Davis Polo
P
Augusta GreenJackets
Age 21
RHP
6'1" / 150 lbs
A
peak 0.6 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION66 act + 39 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.36
FIP4.36
K%22.0%
BB%8.7%
K-BB%13.3%
ROS IP39
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 105 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Braves | 10 | 2 | 20 | 85 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 20% | 2.0 | 20.8% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 2.1% | 5.03 | 3.64 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Braves | 10 | 2 | 20 | 85 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 20% | 2.0 | 30.6% | 7.1% | 23.5% | 1.2% | 5.03 | 2.03 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Braves | 13 | 9 | 45 | 185 | 32 | 14 | 6 | 69% | 3.5 | 11.8% | 9.5% | 2.3% | 5.8% | 4.40 | 6.47 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Braves | 13 | 9 | 45 | 185 | 32 | 14 | 6 | 69% | 3.5 | 17.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 4.40 | 4.34 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 15 | 12 | 59 | 259 | 53 | 13 | 5 | 80% | 4.0 | 15.1% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 5.16 | 3.92 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 15 | 12 | 59 | 259 | 53 | 13 | 5 | 80% | 4.0 | 20.5% | 5.0% | 15.4% | 1.9% | 5.16 | 3.07 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 15 | 13 | 66 | 275 | 78 | 30 | 6 | 87% | 4.4 | 21.0% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 4.21 | 4.51 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | ATL | 8 | 8 | 39 | 165 | 36 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 4.9 | 22.0% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.0% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.36 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 105 | 440 | 114 | 44 | 11 | — | — | 26.0% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 2.5% | 4.26 | 4.46 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | ATL | 8 | 8 | 41 | 173 | 40 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 5.1 | 23.0% | 8.3% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 4.19 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | ATL | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.0% | 8.3% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 4.19 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4 | 4 | 20 | 85 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.0% | 8.3% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 3.81 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 38 | 38 | 200 | 844 | 198 | 69 | 20 | 100% | 5.2 | 23.0% | 8.3% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 3.81 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 53 | 36 | 190 | 804 | 136 | 76 | 27 | 68% | 3.6 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 4.63 | 4.68 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 38 | 200 | 845 | 143 | 80 | 28 | 68% | 3.6 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 4.63 | 4.68 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Davis Polo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 22.0% | 8.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.19 | 23.0% | 14.7% | 41 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Michael Knorr R 2028 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 85 |
| Sean Sullivan R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.82 | 19.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .298 | 4.56 | 17.0% | 8.2% | 243 | -0.26 | 4.30 | 318 | 84 |
| Pat Gallagher R 2028 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.56 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .284 | 3.43 | 20.0% | 10.3% | 195 | -0.13 | 2.97 | 258 | 84 |
| Jared Karros R 2027 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 3.8% | .290 | 5.32 | 17.8% | 8.3% | 120 | +0.60 | 3.31 | 191 | 83 |
| Ricky Castro R 2029 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 83 |
| Nick Fraze R 2028 · 4.68 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.68 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | .271 | 4.64 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 162 | -0.04 | 3.81 | 278 | 83 |
| Peyton Remy R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.57 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 2.0% | .280 | 4.82 | 16.3% | 5.2% | 140 | +1.25 | 3.57 | 286 | 83 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 83 |
| Connor Cooke R 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 82 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2028 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 82 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2029 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 82 |
| Chad Donato R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 82 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .175 | 4.15 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 168 | +0.15 | 3.59 | 307 | 82 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2028 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 81 |
| Tanner Hall R 2027 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | .295 | 5.39 | 10.1% | -4.6% | 72 | +0.83 | 4.56 | 137 | 81 |
| José López R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 19.1% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .329 | 3.72 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 436 | -0.32 | 3.08 | 543 | 81 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2028 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.23 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .329 | 3.55 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.68 | 2.49 | 298 | 81 |
| Jarrod Cande R 2027 · 4.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.43 | 19.1% | 7.3% | 3.7% | .330 | 5.02 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 212 | +0.59 | 4.37 | 292 | 81 |
| Javi Rivera R 2027 · 3.88 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.88 | 22.3% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .259 | 3.71 | 18.6% | 9.0% | 93 | -0.17 | 2.72 | 229 | 81 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2028 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 40 | 22.5% | 8.5% | 1.14 | 4.31 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |