6	1	227	302	337	639	110	292	26	8	290	82	-7	+1	-3	+1	+7	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	KC	35%	33	30	7	1	0	1	3	8	0	1	0	228	304	332	636	104	294	24	9	289	84	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	KC	46%	78	70	16	3	0	1	7	19	1	2	0	230	306	338	644	109	294	24	9	292	86	-1	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	KC	52%	122	109	25	4	1	2	11	30	1	3	0	231	307	343	650	112	294	25	9	294	88	-2	+1	-0	+0	+3	0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	KC	54%	158	141	32	5	1	3	14	39	2	4	0	232	308	347	655	115	294	25	9	296	89	-2	+1	-1	+1	+3	0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	KC	54%	175	156	37	6	1	4	15	43	2	4	0	231	307	347	654	116	293	25	9	296	89	-2	+1	-1	+1	+4	0.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	KC	54%	183	163	38	6	1	4	16	45	2	4	0	229	305	343	648	113	292	25	9	293	87	-3	+1	-1	+1	+4	0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	KC	53%	179	160	36	6	1	3	15	45	2	4	0	227	303	337	640	110	291	25	8	290	85	-3	+1	-1	+1	+4	0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	KC	52%	175	156	36	6	1	3	15	44	2	3	0	225	300	330	630	105	290	25	9	286	82	-4	+1	-2	+1	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1103	985	227	37	6	21	96	273	12	25	0	230	306	344	651	114	296	25	9	292	86	-18	+5	-6	+4	+24	0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	134	22	4	12	57	161	7	15	0	231	307	345	652	114	297	25	9	292	86	-10	+3	-4	+2	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2311	2057	475	75	7	45	201	573	32	68	9	231	309	340	649	109	296	25	9	296	86	-35	+7	-12	+8	+47	1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	134	21	2	13	57	161	9	19	3	231	311	342	653	111	296	25	9	296	86	-11	+2	-4	+2	+14	0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 90 PAwOBA .341 → .297 (−44)K% 17.8% → 22.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.78%	÷1.000	×1.270	—	—	22.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.56%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.027	11.34%
HBP% /PA	2.22%	—	×0.790	—	×1.027	1.80%
Singles /BIP	29.09%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.982	×1.027	26.98%
Doubles /BIP	3.64%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.982	×1.027	2.97%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.850	×0.982	×1.027	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.82%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.027	1.49%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.

Result: wOBA .341 → .297; ISO .070 → .061; BABIP .316 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.7	1,104	23	24	233	305	350	+4	-8	2.1	2.0
/162	664	14	15	+2.4	-4.8	1.3	pk7: 2
#2Milt Cuyler'90-'98 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,567 PA	2.4	1,567	10	77	233*	299*	338*	+1	+4	0.6	0.9
/162	664	4	33	+0.6	+1.9	0.3	pk7: 1
#3Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#4Dylan Carlsonlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,987 PA	3.0	1,987	43	16	233	312	372	-9	-22	0.8	0.8
/162	664	14	5	-3.0	-7.4	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Damon Buford'93-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,072 PA	3.1	2,072	54	56	230*	296*	371*	-1	-2	0.2	0.8
/162	664	17	18	-0.4	-0.5	0.1	pk7: 1
#6Herm Winningham'84-'92 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,069 PA	3.1	2,069	19	105	238*	296*	357*	+1	-3	-0.5	0.2
/162	664	6	34	+0.3	-1.1	-0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Zion Rose (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	226/302/327	101	295	1	2	25%	9%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Matt McLain 2022 · A	22	46→56	44→55	53→55	48	221/299/337	116	298	11	20	28%	9%	82	+0.0	239/322/420	181	326	19	22	30%	9%	109	+2.0	234/319/405	170	315	19	23	30%	10%	104	+1.4
✕Taylor Motter 2012 · A	22	48→49	42→50	55	53	232/307/339	107	284	9	20	21%	10%	85	+0.2	227/290/330	103	280	8	20	21%	8%	76	-0.4	245/294/375	130	284	13	21	18%	6%	86	+0.2
✕Cayden Wallace 2024 · AA	22	45→49	44→50	53→50	45	220/280/345	125	285	10	13	26%	7%	76	-0.4	226/279/351	125	289	12	13	25%	6%	77	-0.3	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Mario Lisson 2006 · A	22	46→49	43→50	57→55	50	221/307/345	123	302	9	19	28%	10%	86	+0.3	220/283/335	115	289	10	21	26%	7%	75	-0.5	222/292/345	123	288	15	8	27%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Brice Matthews 2024 · A	22	45	44→50	54→60	46	211/306/329	118	322	12	22	35%	10%	84	+0.1	217/298/371	154	326	18	30	36%	9%	90	+0.6	208/288/365	156	305	19	33	36%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Tommy Troy 2024 · A	22	47→55	46→45	57→50	44	228/298/359	132	326	13	18	32%	8%	86	+0.3	223/292/336	113	299	10	17	27%	8%	79	-0.2	233/306/347	114	304	10	17	25%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Nick Senzel 2017 · A	22	48→58	45→50	51→50	47	232/297/367	135	304	10	16	26%	8%	88	+0.4	256/311/403	147	336	12	14	26%	7%	101	+1.4	263/317/416	154	341	14	16	26%	7%	104	+1.0
✕Johan Rojas 2022 · A	21	45→55	44→45	55→65	43	223/276/341	119	284	11	22	25%	6%	74	-0.6	237/281/346	109	298	8	37	22%	5%	76	-0.4	260/302/359	100	326	7	41	21%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Spencer Jones 2023 · A	22	49→51	45→55	56→55	43	240/300/365	125	317	13	19	28%	7%	88	+0.5	222/275/369	147	357	16	25	40%	6%	80	-0.1	220/289/397	177	359	21	23	42%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Jared Serna 2024 · A	22	45→48	45	53→50	45	226/284/352	126	276	13	18	23%	7%	79	-0.2	214/271/321	107	261	11	15	22%	6%	68	-1.0	202/265/300	97	245	10	16	21%	6%	58	-1.4
✕Andy Burns 2013 · A	22	43→53	47→50	54→55	42	211/280/356	145	295	13	13	32%	7%	80	-0.2	239/287/369	130	297	11	16	22%	6%	84	+0.1	250/295/369	119	301	10	15	20%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	44	42→45	55	47	215/295/325	110	284	9	14	26%	8%	78	-0.3	222/280/325	103	297	9	9	27%	6%	72	-0.7	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Eguy Rosario 2022 · AA	22	51→54	46→55	52→55	42	246/301/385	139	332	12	22	29%	6%	93	+0.8	234/297/386	152	301	15	18	26%	7%	92	+0.7	224/291/387	164	280	17	18	26%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Jake Marisnick 2013 · AA	22	48→56	44→60	56→55	42	235/293/361	126	299	10	19	24%	5%	84	+0.2	236/283/359	123	302	12	23	25%	4%	80	-0.1	229/291/435	206	302	27	18	33%	6%	103	+0.8
✕Nick Yorke 2024 · AA	22	48→57	46→50	50→55	43	236/293/366	130	314	14	13	29%	7%	86	+0.3	248/304/358	110	328	11	17	26%	7%	88	+0.4	250/308/351	102	325	10	18	25%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	213/278/339	126	273	14	11	26%	8%	74	-0.5	223/286/391	168	267	21	13	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Jason Taylor 2010 · A	22	45→40	45→50	52→55	50	222/296/347	125	272	12	21	23%	9%	83	+0.1	209/261/319	110	272	10	13	26%	6%	63	-1.4	145/173/232	87	187	9	6	28%	3%	9	-1.1
✕Noel Cuevas 2014 · A	22	47→52	43→45	56→55	41	231/276/347	116	293	10	24	24%	5%	75	-0.5	229/266/325	96	296	7	17	24%	4%	65	-1.2	254/287/363	108	316	8	12	22%	3%	80	-0.1
✕Tito Polo 2017 · A	22	46→54	43→45	54→60	40	225/280/331	107	289	11	25	26%	5%	74	-0.6	231/283/339	108	308	9	28	27%	5%	76	-0.4	234/283/340	106	316	7	34	27%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Cooper Bowman 2022 · A	22	44	45	56→60	41	214/289/346	132	303	12	19	32%	7%	81	-0.1	204/281/321	117	287	12	34	31%	8%	72	-0.7	210/283/330	120	279	11	40	27%	8%	72	-0.5

Zion Rose

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps