Nick Altermatt — OGILVIE

Nick Altermatt P Birmingham Barons

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 225 lbs AA peak 0.4 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10799vR 91

ERA3.88

FIP3.88

K%22.3%

BB%6.5%

K-BB%15.9%

ROS IP25

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	49	198	56	16	2	0%	1.3	21.2%	9.5%	11.8%	1.6%	2.76	3.39	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	49	198	56	16	2	0%	1.3	21.2%	9.5%	11.8%	1.6%	2.76	3.39	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	49	198	56	16	2	0%	1.3	28.3%	8.1%	20.2%	1.0%	2.76	2.32	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	0	44	172	52	5	1	0%	1.6	21.9%	3.7%	18.1%	0.9%	2.05	2.20	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	0	44	172	52	5	1	0%	1.6	21.9%	3.7%	18.1%	0.9%	2.05	2.20	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	0	44	172	52	5	1	0%	1.6	30.2%	2.9%	27.3%	0.6%	2.05	1.37	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	38	0	54	225	54	20	7	0%	1.4	19.5%	9.3%	10.2%	3.6%	2.83	4.63	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	38	0	54	225	54	20	7	0%	1.4	19.5%	9.3%	10.2%	3.6%	2.83	4.63	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AA RAW	CWS	30	0	41	174	44	15	5	0%	1.4	25.3%	8.6%	16.7%	2.9%	2.61	3.63	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	CWS	8	0	13	51	10	5	2	0%	1.6	19.6%	9.8%	9.8%	3.9%	3.55	4.84	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CWS	50	0	52	220	49	15	6	0%	1.0	22.4%	6.8%	15.6%	2.8%	3.95	3.96	+0.4
2028	28	MLB MLE	CWS	48	0	50	213	48	15	6	0%	1.1	22.4%	7.1%	15.2%	2.9%	4.04	4.08	+0.3
2027	27	MLB CTX	CWS	19	0	20	84	19	6	2	0%	1.1	22.4%	6.8%	15.6%	2.8%	3.95	3.96	+0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	CWS	29	0	30	127	28	9	4	0%	1.0	22.4%	7.1%	15.2%	2.9%	4.04	4.08	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		47	0	50	210	47	15	6	0%	1.1	22.4%	7.0%	15.4%	2.8%	4.00	3.65	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	189	60	24	0%	1.1	22.4%	7.0%	15.4%	2.8%	4.00	3.65	+2.1
Career	—	MLE		104	0	147	595	124	46	13	0%	1.4	20.8%	7.7%	13.0%	2.2%	2.57	3.52	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		141	0	200	810	168	63	18	0%	1.4	20.8%	7.7%	13.0%	2.2%	2.57	3.52	+1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nick Altermatt (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.88	22.3%	6.5%	2.7%	—	4.02	22.4%	15.4%	103	+0.14	—	—	—
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	91
Kyle Winkler R 2016 · 3.70 FIP	26	SU	3.70	23.1%	8.7%	2.6%	.234	3.53	18.4%	8.3%	43	-0.17	2.97	114	84
Sam Wolff R 2017 · 3.40 FIP	26	SU	3.40	26.6%	8.0%	2.8%	.291	2.98	24.1%	13.3%	63	-0.42	2.66	178	84
Esmerling De La Rosa R 2017 · 3.40 FIP	26	SU	3.40	20.5%	7.2%	2.0%	.313	4.86	14.1%	5.8%	66	+1.46	2.89	237	84
Jonathan Aro R 2017 · 3.72 FIP	26	SU	3.72	25.3%	6.9%	3.4%	.252	3.56	14.6%	8.1%	108	-0.16	2.57	323	83
Joe Broussard R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	26	SU	3.83	23.5%	7.9%	3.1%	.316	3.72	21.1%	12.0%	95	-0.11	2.62	304	83
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	83
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	83
Simon Castro R 2015 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	26.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.320	3.58	26.0%	17.6%	128	+0.30	3.01	185	82
Michael Blazek R 2015 · 2.99 FIP	26	SU	2.99	21.2%	7.7%	1.3%	.239	4.20	16.6%	6.3%	126	+1.21	2.99	221	82
Addison Reed R 2015 · 2.68 FIP	26	SU	2.68	21.2%	5.4%	1.2%	.316	3.14	24.9%	21.1%	210	+0.46	1.67	266	82
Matt Ramsey R 2017 · 3.25 FIP	27	SU	3.25	24.2%	9.6%	1.8%	.330	3.21	23.6%	14.6%	81	-0.04	2.42	125	82
Seth Frankoff R 2015 · 4.01 FIP	26	SU	4.01	19.6%	7.4%	2.9%	.312	4.29	20.0%	11.3%	177	+0.28	2.88	263	81
Ryan Kelly R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	20.3%	7.5%	2.1%	.241	3.21	20.8%	14.2%	43	-0.31	2.49	131	81
Ryan Garton R 2016 · 3.14 FIP	26	SU	3.14	21.8%	6.3%	2.0%	.325	3.97	24.1%	12.0%	175	+0.83	3.14	307	81
Shawn Armstrong R 2017 · 4.21 FIP	26	SU	4.21	22.1%	9.2%	3.3%	.282	3.18	26.9%	17.2%	144	-1.03	1.79	651	81
Neil Ramírez R 2015 · 3.21 FIP	26	SU	3.21	25.0%	10.0%	1.7%	.289	4.75	28.3%	17.6%	151	+1.54	3.21	220	81
Joe Navilhon R 2019 · 3.23 FIP	26	SU	3.23	20.5%	7.7%	1.6%	.322	4.28	23.4%	16.7%	99	+1.05	2.25	273	81
James Farris R 2017 · 3.77 FIP	25	SU	3.77	24.4%	6.6%	3.5%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	170	81
Jhan Mariñez R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	26	SU	3.50	23.1%	9.3%	2.1%	.244	3.70	18.9%	11.1%	168	+0.20	3.16	253	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	42	22.4%	6.9%	1.08	3.97
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Eli Morgan ('24)	1.3	66	23.8%	6.4%	1.46	3.97
Richard Rodríguez ('21)	1.1	56	25.0%	6.3%	1.21	3.00
Derek Law ('24)	1.5	60	21.5%	8.9%	0.88	3.47
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19