Cade Obermueller

P Clearwater Threshers

Age 24 LHP A peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

APROSPECT

Scout OFP50ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	23	MIX2 levels	18	18	58	5.43	4.08	30.9%	16.4%	—	K 23.1% · BB 19.0% · FIP 5.38
2027PROJ	24	MLBPHI	12	12	67	5.52	5.52	22.9%	18.2%	-0.5
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBPHI	5	5	29	5.26	5.16	23.3%	15.7%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBPHI	8	8	45	5.13	5.08	23.5%	15.2%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control50Command45FB velo55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 5, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 82%

CompsLuke Fox (age 22) · Caden Grice (age 22) · Erik Rivera (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122130vR 138

ERA5.52

FIP5.52

K%22.9%

BB%18.2%

K-BB%4.7%

Proj IP67

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF4050

CTRL—50

CMD3045

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	18	58	269	83	44	7	100%	3.2	23.1%	19.0%	4.1%	3.3%	5.43	5.38	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	18	58	269	83	44	7	100%	3.2	23.1%	19.0%	4.1%	3.3%	5.43	5.38	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	18	58	269	83	44	7	100%	3.2	30.9%	16.4%	14.5%	2.6%	5.43	4.08	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	PHI	12	12	67	283	65	51	9	100%	5.6	22.9%	18.2%	4.7%	3.1%	5.52	5.52	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	PHI	12	12	68	287	67	45	9	100%	5.7	23.3%	15.7%	7.6%	3.0%	5.26	5.16	-0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	PHI	11	11	68	287	68	44	9	100%	6.2	23.5%	15.2%	8.4%	3.0%	5.13	5.08	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	PHI	11	11	67	283	67	42	9	100%	6.1	23.5%	15.0%	8.5%	3.1%	5.08	5.08	-0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	PHI	11	11	65	274	64	41	9	100%	5.9	23.4%	15.0%	8.4%	3.2%	5.11	5.14	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	PHI	5	5	29	122	29	19	4	100%	5.8	23.3%	15.7%	7.6%	3.0%	5.26	5.16	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	PHI	8	8	45	190	45	29	6	100%	5.6	23.5%	15.2%	8.4%	3.0%	5.13	5.08	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	PHI	9	9	52	220	52	33	7	100%	5.8	23.5%	15.0%	8.5%	3.1%	5.08	5.08	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	PHI	9	9	55	232	54	35	7	100%	6.1	23.4%	15.0%	8.4%	3.2%	5.11	5.14	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		30	30	181	762	179	115	24	100%	6.0	23.4%	15.1%	8.3%	3.1%	5.13	4.73	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	198	127	27	100%	6.0	23.4%	15.1%	8.3%	3.1%	5.13	4.73	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		18	18	58	269	62	51	9	100%	3.2	23.1%	19.0%	4.1%	3.3%	5.43	5.38	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	62	200	928	215	176	31	100%	3.2	23.1%	19.0%	4.1%	3.3%	5.43	5.38	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cade Obermueller (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.52	22.9%	18.2%	3.1%	—	5.11	23.5%	8.2%	203	-0.41	—	—	—
Luke Fox L 2024 · 5.24 FIP	22	SP	5.24	21.8%	19.2%	2.8%	.284	4.16	21.4%	8.1%	125	-1.08	3.60	156	81
Caden Grice L 2024 · 4.33 FIP	22	SP	4.33	23.1%	15.7%	2.2%	.282	5.05	17.9%	2.3%	83	+0.72	4.33	133	80
Erik Rivera L 2024 · 5.71 FIP	23	SP-	5.71	19.0%	14.6%	4.3%	.255	4.74	23.9%	6.3%	106	-0.97	4.42	141	75
Nate Savino L 2024 · 5.85 FIP	22	SP	5.85	16.8%	18.8%	3.2%	.244	4.83	14.9%	2.0%	130	-1.02	4.26	176	72
Kevin Smith L 2021 · 5.54 FIP	24	SP	5.54	23.8%	16.5%	4.3%	.296	6.20	17.5%	1.3%	48	+0.66	3.26	248	72
Liam Sullivan L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP	5.78	25.7%	20.5%	4.1%	.290	5.79	20.9%	7.2%	141	+0.01	4.45	156	72
Christian MacLeod L 2024 · 4.77 FIP	24	SP	4.77	21.5%	13.6%	3.2%	.269	4.50	18.0%	3.0%	128	-0.27	3.88	280	71
Dante Biasi L 2022 · 4.91 FIP	24	SP-	4.91	18.7%	15.9%	2.5%	.288	6.65	20.1%	1.7%	69	+1.74	4.91	224	71
Hayden Mullins L 2024 · 4.39 FIP	23	SP-	4.39	23.4%	12.4%	3.1%	.288	3.69	25.5%	11.8%	194	-0.70	3.54	283	70
Bodi Rascon L 2023 · 4.92 FIP	22	SP	4.92	17.5%	14.5%	2.7%	.264	5.66	11.5%	-8.3%	43	+0.74	4.18	218	70
Jake Eder L 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SP	5.27	22.1%	15.5%	3.8%	.344	4.91	18.9%	9.3%	217	-0.36	2.73	335	69
Noah Dean L 2024 · 4.41 FIP	23	SP-	4.41	25.4%	18.4%	2.0%	.216	5.93	21.1%	1.3%	74	+1.52	4.41	217	69
Brett Adcock L 2019 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP	5.34	17.4%	13.6%	3.6%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	301	69
T.J. Sikkema L 2022 · 4.55 FIP	24	SP	4.55	21.9%	9.0%	3.9%	.298	4.54	16.9%	7.5%	231	-0.01	3.57	300	66
Michel Gelabert L 2019 · 4.36 FIP	22	SP	4.36	18.7%	12.1%	2.4%	.248	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	107	66
Grant Wolfram L 2021 · 5.44 FIP	24	SP-	5.44	25.2%	12.9%	5.1%	.327	3.92	23.1%	11.0%	176	-1.52	2.36	423	65
Lucas Gordon L 2024 · 5.61 FIP	22	SP	5.61	16.3%	15.7%	3.5%	.212	5.08	20.0%	8.1%	225	-0.53	4.44	338	64
Dylan Carmouche L 2024 · 4.35 FIP	22	SP	4.35	19.0%	11.6%	2.5%	.332	5.21	16.7%	6.8%	116	+0.86	4.35	239	64
Shane Drohan L 2023 · 5.13 FIP	24	SP	5.13	19.8%	12.1%	4.0%	.308	3.44	25.0%	16.1%	197	-1.69	2.79	538	63
J.C. Romero L 2000 · 4.58 FIP	24	SP	4.58	18.7%	11.2%	3.0%	.356	3.98	18.2%	8.4%	209	-0.60	2.88	652	63

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	23.3%	15.8%	1.19	5.22
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*