Vince Vannelle — OGILVIE

Vince Vannelle P Winston-Salem Dash

Age 28 RHP 5'10" / 202 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.73

FIP4.73

K%18.3%

BB%8.4%

K-BB%9.9%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	0	42	180	51	20	3	0%	1.2	19.9%	8.6%	11.3%	2.2%	2.98	3.71	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	35	0	42	180	51	20	3	0%	1.2	28.3%	11.1%	17.2%	1.7%	2.98	3.03	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	1	56	274	54	31	8	3%	1.6	15.5%	12.7%	2.9%	3.5%	6.63	5.32	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	1	56	274	54	31	8	3%	1.6	15.5%	12.7%	2.9%	3.5%	6.63	5.32	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	1	56	274	54	31	8	3%	1.6	19.7%	11.3%	8.4%	2.9%	6.63	4.70	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	0	25	104	20	5	3	0%	1.6	14.8%	5.5%	9.3%	4.9%	5.76	5.24	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	0	25	104	20	5	3	0%	1.6	14.8%	5.5%	9.3%	4.9%	5.76	5.24	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	0	25	104	20	5	3	0%	1.6	19.2%	4.8%	14.4%	2.9%	5.76	3.66	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	CWS	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	18.3%	8.4%	9.9%	3.2%	4.73	4.73	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CWS	19	0	20	84	16	7	3	0%	1.1	18.6%	8.7%	9.9%	3.3%	4.76	4.82	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	CWS	6	0	6	25	5	2	1	0%	1.0	18.6%	8.7%	9.9%	3.3%	4.76	4.82	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	5	2	1	0%	1.0	18.6%	8.7%	9.9%	3.3%	4.76	4.44	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	165	66	33	0%	1.1	18.6%	8.7%	9.9%	3.3%	4.76	4.44	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		86	1	123	558	94	56	19	1%	1.4	16.8%	10.0%	6.8%	3.3%	5.20	4.78	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		140	2	200	907	153	91	30	1%	1.4	16.8%	10.0%	6.8%	3.3%	5.20	4.78	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Vince Vannelle (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.73	18.3%	8.4%	3.2%	—	4.82	18.6%	9.9%	20	+0.09	—	—	—
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	90
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	85
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	83
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	82
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	82
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	82
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	81
Ryan Doolittle R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	28	SU	4.38	13.9%	7.1%	2.8%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	101	81
Jhan Mariñez R 2017 · 3.97 FIP	28	SU	3.97	17.2%	8.8%	2.2%	.309	4.09	21.2%	13.3%	48	+0.12	3.16	253	80
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	80
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	79
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	79
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	79
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	79
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	78
Matt Carasiti R 2019 · 4.01 FIP	28	SU	4.01	18.6%	10.0%	2.2%	.276	4.88	22.4%	10.9%	22	+0.87	2.80	312	78
Jose Casilla R 2016 · 4.65 FIP	27	SU	4.65	13.0%	8.0%	3.0%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	104	78
Anthony Bass R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	27	SU	3.56	16.5%	7.0%	1.8%	.300	3.43	21.6%	14.2%	123	-0.13	2.93	432	78
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	78
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	78