Dominick Reid

P Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 23 RHP 6'3" / 201 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.6 · 2030

Overview

APROSPECTFG #287MiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP42ETA2028FG ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	22	MIX2 levels	13	13	54	3.86	3.17	23.7%	8.8%	—	K 17.4% · BB 11.1% · FIP 4.38
2027PROJ	23	MLBCHC	10	10	52	4.92	4.92	18.3%	10.8%	-0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBCHC	4	4	23	4.70	4.63	19.6%	10.0%	0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBCHC	6	6	36	4.58	4.51	20.3%	9.6%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff48Control50Command50FB velo47

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 92%

CompsChad Patrick (age 23) · Marcelo Perez (age 23) · Chris Kachmar (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 110

ERA4.92

FIP4.92

K%18.3%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%7.5%

Proj IP52

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4050

CTRL—50

CMD3550

K†4550

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	13	54	228	54	20	4	100%	4.1	17.4%	11.1%	6.3%	2.4%	3.86	4.38	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	13	54	228	54	20	4	100%	4.1	17.4%	11.1%	6.3%	2.4%	3.86	4.38	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	13	54	228	54	20	4	100%	4.1	23.7%	8.8%	14.9%	1.8%	3.86	3.17	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	CHC	10	10	52	220	40	24	6	100%	5.2	18.3%	10.8%	7.5%	2.9%	4.92	4.92	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CHC	10	10	54	227	44	23	7	100%	5.4	19.6%	10.0%	9.6%	2.9%	4.76	4.69	+0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	CHC	9	9	54	230	47	22	7	100%	6.0	20.3%	9.6%	10.8%	2.9%	4.64	4.57	+0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	CHC	9	9	54	230	47	22	7	100%	6.0	20.7%	9.5%	11.2%	2.9%	4.57	4.54	+0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	CHC	9	9	54	226	47	22	7	100%	6.0	20.7%	9.6%	11.2%	3.0%	4.57	4.57	+0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	CHC	4	4	23	97	19	10	3	100%	5.8	19.6%	10.0%	9.6%	2.8%	4.70	4.63	+0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	CHC	6	6	36	152	31	15	4	100%	6.0	20.3%	9.6%	10.8%	2.8%	4.58	4.51	+0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	CHC	7	7	43	182	38	17	5	100%	6.1	20.7%	9.5%	11.2%	2.8%	4.51	4.48	+0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	CHC	8	8	46	194	40	19	6	100%	5.8	20.7%	9.6%	11.2%	2.9%	4.51	4.51	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		25	25	148	624	128	60	18	100%	5.9	20.4%	9.6%	10.8%	2.8%	4.56	4.14	+1.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	173	81	24	100%	5.9	20.4%	9.6%	10.8%	2.8%	4.56	4.14	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		13	13	54	228	40	25	6	100%	4.1	17.4%	11.1%	6.3%	2.4%	3.86	4.38	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		48	48	200	850	148	94	21	100%	4.1	17.4%	11.1%	6.3%	2.4%	3.86	4.38	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dominick Reid (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.92	18.3%	10.8%	2.9%	—	4.60	20.2%	10.5%	162	-0.32	—	—	—
Chad Patrick R 2022 · 3.86 FIP	23	SP	3.86	20.3%	9.9%	2.2%	.315	4.19	22.1%	14.2%	422	+0.33	3.69	570	89
Marcelo Perez R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	23	SP	3.84	18.0%	8.6%	2.1%	.288	4.99	14.7%	7.3%	238	+1.15	3.84	306	88
Chris Kachmar R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	16.1%	11.4%	2.0%	.309	4.61	18.4%	9.4%	172	+0.32	4.29	360	87
Brandon White R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	23	SP	4.93	16.7%	10.3%	3.5%	.264	4.05	17.5%	10.6%	280	-0.88	3.90	299	86
Tyler Skulina R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	23	SP	4.28	18.3%	11.6%	2.3%	.242	5.34	13.0%	-1.0%	147	+1.06	4.28	222	86
Mike Ruff R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	23	SP	4.00	18.5%	12.4%	1.6%	.301	5.73	16.0%	5.0%	185	+1.73	4.00	260	86
Cade Kuehler R 2024 · 4.22 FIP	22	SP	4.22	15.5%	11.2%	1.8%	.266	7.37	12.2%	-2.2%	109	+3.15	4.22	159	86
TJ Shook R 2021 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP	4.90	21.7%	13.8%	3.4%	.311	4.98	20.7%	10.3%	296	+0.08	3.35	452	86
Cameron Foster R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	24	SP	4.31	18.9%	10.3%	2.7%	.329	4.03	21.1%	11.2%	132	-0.28	2.50	213	85
Will Sanders R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	22	SP	4.95	19.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.297	4.11	20.1%	12.5%	173	-0.84	3.92	266	85
Riley Thompson R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	23	SP	4.69	16.5%	9.4%	3.3%	.288	5.32	21.7%	7.0%	57	+0.63	4.48	340	85
CJ Van Eyk R 2021 · 4.79 FIP	22	SP	4.79	21.8%	12.7%	3.5%	.302	4.64	15.2%	5.3%	127	-0.15	4.18	457	85
Trent Palmer R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	23	SP	4.79	22.0%	10.4%	4.1%	.284	4.83	12.8%	-9.4%	22	+0.04	3.51	140	84
Cole Wiper R 2015 · 5.41 FIP	23	SP	5.41	14.6%	10.5%	4.0%	.343	4.52	15.6%	5.2%	136	-0.89	3.97	170	84
Reid Schaller R 2019 · 5.18 FIP	22	SP	5.18	16.3%	13.8%	3.1%	.241	4.40	19.9%	7.9%	87	-0.78	3.61	186	83
Connor Staine R 2024 · 4.80 FIP	23	SP	4.80	20.3%	12.6%	3.3%	.266	5.19	16.1%	3.4%	230	+0.39	3.86	414	83
Tommy Mace R 2022 · 5.47 FIP	23	SP	5.47	16.0%	12.1%	4.0%	.261	5.04	14.7%	2.7%	376	-0.43	4.86	501	83
Ryan Jensen R 2021 · 4.86 FIP	23	SP	4.86	21.4%	10.8%	4.0%	.236	4.48	22.0%	5.1%	180	-0.38	3.92	311	83
Bradley Brehmer R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SP	4.43	14.6%	9.5%	2.5%	.349	3.27	20.0%	11.5%	94	-1.16	2.83	165	83
Darren Bowen R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	23	SP	4.08	16.7%	9.1%	2.2%	.312	6.06	14.4%	2.5%	150	+1.98	3.82	278	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	54	19.9%	9.9%	1.13	4.69
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44