Landen Maroudis — OGILVIE

Landen Maroudis P Vancouver Canadians

Age 21 RHP 6'3" / 190 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 0.8 · 2030

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 159151vR 143

ERA6.65

FIP6.65

K%14.1%

BB%22.4%

K-BB%-8.3%

ROS IP36

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF—50

CMD—50

K†3050

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-1	$1M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	19	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	3	2	11	38	12	4	0	67%	3.6	31.6%	10.5%	21.1%	0.0%	0.84	1.77	—
2024	19	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	3	2	11	38	12	4	0	67%	3.6	31.6%	10.5%	21.1%	0.0%	0.84	1.77	—
2024	19	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	3	2	11	38	12	4	0	67%	3.6	31.6%	10.5%	21.1%	0.0%	0.84	1.98	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	17	45	216	34	45	1	94%	2.5	11.3%	24.9%	-13.6%	0.5%	6.55	5.56	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	17	45	216	34	45	1	94%	2.5	11.3%	24.9%	-13.6%	0.5%	6.55	5.56	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	17	45	216	34	45	1	94%	2.5	15.7%	20.8%	-5.1%	0.5%	6.55	4.86	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	26	25	97	438	81	53	16	96%	3.7	14.2%	13.9%	0.3%	4.6%	6.14	6.17	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	26	25	97	438	81	53	16	96%	3.7	14.2%	13.9%	0.3%	4.6%	6.14	6.17	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	A+ RAW	TOR	26	25	97	438	81	53	16	96%	3.7	18.5%	12.1%	6.4%	3.7%	6.14	5.08	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	TOR	18	18	99	420	71	77	11	100%	5.5	16.9%	18.3%	-1.4%	2.7%	6.08	5.87	-1.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	TOR	19	19	103	435	81	68	12	100%	5.4	18.7%	15.6%	3.1%	2.7%	5.60	5.36	-0.5
2029	24	MLB MLE	TOR	19	19	106	446	88	61	12	100%	5.6	19.8%	13.8%	6.0%	2.7%	5.23	5.03	-0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	TOR	18	18	107	452	92	57	12	100%	5.9	20.4%	12.6%	7.9%	2.7%	4.97	4.82	+0.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	TOR	18	18	107	452	94	57	12	100%	5.9	20.7%	12.5%	8.2%	2.7%	4.86	4.79	+0.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	TOR	18	18	105	445	92	56	12	100%	5.9	20.7%	12.6%	8.1%	2.7%	4.84	4.83	+0.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	TOR	17	17	102	432	89	55	12	100%	6.0	20.6%	12.8%	7.8%	2.8%	4.88	4.91	-0.0
2034	29	MLB MLE	TOR	16	16	98	412	84	53	12	100%	6.1	20.3%	13.0%	7.4%	3.0%	4.98	5.04	-0.2
2035	30	MLB MLE	TOR	15	15	92	387	77	51	12	100%	6.1	20.0%	13.3%	6.7%	3.2%	5.12	5.22	-0.3
2027	22	MLB CTX	TOR	9	9	49	207	35	38	6	100%	5.4	16.9%	18.3%	-1.4%	2.7%	6.08	5.87	-0.5
2028	23	MLB CTX	TOR	14	14	75	317	59	49	9	100%	5.4	18.7%	15.6%	3.1%	2.7%	5.60	5.36	-0.4
2029	24	MLB CTX	TOR	16	16	88	372	74	51	10	100%	5.5	19.8%	13.8%	6.0%	2.7%	5.23	5.03	-0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	TOR	16	16	95	401	82	50	11	100%	5.9	20.4%	12.6%	7.9%	2.7%	4.97	4.82	+0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	TOR	16	16	98	414	86	52	11	100%	6.1	20.7%	12.5%	8.2%	2.7%	4.86	4.79	+0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	TOR	16	16	98	414	86	52	11	100%	6.1	20.7%	12.6%	8.1%	2.7%	4.84	4.83	+0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	TOR	16	16	96	405	83	52	11	100%	6.0	20.6%	12.8%	7.8%	2.8%	4.88	4.91	-0.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	TOR	16	16	93	393	80	51	12	100%	5.8	20.3%	13.0%	7.4%	3.0%	4.98	5.04	-0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	TOR	14	14	87	367	73	49	12	100%	6.2	20.0%	13.3%	6.7%	3.2%	5.12	5.22	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		134	134	778	3283	657	443	92	100%	5.8	20.0%	13.5%	6.5%	2.8%	5.11	4.66	+2.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	169	114	24	100%	5.8	20.0%	13.5%	6.5%	2.8%	5.11	4.66	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		47	44	153	692	99	119	21	94%	3.2	14.3%	17.2%	-2.9%	3.0%	5.90	5.74	-2.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	58	200	907	129	156	28	94%	3.2	14.3%	17.2%	-2.9%	3.0%	5.90	5.74	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Landen Maroudis (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.65	14.1%	22.4%	2.8%	—	5.41	18.5%	2.7%	308	-1.24	—	—	—
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	83
Mason McGwire R 2023 · 6.54 FIP	19	SP	6.54	13.2%	19.6%	3.8%	.374	4.91	18.1%	3.8%	120	-1.63	4.11	155	83
Eudry Alcantara R 2023 · 6.03 FIP	18	SP	6.03	11.4%	19.2%	2.7%	.278	6.45	15.3%	-9.0%	71	+0.42	4.83	114	82
Felix Cepeda R 2021 · 5.96 FIP	21	SP	5.96	17.0%	21.6%	2.8%	.276	4.78	17.6%	0.9%	144	-1.18	3.58	204	81
Donal Montas R 2023 · 5.66 FIP	21	SP	5.66	8.4%	13.3%	2.9%	.268	4.87	10.2%	-4.0%	78	-0.79	4.10	156	80
Camilo Sanchez R 2023 · 6.65 FIP	20	SP-	6.65	10.0%	18.5%	3.8%	.317	5.84	14.8%	0.8%	62	-0.81	3.57	117	80
Osiris Ramirez R 2017 · 5.47 FIP	21	SP	5.47	12.6%	19.4%	1.8%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	4.35	104	80
Keythel Key R 2023 · 5.77 FIP	19	SP-	5.77	13.7%	20.1%	2.3%	.290	5.29	18.8%	2.9%	228	-0.48	4.98	272	80
Matt Hartman R 2018 · 7.13 FIP	22	SP	7.13	8.2%	18.9%	4.2%	.217	3.95	12.1%	0.4%	89	-3.18	3.95	105	79
Tyler Gough R 2023 · 5.48 FIP	19	SP	5.48	13.4%	13.3%	3.3%	.297	3.58	20.0%	6.5%	158	-1.90	3.12	188	79
Edinxon Arias R 2017 · 7.03 FIP	19	SP	7.03	7.6%	19.9%	3.7%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	4.61	127	79
Trey Riley R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	10.6%	19.0%	2.1%	.344	5.78	17.4%	5.2%	74	-0.00	4.35	227	78
Holt Jones R 2022 · 6.63 FIP	23	SP	6.63	17.9%	19.5%	4.7%	.296	4.64	18.4%	0.8%	147	-1.99	3.37	241	78
Jake Madden R 2023 · 5.46 FIP	21	SP	5.46	15.9%	15.2%	3.2%	.299	4.57	14.1%	-1.1%	44	-0.89	4.57	123	78
Randry De Leon R 2023 · 6.45 FIP	18	SP-	6.45	17.7%	20.2%	4.2%	.308	4.83	18.4%	3.3%	123	-1.62	4.37	153	77
Henry Williams R 2023 · 5.59 FIP	21	SP	5.59	16.5%	14.2%	3.8%	.271	4.67	16.8%	7.0%	338	-0.92	4.16	404	77
Irv Carter R 2023 · 7.11 FIP	20	SP-	7.11	11.4%	18.9%	4.7%	.266	5.51	18.8%	6.1%	150	-1.60	4.81	236	76
Raudy Rivera R 2023 · 5.92 FIP	18	SP	5.92	19.2%	31.6%	0.8%	.321	5.34	22.7%	-0.8%	75	-0.58	3.65	111	76
Oliver Garcia R 2018 · 6.31 FIP	20	SP	6.31	10.4%	15.7%	3.8%	.315	5.86	16.5%	1.8%	53	-0.45	3.05	233	76
Chad Bryant R 2021 · 6.29 FIP	21	SP-	6.29	14.8%	20.7%	3.3%	.337	5.59	16.0%	-3.4%	81	-0.70	3.93	136	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.8	95	19.6%	14.1%	1.08	5.22
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25