Vince Vannelle
P
Winston-Salem Dash
Age 28
RHP
5'10" / 202 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 14 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 104
ERA4.55
FIP4.55
K%21.6%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%12.5%
ROS IP15
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 0 | 42 | 180 | 51 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 2.3% | 2.98 | 3.77 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 0 | 42 | 180 | 51 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.3% | 11.1% | 17.2% | 1.7% | 2.98 | 3.03 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 1 | 56 | 274 | 54 | 31 | 8 | 3% | 1.6 | 15.5% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.63 | 5.29 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 1 | 56 | 274 | 54 | 31 | 8 | 3% | 1.6 | 19.7% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 6.63 | 4.70 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 0 | 25 | 104 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 14.8% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 5.76 | 5.48 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 0 | 25 | 104 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.2% | 4.8% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 5.76 | 3.66 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 14 | 0 | 15 | 62 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 3.2% | 4.55 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 4.61 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 4.61 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 4.61 | 4.28 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 198 | 66 | 33 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 4.61 | 4.28 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 86 | 1 | 123 | 558 | 94 | 56 | 19 | 1% | 1.4 | 16.8% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 5.20 | 4.84 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 140 | 2 | 200 | 907 | 153 | 91 | 31 | 1% | 1.4 | 16.8% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 5.20 | 4.84 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Vince Vannelle (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.55 | 21.6% | 9.1% | 3.2% | — | 4.66 | 21.6% | 12.2% | 20 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 86 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 85 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 84 |
| Rob Scahill R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 83 |
| David Hernandez R 2028 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 83 |
| Nick Merkel R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.85 | 17.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 201 | 81 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 81 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 80 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2027 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 80 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 22.6% | 8.6% | 4.4% | .350 | 5.85 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 137 | +1.16 | 4.26 | 258 | 80 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 80 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 80 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2024 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 80 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .327 | 4.77 | 20.9% | 11.8% | 74 | +1.31 | 2.32 | 676 | 80 |
| Francisco Mendoza R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.11 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 120 | 79 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 79 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 79 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 79 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.35 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 4.1% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 158 | 79 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.81 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | .373 | 3.58 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.23 | 3.37 | 170 | 78 |