Jonaiker Castellar
Jonaiker Castellar
P
DSL Astros Blue
Age 24
RHP
5'10" / 141 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION21 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.35
FIP4.35
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.3%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%14.0%
IP21
K†5555
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2027
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL HOU Blue | 7 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.89 | 3.43 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | DSL Astros Blue | 12 | 7 | 36 | 158 | 45 | 22 | 6 | 19.4% | 17.4% | 5.9% | 4.79 | 6.91 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | HOU | 21 | — | 21 | 90 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 22 | — | 22 | 91 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 23.7% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 19 | 7 | 45 | 196 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 19.7% | 15.1% | 5.3% | 4.40 | 6.24 | -0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 84 | 31 | 200 | 871 | 173 | 129 | 44 | 19.7% | 15.1% | 5.3% | 4.40 | 6.24 | -2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jonaiker Castellar (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.27 | 23.7% | 14.7% | 22 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Velez R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 90 |
| Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.00 | 313 | 90 |
| Austin Smith R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .274 | 5.05 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.05 | 4.00 | 123 | 89 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 89 |
| Vince Vannelle R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.77 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 2.3% | .282 | 5.34 | 15.3% | 4.5% | 76 | +1.57 | 3.77 | 105 | 89 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2027 · 3.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.75 | 25.5% | 8.4% | 3.2% | .340 | 4.62 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 185 | +0.87 | 3.75 | 223 | 88 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.49 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .233 | 3.63 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 120 | -0.86 | 3.51 | 156 | 88 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2027 · 3.88 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.88 | 25.6% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .299 | 5.10 | 22.4% | 6.5% | 121 | +1.22 | 3.88 | 158 | 87 |
| Zach Franklin R 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.16 | 28.5% | 19.2% | 85 | +0.63 | 3.48 | 125 | 87 |
| Ryan Garcia R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.87 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .239 | 5.71 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.84 | 3.87 | 325 | 87 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.63 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .282 | 3.01 | 23.1% | 16.8% | 62 | -0.62 | 2.25 | 111 | 87 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2028 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.26 | 18.4% | 6.8% | 137 | +0.46 | 3.74 | 171 | 87 |
| Brendan Beck R 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.18 | 22.5% | 6.7% | 2.1% | .289 | 3.91 | 20.7% | 13.0% | 197 | +0.73 | 3.18 | 228 | 87 |
| Danny Hrbek R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.08 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 100 | 86 |
| Kyle Martin R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.62 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 2.0% | .345 | 3.45 | 22.4% | 12.5% | 172 | -0.17 | 3.02 | 214 | 86 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2028 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 86 |
| Stephen Jones R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.45 | 23.8% | 11.0% | 1.8% | .304 | 4.55 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 142 | +1.10 | 3.45 | 278 | 86 |
| Alex Hoppe R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.25 | 23.7% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .371 | 4.16 | 20.2% | 7.8% | 146 | -0.09 | 3.05 | 194 | 86 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2028 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.15 | 18.0% | 7.0% | 180 | +1.23 | 3.92 | 223 | 85 |
| Neil Ramírez R 2028 · 3.15 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.15 | 25.0% | 10.0% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.73 | 28.3% | 17.6% | 151 | +1.58 | 3.15 | 220 | 85 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.