Jordan Jackson P Everett AquaSox
Age 27 RHP 6'6" / 204 lbs A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 152143vR 134
ERA5.96
FIP5.96
K%12.1%
BB%14.0%
K-BB%-1.9%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
K: -5.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-5KBB: -4.0 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-4BBCONTACT: -2.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +2.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.98 (59 IP)-1.0WAR
-0.1-0.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3030
CTRL4040
CMD3030
K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202223MIX2 levels262311951811643988%4.616.8%9.7%7.1%2.4%4.084.24
202223MIX2 levels262311951811643988%4.622.4%8.3%14.1%1.7%4.083.22
202324A+Everett AquaSox1211321542513492%2.712.5%9.7%2.8%3.2%6.755.01
202324A+Everett AquaSox1211321542513492%2.716.2%8.4%7.8%2.6%6.754.38
202425ROKACL Mariners3111142033%0.436.4%18.2%18.2%0.0%27.002.33
202425ROKACL Mariners3111142033%0.436.4%18.2%18.2%0.0%27.001.60
202526A+Everett AquaSox31042200352270%1.413.5%12.7%0.8%4.1%6.865.80
202526A+Everett AquaSox31042200352270%1.417.5%11.0%6.5%3.5%6.865.17
▸ 2026 Season
202627MLBSEA57060251303580%1.012.1%14.0%-1.9%3.2%5.965.96-1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBSEA55058244323380%1.013.1%13.6%-0.5%3.2%5.855.88-0.9
202829MLBSEA52055233323180%1.113.6%13.5%0.1%3.4%5.835.89-0.9
202728MLBSEA2002189121230%1.113.1%13.6%-0.5%3.2%5.855.88-0.3
202829MLBSEA29030127171740%1.013.6%13.5%0.1%3.4%5.835.89-0.5
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career49051217292970%1.113.4%13.6%-0.2%3.3%5.845.51-0.6
/ 200 IP1900200844113113270%1.113.4%13.6%-0.2%3.3%5.845.51-0.3
Career7235194883137922649%2.715.5%10.5%5.1%2.9%5.284.71+1.6
/ 200 IP7436200909141952649%2.715.5%10.5%5.1%2.9%5.284.71+1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jordan Jackson (OGILVIE) 5.96 12.1%14.0%3.2% 5.88 13.4%-0.2%113 -0.08
Alex Caldera R 2028 · 5.56 FIP 29 SW 5.56 10.4%13.1%3.1%.333 4.61 11.9%0.8%84 -0.95 4.61 120 85
Paul Clemens R 2026 · 5.36 FIP 27 SP- 5.36 14.3%14.1%3.1%.310 4.76 16.9%7.3%200 -0.60 4.76 247 85
Dennis O'Grady R 2025 · 5.19 FIP 26 SW 5.19 13.5%11.0%3.4%.339 3.79 157 81
Vanny Valenzuela R 2026 · 6.66 FIP 27 SW 6.66 12.4%14.8%5.0%.314 4.38 15.8%4.6%70 -2.28 3.26 118 80
Jordan Geber R 2026 · 6.11 FIP 27 SW 6.11 14.2%18.0%3.5%.333 4.16 239 76
Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 4.81 FIP 27 SP- 4.81 12.5%9.1%2.9%.346 4.97 14.0%5.3%138 +0.16 4.54 224 76
Colby Morris R 2024 · 5.76 FIP 25 SW 5.76 16.2%11.8%4.6%.268 4.23 105 75
Chris Jensen R 2026 · 5.29 FIP 27 SW 5.29 12.0%10.6%3.4%.347 4.73 488 75
Robbie Peto R 2024 · 5.71 FIP 25 SW 5.71 15.3%13.4%4.0%.325 5.38 232 75
Brad Allen R 2026 · 6.07 FIP 27 SW 6.07 14.7%13.2%4.6%.272 4.22 149 75
Victor Mateo R 2026 · 5.32 FIP 27 SW 5.32 10.2%12.2%2.8%.370 4.51 199 74
Clate Schmidt R 2024 · 5.61 FIP 25 SU 5.61 13.5%13.9%3.4%.290 3.58 160 74
Hunter Adkins R 2025 · 4.81 FIP 26 SW 4.81 11.8%11.3%2.3%.285 4.37 160 73
Fernando Cruz R 2024 · 5.41 FIP 25 SU 5.41 15.6%12.2%3.8%.284 2.52 356 73
Julian Arballo R 2026 · 5.47 FIP 27 SU 5.47 15.1%13.8%3.5%.335 4.38 12.6%0.6%116 -1.09 4.28 214 72
Oscar Verdugo R 2026 · 6.69 FIP 27 SU 6.69 10.3%13.8%4.9%.277 5.39 144 72
Stephen Johnson R 2024 · 5.44 FIP 25 SU 5.44 16.7%12.7%3.9%.268 3.10 141 71
Endrys Briceno R 2025 · 4.83 FIP 26 SU 4.83 14.0%13.2%2.2%.328 3.69 303 71
Yordy Cabrera R 2025 · 4.95 FIP 26 SW 4.95 12.2%12.7%2.3%.335 3.48 15.7%6.8%61 -1.47 3.48 159 71
Luis Niebla R 2025 · 4.94 FIP 26 SP- 4.94 11.6%13.2%2.1%.336 3.43 156 71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION35712.9%13.7%1.265.88
Eddie Butler ('18)46213.3%9.8%1.495.74
Dylan Covey ('23)47315.4%9.9%1.536.14
Ross Detwiler ('22)55117.3%9.5%1.766.03
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Steven Brault ('21)65718.8%11.3%1.004.77
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52