Jordan Jackson — OGILVIE

Jordan Jackson P Everett AquaSox

Age 27 RHP 6'6" / 204 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147139vR 131

ERA6.00

FIP6.00

K%12.1%

BB%14.2%

K-BB%-2.1%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4040

CMD3030

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	23	119	518	116	43	9	88%	4.6	16.8%	9.7%	7.1%	2.2%	4.08	4.15	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	23	119	518	116	43	9	88%	4.6	22.4%	8.3%	14.1%	1.7%	4.08	3.22	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	12	11	32	154	25	13	4	92%	2.7	12.5%	9.7%	2.8%	3.2%	6.75	5.03	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	12	11	32	154	25	13	4	92%	2.7	12.5%	9.7%	2.8%	3.2%	6.75	5.03	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	12	11	32	154	25	13	4	92%	2.7	16.2%	8.4%	7.8%	2.6%	6.75	4.38	—
2024	25	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	3	1	1	11	4	2	0	33%	0.4	36.4%	18.2%	18.2%	0.0%	27.00	2.33	—
2024	25	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	3	1	1	11	4	2	0	33%	0.4	36.4%	18.2%	18.2%	0.0%	27.00	2.33	—
2024	25	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	3	1	1	11	4	2	0	33%	0.4	36.4%	18.2%	18.2%	0.0%	27.00	1.60	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	31	0	42	200	35	22	7	0%	1.4	13.5%	12.7%	0.8%	4.2%	6.86	5.88	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	31	0	42	200	35	22	7	0%	1.4	13.5%	12.7%	0.8%	4.2%	6.86	5.88	—
2025	26	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	31	0	42	200	35	22	7	0%	1.4	17.5%	11.0%	6.5%	3.5%	6.86	5.17	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	SEA	5	0	5	21	3	3	1	0%	1.0	12.1%	14.2%	-2.1%	3.2%	6.00	6.00	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SEA	55	0	58	244	32	34	8	0%	1.0	13.1%	13.8%	-0.7%	3.3%	5.88	5.92	-0.8
2028	29	MLB MLE	SEA	52	0	55	233	32	32	8	0%	1.1	13.6%	13.7%	-0.1%	3.4%	5.86	5.93	-0.8
2027	28	MLB CTX	SEA	20	0	21	89	12	12	3	0%	1.1	13.1%	13.8%	-0.7%	3.3%	5.88	5.92	-0.3
2028	29	MLB CTX	SEA	29	0	30	127	17	17	4	0%	1.0	13.6%	13.7%	-0.1%	3.4%	5.86	5.93	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		49	0	51	217	29	30	7	0%	1.1	13.4%	13.8%	-0.3%	3.3%	5.87	5.54	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	113	117	27	0%	1.1	13.4%	13.8%	-0.3%	3.3%	5.87	5.54	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		72	35	194	883	137	92	25	49%	2.7	15.5%	10.5%	5.1%	2.8%	5.28	4.67	-1.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	36	200	909	141	95	26	49%	2.7	15.5%	10.5%	5.1%	2.8%	5.28	4.67	-3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jordan Jackson (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.00	12.1%	14.2%	3.2%	—	5.92	13.4%	-0.4%	113	-0.08	—	—	—
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	85
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	85
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	81
Vanny Valenzuela R 2015 · 6.82 FIP	27	SW	6.82	12.4%	14.8%	5.3%	.314	4.29	15.8%	4.6%	70	-2.53	3.26	118	78
Brad Allen R 2016 · 5.82 FIP	27	SW	5.82	14.7%	13.2%	4.2%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	4.25	149	76
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	75
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	75
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	75
Chris Jensen R 2018 · 5.31 FIP	27	SW	5.31	12.0%	10.6%	3.4%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	488	74
Oscar Verdugo R 2017 · 6.31 FIP	27	SU	6.31	10.3%	13.8%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	5.01	144	74
Victor Mateo R 2016 · 5.45 FIP	27	SW	5.45	10.2%	12.2%	3.0%	.370	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	199	74
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	73
Hunter Adkins R 2017 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	11.8%	11.3%	2.3%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	160	73
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	72
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	72
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	72
Luis Niebla R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP-	5.12	11.6%	13.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	156	72
Luis Romero R 2021 · 6.01 FIP	27	SW	6.01	13.8%	10.1%	5.1%	.293	5.70	11.6%	-1.5%	68	-0.31	4.00	293	71
Kevin Johnson R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SW	5.52	9.9%	11.9%	3.2%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	4.69	106	71
Jacob Dahlstrand R 2017 · 5.73 FIP	25	SW	5.73	8.6%	13.8%	2.9%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	119	70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	12.9%	13.9%	1.27	5.92
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48