Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 49 | 198 | 56 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 2.1% | 2.76 | 3.63 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 49 | 198 | 56 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.3% | 8.1% | 20.2% | 1.0% | 2.76 | 2.32 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 0 | 44 | 172 | 52 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 21.9% | 3.7% | 18.1% | 1.0% | 2.05 | 2.25 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 0 | 44 | 172 | 52 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 30.2% | 2.9% | 27.3% | 0.6% | 2.05 | 1.37 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 25 | 0 | 34 | 143 | 41 | 11 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 4.2% | 2.94 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CWS | 24 | 0 | 25 | 105 | 24 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 14.9% | 2.7% | 4.05 | 4.05 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.9% | 8.0% | 14.9% | 2.7% | 4.05 | 4.05 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 59 | 248 | 65 | 19 | 8 | — | — | 26.2% | 7.8% | 18.4% | 3.2% | 3.41 | 4.32 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.9% | 8.0% | 14.9% | 2.7% | 4.05 | 3.67 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 23 | 0 | 24 | 103 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 4.10 | 4.11 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 4.10 | 4.11 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 4.10 | 3.73 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 62 | 21 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 4.10 | 3.73 | +3.9 | ||
| Career | — | 91 | 0 | 127 | 513 | 113 | 37 | 12 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 14.7% | 2.3% | 2.56 | 3.41 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 144 | 0 | 200 | 810 | 178 | 59 | 18 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 14.7% | 2.3% | 2.56 | 3.41 | +4.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Altermatt (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.05 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 2.7% | — | 4.11 | 23.0% | 14.8% | 24 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.41 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.74 | 185 | 93 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 88 |
| Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.1% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .234 | 3.53 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 43 | -0.07 | 2.96 | 114 | 87 |
| Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.77 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 2.9% | .242 | 3.56 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 100 | -0.21 | 3.05 | 205 | 86 |
| Sam Wolff R 2026 · 3.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.27 | 26.6% | 8.0% | 2.6% | .291 | 3.07 | 24.1% | 13.3% | 63 | -0.20 | 2.74 | 178 | 85 |
| Neil Ramírez R 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.15 | 25.0% | 10.0% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.73 | 28.3% | 17.6% | 151 | +1.58 | 3.15 | 220 | 85 |
| Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% | .282 | 3.23 | 26.9% | 17.2% | 144 | -0.88 | 1.79 | 647 | 85 |
| Joe Broussard R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.84 | 23.5% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .316 | 3.66 | 21.1% | 12.0% | 95 | -0.18 | 2.61 | 304 | 84 |
| Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .310 | 4.40 | 17.6% | 5.6% | 46 | +0.04 | 3.42 | 161 | 84 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2027 · 3.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.04 | 24.2% | 9.6% | 1.4% | .330 | 3.26 | 23.6% | 14.6% | 81 | +0.22 | 2.42 | 125 | 84 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.46 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .244 | 3.76 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 168 | +0.30 | 3.23 | 253 | 84 |
| Simon Castro R 2027 · 3.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.16 | 26.4% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .320 | 3.55 | 26.0% | 17.6% | 128 | +0.39 | 2.85 | 185 | 84 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 84 |
| Esmerling De La Rosa R 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.25 | 20.5% | 7.2% | 1.8% | .313 | 5.21 | 14.1% | 5.8% | 66 | +1.96 | 2.98 | 237 | 84 |
| Michael Blazek R 2026 · 3.05 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.05 | 21.2% | 7.7% | 1.4% | .239 | 4.30 | 16.6% | 6.3% | 126 | +1.25 | 3.05 | 221 | 83 |
| Jeff Johnson R 2026 · 3.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.12 | 21.9% | 9.6% | 1.2% | .284 | 3.59 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 55 | +0.47 | 2.49 | 160 | 83 |
| Scott Oberg R 2026 · 3.07 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.07 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 1.4% | .260 | 2.79 | 23.8% | 16.4% | 188 | -0.28 | 2.42 | 302 | 82 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 82 |
| Seth Frankoff R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 19.6% | 7.4% | 3.0% | .312 | 4.49 | 20.0% | 11.3% | 177 | +0.45 | 2.87 | 263 | 82 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2028 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 82 |